Fine-scale simulation of ammonium and nitrate over the South Coast Air Basin and San Joaquin Valley of California during CalNex-2010

National ambient air quality standards (NAAQS) have been set for PM_2.5 due to its association with adverse health effects. PM_2.5 design values in the South Coast Air Basin (SoCAB) and San Joaquin Valley of California exceed NAAQS levels, and NH^(+)_(4) and NO^(-)_(3) make up the largest fraction of total PM2.5 mass on polluted days. Here we evaluate fine-scale simulations of PM_(2.5) NH^(+)_(4) and NO^(-)_(3) with the Community Multiscale Air Quality model using measurements from routine networks and the California Research at the Nexus of Air Quality and Climate Change 2010 campaign. The model correctly simulates broad spatial patterns of NH^(+)_(4) and NO^(-)_(3) including the elevated concentrations in eastern SoCAB. However, areas for model improvement have been identified. NH_3 emissions from livestock and dairy facilities appear to be too low, while those related to waste disposal in western SoCAB may be too high. Analyses using measurements from flights over SoCAB suggest that problems with NH3 predictions can influence NO^(-)_(3) predictions there. Offline ISORROPIA II calculations suggest that overpredictions of NH_x in Pasadena cause excessive partitioning of total nitrate to the particle phase overnight, while underpredictions of Na^+ cause too much partitioning to the gas phase during the day. Also, the model seems to underestimate mixing during the evening boundary layer transition leading to excessive nitrate formation on some nights. Overall, the analyses demonstrate fine-scale variations in model performance within and across the air basins. Improvements in inventories and spatial allocations of NH_3 emissions and in parameterizations of sea spray emissions, evening mixing processes, and heterogeneous ClNO_2 chemistry could improve model performance

Rising rural body-mass index is the main driver of the global obesity epidemic in adults

Body-mass index (BMI) has increased steadily in most countries in parallel with a rise in the proportion of the population who live in cities(.)(1,2) This has led to a widely reported view that urbanization is one of the most important drivers of the global rise in obesity(3-6). Here we use 2,009 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight in more than 112 million adults, to report national, regional and global trends in mean BMI segregated by place of residence (a rural or urban area) from 1985 to 2017. We show that, contrary to the dominant paradigm, more than 55% of the global rise in mean BMI from 1985 to 2017-and more than 80% in some low- and middle-income regions-was due to increases in BMI in rural areas. This large contribution stems from the fact that, with the exception of women in sub-Saharan Africa, BMI is increasing at the same rate or faster in rural areas than in cities in low- and middle-income regions. These trends have in turn resulted in a closing-and in some countries reversal-of the gap in BMI between urban and rural areas in low- and middle-income countries, especially for women. In high-income and industrialized countries, we noted a persistently higher rural BMI, especially for women. There is an urgent need for an integrated approach to rural nutrition that enhances financial and physical access to healthy foods, to avoid replacing the rural undernutrition disadvantage in poor countries with a more general malnutrition disadvantage that entails excessive consumption of low-quality calories.Peer reviewe

Height and body-mass index trajectories of school-aged children and adolescents from 1985 to 2019 in 200 countries and territories: a pooled analysis of 2181 population-based studies with 65 million participants

Summary Background Comparable global data on health and nutrition of school-aged children and adolescents are scarce. We aimed to estimate age trajectories and time trends in mean height and mean body-mass index (BMI), which measures weight gain beyond what is expected from height gain, for school-aged children and adolescents. Methods For this pooled analysis, we used a database of cardiometabolic risk factors collated by the Non-Communicable Disease Risk Factor Collaboration. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends from 1985 to 2019 in mean height and mean BMI in 1-year age groups for ages 5–19 years. The model allowed for non-linear changes over time in mean height and mean BMI and for non-linear changes with age of children and adolescents, including periods of rapid growth during adolescence. Findings We pooled data from 2181 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight in 65 million participants in 200 countries and territories. In 2019, we estimated a difference of 20 cm or higher in mean height of 19-year-old adolescents between countries with the tallest populations (the Netherlands, Montenegro, Estonia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina for boys; and the Netherlands, Montenegro, Denmark, and Iceland for girls) and those with the shortest populations (Timor-Leste, Laos, Solomon Islands, and Papua New Guinea for boys; and Guatemala, Bangladesh, Nepal, and Timor-Leste for girls). In the same year, the difference between the highest mean BMI (in Pacific island countries, Kuwait, Bahrain, The Bahamas, Chile, the USA, and New Zealand for both boys and girls and in South Africa for girls) and lowest mean BMI (in India, Bangladesh, Timor-Leste, Ethiopia, and Chad for boys and girls; and in Japan and Romania for girls) was approximately 9–10 kg/m2. In some countries, children aged 5 years started with healthier height or BMI than the global median and, in some cases, as healthy as the best performing countries, but they became progressively less healthy compared with their comparators as they grew older by not growing as tall (eg, boys in Austria and Barbados, and girls in Belgium and Puerto Rico) or gaining too much weight for their height (eg, girls and boys in Kuwait, Bahrain, Fiji, Jamaica, and Mexico; and girls in South Africa and New Zealand). In other countries, growing children overtook the height of their comparators (eg, Latvia, Czech Republic, Morocco, and Iran) or curbed their weight gain (eg, Italy, France, and Croatia) in late childhood and adolescence. When changes in both height and BMI were considered, girls in South Korea, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and some central Asian countries (eg, Armenia and Azerbaijan), and boys in central and western Europe (eg, Portugal, Denmark, Poland, and Montenegro) had the healthiest changes in anthropometric status over the past 3·5 decades because, compared with children and adolescents in other countries, they had a much larger gain in height than they did in BMI. The unhealthiest changes—gaining too little height, too much weight for their height compared with children in other countries, or both—occurred in many countries in sub-Saharan Africa, New Zealand, and the USA for boys and girls; in Malaysia and some Pacific island nations for boys; and in Mexico for girls. Interpretation The height and BMI trajectories over age and time of school-aged children and adolescents are highly variable across countries, which indicates heterogeneous nutritional quality and lifelong health advantages and risks

