58 research outputs found
Does global warming favour the occurrence of extreme floods in European Alps? First evidences from a NW Alps proglacial lake sediment record
Flood hazard is expected to increase in the context of global warming. However, long time-series of climate and gauge data at high-elevation are too sparse to assess reliably the rate of recurrence of such events in mountain areas. Here paleolimnological techniques were used to assess the evolution of frequency and magnitude of flash flood events in the North-western European Alps since the Little Ice Age (LIA). The aim was to document a possible effect of the post-19(th) century global warming on torrential floods frequency and magnitude. Altogether 56 flood deposits were detected from grain size and geochemical measurements performed on gravity cores taken in the proglacial Lake Blanc (2170 m a.s.l., Belledonne Massif, NW French Alps). The age model relies on radiometric dating (Cs-137 and Am-241), historic lead contamination and the correlation of major flood- and earthquake-triggered deposits, with recognized occurrences in historical written archives. The resulting flood calendar spans the last ca 270 years (AD 1740-AD 2007). The magnitude of flood events was inferred from the accumulated sediment mass per flood event and compared with reconstructed or homogenized datasets of precipitation, temperature and glacier variations. Whereas the decennial flood frequency seems to be independent of seasonal precipitation, a relationship with summer temperature fluctuations can be observed at decadal timescales. Most of the extreme flood events took place since the beginning of the 20(th) century with the strongest occurring in 2005. Our record thus suggests climate warming is favouring the occurrence of high magnitude torrential flood events in high-altitude catchments
Chemical cycling and deposition of atmospheric mercury in Polar Regions: review of recent measurements and comparison with models
Mercury (Hg) is a worldwide contaminant that can cause adverse health effects to wildlife and humans. While atmospheric modeling traces the link from emissions to deposition of Hg onto environmental surfaces, large uncertainties arise from our incomplete understanding of atmospheric processes (oxidation pathways, deposition, and re-emission). Atmospheric Hg reactivity is exacerbated in high latitudes and there is still much to be learned from polar regions in terms of atmospheric processes. This paper provides a synthesis of the atmospheric Hg monitoring data available in recent years (2011â2015) in the Arctic and in Antarctica along with a comparison of these observations with numerical simulations using four cutting-edge global models. The cycle of atmospheric Hg in the Arctic and in Antarctica presents both similarities and differences. Coastal sites in the two regions are both influenced by springtime atmospheric Hg depletion events and by summertime snowpack re-emission and oceanic evasion of Hg. The cycle of atmospheric Hg differs between the two regions primarily because of their different geography. While Arctic sites are significantly influenced by northern hemispheric Hg emissions especially in winter, coastal Antarctic sites are significantly influenced by the reactivity observed on the East Antarctic ice sheet due to katabatic winds. Based on the comparison of multi-model simulations with observations, this paper discusses whether the processes that affect atmospheric Hg seasonality and interannual variability are appropriately represented in the models and identifies research gaps in our understanding of the atmospheric Hg cycling in high latitudes
Normal versus earthquake-induced clastic sedimentation processes in Lago Puyehue, Chilean Lake District, 41°S
The recent evolution of clastic sedimentary processes in Lago Puyehue, as characterized by high-resolution seismic profiling and multidisciplinary analysis of sediment cores from two contrasted coring sites (PU-I and PU-II), is presented and compared to the catastrophic impact of the 1960 Chilean earthquake (Mw 9.5). Lake Puyehueâs catchment area was strongly influenced by this earthquake: (i) multiple earthquake-induced land slides and debris avalanches temporally dammed the course of the main tributary (Rio Golgol) and (ii) ca. 7.106 m3 of white fine pumiceous sands and black medium-sand-sized scoria were deposited in the catchment area during the Puyehue-Cordon-Caulle volcanic eruption that followed two days after the main seismic shock.Based on the correlation of seismic data and sediment cores dated by 137Cs and the identification of historical events, we argue that ânormalâ clastic sedimentation is essentially resulting from the development of homopycnal flows at the end of the winter season in these oligothrophic monomictic lakes from the Chilean Lake District. While distal clastic environments (PU-II coring site) are dominated by a biogenic production and appear to have been little affected by the 1960 earthquake and Puyehue volcanic eruptions in 1960 and 1921-22, this might not be the case for more proximal clastic environments (PU-I coring site) as well submitted to sporadic hyperpycnal flows during major flood events. In 1960, for example, as several landslide dams broke in the Golgol valley after the earthquake and the volcanic eruption, a mega-hyperpycnal flow reworked a mixture of volcanoclastic and soils sediments from the catchment as well as lacustrine sediments surrounding the Golgol delta during the rising limb of the flood and accumulated ca. 3.106 m3 of material in the deep basin
Understanding mercury oxidation and airâsnow exchange on the East Antarctic Plateau: a modeling study
Distinct diurnal and seasonal variations of mercury (Hg) have been observed
in near-surface air at Concordia Station on the East Antarctic Plateau, but
the processes controlling these characteristics are not well understood.
