135 research outputs found
Why Are Outcomes Different for Registry Patients Enrolled Prospectively and Retrospectively? Insights from the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF).
- Author
- A'Court C.
- Aaroe H.
- Abd El-Aziz A.
- Abdalla Saad J.
- Abdel-Qader M.
- Abdelrahman H.
- Abdul A.
- Abe M. (Masahiko)
- Abe M. (Masatake)
- Abe M. (Mitsunori)
- Abe S.
- Abe Y.
- Abhayaratna W.
- Abou Seif S. K.
- Abraham S.
- Abu-Mahfouz M.
- Abushal S.
- Accetta Gabriele
- Accogli M.
- Adachi S.
- Adachi S. (Sen)
- Adachi S. (Susumu)
- Adachi T.
- Adak D.
- Adriaansen H.
- Agakhanyan A.
- Agata J.
- Ageta M.
- Aggarwala A.
- Agliardi P.
- Agnelli G.
- Agnelli Giancarlo
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- Ahbeck E.
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- Publication venue
- 'Oxford University Press (OUP)'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2018
- Field of study
Get PDFBackground: Retrospective and prospective observational studies are designed to reflect real-world evidence on clinical practice, but can yield conflicting results. The GARFIELD-AF Registry includes both methods of enrolment and allows analysis of differences in patient characteristics and outcomes that may result. Methods and Results: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and ≥1 risk factor for stroke at diagnosis of AF were recruited either retrospectively (n = 5069) or prospectively (n = 5501) from 19 countries and then followed prospectively. The retrospectively enrolled cohort comprised patients with established AF (for a least 6, and up to 24 months before enrolment), who were identified retrospectively (and baseline and partial follow-up data were collected from the emedical records) and then followed prospectively between 0-18 months (such that the total time of follow-up was 24 months; data collection Dec-2009 and Oct-2010). In the prospectively enrolled cohort, patients with newly diagnosed AF (≤6 weeks after diagnosis) were recruited between Mar-2010 and Oct-2011 and were followed for 24 months after enrolment. Differences between the cohorts were observed in clinical characteristics, including type of AF, stroke prevention strategies, and event rates. More patients in the retrospectively identified cohort received vitamin K antagonists (62.1% vs. 53.2%) and fewer received non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (1.8% vs . 4.2%). All-cause mortality rates per 100 person-years during the prospective follow-up (starting the first study visit up to 1 year) were significantly lower in the retrospective than prospectively identified cohort (3.04 [95% CI 2.51 to 3.67] vs . 4.05 [95% CI 3.53 to 4.63]; p = 0.016). Conclusions: Interpretations of data from registries that aim to evaluate the characteristics and outcomes of patients with AF must take account of differences in registry design and the impact of recall bias and survivorship bias that is incurred with retrospective enrolment. Clinical Trial Registration: - URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier for GARFIELD-AF (NCT01090362)
Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017 : a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
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- Publication venue
- 'Elsevier BV'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2018
- Field of study
Get PDFBackground: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2017) includes a comprehensive assessment of incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 354 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017. Previous GBD studies have shown how the decline of mortality rates from 1990 to 2016 has led to an increase in life expectancy, an ageing global population, and an expansion of the non-fatal burden of disease and injury. These studies have also shown how a substantial portion of the world's population experiences non-fatal health loss with considerable heterogeneity among different causes, locations, ages, and sexes. Ongoing objectives of the GBD study include increasing the level of estimation detail, improving analytical strategies, and increasing the amount of high-quality data. Methods: We estimated incidence and prevalence for 354 diseases and injuries and 3484 sequelae. We used an updated and extensive body of literature studies, survey data, surveillance data, inpatient admission records, outpatient visit records, and health insurance claims, and additionally used results from cause of death models to inform estimates using a total of 68 781 data sources. Newly available clinical data from India, Iran, Japan, Jordan, Nepal, China, Brazil, Norway, and Italy were incorporated, as well as updated claims data from the USA and new claims data from Taiwan (province of China) and Singapore. We used DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, as the main method of estimation, ensuring consistency between rates of incidence, prevalence, remission, and cause of death for each condition. YLDs were estimated as the product of a prevalence estimate and a disability weight for health states of each mutually exclusive sequela, adjusted for comorbidity. We updated the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary development indicator of income per capita, years of schooling, and total fertility rate. Additionally, we calculated differences between male and female YLDs to identify divergent trends across sexes. GBD 2017 complies with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting. Findings: Globally, for females, the causes with the greatest age-standardised prevalence were oral disorders, headache disorders, and haemoglobinopathies and haemolytic anaemias in both 1990 and 2017. For males, the causes with the greatest age-standardised prevalence were oral disorders, headache disorders, and tuberculosis including latent tuberculosis infection in both 1990 and 2017. In terms of YLDs, low back pain, headache disorders, and dietary iron deficiency were the leading Level 3 causes of YLD counts in 1990, whereas low back pain, headache disorders, and depressive disorders were the leading causes in 2017 for both sexes combined. All-cause age-standardised YLD rates decreased by 3·9% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3·1–4·6) from 1990 to 2017; however, the all-age YLD rate increased by 7·2% (6·0–8·4) while the total sum of global YLDs increased from 562 million (421–723) to 853 million (642–1100). The increases for males and females were similar, with increases in all-age YLD rates of 7·9% (6·6–9·2) for males and 6·5% (5·4–7·7) for females. We found significant differences between males and females in terms of age-standardised prevalence estimates for multiple causes. The causes with the greatest relative differences between sexes in 2017 included substance use disorders (3018 cases [95% UI 2782–3252] per 100 000 in males vs s1400 [1279–1524] per 100 000 in females), transport injuries (3322 [3082–3583] vs 2336 [2154–2535]), and self-harm and interpersonal violence (3265 [2943–3630] vs 5643 [5057–6302]). Interpretation: Global all-cause age-standardised YLD rates have improved only slightly over a period spanning nearly three decades. However, the magnitude of the non-fatal disease burden has expanded globally, with increasing numbers of people who have a wide spectrum of conditions. A subset of conditions has remained globally pervasive since 1990, whereas other conditions have displayed more dynamic trends, with different ages, sexes, and geographies across the globe experiencing varying burdens and trends of health loss. This study emphasises how global improvements in premature mortality for select conditions have led to older populations with complex and potentially expensive diseases, yet also highlights global achievements in certain domains of disease and injury. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Risk profiles and one-year outcomes of patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation in India: Insights from the GARFIELD-AF Registry.