Impact of COVID-19 on cardiovascular testing in the United States versus the rest of the world

Objectives: This study sought to quantify and compare the decline in volumes of cardiovascular procedures between the United States and non-US institutions during the early phase of the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the care of many non-COVID-19 illnesses. Reductions in diagnostic cardiovascular testing around the world have led to concerns over the implications of reduced testing for cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality. Methods: Data were submitted to the INCAPS-COVID (International Atomic Energy Agency Non-Invasive Cardiology Protocols Study of COVID-19), a multinational registry comprising 909 institutions in 108 countries (including 155 facilities in 40 U.S. states), assessing the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on volumes of diagnostic cardiovascular procedures. Data were obtained for April 2020 and compared with volumes of baseline procedures from March 2019. We compared laboratory characteristics, practices, and procedure volumes between U.S. and non-U.S. facilities and between U.S. geographic regions and identified factors associated with volume reduction in the United States. Results: Reductions in the volumes of procedures in the United States were similar to those in non-U.S. facilities (68% vs. 63%, respectively; p = 0.237), although U.S. facilities reported greater reductions in invasive coronary angiography (69% vs. 53%, respectively; p < 0.001). Significantly more U.S. facilities reported increased use of telehealth and patient screening measures than non-U.S. facilities, such as temperature checks, symptom screenings, and COVID-19 testing. Reductions in volumes of procedures differed between U.S. regions, with larger declines observed in the Northeast (76%) and Midwest (74%) than in the South (62%) and West (44%). Prevalence of COVID-19, staff redeployments, outpatient centers, and urban centers were associated with greater reductions in volume in U.S. facilities in a multivariable analysis. Conclusions: We observed marked reductions in U.S. cardiovascular testing in the early phase of the pandemic and significant variability between U.S. regions. The association between reductions of volumes and COVID-19 prevalence in the United States highlighted the need for proactive efforts to maintain access to cardiovascular testing in areas most affected by outbreaks of COVID-19 infection

Heterogeneous contributions of change in population distribution of body mass index to change in obesity and underweight NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)

From 1985 to 2016, the prevalence of underweight decreased, and that of obesity and severe obesity increased, in most regions, with significant variation in the magnitude of these changes across regions. We investigated how much change in mean body mass index (BMI) explains changes in the prevalence of underweight, obesity, and severe obesity in different regions using data from 2896 population-based studies with 187 million participants. Changes in the prevalence of underweight and total obesity, and to a lesser extent severe obesity, are largely driven by shifts in the distribution of BMI, with smaller contributions from changes in the shape of the distribution. In East and Southeast Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, the underweight tail of the BMI distribution was left behind as the distribution shifted. There is a need for policies that address all forms of malnutrition by making healthy foods accessible and affordable, while restricting unhealthy foods through fiscal and regulatory restrictions

Immunohistochemical Assessment of HRAS Q61R Mutations in Breast Adenomyoepitheliomas