Here, we use a box model to interpret the Hg0 (gaseous elemental
mercury) measurements in thes year 2013. The model includes atmospheric Hg0
oxidation (by OH, O3, or bromine), surface snow HgII (oxidized
mercury) reduction, and airâsnow exchange, and is driven by meteorological
fields from a regional climate model. The simulations suggest that a
photochemically driven mercury diurnal cycle occurs at the airâsnow interface
in austral summer. The fast oxidation of Hg0 in summer may be provided
by a two-step bromine-initiated scheme, which is favored by low temperature
and high nitrogen oxides at Concordia. The summertime diurnal variations of
Hg0 (peaking during daytime) may be confined within several tens of
meters above the snow surface and affected by changing mixed layer depths.
Snow re-emission of Hg0 is mainly driven by photoreduction of snow
HgII in summer. Intermittent warming events and a hypothesized reduction
of HgII occurring in snow in the dark may be important processes
controlling the mercury variations in the non-summer period, although their
relative importance is uncertain. The Br-initiated oxidation of Hg0 is
expected to be slower at Summit Station in Greenland than at Concordia (due to their
difference in temperature and levels of nitrogen oxides and ozone), which may
contribute to the observed differences in the summertime diurnal variations
of Hg0 between these two polar inland stations.</p
Top-down constraints on atmospheric mercury emissions and implications for global biogeochemical cycling
We perform global-scale inverse modeling to constrain present-day atmospheric mercury emissions and relevant physiochemical parameters in the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model. We use Bayesian inversion methods combining simulations with GEOS-Chem and ground-based Hg[superscript 0] observations from regional monitoring networks and individual sites in recent years. Using optimized emissions/parameters, GEOS-Chem better reproduces these ground-based observations and also matches regional over-water Hg[superscript 0] and wet deposition measurements. The optimized global mercury emission to the atmosphere is ~ 5.8 Gg yr[superscript â1]. The ocean accounts for 3.2 Gg yr[superscript â1] (55% of the total), and the terrestrial ecosystem is neither a net source nor a net sink of Hg[superscript 0]. The optimized Asian anthropogenic emission of Hg[superscript 0] (gas elemental mercury) is 650â1770 Mg yr[superscript â1], higher than its bottom-up estimates (550â800 Mg yr[superscript â1]). The ocean parameter inversions suggest that dark oxidation of aqueous elemental mercury is faster, and less mercury is removed from the mixed layer through particle sinking, when compared with current simulations. Parameter changes affect the simulated global ocean mercury budget, particularly mass exchange between the mixed layer and subsurface waters. Based on our inversion results, we re-evaluate the long-term global biogeochemical cycle of mercury, and show that legacy mercury becomes more likely to reside in the terrestrial ecosystem than in the ocean. We estimate that primary anthropogenic mercury contributes up to 23 % of present-day atmospheric deposition.National Science Foundation (U.S.). Atmospheric Chemistry Program (1053648
Characterizing Atmospheric Transport Pathways to Antarctica and the Remote Southern Ocean Using Radon-222
We discuss remote terrestrial influences on boundary layer air over the Southern Ocean and Antarctica, and the mechanisms by which they arise, using atmospheric radon observations as a proxy. Our primary motivation was to enhance the scientific communityâs ability to understand and quantify the potential effects of pollution, nutrient or pollen transport from distant land masses to these remote, sparsely instrumented regions. Seasonal radon characteristics are discussed at 6 stations (Macquarie Island, King Sejong, Neumayer, Dumont dâUrville, Jang Bogo and Dome Concordia) using 1â4 years of continuous observations. Context is provided for differences observed between these sites by Southern Ocean radon transects between 45 and 67°S made by the Research Vessel Investigator. Synoptic transport of continental air within the marine boundary layer (MBL) dominated radon seasonal cycles in the mid-Southern Ocean site (Macquarie Island). MBL synoptic transport, tropospheric injection, and Antarctic outflow all contributed to the seasonal cycle at the sub-Antarctic site (King Sejong). Tropospheric subsidence and injection events delivered terrestrially influenced air to the Southern Ocean MBL in the vicinity of the circumpolar trough (or âPolar Frontâ). Katabatic outflow events from Antarctica were observed to modify trace gas and aerosol characteristics of the MBL 100â200 km off the coast. Radon seasonal cycles at coastal Antarctic sites were dominated by a combination of local radon sources in summer and subsidence of terrestrially influenced tropospheric air, whereas those on the Antarctic Plateau were