- Author
- A. Abd El-Aziz
- A. Abdul
- A. Agakhanyan
- A. Aggarwala
- A. Agrawal
- A. Al Mulla
- A. Al Naeemi
- A. Alfieri
- A. Ali
- A. Altun
- A. Alvarez D'Amelio
- A. Andersson
- A. Argena
- A. Austria
- A. Aydinlar
- A. Babyesiza
- A. Barai
- A. Barreau
- A. Barszcz
- A. Bartes
- A. Bazzoni Ruiz
- A. Beattie
- A. Bianchi
- A. Biernacka
- A. Black
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- Ajay K. Kakkar
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- S. Piña Toledano
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- S. Raynes
- S. Raziano
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- S. Saez Jimenez
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- S. Tereshchenko
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- S. Toru
- S. Tranche Iparraguirre
- S. Tsunoda
- S. Tybura
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- S. Villarreal Umaña
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- Samuel Z. Goldhaber
- Samuel Z. Goldhaber
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- Sang Hyun Kim
- Sanjay Kakkar
- Seil Oh
- Sen Adachi
- Shinya Goto
- Sho Nagai
- Shu Suzuki
- Shunichi Nagai
- Shunji Suzuki
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- Susumu Adachi
- Susumu Suzuki
- Sylvia Haas
- Sylvia Haas
- T. Adachi
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- T. Eto
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- T. Fooks
- T. Fudo
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- T. Fukuda
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- T. Gooding
- T. Gorshkova
- T. Goto
- T. Grabek
- T. Gutowski
- T. Habon
- T. Harbour
- T. Hatsuno
- T. Hicks
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- T. Ido
- T. Inoue
- T. Iwao
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- T. Izquierdo
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- T. Kusumoto
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- T. Laksomya
- T. Lincoln
- T. Loekkegaard
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- T. Mark
- T. Medvedeva
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- T. Mita
- T. Mito
- T. Mori
- T. Mueller
- T. Murayama
- T. Myhill
- T. Nagatomo
- T. Nagoshi
- T. Nakayama
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- T. Ovdiienko
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- T. Phan
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- T. Shiraiwa
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- T. Tana
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- T. Washizuka
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- V. Becerra Munoz
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- V. Eissing
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- V. Fernandez Caputi
- V. Garcia Millan
- V. Hansen
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- V. Jain
- V. Klein
- V. Korley
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- V. Lawlor
- V. Lilienweiß
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- V. Mochonyi
- V. Nagalingam
- V. Navarre
- V. Nemtsova
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- V. Olguin
- V. Oriana
- V. Palumbo
- V. Pannacci
- V. Paul
- V. Pengo
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- V. Quintern
- V. Rasanen
- V. Rios
- V. Roa Castro
- V. St Joseph
- V. Thyssen
- V. Tseluyko
- V. Ueckermann
- V. Vanajakshamma
- V. Varenov
- V. Wilson
- V. Worthy
- V. Yuksekdag
- V.A. Kothiwale
- V.A. Sinisi
- V.L. Pereira
- V.M. Ortega
- V.M. Vijan
- Veerappa A. Kothiwale
- Velam Vanajakshamma
- Vikas Bisne
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- W. Boonyapisit
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- W. Haverkamp
- W. Hermans
- W. Jetten
- W. Kunz Sebba Barroso de Souza
- W. Kurdzielewicz
- W. Lang
- W. Lumb
- W. Murdoch
- W. Myszka
- W. Oosthuysen
- W. Rogowski
- W. Smolders
- W. Suebjaksing
- W. Supinski
- W. Szkrobka
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- W. Tiyanon
- W. Van Gaal
- W. Wieczorek
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- W. Willcock
- W. Wongcharoen
- W. Wongtheptien
- W.H. Li
- W.J. Chi
- W.L. Liu
- W.M. Kutayli
- W.N. Guo
- W.S. Son
- W.T. Lim
- W.Y. Lee
- W.Y. Zheng
- Wael Al Mahmeed
- Werner Hacke
- X. Chen
- X. Giry
- X. Li
- X. Robiro Robiro
- X. Sheng
- X. Vandamme
- X. Viñolas
- X.A. He
- X.F. Huang
- X.J. Gao
- X.J. Shi
- X.L. Luo
- X.S. Cheng
- X.S. Hu
- X.W. Yan
- X.Y. Zhu
- Xavier Viñolas
- Y. Abe
- Y. Atsuchi
- Y. Balthazar
- Y. Belenkova
- Y. Campisto
- Y. Emura
- Y. Fujii
- Y. Fujisawa
- Y. Go
- Y. Gomez Perez
- Y. Gottwalles
- Y. Guo
- Y. Haraguchi
- Y. Hata
- Y. Hatori
- Y. Hayashi
- Y. Ivanova
- Y. Jiao
- Y. Kamogawa
- Y. Kato
- Y. Katsube
- Y. Katsuda
- Y. Kawada
- Y. Kelfkens
- Y. Kitami
- Y. Koretsune
- Y. Koshibu
- Y. Kumai
- Y. Maruyama
- Y. Matsuura
- Y. Mizuno
- Y. Moiseeva
- Y. Mostovoy
- Y. Niijima
- Y. Nishida
- Y. Nishihata
- Y. Oba
- Y. Onuki Pearce
- Y. Orlov
- Y. Osmolovskaya
- Y. Park
- Y. Saito
- Y. Sakamoto
- Y. Samejima
- Y. Santanakorn
- Y. Sasagawa
- Y. Sekine
- Y. Seta
- Y. Shapovalova
- Y. Shiina
- Y. Shimoyama
- Y. Shozawa
- Y. Stipp
- Y. Suzuki
- Y. Svyshchenko
- Y. Takagi
- Y. Tsuchiya
- Y. Ueyama
- Y. Vandekerckhove
- Y. Vorasettakarnkij
- Y. Wakasa
- Y. Ye
- Y. Yokoyama
- Y. Zhang
- Y.-I. Kim
- Y.H. Li
- Y.H. Sun
- Y.H. Yin
- Y.J. Yang
- Y.J. Yang
- Y.K. On
- Y.M. Chen
- Y.M. Lee
- Y.M. Sohn
- Y.R. Jeon
- Y.S. Oh
- Y.S. Son
- Y.S. Zhao
- Y.Y. Liu
- Ying Wang
- Yoichi Nakamura
- Yong Wang
- Yoshihisa Fujiura
- Yoshitake Fujiura
- Yuhei Shiga
- Yuichiro Nakamura
- Yukihiro Koretsune
- Yukio Shiga
- Z. Babjakova
- Z. Boda
- Z. Djaidani
- Z. Lajkowski
- Z. Laszlo
- Z. May
- Z. Monhart
- Z. Ongen
- Z. Radics
- Z.C. Lu
- Z.H. Zhou
- Z.M. Yang
- Publication venue
- Indian Heart J
- Publication date
- 01/01/2018
- Field of study
