"Präventivkrieg" als Ausweg? Die USA und der Irak

'In der amerikanischen Irak-Debatte geht es nur vordergründig um den Kampf gegen den Terrorismus. Dieser ist vor allem die innenpolitisch nützliche Legitimation für den Sturz eines nach Massenvernichtungswaffen strebenden Regimes, das als wachsende geopolitische Bedrohung strategischer Interessen in einer kritischen Region gesehen wird. Derzeit verfolgen die USA eine zweigleisige und zugleich zweideutige Politik: Zum einen soll die Eindämmung des Irak durch Sanktionen und Rüstungsinspektionen verstärkt werden, zum anderen werden die militärischen Optionen für einen 'Regimewechsel' vorbereitet. Die Rhetorik ist eindeutig auf den Regimesturz hin orientiert, die militärischen, geheimdienstlichen und politischen Vorbereitungen für eine Intervention und die Zeit danach sind im Gange. Dass die Drohung mit militärischen Optionen in eine politische Lösung - sprich in ein neues Rüstungsüberwachungssystem - münden werde, ist die auf europäischer Seite weithin gehegte Hoffnung. Es ist jedoch sehr fraglich, ob den USA unter Präsident Bush an einer solchen Lösung gelegen wäre. Die Forderung nach neuen Rüstungsinspektionen hat für Teile der Administration in erster Linie die Funktion, die militärische Option zu legitimieren. Kann der massive Einsatz amerikanischer Bodentruppen vermieden und zumindest der Eindruck multilateraler Einbettung erzeugt werden, dann dürften amerikanische Öffentlichkeit und Kongress ein militärisches Vorgehen mit großer Mehrheit unterstützen. Noch sind führende Politiker im Kongress jedoch nicht der Auffassung, dass der Irak eine unmittelbare, ein baldiges militärisches Vorgehen rechtfertigende Bedrohung darstellt. Präsident Bush mag aus Gründen des dauerhaften politischen Rückhalts gut beraten sein, vor einem Krieg gegen den Irak die Zustimmung des Kongresses einzuholen. Erzwingen wird der Kongress seine Mitsprache jedoch nicht. Ungewiss ist, ob der Präsident am Ende vor der vollen Konsequenz eines militärischen Vorgehens - nämlich Besetzung und Restrukturierung des politischen Systems des Irak - aufgrund der politischen und strategischen Risiken und Kosten zurückschreckt. Staatsmänner sind jedoch mitunter zu äußerst riskanten Schritten bereit, wenn die künftige Bedrohung als so groß gewertet wird, dass ein Krieg als das geringere Risiko eingeschätzt wird, oder wenn am Ende einer erfolglosen Drohpolitik die eigene Glaubwürdigkeit und die der Nation auf dem Spiel zu stehen scheint. Ein ohne Mandat der Vereinten Nationen geführter Präventivkrieg gegen den Irak, um dessen Regime zu stürzen, wäre eine völkerrechtlich, politisch und ethisch höchst problematische Entwicklung: völkerrechtlich, weil die Beschränkungen für den Einsatz militärischer Macht gelockert würden; politisch, weil es sich um einen Präzedenzfall handeln würde, auf den sich andere berufen könnten; ethisch, weil sich ein präemptives militärisches Handeln nur angesichts eines drohenden Krieges rechtfertigen lässt - wenn der Verzicht auf Präemption eine ernsthafte Gefährdung für die territoriale Integrität und politische Unabhängigkeit eines Staates darstellen würde. So wünschenswert ein Ende der Diktatur im Irak wäre - die Entscheidung zu einem Krieg birgt so viele völkerrechtliche, ethische und strategische Probleme, dass die Alternative, nämlich eine robuste Eindämmungspolitik, nicht vorschnell als aussichtslos und zu riskant verworfen werden sollte. Gerade die Einschätzung, dass die USA auf einen militärischen Angriff gegen den Irak zusteuern, hat eine veränderte Konstellation geschaffen, die von europäischer Seite für eine Verstärkung der Eindämmungspolitik genutzt werden könnte.' (Autorenreferat

