An autecological study of bushbuck and common duiker in relation to forest management.

Thesis (Ph.D.)-University of Natal, Pietermaritzburg, 1986.Frequent reports of damage caused by bushbuck and common duiker browsing on commercially important timber seedlings, and an interest in the potential and feasibility of hunting these two species on State land were the primary factors responsible for the Directorate of Forestry's motivation of this study. The study area at Weza State Forest comprised approximately 21 000 ha of plantations, grasslands and indigenous forests which were considered representative of timbered areas throughout the Natal midlands. Several methods of age determination were investigated and these findings permitted assessments of growth, fecundity and population structure. The physiological condition of both antelope species was examined in relation to age, sex, reproduction and management strategies, and the results discussed in conjunction with mortality patterns. Principal foods of both bushbuck and duiker were determined from rumen analyses while 112 marked animals were regularly monitored to facilitate assessments of habitat selection and levels of spatial and social organisation. of these largely solitary and Estimates of the abundance nocturnal antelope were influenced by local movements in response to the availability of food and cover which varied seasonally and also fluctuated dramatically with forest succession and timber management activities. Although bushbuck and duiker bred throughout the year and had almost identical rates of reproductive performance, different factors were responsible in limiting the sizes of these two populations. All the available evidence gathered in this study indicated that food resources during winter and early spring were inadequate for bushbuck, particularly in 1983 when 33% of the marked population died from starvation and/or exposure. Notable differences in forage utilization and habitat selection inferred little interspecific competition at this time of the year. In contrast, territorial duiker appeared to be susceptible to highly localised habitat modifications (including the availability of food and cover) which occurred throughout the year and resulted from silvicultural and timber harvesting practices. Rumen analyses and quantitative damage assessment surveys revealed that browsing on timber seedlings was usually confined to localised areas during the winter months and was much less severe than had been originally suggested. Conifers were regarded as a starvati~n food and methods of reducing damage to these young trees were recommended for potential problem areas. Both antelope species were considered overabundant at Weza and recommendations for the future management of these populations included the limited utilization of surplus animals, by sport hunting on a sustained yield basis, and methods of manipulating and improving forest habitats

The social and spatial organisation of the Greater kudu (Tragelaphus strepsiceros Pallas 1766) in the Andries Vosloo Kudu Reserve, Eastern Cape

Methods of capture, marking and age determination in the field, were investigated. The density and structure of the population, individual movements and social relationships were determined. Aspects of reproduction examined included age at puberty, agespecific fecundity, calving intervals and seasonality. Temporal changes in the spatial and social organisation are discussed in relation to environmental conditions, reproduction and population structure. Factors influencing the fecundity, dynamics and grouping patterns within the population are considered

Gully cut- and- fill cycles as related to agromanagement : a historical curve number simulation in the Tigray Highlands

Gully cut-and-fill dynamics are often thought to be driven by climate and/or deforestation related to population pressure. However, in this case-study of nine representative catchments in the Northern Ethiopian Highlands, we find that neither climate changes nor deforestation can explain gully morphology changes over the twentieth century. Firstly, by using a Monte Carlo simulation to estimate historical catchment-wide curve numbers, we show that the landscape was already heavily degraded in the nineteenth and early twentieth century – a period with low population density. The mean catchment-wide curve number (> 80) one century ago was, under the regional climatic conditions, already resulting in considerable simulated historical runoff responses. Secondly, twentieth century land-cover and runoff coefficient changes were confronted with twentieth century changing gully morphologies. As the results show, large-scale land-cover changes and deforestation cannot explain the observed processes. The study therefore invokes interactions between authigenic factors, small-scale plot boundary changes, cropland management and sociopolitical forces to explain the gully cut processes. Finally, semi-structured interviews and sedistratigraphic analysis of three filled gullies confirm the dominant impact of (crop)land management (tillage, check dams in gullies and channel diversions) on gully cut-and-fill processes. Since agricultural land management – including land tenure and land distribution – has been commonly neglected in earlier related research, we argue therefore that it can be a very strong driver of twentieth century gully morphodynamics

The effects of integrated care: a systematic review of UK and international evidence

BACKGROUND: Healthcare systems around the world have been responding to the demand for better integrated models of service delivery. However, there is a need for further clarity regarding the effects of these new models of integration, and exploration regarding whether models introduced in other care systems may achieve similar outcomes in a UK national health service context. METHODS: The study aimed to carry out a systematic review of the effects of integration or co-ordination between healthcare services, or between health and social care on service delivery outcomes including effectiveness, efficiency and quality of care. Electronic databases including MEDLINE; Embase; PsycINFO; CINAHL; Science and Social Science Citation Indices; and the Cochrane Library were searched for relevant literature published between 2006 to March 2017. Online sources were searched for UK grey literature, and citation searching, and manual reference list screening were also carried out. Quantitative primary studies and systematic reviews, reporting actual or perceived effects on service delivery following the introduction of models of integration or co-ordination, in healthcare or health and social care settings in developed countries were eligible for inclusion. Strength of evidence for each outcome reported was analysed and synthesised using a four point comparative rating system of stronger, weaker, inconsistent or limited evidence. RESULTS: One hundred sixty seven studies were eligible for inclusion. Analysis indicated evidence of perceived improved quality of care, evidence of increased patient satisfaction, and evidence of improved access to care. Evidence was rated as either inconsistent or limited regarding all other outcomes reported, including system-wide impacts on primary care, secondary care, and health care costs. There were limited differences between outcomes reported by UK and international studies, and overall the literature had a limited consideration of effects on service users. CONCLUSIONS: Models of integrated care may enhance patient satisfaction, increase perceived quality of care, and enable access to services, although the evidence for other outcomes including service costs remains unclear. Indications of improved access may have important implications for services struggling to cope with increasing demand. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Prospero registration number: 42016037725