Get PDFBACKGROUND: The Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF) is an ongoing prospective noninterventional registry, which is providing important information on the baseline characteristics, treatment patterns, and 1-year outcomes in patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). This report describes data from Indian patients recruited in this registry. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 52,014 patients with newly diagnosed AF were enrolled globally; of these, 1388 patients were recruited from 26 sites within India (2012-2016). In India, the mean age was 65.8 years at diagnosis of NVAF. Hypertension was the most prevalent risk factor for AF, present in 68.5% of patients from India and in 76.3% of patients globally (P < 0.001). Diabetes and coronary artery disease (CAD) were prevalent in 36.2% and 28.1% of patients as compared with global prevalence of 22.2% and 21.6%, respectively (P < 0.001 for both). Antiplatelet therapy was the most common antithrombotic treatment in India. With increasing stroke risk, however, patients were more likely to receive oral anticoagulant therapy [mainly vitamin K antagonist (VKA)], but average international normalized ratio (INR) was lower among Indian patients [median INR value 1.6 (interquartile range {IQR}: 1.3-2.3) versus 2.3 (IQR 1.8-2.8) (P < 0.001)]. Compared with other countries, patients from India had markedly higher rates of all-cause mortality [7.68 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval 6.32-9.35) vs 4.34 (4.16-4.53), P < 0.0001], while rates of stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding were lower after 1 year of follow-up. CONCLUSION: Compared to previously published registries from India, the GARFIELD-AF registry describes clinical profiles and outcomes in Indian patients with AF of a different etiology. The registry data show that compared to the rest of the world, Indian AF patients are younger in age and have more diabetes and CAD. Patients with a higher stroke risk are more likely to receive anticoagulation therapy with VKA but are underdosed compared with the global average in the GARFIELD-AF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION-URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01090362
Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
- Author
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- Abbas KM
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- Abd El Razek HM
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- Osei FB
- Ostojic SM
- Ostroff SM
- Otstavnov N
- Otstavnov SS
- Overland S
- Owolabi MO
- Padubidri JR
- Pakhale S
- Pakhare AP
- Pakshir K
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- Pana A
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- Pangaribuan HU
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- Patel JR
- Patel SK
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- Pathak A
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- Patton GC
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- Pribadi DRA
- Pupillo E
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- Quintanilla BPA
- Rabiee M
- Rabiee N
- Radfar A
- Rafiee A
- Rafiei A
- Raggi A
- Rahim F
- Rahimi-Movaghar A
- Rahman MA
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- Rajabpour-Sanati A
- Rajati F
- Rakovac I
- Ram P
- Ramezanzadeh K
- Rana SM
- Ranabhat CL
- Ranta A
- Rao PC
- Rao SJ
- Rasella D
- Rashedi V
- Rastogi P
- Rath GK
- Rathi P
- Rawaf DL
- Rawaf S
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- Rawassizadeh R
- Rawat R
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- Regassa LD
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- Reinig N
- Reitsma MB
- Remuzzi G
- Renjith V
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- Resnikoff S
- Rezaei N
- Rezaei N
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- Ribeiro ALP
- Ribeiro D
- Ribeiro DC
- Rickard J
- Rincon JCC
- Rivera JA
- Robalik T
- Roberts NLS
- Roberts S
- Robinson SR
- Rodriguez-Ramirez S
- Roever L
- Rolfe S
- Romoli M
- Ronfani L
- Room R
- Roshandel G
- Rostamian M
- Roth GA
- Rothenbacher D
- Rubagotti E
- Rumisha SF
- Rwegerera GM
- Saadatagah S
- Sabour S
- Sachdev PS
- Saddik B
- Sadeghi E
- Sadeghi M
- Saeedi R
- Saeidi S
- Safari Y
- Safi S
- Safiri S
- Sagar R
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- Schaeffer LE
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- Schutte AE
- Schwebel DC
- Schwendicke F
- Section MPA
- Seedat S
- Sekerija M
- Senbeta AM
- Senthilkumaran S
- Sepanlou SG
- Serdar B
- Serre ML
- Servan-Mori E
- Sha F
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- Shigematsu M
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- Shiri R
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- Shivakumar KM
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- Siabani S
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- Sigfusdottir ID
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- Silva DAS
- Silva JP
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- Simpson KE
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- Singh JA
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- Skiadaresi E
- Skou ST
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- Smith A
- Smith EUR
- Sobngwi E
- Soheili A
- Sokhan A
- Soltani S
- Somefun OD
- Soofi M
- Sorensen RJD
- Soriano JB
- Sorrie MB
- Soshnikov S
- Soyiri IN
- Spencer CN
- Spotin A
- Spurlock EE
- Sreeramareddy CT
- Srinivasan V
- Sripada K
- Stanaway JD
- Stark BA
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- Stein DJ
- Steiner C
- Steiner TJ
- Steuben KM
- Stockfelt L
- Stokes MA
- Stovner LJ
- Straif K
- Stranges S
- Stubbs JL
- Suchdev PS
- Sudaryanto A
- Sufiyan MB
- Suleria HAR
- Sulo G
- Sultan I
- Swope CB
- Sykes BL
- Sylte DO
- Szocska M
- Szumowski L
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- Tabb KM
- Tabuchi T
- Tadakamadla SK
- Taddele BW
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- Tarigan IU
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- Tesema GA
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- Tlou B
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- Troeger CE
- Truelsen TC
- Tsai AC
- Tsatsakis A
- Tyrovolas S
- Uddin R
- Ullah I
- Ullah S
- Umeokonkwo CD
- Undurraga EA
- Unnikrishnan B
- Upadhyay E
- Uthman OA
- Vacante M
- Vaicekonyte R
- Vakilian A
- Valdez PR
- Valli A
- Van Donkelaar A
- Vardavas C
- Varughese S
- Vasankari TJ
- Vasconcelos AMN
- Vasseghian Y
- Veisani Y
- Velasquez IM
- Venketasubramanian N
- Vidale S
- Violante FS
- Vlassov V
- Vollset SE
- Vongpradith A
- Vos T
- Vu GT
- Vujcic IS
- Vukovic A
- Vukovic R
- Waheed Y
- Wallin MT
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- Wickramasinghe ND
- Wiens KE
- Wijeratne T
- Wilner LB
- Wilson S
- Wiysonge CS
- Wojtyniak B
- Woldu G
- Wolfe CDA