AIMS Breast adenomyoepitheliomas (AMEs) are uncommon tumors. Most estrogen receptor (ER)-positive AMEs have mutations in PI3K pathway genes, whereas ER-negative AMEs usually harbor concurrent mutations affecting the HRAS Q61 hotspot and PI3K pathway genes. Here, we sought to determine the sensitivity and specificity of RAS Q61R immunohistochemical (IHC) analysis for detection of HRAS Q61R mutations in AMEs. METHODS AND RESULTS 26 AME (14 ER-positive, 12 ER-negative) previously subjected to massively parallel sequencing (n=21) or Sanger sequencing (n=5) of the HRAS Q61 hotspot locus were included in this study. All AMEs were subjected to IHC using a monoclonal (SP174) RAS Q61R-specific antibody, in addition to detailed histopathologic analysis. Nine ER-negative AMEs harbored HRAS mutations, including Q61R (n=7) and Q61K (n=2) mutations. 5/7 (71%) AMEs with HRAS Q61R mutations were positive by IHC, whereas none of the AMEs lacking HRAS Q61R mutations (n=17) were immunoreactive. RAS Q61R immunoreactivity was restricted to the myoepithelium in 80% (4/5) of cases, whereas one case displayed immunoreactivity in both the epithelial and myoepithelial components. RAS Q61R IHC-positive AMEs were associated with infiltrative borders (P<0.001), necrosis (P<0.01) and mitotic index in the epithelial (P<0.05) and myoepithelial (P<0.01) components. RAS Q61R IHC assessment did not detect Q61K mutations (0/2). CONCLUSIONS IHC analysis of RAS Q61R displays a high specificity (100%) and moderate sensitivity (71%) for detection of HRAS Q61R mutations in breast AMEs, and appears not to detect HRAS Q61K mutations. IHC analysis of RAS Q61R may constitute a useful marker in the diagnostic workup of ER-negative AMEs

Metaplastic carcinomas of the breast without evidence of epithelial differentiation:a diagnostic approach for management

AIMS: Although rare, malignant sarcomatoid breast tumours without evidence of epithelial differentiation comprise a diagnostic challenge with management implications. Earlier studies have generally considered these to be primary breast sarcomas; however, supporting evidence is lacking and management remains variable. This study aimed to provide an evidence-based approach to improve the consistency of diagnosis and management for such cases. METHODS AND RESULTS: A large series (n = 140) of metaplastic breast carcinoma (MBC) diagnosed in Nottingham over 18 years was analysed. Only cases with available data on immunohistochemical expression of cytokeratins (CKs) were included. The prevalence and pattern of expression for various CKs were assessed and details of tumours negative for CKs were collected. A diagnostic approach based on our experience is provided. Forty-seven cases (34%) showed foci of conventional type invasive breast carcinoma or ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS), while 93 cases (66%) were diagnosed as MBC based on morphology and/or CK expression. Ninety-seven cases (69%) were negative for one or more CKs, with 18 cases (13%) negative for five or more CKs. Eight cases (6%) lacked expression of all CKs tested. Further examination showed evidence of carcinomatous nature in five cases, and three were diagnosed as MBC following extensive diagnostic work-up and based on our experience. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that MBC represents a spectrum of neoplasms, with some lacking CK expression. Sarcomatoid neoplasms of the breast lacking evidence of carcinomatous morphology and CK expression may represent an extreme end of differentiation that can be considered as carcinomas rather than sarcomas for management purposes (following extensive work-up)

Immunohistochemical assessment of HRAS

AIMS Breast adenomyoepitheliomas (AMEs) are uncommon tumors. Most estrogen receptor (ER)-positive AMEs have mutations in PI3K pathway genes, whereas ER-negative AMEs usually harbor concurrent mutations affecting the HRAS Q61 hotspot and PI3K pathway genes. Here, we sought to determine the sensitivity and specificity of RAS Q61R immunohistochemical (IHC) analysis for detection of HRAS Q61R mutations in AMEs. METHODS AND RESULTS 26 AME (14 ER-positive, 12 ER-negative) previously subjected to massively parallel sequencing (n=21) or Sanger sequencing (n=5) of the HRAS Q61 hotspot locus were included in this study. All AMEs were subjected to IHC using a monoclonal (SP174) RAS Q61R-specific antibody, in addition to detailed histopathologic analysis. Nine ER-negative AMEs harbored HRAS mutations, including Q61R (n=7) and Q61K (n=2) mutations. 5/7 (71%) AMEs with HRAS Q61R mutations were positive by IHC, whereas none of the AMEs lacking HRAS Q61R mutations (n=17) were immunoreactive. RAS Q61R immunoreactivity was restricted to the myoepithelium in 80% (4/5) of cases, whereas one case displayed immunoreactivity in both the epithelial and myoepithelial components. RAS Q61R IHC-positive AMEs were associated with infiltrative borders (P<0.001), necrosis (P<0.01) and mitotic index in the epithelial (P<0.05) and myoepithelial (P<0.01) components. RAS Q61R IHC assessment did not detect Q61K mutations (0/2). CONCLUSIONS IHC analysis of RAS Q61R displays a high specificity (100%) and moderate sensitivity (71%) for detection of HRAS Q61R mutations in breast AMEs, and appears not to detect HRAS Q61K mutations. IHC analysis of RAS Q61R may constitute a useful marker in the diagnostic workup of ER-negative AMEs