74 research outputs found

    Direct radiative effect of aerosols emitted by transport from road, shipping and aviation

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    Aerosols and their precursors are emitted abundantly by transport activities. Transportation constitutes one of the fastest growing activities and its growth is predicted to increase significantly in the future. Previous studies have estimated the aerosol direct radiative forcing from one transport sub-sector, but only one study to our knowledge estimated the range of radiative forcing from the main aerosol components (sulphate, black carbon (BC) and organic carbon) for the whole transportation sector. In this study, we compare results from two different chemical transport models and three radiation codes under different hypothesis of mixing: internal and external mixing using emission inventories for the year 2000. The main results from this study consist of a positive direct radiative forcing for aerosols emitted by road traffic of +20±11 mW m−2 for an externally mixed aerosol, and of +32±13 mW m−2 when BC is internally mixed. These direct radiative forcings are much higher than the previously published estimate of +3±11 mW m−2. For transport activities from shipping, the net direct aerosol radiative forcing is negative. This forcing is dominated by the contribution of the sulphate. For both an external and an internal mixture, the radiative forcing from shipping is estimated at −26±4 mW m−2. These estimates are in very good agreement with the range of a previously published one (from −46 to −13 mW m−2) but with a much narrower range. By contrast, the direct aerosol forcing from aviation is estimated to be small, and in the range −0.9 to +0.3 mW m−2

    Population census and nesting habitat selection of thin-billed prion Pachyptila belcheri on New Island, Falkland Islands

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    Seabirds have the potential to be used as indicators for monitoring changes in the southern oceans. However, many species and populations are still poorly known. The thin-billed prion (Pachyptila belcheri) is the most abundant seabird species around the Falkland Islands, but this far, no detailed censuses of its populations had been carried out. In this study, we developed a methodology, based on standard field methods combined with a Geographical Information System, to census the biggest known colony (New Island) of this species. Data were also collected on nesting habitat preferences. Results indicate that there are 1,081,000 (95% confidence limits: 815,000–1,346,000) apparently active nest-burrow entrances on New Island South which, given the very high occupancy rates by known breeders, should correspond to a similar number of nesting couples. We present quantitative evidence that this result can be extrapolated for the entire island, giving an overall estimate of 2 million pairs. Prions have an almost ubiquitous distribution on New Island, but they are more frequent in areas with steeper slopes (excluding cliffs). Habitats dominated by introduced grass species generally hold higher densities of nests in comparison to most native formations

    The correlation between reading and mathematics ability at age twelve has a substantial genetic component

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    Dissecting how genetic and environmental influences impact on learning is helpful for maximizing numeracy and literacy. Here we show, using twin and genome-wide analysis, that there is a substantial genetic component to children’s ability in reading and mathematics, and estimate that around one half of the observed correlation in these traits is due to shared genetic effects (so-called Generalist Genes). Thus, our results highlight the potential role of the learning environment in contributing to differences in a child’s cognitive abilities at age twelve

    Leaders' sensemaking under crises:emerging cognitive consensus over time within management teams

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    When facing a crisis, leaders' sensemaking can take a considerable amount of time due to the need to develop consensus in how to deal with it so that vision formation and sensegiving can take place. However, research into emerging cognitive consensus when leaders deal with a crisis over time is lacking. This is limiting a detailed understanding of how organizations respond to crises. The findings, based on a longitudinal analysis of cognitive maps within three management teams at a single organization, highlight considerable individual differences in cognitive content when starting to make sense of a crisis. Evidence for an emerging viable prescriptive mental model for the future was found, but not so much in the management as a whole. Instead, the findings highlight increasing cognitive consensus based on similarities in objectives and cause-effect beliefs within well-defined management teams over time

    Training future generations to deliver evidence-based conservation and ecosystem management

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    1. To be effective, the next generation of conservation practitioners and managers need to be critical thinkers with a deep understanding of how to make evidence-based decisions and of the value of evidence synthesis. 2. If, as educators, we do not make these priorities a core part of what we teach, we are failing to prepare our students to make an effective contribution to conservation practice. 3. To help overcome this problem we have created open access online teaching materials in multiple languages that are stored in Applied Ecology Resources. So far, 117 educators from 23 countries have acknowledged the importance of this and are already teaching or about to teach skills in appraising or using evidence in conservation decision-making. This includes 145 undergraduate, postgraduate or professional development courses. 4. We call for wider teaching of the tools and skills that facilitate evidence-based conservation and also suggest that providing online teaching materials in multiple languages could be beneficial for improving global understanding of other subject areas.Peer reviewe
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