- Wondmeneh TG
- Wondmieneh AB
- Wool EE
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- Wu A-M
- Wu C
- Wu J
- Wunrow HY
- Xie Y
- Xu G
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- Yadgir S
- Yamada T
- Yamagishi K
- Yaminfirooz M
- Yano Y
- Yaya S
- Yazdi-Feyzabadi V
- Yearwood JA
- Yeheyis TY
- Yeshitila YG
- Yilgwan CS
- Yilma MT
- Yip P
- Yonemoto N
- Yoon S-J
- York HW
- Younis MZ
- Younker TP
- Yousefi B
- Yousefi Z
- Yousefifard M
- Yousefinezhadi T
- Yousuf AY
- Yu C
- Yu Y
- Yuan C-W
- Yuce D
- Yusefzadeh H
- Zadey S
- Zahabi SS
- Zaidi SS
- Zaki L
- Zaki MES
- Zakzuk J
- Zamani M
- Zamanian M
- Zandian H
- Zangeneh A
- Zarafshan H
- Zastrozhin MS
- Zewdie KA
- Zhang J
- Zhang Y
- Zhang Z-J
- Zhao JT
- Zhao X-JG
- Zhao Y
- Zheleva B
- Zheng P
- Zhou M
- Zhu C
- Ziapour A
- Zimsen SRM
- Zlavog BS
- Zodpey S
- Publication venue
- 'Elsevier BV'
- Publication date
- 17/10/2020
- Field of study
Get PDFFive insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
- Author
- Abbafati C
- Abbas KM
- Abbasi M
- Abbasi-Kangevari M
- Abbasifard M
- Abbastabar H
- Abd El Razek HM
- Abd El Razek MM
- Abd-Allah F
- Abdelalim A
- Abdollahi M
- Abdollahpour I
- Abdulkader RS
- Abdullah KH
- Abedi A
- Abedi P
- Abegaz KH
- Abolhassani H
- Abosetugn AE
- Aboyans V
- Abrams EM
- Abreu LG
- Abrigo MRM
- Abu Haimed AK
- Abu-Gharbieh E
- Abu-Raddad LJ
- Abualhasan A
- Abushouk AI
- Acebedo A
- Ackerman IN
- Adabi M
- Adair T
- Adamu AA
- Adebayo OM
- Adedeji IA
- Adekanmbi V
- Adelson JD
- Adeoye AM
- Adetokunboh OO
- Adham D
- Advani SM
- Afarideh M
- Afshari M
- Afshin A
- Agardh EE
- Agarwal G
- Agasthi P
- Agesa KM
- Aghaali M
- Aghamir SMK
- Agrawal A
- Ahmad T
- Ahmadi A
- Ahmadi K
- Ahmadi M
- Ahmadieh H
- Ahmadpour E
- Ahmed MB
- Aji B
- Akalu TY
- Akinyemi RO
- Akinyemiju T
- Akombi B
- Akunna CJ
- Al-Aly Z
- Al-Mekhlafi HM
- Al-Raddadi RM
- Alahdab F
- Alam K
- Alam N
- Alam S
- Alam T
- Alanezi FM
- Alanzi TM
- Albertson SB
- Alcalde-Rabanal JE
- Alema NM
- Alemu BW
- Alemu YM
- Alhabib KF
- Alhassan RK
- Ali M
- Ali S
- Alicandro G
- Alijanzadeh M
- Alinia C
- Alipour V
- Alizade H
- Aljunid SM
- Alla F
- Allebeck P
- Almadi MAH
- Almasi A
- Almasi-Hashiani A
- Almasri NA
- Almulhim AM
- Alonso J
- Altirkawi KA
- Alumran AK
- Alvis-Guzman N
- Alvis-Zakzuk NJ
- Amare AT
- Amare B
- Amini S
- Amini-Rarani M
- Aminorroaya A
- Amiri F
- Amit AML
- Amugsi DA
- Amul GGH
- Anbesu EW
- Ancuceanu R
- Anderlini D
- Anderson JA
- Andrei CL
- Andrei T
- Androudi S
- Angus C
- Anjomshoa M
- Ansari F
- Ansari I
- Ansari-Moghaddam A
- Antonazzo IC
- Antonio CAT
- Antony CM
- Antriyandarti E
- Anvari D
- Anwer R
- Appiah SCY
- Arab-Zozani M
- Arabloo J
- Aravkin AY
- Arba AAK
- Aremu O
- Ariani F
- Aripov T
- Armoon B
- Arnlov J
- Arowosegbe OO
- Aryal KK
- Arzani A
- Asaad M
- Asadi-Aliabadi M
- Asadi-Pooya AA
- Asgari S
- Asghari B
- Ashbaugh C
- Assmus M
- Atafar Z
- Athari SS
- Atnafu DD
- Atout MMW
- Atre SR
- Atteraya MS
- Ausloos F
- Ausloos M
- Avila-Burgos L
- Avokpaho EFGA
- Ayano G
- Ayanore MA
- Aynalem GL
- Aynalem YA
- Ayza MA
- Azari S
- Azarian G
- Azene ZN
- Azhar G
- Azzopardi PS
- Babaee E
- Badawi A
- Badiye AD
- Bagherzadeh M
- Bagli E
- Bahrami MA
- Baig AA
- Bairwa M
- Bakhshaei MH
- Bakhtiari A
- Bakkannavar SM
- Balachandran A
- Balakrishnan S
- Balalla S
- Balassyano S
- Baldasseroni A
- Bali AO
- Ball K
- Ballew SH
- Balzi D
- Banach M
- Bandpei MAM
- Banerjee SK
- Banik PC
- Bannick MS
- Bante AB
- Bante SA
- Baraki AG
- Barboza MA
- Barker-Collo SL
- Barnighausen TW
- Barrero LH
- Barthelemy CM
- Barua L
- Barzegar A
- Basaleem H
- Bassat Q
- Basu S
- Baune BT
- Bayati M
- Baye BA
- Bazmandegan G
- Becker JS
- Bedi N
- Beghi E
- Behzadifar M
- Bejot Y
- Bekuma TTT
- Bell ML
- Bello AK
- Ben L
- Bender RG
- Bennett DA
- Bennitt FB
- Bensenor IM
- Benziger CP
- Berhe K
- Berman AE
- Bernabe E
- Bernstein RS
- Bertolacci GJ
- Bhagavathula AS
- Bhageerathy R
- Bhala N
- Bhandari D
- Bhardwaj P
- Bhat AG
- Bhattacharyya K
- Bhattarai S
- Bhutta ZA
- Bibi S
- Bicer BK
- Biehl MH
- Bijani A
- Bikbov B
- Bilano V
- Bin Sayeed MS
- Bin Zaman S
- Biondi A
- Birihane BM
- Bisanzio D
- Bisignano C
- Biswas RK
- Bitew H
- Bjorge T
- Bockarie MJ
- Bohlouli S
- Bohluli M
- Bojia HA
- Bolla SR
- Boloor A
- Boon-Dooley AS
- Borges G
- Borzi AM
- Borzouei S
- Bose D
- Bosetti C
- Boston S
- Boufous S
- Bourne R
- Brady OJ
- Braithwaite D
- Brauer M
- Brayne C
- Breitborde NJK
- Breitner S
- Brenner H
- Breusov AV
- Briant PS
- Briggs AM
- Briko AN
- Briko NI
- Britton GB
- Brugha T
- Bryazka D
- Buchbinder R
- Bumgarner BR
- Burkart K
- Burnett RT
- Busse R
- Butt ZA
- Caetano dos Santos FL
- Cahill LE
- Cahuana-Hurtado L
- Cai T
- Callender CSKH
- Camera LA
- Campos-Nonato IR
- Cao J
- Car J
- Car LT
- Cardenas R
- Carreras G
- Carrero JJ
- Carvalho F
- Castaldelli-Maia JM
- Castaneda-Orjuela CA
- Castelpietra G
- Castle CD
- Castro E
- Castro F
- Catala-Lopez F
- Causey K
- Cederroth CR
- Cercy KM
- Cerin E
- Chalek J
- Chandan JS
- Chang AR
- Chang AY
- Chang J-C
- Chang K-L
- Charan J
- Charlson FJ
- Chattu VK
- Chaturvedi S
- Cherbuin N
- Chimed-Ochir O
- Chin KL
- Chirinos-Caceres JL
- Cho DY
- Choi J-YJ
- Christensen H
- Chu D-T
- Chung MT
- Chung S-C
- Cicuttini FM
- Ciobanu LG
- Cirillo M
- Cislaghi B
- Classen TKD
- Cohen AJ
- Collins EL
- Comfort H
- Compton K
- Conti S
- Cooper OR
- Corso B
- Cortesi PA
- Costa VM
- Cousin E
- Cowden RG
- Cowie BC
- Cromwell EA
- Croneberger AJ
- Cross DH
- Cross M
- Crowe CS
- Cruz JA
- Cummins S
- Cunningham M
- D'Amico E
- da Silva DD
- Dahlawi SMA
- Dai H
- Dai H
- Damasceno AAM
- Damiani G
- Dandona L
- Dandona R
- Daneshpajouhnejad P
- Dangel WJ
- Danielsson A-K
- Dargan PI
- Darshan BB
- Darwesh AM
- Daryani A
- Das Gupta R
- Das Neves J
- Das JK
- Dash AP
- Davey G
- Davila-Cervantes CA
- Davis AC
- Davitoiu DV
- Davletov K
- De Leo D
- De Neve J-W
- Dean FE
- DeCleene NK
- Deen A
- Defo BK
- Degenhardt L
- DeLang M
- Dellavalle RP
- Demeke FM
- Demoz GT
- Demsie DG
- Denova-Gutierrez E
- Dereje ND
- Deribe K
- Dervenis N
- Desai R
- Desalew A
- Dessie GA
- Deuba K
- Dharmaratne SD
- Dhungana GP
- Dianatinasab M
- Diaz D
- Dichgans M
- Didarloo A
- Dingels ZV
- Dippenaar IN
- Dirac MA
- Djalalinia S
- Do HT
- Dokova K
- Doku DT
- Dolecek C
- Dolgert AJ
- Dorostkar F
- Doshi CP
- Doshi PP