primarily controlled by tropospheric subsidence. Separate characterization of long-term marine and katabatic flow air masses at Dumont dâUrville revealed monthly mean differences in summer of up to 5 ppbv in ozone and 0.3 ng m-3 in gaseous elemental mercury. These differences were largely attributed to chemical processes on the Antarctic Plateau. A comparison of our observations with some Antarctic radon simulations by global climate models over the past two decades indicated that: (i) some models overestimate synoptic transport to Antarctica in the MBL, (ii) the seasonality of the Antarctic ice sheet needs to be better represented in models, (iii) coastal Antarctic radon sources need to be taken into account, and (iv) the underestimation of radon in subsiding tropospheric air needs to be investigated
Overview : Integrative and Comprehensive Understanding on Polar Environments (iCUPE) - concept and initial results
The role of polar regions is increasing in terms of megatrends such as globalization, new transport routes, demography, and the use of natural resources with consequent effects on regional and transported pollutant concentrations. We set up the ERA-PLANET Strand 4 project "iCUPE - integrative and Comprehensive Understanding on Polar Environments" to provide novel insights and observational data on global grand challenges with an Arctic focus. We utilize an integrated approach combining in situ observations, satellite remote sensing Earth observations (EOs), and multi-scale modeling to synthesize data from comprehensive long-term measurements, intensive campaigns, and satellites to deliver data products, metrics, and indicators to stakeholders concerning the environmental status, availability, and extraction of natural resources in the polar areas. The iCUPE work consists of thematic state-of-the-art research and the provision of novel data in atmospheric pollution, local sources and transboundary transport, the characterization of arctic surfaces and their changes, an assessment of the concentrations and impacts of heavy metals and persistent organic pollutants and their cycling, the quantification of emissions from natural resource extraction, and the validation and optimization of satellite Earth observation (EO) data streams. In this paper we introduce the iCUPE project and summarize initial results arising out of the integration of comprehensive in situ observations, satellite remote sensing, and multi-scale modeling in the Arctic context.Peer reviewe
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Overview: Integrative and Comprehensive Understanding on Polar Environments (iCUPE) â concept and initial results
The role of polar regions is increasing in terms of megatrends such as globalization, new transport routes, demography, and the use of natural resources with consequent effects on regional and transported pollutant concentrations. We set up the ERA-PLANET Strand 4 project âiCUPE â integrative and Comprehensive Understanding on Polar Environmentsâ to provide novel insights and observational data on global grand challenges with an Arctic focus. We utilize an integrated approach combining in situ observations, satellite remote sensing Earth observations (EOs), and multi-scale modeling to synthesize data from comprehensive long-term measurements, intensive campaigns, and satellites to deliver data products, metrics, and indicators to stakeholders concerning the environmental status, availability, and extraction of natural resources in the polar areas. The iCUPE work consists of thematic state-of-the-art research and the provision of novel data in atmospheric pollution, local sources and transboundary transport, the characterization of arctic surfaces and their changes, an assessment of the concentrations and impacts of heavy metals and persistent organic pollutants and their cycling, the quantification of emissions from natural resource extraction, and the validation and optimization of satellite Earth observation (EO) data streams. In this paper we introduce the iCUPE project and summarize initial results arising out of the integration of comprehensive in situ observations, satellite remote sensing, and multi-scale modeling in the Arctic context
On the visual detection of non-natural records in streamflow time series: challenges and impacts
Large datasets of long-term streamflow measurements are widely used to infer and model hydrological processes. However, streamflow measurements may
suffer from what users can consider anomalies, i.e. non-natural records that may be erroneous streamflow values or anthropogenic influences that
can lead to misinterpretation of actual hydrological processes. Since identifying anomalies is time consuming for humans, no study has investigated
their proportion, temporal distribution, and influence on hydrological indicators over large datasets. This study summarizes the results of a large
visual inspection campaign of 674Â streamflow time series in France made by 43Â evaluators, who were asked to identify anomalies falling under five