Physical Processes in Star Formation

© 2020 Springer-Verlag. The final publication is available at Springer via https://doi.org/10.1007/s11214-020-00693-8.Star formation is a complex multi-scale phenomenon that is of significant importance for astrophysics in general. Stars and star formation are key pillars in observational astronomy from local star forming regions in the Milky Way up to high-redshift galaxies. From a theoretical perspective, star formation and feedback processes (radiation, winds, and supernovae) play a pivotal role in advancing our understanding of the physical processes at work, both individually and of their interactions. In this review we will give an overview of the main processes that are important for the understanding of star formation. We start with an observationally motivated view on star formation from a global perspective and outline the general paradigm of the life-cycle of molecular clouds, in which star formation is the key process to close the cycle. After that we focus on the thermal and chemical aspects in star forming regions, discuss turbulence and magnetic fields as well as gravitational forces. Finally, we review the most important stellar feedback mechanisms.Peer reviewedFinal Accepted Versio

Teaching of Energy Issues: A debate proposal for a GLobal Reorientation

The growing awareness of serious difficulties in the learning of energy issues has produced a great deal of research, most of which is focused on specific conceptual aspects. In our opinion, the difficulties pointed out in the literature are interrelated and connected to other aspects (conceptual as well as procedural and axiological), which are not sufficiently taken into account in previous research. This paper aims to carry out a global analysis in order to avoid the more limited approaches that deal only with individual aspects. From this global analysis we have outlined 24 propositions that are put forward for debate to lay the foundations for a profound reorientation of the teaching of energy topics in upper high school courses, in order to facilitate a better scientific understanding of these topics, avoid many students' misconceptions and enhance awareness of the current situation of planetary emergency

Should science educators deal with the science/religion issue?

I begin by examining the natures of science and religion before looking at the ways in which they relate to one another. I then look at a number of case studies that centre on the relationships between science and religion, including attempts to find mechanisms for divine action in quantum theory and chaos theory, creationism, genetic engineering and the writings of Richard Dawkins. Finally, I consider some of the pedagogical issues that would need to be considered if the science/religion issue is to be addressed in the classroom. I conclude that there are increasing arguments in favour of science educators teaching about the science/religion issue. The principal reason for this is to help students better to learn science. However, such teaching makes greater demands on science educators than has generally been the case. Certain of these demands are identified and some specific suggestions are made as to how a science educator might deal with the science/religion issue. © 2008 Taylor & Francis

Particles-vortex interactions and flow visualization in He4

Recent experiments have demonstrated a remarkable progress in implementing and use of the Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) and particle tracking techniques for the study of turbulence in He4. However, an interpretation of the experimental data in the superfluid phase requires understanding how the motion of tracer particles is affected by the two components, the viscous normal fluid and the inviscid superfluid. Of a particular importance is the problem of particle interactions with quantized vortex lines which may not only strongly affect the particle motion, but, under certain conditions, may even trap particles on quantized vortex cores. The article reviews recent theoretical, numerical, and experimental results in this rapidly developing area of research, putting critically together recent results, and solving apparent inconsistencies. Also discussed is a closely related technique of detection of quantized vortices negative ion bubbles in He4.Comment: To appear in the J Low Temperature Physic

Velocity-space sensitivity of the time-of-flight neutron spectrometer at JET

The velocity-space sensitivities of fast-ion diagnostics are often described by so-called weight functions. Recently, we formulated weight functions showing the velocity-space sensitivity of the often dominant beam-target part of neutron energy spectra. These weight functions for neutron emission spectrometry (NES) are independent of the particular NES diagnostic. Here we apply these NES weight functions to the time-of-flight spectrometer TOFOR at JET. By taking the instrumental response function of TOFOR into account, we calculate time-of-flight NES weight functions that enable us to directly determine the velocity-space sensitivity of a given part of a measured time-of-flight spectrum from TOFOR

Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990-2015: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Background: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 provides an up-to-date synthesis of the evidence for risk factor exposure and the attributable burden of disease. By providing national and subnational assessments spanning the past 25 years, this study can inform debates on the importance of addressing risks in context. Methods: We used the comparative risk assessment framework developed for previous iterations of the Global Burden of Disease Study to estimate attributable deaths, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and trends in exposure by age group, sex, year, and geography for 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks from 1990 to 2015. This study included 388 risk-outcome pairs that met World Cancer Research Fund-defined criteria for convincing or probable evidence. We extracted relative risk and exposure estimates from randomised controlled trials, cohorts, pooled cohorts, household surveys, census data, satellite data, and other sources. We used statistical models to pool data, adjust for bias, and incorporate covariates. We developed a metric that allows comparisons of exposure across risk factors—the summary exposure value. Using the counterfactual scenario of theoretical minimum risk level, we estimated the portion of deaths and DALYs that could be attributed to a given risk. We decomposed trends in attributable burden into contributions from population growth, population age structure, risk exposure, and risk-deleted cause-specific DALY rates. We characterised risk exposure in relation to a Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Findings: Between 1990 and 2015, global exposure to unsafe sanitation, household air pollution, childhood underweight, childhood stunting, and smoking each decreased by more than 25%. Global exposure for several occupational risks, high body-mass index (BMI), and drug use increased by more than 25% over the same period. All risks jointly evaluated in 2015 accounted for 57·8% (95% CI 56·6–58·8) of global deaths and 41·2% (39·8–42·8) of DALYs. In 2015, the ten largest contributors to global DALYs among Level 3 risks were high systolic blood pressure (211·8 million [192·7 million to 231·1 million] global DALYs), smoking (148·6 million [134·2 million to 163·1 million]), high fasting plasma glucose (143·1 million [125·1 million to 163·5 million]), high BMI (120·1 million [83·8 million to 158·4 million]), childhood undernutrition (113·3 million [103·9 million to 123·4 million]), ambient particulate matter (103·1 million [90·8 million to 115·1 million]), high total cholesterol (88·7 million [74·6 million to 105·7 million]), household air pollution (85·6 million [66·7 million to 106·1 million]), alcohol use (85·0 million [77·2 million to 93·0 million]), and diets high in sodium (83·0 million [49·3 million to 127·5 million]). From 1990 to 2015, attributable DALYs declined for micronutrient deficiencies, childhood undernutrition, unsafe sanitation and water, and household air pollution; reductions in risk-deleted DALY rates rather than reductions in exposure drove these declines. Rising exposure contributed to notable increases in attributable DALYs from high BMI, high fasting plasma glucose, occupational carcinogens, and drug use. Environmental risks and childhood undernutrition declined steadily with SDI; low physical activity, high BMI, and high fasting plasma glucose increased with SDI. In 119 countries, metabolic risks, such as high BMI and fasting plasma glucose, contributed the most attributable DALYs in 2015. Regionally, smoking still ranked among the leading five risk factors for attributable DALYs in 109 countries; childhood underweight and unsafe sex remained primary drivers of early death and disability in much of sub-Saharan Africa. Interpretation: Declines in some key environmental risks have contributed to declines in critical infectious diseases. Some risks appear to be invariant to SDI. Increasing risks, including high BMI, high fasting plasma glucose, drug use, and some occupational exposures, contribute to rising burden from some conditions, but also provide opportunities for intervention. Some highly preventable risks, such as smoking, remain major causes of attributable DALYs, even as exposure is declining. Public policy makers need to pay attention to the risks that are increasingly major contributors to global burden. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

Relationship of edge localized mode burst times with divertor flux loop signal phase in JET

A phase relationship is identified between sequential edge localized modes (ELMs) occurrence times in a set of H-mode tokamak plasmas to the voltage measured in full flux azimuthal loops in the divertor region. We focus on plasmas in the Joint European Torus where a steady H-mode is sustained over several seconds, during which ELMs are observed in the Be II emission at the divertor. The ELMs analysed arise from intrinsic ELMing, in that there is no deliberate intent to control the ELMing process by external means. We use ELM timings derived from the Be II signal to perform direct time domain analysis of the full flux loop VLD2 and VLD3 signals, which provide a high cadence global measurement proportional to the voltage induced by changes in poloidal magnetic flux. Specifically, we examine how the time interval between pairs of successive ELMs is linked to the time-evolving phase of the full flux loop signals. Each ELM produces a clear early pulse in the full flux loop signals, whose peak time is used to condition our analysis. The arrival time of the following ELM, relative to this pulse, is found to fall into one of two categories: (i) prompt ELMs, which are directly paced by the initial response seen in the flux loop signals; and (ii) all other ELMs, which occur after the initial response of the full flux loop signals has decayed in amplitude. The times at which ELMs in category (ii) occur, relative to the first ELM of the pair, are clustered at times when the instantaneous phase of the full flux loop signal is close to its value at the time of the first ELM