- Doshmangir L
- Douiri A
- Doxey MC
- Doyle KE
- Driscoll TR
- Dubljanin E
- Dunachie SJ
- Duncan BB
- Duraes AR
- Eagan AW
- Ebrahimi H
- Edvardsson D
- Effiong A
- Ehrlich JR
- El Nahas N
- El Sayed I
- El Tantawi M
- El-Jaafary SI
- Elbarazi I
- Elgendy IY
- Elhabashy HR
- Elsharkawy A
- Elyazar IRF
- Emamian MH
- Emmons-Bell S
- Erskine HE
- Eshrati B
- Eskandari K
- Eskandarieh S
- Esmaeilnejad S
- Esmaeilzadeh F
- Esteghamati A
- Esteghamati S
- Estep K
- Etemadi A
- Etisso AE
- Ezekannagha O
- Fanzo J
- Farag T
- Farahmand M
- Faraj A
- Faraon EJA
- Fareed M
- Faridnia R
- Farinha CSES
- Farioli A
- Faris PS
- Faro A
- Faruque M
- Farzadfar F
- Fattahi N
- Fazaeli AA
- Fazlzadeh M
- Feigin VL
- Feldman R
- Fereshtehnejad S-M
- Fernandes E
- Ferrara G
- Ferrara P
- Ferrari AJ
- Ferreira ML
- Feyissa GT
- Filip I
- Fischer F
- Fisher JL
- Fitzgerald R
- Flohr C
- Flor LS
- Foigt NA
- Folayan MO
- Fomenkov AA
- Force LM
- Fornari C
- Forooshani ZSD
- Foroutan M
- Fox JT
- Francis JM
- Frank TD
- Franklin RC
- Freitas M
- Fu W
- Fukumoto T
- Fukutaki K
- Fuller JE
- Fullman N
- Furtado JM
- Gad MM
- Gaidhane AM
- Gakidou E
- Galles NC
- Gallus S
- Gamkrelidze A
- Garcia-Basteiro AL
- Gardner WM
- Geberemariyam BS
- Gebrehiwot AM
- Gebremedhin KB
- Gebremeskel GG
- Gebremeskel LG
- Gebresillassie BM
- Gebreslassie AAAA
- Gela JD
- Geramo YCD
- Geremew A
- Gesesew HA
- Gething PW
- Gezae KE
- Ghadimi M
- Ghadiri K
- Ghaffarifar F
- Ghafourifard M
- Ghajar A
- Ghamari F
- Ghashghaee A
- Ghiasvand H
- Ghith N
- Gholamian A
- Ghosh R
- Giampaoli S
- Gilani SA
- Gill PS
- Gill TK
- Gillum RF
- Ginawi IA
- Ginindza TG
- Gitimoghaddam M
- Giussani G
- Glagn M
- Glushkova EV
- Gnedovskaya EV
- Godinho MA
- Goharinezhad S
- Golechha M
- Goli S
- Gomez RS
- Gona PN
- Gopalani SV
- Goren E
- Gorini G
- Gorman TM
- Gottlich HC
- Goudarzi H
- Goudarzian AH
- Goulart AC
- Goulart BNG
- Grada A
- Greaves F
- Grivna M
- Grosso G
- Gubari MIM
- Gudi N
- Gugnani HC
- Guimaraes ALS
- Guimaraes RA
- Guled RA
- Gultie T
- Guo G
- Guo Y
- Gupta R
- Gupta R
- Gupta T
- Haagsma JA
- Hachinski V
- Haddock B
- Hafezi-Nejad N
- Hafiz A
- Hagins H
- Haile LM
- Haile TG
- Haj-Mirzaian A
- Haj-Mirzaian A
- Hall BJ
- Halvaei I
- Hamadeh RR
- Hameed S
- Hamidi S
- Hamilton EB
- Hammer MS
- Han C
- Han H
- Handiso DW
- Hanif A
- Hankey GJ
- Hanson SW
- Haririan H
- Haro JM
- Harvey JD
- Hasaballah AI
- Hasan MM
- Hasanpoor E
- Hasanzadeh A
- Hashemian M
- Hashi A
- Hassan A
- Hassan S
- Hassanipour S
- Hassankhani H
- Havmoeller RJ
- Hawariat FGW
- Hay RJ
- Hay SI
- Hayat K
- Hayoon AG
- Heibati B
- Heidari B
- Heidari G
- Heidari-Soureshjani R
- Hendrie D
- Henny K
- Henok A
- Henrikson HJ
- Henry NJ
- Herbert ME
- Herrera AMM
- Herteliu C
- Heydarpour F
- Hird TR
- Ho HC
- Hoek HW
- Hole MK
- Holla R
- Hollingsworth B
- Hoogar P
- Hopf KP
- Horita N
- Hosgood HD
- Hossain N
- Hosseini M
- Hosseinzadeh M
- Hostiuc M
- Hostiuc S
- Househ M
- Hoy DG
- Hsairi M
- Hsiao T
- Hsieh VC-R
- Hu G
- Hu K
- Huda TM
- Hugo FN
- Humayun A
- Hussain R
- Huynh CK
- Hwang B-F
- Iannucci VC
- Iavicoli I
- Ibeneme CU
- Ibitoye SE
- Ikeda N
- Ikuta KS
- Il Shin J
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- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2020
- Field of study
Get PDFThe Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 provides a rules-based synthesis of the available evidence on levels and trends in health outcomes, a diverse set of risk factors, and health system responses. GBD 2019 covered 204 countries and territories, as well as first administrative level disaggregations for 22 countries, from 1990 to 2019. Because GBD is highly standardised and comprehensive, spanning both fatal and non-fatal outcomes, and uses a mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive list of hierarchical disease and injury causes, the study provides a powerful basis for detailed and broad insights on global health trends and emerging challenges. GBD 2019 incorporates data from 281 586 sources and provides more than 3.5 billion estimates of health outcome and health system measures of interest for global, national, and subnational policy dialogue. All GBD estimates are publicly available and adhere to the Guidelines on Accurate and Transparent Health Estimate Reporting. From this vast amount of information, five key insights that are important for health, social, and economic development strategies have been distilled. These insights are subject to the many limitations outlined in each of the component GBD capstone papers.Peer reviewe
Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (HALE), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2019 : a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
- Author
- Abbafati Cristiana
- Abbas Kaja M.
- Abbasi Mohammad
- Abbasi-Kangevari Mohsen
- Abbasifard Mitra
- Abbastabar Hedayat
- Abd-Allah Foad
- Abdelalim Ahmed
- Abdollahi Mohammad
- Abdollahpour Ibrahim
- Abedi Aidin
- Abedi Parisa
- Abegaz Kedir H.
- Abolhassani Hassan
- Abosetugn Akine E.
- Aboyans Victor
- Abrams Elissa M.
- Abreu Lucas G.
- Abrigo Michael R. M.
- Abu Haimed Abdulaziz K.
- Abu-Gharbieh Eman
- Abu-Raddad Laith J.
- Abualhasan Ahmed
- Abushouk Abdelrahman I.
- Acebedo Alyssa
- Ackerman Ilana N.
- Adabi Maryam
- Adair Tim
- Adamu Abdu A.
- Adebayo Oladimeji M.
- Adedeji Isaac A.
- Adekanmbi Victor
- Adelson Jaimie D.
- Adeoye Abiodun M.
- Adetokunboh Olatunji O.
- Adham Davoud
- Advani Shailesh M.
- Afarideh Mohsen
- Afshari Mahdi
- Afshin Ashkan
- Agardh Emilie E.
- Agarwal Gina
- Agasthi Pradyumna
- Agesa Kareha M.
- Aghaali Mohammad
- Aghamir Seyed M.
- Agrawal Anurag
- Ahmad Tauseef
- Ahmadi Alireza
- Ahmadi Keivan
- Ahmadi Mehdi
- Ahmadieh Hamid
- Ahmadpour Ehsan
- Ahmed Muktar B.
- Aji Budi
- Akalu Temesgen Y.
- Akinyemi Rufus O.
- Akinyemiju Tomi
- Akombi Blessing J.
- Akunna Chisom J.
- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-Mekhlaf Hesham M.
- Al-Raddadi Rajaa
- Alahdab Fares
- Alam Khurshid
- Alam Noore
- Alam Samiah
- Alam Tahiya
- Alanezi Fahad M.
- Alanzi Turki M.
- Albertson Samuel B.
- Alcalde-Rabanal Jacqueline E.
- Alema Niguse M.
- Alemu Biresaw W.
- Alemu Yihun M.
- Alhabib Khalid F.
- Alhassan Robert K.
- Ali Muhammad
- Ali Saqib
- Alicandro Gianfranco
- Alijanzadeh Mehran
- Alinia Cyrus
- Alipour Vahid
- Alizade Hesam
- Aljunid Syed M.