categories, namely, linear interpolation, drops, noise, point anomalies, and other. We examined the evaluators' individual behaviour in terms of
severity and agreement with other evaluators, as well as the temporal distributions of the anomalies and their influence on commonly used
hydrological indicators. We found that inter-evaluator agreement was surprisingly low, with an average of 12â% of overlapping periods reported as
anomalies. These anomalies were mostly identified as linear interpolation and noise, and they were more frequently reported during the low-flow
periods in summer. The impact of cleaning data from the identified anomaly values was higher on low-flow indicators than on high-flow indicators,
with change rates lower than 5â% most of the time. We conclude that the identification of anomalies in streamflow time series is highly dependent
on the aims and skills of each evaluator, which raises questions about the best practices to adopt for data cleaning.</p
State of the Antarctic and Southern Ocean Climate System
This paper reviews developments in our understanding of the state of the Antarctic and Southern Ocean climate and its relation to the global climate system over the last few millennia. Climate over this and earlier periods has not been stable, as evidenced by the occurrence of abrupt changes in atmospheric circulation and temperature recorded in Antarctic ice core proxies for past climate. Two of the most prominent abrupt climate change events are characterized by intensification of the circumpolar westerlies (also known as the Southern Annular Mode) between âŒ6000 and 5000 years ago and since 1200â1000 years ago. Following the last of these is a period of major trans-Antarctic reorganization of atmospheric circulation and temperature between A.D. 1700 and 1850. The two earlier Antarctic abrupt climate change events appear linked to but predate by several centuries even more abrupt climate change in the North Atlantic, and the end of the more recent event is coincident with reorganization of atmospheric circulation in the North Pacific. Improved understanding of such events and of the associations between abrupt climate change events recorded in both hemispheres is critical to predicting the impact and timing of future abrupt climate change events potentially forced by anthropogenic changes in greenhouse gases and aerosols. Special attention is given to the climate of the past 200 years, which was recorded by a network of recently available shallow firn cores, and to that of the past 50 years, which was monitored by the continuous instrumental record. Significant regional climate changes have taken place in the Antarctic during the past 50 years. Atmospheric temperatures have increased markedly over the Antarctic Peninsula, linked to nearby ocean warming and intensification of the circumpolar westerlies. Glaciers are retreating on the peninsula, in Patagonia, on the sub-Antarctic islands, and in West Antarctica adjacent to the peninsula. The penetration of marine air masses has become more pronounced over parts of West Antarctica. Above the surface, the Antarctic troposphere has warmed during winter while the stratosphere has cooled year-round. The upper kilometer of the circumpolar Southern Ocean has warmed, Antarctic Bottom Water across a wide sector off East Antarctica has freshened, and the densest bottom water in the Weddell Sea has warmed. In contrast to these regional climate changes, over most of Antarctica, near-surface temperature and snowfall have not increased significantly during at least the past 50 years, and proxy data suggest that the atmospheric circulation over the interior has remained in a similar state for at least the past 200 years. Furthermore, the total sea ice cover around Antarctica has exhibited no significant overall change since reliable satellite monitoring began in the late 1970s, despite large but compensating regional changes. The inhomogeneity of Antarctic climate in space and time implies that recent Antarctic climate changes are due on the one hand to a combination of strong multidecadal variability and anthropogenic effects and, as demonstrated by the paleoclimate record, on the other hand to multidecadal to millennial scale and longer natural variability forced through changes in orbital insolation, greenhouse gases, solar variability, ice dynamics, and aerosols. Model projections suggest that over the 21st century the Antarctic interior will warm by 3.4° ± 1°C, and sea ice extent will decrease by âŒ30%. Ice sheet models are not yet adequate enough to answer pressing questions about the effect of projected warming on mass balance and sea level. Considering the potentially major impacts of a warming climate on Antarctica, vigorous efforts are needed to better understand all aspects of the highly coupled Antarctic climate system as well as its influence on the Earth\u27s climate and oceans
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