- Alla François
- Allebeck Peter
- Almadi Majid A.
- Almasi Ali
- Almasi-Hashiani Amir
- Almasri Nihad A.
- Almulhim Abdulaziz M.
- Alonso Jordi
- Altirkawi Khalid A.
- Alumran Arwa K.
- Alvis-Guzman Nelson
- Alvis-Zakzuk Nelson J.
- Amare Azmeraw T.
- Amare Bekalu
- Amini Saeed
- Amini-Rarani Mostafa
- Aminorroaya Arya
- Amiri Fatemeh
- Amit Arianna M.
- Amugsi Dickson A.
- Amul Gianna G.
- Anbesu Etsay W.
- Ancuceanu Robert
- Anderlini Deanna
- Anderson Jason A.
- Andrei Catalina L.
- Andrei Tudorel
- Androudi Sofia
- Angus Colin
- Anjomshoa Mina
- Ansari Fereshteh
- Ansari Iman
- Ansari-Moghaddam Alireza
- Antonazzo Ippazio C.
- Antonio Carl A.
- Antony Catherine M.
- Antriyandarti Ernoiz
- Anvari Davood
- Anwer Razique
- Appiah Seth C.
- Arab-Zozani Morteza
- Arabloo Jalal
- Aravkin Aleksandr Y.
- Arba Aseb A.
- Aremu Olatunde
- Ariani Filippo
- Aripov Timur
- Armoon Bahram
- Arowosegbe Oluwaseyi O.
- Aryal Krishna K.
- Arzani Afsaneh
- Asaad Malke
- Asadi-Aliabadi Mehran
- Asadi-Pooya Ali A.
- Asgari Samaneh
- Asghari Jafarabadi Mohammad
- Asghari Babak
- Ashbaugh Charlie
- Assmus Michael
- Atafar Zahra
- Athari Seyyed S.
- Atnafu Desta D.
- Atout Maha M.
- Atre Sachin R.
- Atteraya Madhu
- Ausloos Floriane
- Ausloos Marcel
- Avila-Burgos Leticia
- Avokpaho Euripide Frinel G. Arthur
- Ayala Quintanilla Beatriz P.
- Ayano Getinet
- Ayanore Martin A.
- Aynalem Getie L.
- Aynalem Yared A.
- Ayza Muluken A.
- Azari Samad
- Azarian Ghasem
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- Otoiu Adrian
- Otstavnov Nikita
- Otstavnov Stanislav S.
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- P. A. Mahesh
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- Pakhale Smita
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- Pourjafar Hadi
- Pourmalek Farshad
- Pourmirza Kalhori Reza
- Pourshams Akram
- Poznanska Anna
- Prada Sergio I.
- Prakash Sanjay
- Prakash V.
- Prasad Narayan
- Preotescu Liliana
- Pribadi Dimas R.
- Pupillo Elisabetta
- Quazi Syed Zahiruddin
- Rabiee Mohammad
- Rabiee Navid
- Radfar Amir
- Rafiee Ata
- Rafiei Alireza
- Raggi Alberto
- Rahim Fakher
- Rahimi-Movaghar Afarin
- Rahman Mohammad H.
- Rahman Muhammad A.
- Rajabpour-Sanati Ali
- Rajati Fatemeh
- Rakovac Ivo
- Ram Pradhum
- Ramezanzadeh Kiana
- Rana Saleem M.
- Ranabhat Chhabi L.
- Ranta Annemarei
- Rao Puja C.
- Rao Sowmya J.
- Rasella Davide
- Rashedi Vahid
- Rastogi Prateek
- Rath Goura K.
- Rathi Priya
- Rawaf David L.
- Rawaf Salman
- Rawal Lal
- Rawassizadeh Reza
- Rawat Ramu
- Razo Christian
- Redford Sofia B.
- Regassa Lemma D.
- Reiner Robert C.
- Reinig Nickolas
- Reitsma Marissa B.
- Remuzzi Giuseppe
- Renjith Vishnu
- Renzaho Andre M. N. (R17978)
- Ärnlöv Johan
- Øverland Simon
- Publication venue
- 'Elsevier BV'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2020
- Field of study
Get PDFBackground: Accurate and up-to-date assessment of demographic metrics is crucial for understanding a wide range of social, economic, and public health issues that affect populations worldwide. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 produced updated and comprehensive demographic assessments of the key indicators of fertility, mortality, migration, and population for 204 countries and territories and selected subnational locations from 1950 to 2019.
Methods: 8078 country-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 938 surveys, 349 censuses, and 238 other sources were identified and used to estimate age-specific fertility. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate age-specific fertility rates for 5-year age groups between ages 15 and 49 years. With extensions to age groups 10–14 and 50–54 years, the total fertility rate (TFR) was then aggregated using the estimated age-specific fertility between ages 10 and 54 years. 7417 sources were used for under-5 mortality estimation and 7355 for adult mortality. ST-GPR was used to synthesise data sources after correction for known biases. Adult mortality was measured as the probability of death between ages 15 and 60 years based on vital registration, sample registration, and sibling histories, and was also estimated using ST-GPR. HIV-free life tables were then estimated using estimates of under-5 and adult mortality rates using a relational model life table system created for GBD, which closely tracks observed age-specific mortality rates from complete vital registration when available. Independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated by an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys and antenatal clinic serosurveillance and other sources were incorporated into the estimates in countries with large epidemics. Annual and single-year age estimates of net migration and population for each country and territory were generated using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model that analysed estimated age-specific fertility and mortality rates along with 1250 censuses and 747 population registry years. We classified location-years into seven categories on the basis of the natural rate of increase in population (calculated by subtracting the crude death rate from the crude birth rate) and the net migration rate. We computed healthy life expectancy (HALE) using years lived with disability (YLDs) per capita, life tables, and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty was propagated throughout the demographic estimation process, including fertility, mortality, and population, with 1000 draw-level estimates produced for each metric. Findings: The global TFR decreased from 2·72 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 2·66–2·79) in 2000 to 2·31 (2·17–2·46) in 2019. Global annual livebirths increased from 134·5 million (131·5–137·8) in 2000 to a peak of 139·6 million (133·0–146·9) in 2016. Global livebirths then declined to 135·3 million (127·2–144·1) in 2019. Of the 204 countries and territories included in this study, in 2019, 102 had a TFR lower than 2·1, which is considered a good approximation of replacement-level fertility. All countries in sub-Saharan Africa had TFRs above replacement level in 2019 and accounted for 27·1% (95% UI 26·4–27·8) of global livebirths. Global life expectancy at birth increased from 67·2 years (95% UI 66·8–67·6) in 2000 to 73·5 years (72·8–74·3) in 2019. The total number of deaths increased from 50·7 million (49·5–51·9) in 2000 to 56·5 million (53·7–59·2) in 2019. Under-5 deaths declined from 9·6 million (9·1–10·3) in 2000 to 5·0 million (4·3–6·0) in 2019. Global population increased by 25·7%, from 6·2 billion (6·0–6·3) in 2000 to 7·7 billion (7·5–8·0) in 2019. In 2019, 34 countries had negative natural rates of increase; in 17 of these, the population declined because immigration was not sufficient to counteract the negative rate of decline. Globally, HALE increased from 58·6 years (56·1–60·8) in 2000 to 63·5 years (60·8–66·1) in 2019. HALE increased in 202 of 204 countries and territories between 2000 and 2019
Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
- Author
- Abbafati Cristiana
- Abbas Kaja M.
- Abbasi Mohammad
- Abbasi-Kangevari Mohsen
- Abbasifard Mitra
- Abbastabar Hedayat
- Abd El Razek Hassan Magdy
- Abd El Razek Muhammed Magdy
- Abd-Allah Foad
- Abdelalim Ahmed
- Abdollahi Mohammad
- Abdollahpour Ibrahim
- Abdulkader Rizwan Suliankatchi
- Abdullah Kanaan Hamagharib
- Abedi Aidin
- Abedi Parisa
- Abegaz Kedir Hussein
- Abolhassani Hassan
- Abosetugn Akine Eshete
- Aboyans Victor
- Abrams Elissa M.
- Abreu Lucas Guimaraes
- Abrigo Michael R. M.
- Abu Haimed Abdulaziz Khalid
- Abu-Gharbieh Eman
- Abu-Raddad Laith Jamal
- Abualhasan Ahmed
- Abushouk Abdelrahman I.
- Acebedo Alyssa
- Ackerman Ilana N.
- Adabi Maryam
- Adair Tim
- Adamu Abdu A.
- Adebayo Oladimeji M.
- Adedeji Isaac Akinkunmi
- Adekanmbi Victor
- Adelson Jaimie D.
- Adeoye Abiodun Moshood
- Adetokunboh Olatunji O.
- Adham Davoud
- Advani Shailesh M.
- Afarideh Mohsen
- Afshari Mahdi
- Afshin Ashkan
- Agardh Emilie E.
- Agarwal Gina
- Agasthi Pradyumna
- Agesa Kareha M.
- Aghaali Mohammad
- Aghamir Seyed Mohammad Kazem
- Agrawal Anurag
- Ahmad Tauseef
- Ahmadi Alireza
- Ahmadi Keivan
- Ahmadi Mehdi
- Ahmadieh Hamid
- Ahmadpour Ehsan
- Ahmed Muktar Beshir
- Aji Budi
- Akalu Temesgen Yihunie
- Akinyemi Rufus Olusola
- Akinyemiju Tomi
- Akombi Blessing
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- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-Mekhlafi Hesham M.
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- Zewdie Kaleab Alemayehu
- Zhang Jianrong
- Zhang Yunquan
- Zhang Zhi-Jiang
- Zhao Jeff T.
- Zhao Xiu-Ju George
- Zhao Yingxi
- Zheleva Bistra
- Zheng Peng
- Zhou Maigeng
- Zhu Cong
- Ziapour Arash
- Zimsen Stephanie R. M.
- Zlavog Bianca S.
- Zodpey Sanjay
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2020
- Field of study
Get PDFBackground: In an era of shifting global agendas and expanded emphasis on non-communicable diseases and injuries along with communicable diseases, sound evidence on trends by cause at the national level is essential. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) provides a systematic scientific assessment of published, publicly available, and contributed data on incidence, prevalence, and mortality for a mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive list of diseases and injuries. Methods: GBD estimates incidence, prevalence, mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) due to 369 diseases and injuries, for two sexes, and for 204 countries and territories. Input data were extracted from censuses, household surveys, civil registration and vital statistics, disease registries, health service use, air pollution monitors, satellite imaging, disease notifications, and other sources. Cause-specific death rates and cause fractions were calculated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression. Cause-specific deaths were adjusted to match the total all-cause deaths calculated as part of the GBD population, fertility, and mortality estimates. Deaths were multiplied by standard life expectancy at each age to calculate YLLs. A Bayesian meta-regression modelling tool, DisMod-MR 2.1, was used to ensure consistency between incidence, prevalence, remission, excess mortality, and cause-specific mortality for most causes. Prevalence estimates were multiplied by disability weights for mutually exclusive sequelae of diseases and injuries to calculate YLDs. We considered results in the context of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income per capita, years of schooling, and fertility rate in females younger than 25 years. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered 1000 draw values of the posterior distribution. Findings: Global health has steadily improved over the past 30 years as measured by age-standardised DALY rates. After taking into account population growth and ageing, the absolute number of DALYs has remained stable. Since 2010, the pace of decline in global age-standardised DALY rates has accelerated in age groups younger than 50 years compared with the 1990–2010 time period, with the greatest annualised rate of decline occurring in the 0–9-year age group. Six infectious diseases were among the top ten causes of DALYs in children younger than 10 years in 2019: lower respiratory infections (ranked second), diarrhoeal diseases (third), malaria (fifth), meningitis (sixth), whooping cough (ninth), and sexually transmitted infections (which, in this age group, is fully accounted for by congenital syphilis; ranked tenth). In adolescents aged 10–24 years, three injury causes were among the top causes of DALYs: road injuries (ranked first), self-harm (third), and interpersonal violence (fifth). Five of the causes that were in the top ten for ages 10–24 years were also in the top ten in the 25–49-year age group: road injuries (ranked first), HIV/AIDS (second), low back pain (fourth), headache disorders (fifth), and depressive disorders (sixth). In 2019, ischaemic heart disease and stroke were the top-ranked causes of DALYs in both the 50–74-year and 75-years-and-older age groups. Since 1990, there has been a marked shift towards a greater proportion of burden due to YLDs from non-communicable diseases and injuries. In 2019, there were 11 countries where non-communicable disease and injury YLDs constituted more than half of all disease burden. Decreases in age-standardised DALY rates have accelerated over the past decade in countries at the lower end of the SDI range, while improvements have started to stagnate or even reverse in countries with higher SDI. Interpretation: As disability becomes an increasingly large component of disease burden and a larger component of health expenditure, greater research and developm nt investment is needed to identify new, more effective intervention strategies. With a rapidly ageing global population, the demands on health services to deal with disabling outcomes, which increase with age, will require policy makers to anticipate these changes. The mix of universal and more geographically specific influences on health reinforces the need for regular reporting on population health in detail and by underlying cause to help decision makers to identify success stories of disease control to emulate, as well as opportunities to improve. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 licens
Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
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- Abate Degu
- Abate Degu
- Abate Kalkidan Hassell
- Abate Kalkidan Hassell
- Abbafati Cristiana
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- Abbastabar Hedayat
- Abbastabar Hedayat
- Abd-Allah Foad
- Abd-Allah Foad
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- Herteliu C.
- Herteliu C.
- Herteliu C.
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- Heydarpour Fatemeh
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- Heydarpour Sousan
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- Hibstu Desalegn T.
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- Hoek Hans W.
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- Hosseinzadeh Mehdi
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- Hostiuc Mihaela
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- Hostiuc Sorin
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- Hoy Damian G.
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- Hsairi Mohamed
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- Hsiao Thomas
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- Hu Guoqing
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- Huang John J.
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- Huong Lan Thi Nguyen
- Huong Lan Thi Nguyen
- Huong Thanh Nguyen
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- Huyen Phoc Do
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- Huynh Chantal K.
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- Iburg Kim Moesgaard
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- Ikeda Nayu
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- Ilesanmi Olayinka Stephen
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- Iqbal Usman
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- Irvani Seyed Sina Naghibi
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- Irvine Caleb Mackay Salpeter
- Irvine Caleb Mackay Salpeter
- Islam Sheikh Mohammed Shariful
- Islam Sheikh Mohammed Shariful
- Islami Farhad
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- Jabbari Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh
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- Jackson Maria D.
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- James Spencer L.
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- Jha Ravi Prakash
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- Jha Vivekanand
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- Ji John S.
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- Jonas Jost B.
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- Jonnagaddala Jitendra
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- Jose Bruno Piassi Sao
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- Joshi Ankur
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- Jurisson Mikk
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- Kabir Zubair
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- Kahsay Amaha
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- Kalani Rizwan
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- Kanchan Tanuj
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- Kant Surya
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- Kar Chittaranjan
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- Karami Manoochehr
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- Karch Andre
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- Karema Corine
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- Karimi Narges
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- Karyani Ali Kazemi
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- Khan Gulfaraz
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- Khang Young-Ho
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- Sardana Mayank
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- Sarrafzadegan Nizal
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- Sarvi Shahabeddin
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- Satpathy Maheswar
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- Sawant Arundhati R.
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- Sawhney Monika
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- Wu Shoaling
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- Xavier Denis
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- Yadollahpour Ali
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- Yonemoto Naohiro
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- Yotebieng Marcel
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- Younis Mustafa Z.
- Younis Mustafa Z.
- Yousefifard Mahmoud
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- Yu Chuanhua
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- Zaidi Zoubida
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- Zamani Mohammad
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- Zavala-Arciniega Luis
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- Zhang Anthony Lin
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- Zhang Hao
- Zhang Hao
- Zhang Kai
- Zhang Kai
- Zimsen Stephanie M.
- Zimsen Stephanie M.
- Zodpey Sanjay
- Zodpey Sanjay
- Publication venue
- 'Elsevier BV'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2018
- Field of study
Get PDFBackground
The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 comparative risk assessment (CRA) is a comprehensive approach to risk factor quantification that offers a useful tool for synthesising evidence on risks and risk–outcome associations. With each annual GBD study, we update the GBD CRA to incorporate improved methods, new risks and risk–outcome pairs, and new data on risk exposure levels and risk–outcome associations.
Methods
We used the CRA framework developed for previous iterations of GBD to estimate levels and trends in exposure, attributable deaths, and attributable disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), by age group, sex, year, and location for 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or groups of risks from 1990 to 2017. This study included 476 risk–outcome pairs that met the GBD study criteria for convincing or probable evidence of causation. We extracted relative risk and exposure estimates from 46 749 randomised controlled trials, cohort studies, household surveys, census data, satellite data, and other sources. We used statistical models to pool data, adjust for bias, and incorporate covariates. Using the counterfactual scenario of theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL), we estimated the portion of deaths and DALYs that could be attributed to a given risk. We explored the relationship between development and risk exposure by modelling the relationship between the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and risk-weighted exposure prevalence and estimated expected levels of exposure and risk-attributable burden by SDI. Finally, we explored temporal changes in risk-attributable DALYs by decomposing those changes into six main component drivers of change as follows: (1) population growth; (2) changes in population age structures; (3) changes in exposure to environmental and occupational risks; (4) changes in exposure to behavioural risks; (5) changes in exposure to metabolic risks; and (6) changes due to all other factors, approximated as the risk-deleted death and DALY rates, where the risk-deleted rate is the rate that would be observed had we reduced the exposure levels to the TMREL for all risk factors included in GBD 2017.
Findings
In 2017, 34·1 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 33·3–35·0) deaths and 1·21 billion (1·14–1·28) DALYs were attributable to GBD risk factors. Globally, 61·0% (59·6–62·4) of deaths and 48·3% (46·3–50·2) of DALYs were attributed to the GBD 2017 risk factors. When ranked by risk-attributable DALYs, high systolic blood pressure (SBP) was the leading risk factor, accounting for 10·4 million (9·39–11·5) deaths and 218 million (198–237) DALYs, followed by smoking (7·10 million [6·83–7·37] deaths and 182 million [173–193] DALYs), high fasting plasma glucose (6·53 million [5·23–8·23] deaths and 171 million [144–201] DALYs), high body-mass index (BMI; 4·72 million [2·99–6·70] deaths and 148 million [98·6–202] DALYs), and short gestation for birthweight (1·43 million [1·36–1·51] deaths and 139 million [131–147] DALYs). In total, risk-attributable DALYs declined by 4·9% (3·3–6·5) between 2007 and 2017. In the absence of demographic changes (ie, population growth and ageing), changes in risk exposure and risk-deleted DALYs would have led to a 23·5% decline in DALYs during that period. Conversely, in the absence of changes in risk exposure and risk-deleted DALYs, demographic changes would have led to an 18·6% increase in DALYs during that period. The ratios of observed risk exposure levels to exposure levels expected based on SDI (O/E ratios) increased globally for unsafe drinking water and household air pollution between 1990 and 2017. This result suggests that development is occurring more rapidly than are changes in the underlying risk structure in a population. Conversely, nearly universal declines in O/E ratios for smoking and alcohol use indicate that, for a given SDI, exposure to these risks is declining. In 2017, the leading Level 4 risk factor for age-standardised DALY rates was high SBP in four super-regions: central Europe, eastern Europe, and central Asia; north Africa and Middle East; south Asia; and southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania. The leading risk factor in the high-income super-region was smoking, in Latin America and Caribbean was high BMI, and in sub-Saharan Africa was unsafe sex. O/E ratios for unsafe sex in sub-Saharan Africa were notably high, and those for alcohol use in north Africa and the Middle East were notably low.
Interpretation
By quantifying levels and trends in exposures to risk factors and the resulting disease burden, this assessment offers insight into where past policy and programme efforts might have been successful and highlights current priorities for public health action. Decreases in behavioural, environmental, and occupational risks have largely offset the effects of population growth and ageing, in relation to trends in absolute burden. Conversely, the combination of increasing metabolic risks and population ageing will probably continue to drive the increasing trends in non-communicable diseases at the global level, which presents both a public health challenge and opportunity. We see considerable spatiotemporal heterogeneity in levels of risk exposure and risk-attributable burden. Although levels of development underlie some of this heterogeneity, O/E ratios show risks for which countries are overperforming or underperforming relative to their level of development. As such, these ratios provide a benchmarking tool to help to focus local decision making. Our findings reinforce the importance of both risk exposure monitoring and epidemiological research to assess causal connections between risks and health outcomes, and they highlight the usefulness of the GBD study in synthesising data to draw comprehensive and robust conclusions that help to inform good policy and strategic health planning
Determination of quantum numbers for several excited charmed mesons observed in B- -> D*(+)pi(-) pi(-) decays
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- Zhukov Valery
- Zonneveld J. B.
- Zucchelli S.
- Publication venue
- 'American Physical Society (APS)'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2020
- Field of study
Get PDFA four-body amplitude analysis of the B − → D * + π − π − decay is performed, where fractions and relative phases of the various resonances contributing to the decay are measured. Several quasi-model-independent analyses are performed aimed at searching for the presence of new states and establishing the quantum numbers of previously observed charmed meson resonances. In particular the resonance parameters and quantum numbers are determined for the D 1 ( 2420 ) , D 1 ( 2430 ) , D 0 ( 2550 ) , D ∗ 1 ( 2600 ) , D 2 ( 2740 ) and D ∗ 3 ( 2750 ) states. The mixing between the D 1 ( 2420 ) and D 1 ( 2430 ) resonances is studied and the mixing parameters are measured. The dataset corresponds to an integrated luminosity of 4.7 fb − 1 , collected in proton-proton collisions at center-of-mass energies of 7, 8 and 13 TeV with the LHCb detector
First measurement of the C P -violating phase in B s 0 → J / ψ ( → e + e - ) ϕ decays
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- Adeva B.
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- Publication venue
- The European Physical Journal C
- Publication date
- 01/01/2021
- Field of study
Get PDFAbstract: A flavour-tagged time-dependent angular analysis of Bs0→J/ψϕ decays is presented where the J/ψ meson is reconstructed through its decay to an e+e- pair. The analysis uses a sample of pp collision data recorded with the LHCb experiment at centre-of-mass energies of 7 and 8\,Te V, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 3\,fb-1. The CP-violating phase and lifetime parameters of the Bs0 system are measured to be ϕs=0.00±0.28±0.07\,rad, ΔΓs=0.115±0.045±0.011\,ps-1 and Γs=0.608±0.018±0.012\,ps-1 where the first uncertainty is statistical and the second systematic. This is the first time that CP-violating parameters are measured in the Bs0→J/ψϕ decay with an e+e- pair in the final state. The results are consistent with previous measurements in other channels and with the Standard Model predictions
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