55 research outputs found
stochastic rainfall analysis for storm tank performance evaluation
Abstract. Stormwater detention tanks are widely used for mitigating impacts of combined sewer overflows (CSO) from urban catchments into receiving water bodies. The optimal size of detention tanks depends on climate and sewer system behaviours and can be estimated by using derived distribution approaches. They are based on using a stochastic model to fit the statistical pattern of observed rainfall records and a urban hydrology model to transform rainfall in sewer discharge. A key issue is the identification of the optimal structure of the stochastic rainfall model. Point processes are frequently applied, where rainfall events are schematised through the occurrence of rectangular pulses, which are governed by rainfall descriptors. In the presented model these latter descriptors are the interevent time (duration of the dry period between consecutive storms), event rainfall depth and event rainfall duration. This paper focuses on the analytical derivation of the probability distribution of the number and volume of overflows from the storm tank to the receiving water body for different and non-standard shapes of the probability distribution for above mentioned descriptors. The proposed approach is applied to 2 different sites in Spain: Valencia and Santander, located on the Mediterranean and northern Atlantic coastline, respectively. For both cases, it turned out that Pareto and Gamma-2 probability distributions for rainfall depth and duration provided a better fit than the exponential model, widely used in previous studies. A comparison between the two climatic zones, humid and semiarid, respectively, proves the key role played by climatic conditions for storm detention tanks sizing
Climate and hydrological variability: the catchment filtering role
Abstract. Measuring the impact of climate change on flood frequency is a complex and controversial task. Identifying hydrological changes is difficult given the factors, other than climate variability, which lead to significant variations in runoff series. The catchment filtering role is often overlooked and thus may hinder the correct identification of climate variability signatures on hydrological processes. Does climate variability necessarily imply hydrological variability? This research aims to analytically derive the flood frequency distribution based on realistic hypotheses about the rainfall process and the rainfall–runoff transformation. The annual maximum peak flow probability distribution is analytically derived to quantify the filtering effect of the rainfall–runoff process on climate change. A sensitivity analysis is performed according to typical semi-arid Mediterranean climatic and hydrological conditions, assuming a simple but common scheme for the rainfall–runoff transformation in small-size ungauged catchments, i.e. the CN-SCS model. Variability in annual maximum peak flows and its statistical significance are analysed when changes in the climatic input are introduced. Results show that depending on changes in the annual number of rainfall events, the catchment filtering role is particularly significant, especially when the event rainfall volume distribution is not strongly skewed. Results largely depend on the return period: for large return periods, peak flow variability is significantly affected by the climatic input, while for lower return periods, infiltration processes smooth out the impact of climate change
Stochastic rainfall analysis for storm tank performance evaluation
Stormwater detention tanks are widely used for mitigating impacts of combined sewer overflows (CSO) from urban catchments into receiving water bodies. The optimal size of detention tanks depends on climate and sewer system behaviours and can be estimated by using derived distribution approaches. They are based on using a stochastic model to fit the statistical pattern of observed rainfall records and a urban hydrology model to transform rainfall in sewer discharge. A key issue is the identification of the optimal structure of the stochastic rainfall model. Point processes are frequently applied, where rainfall events are schematised through the occurrence of rectangular pulses, which are governed by rainfall descriptors. In the presented model these latter descriptors are the interevent time (duration of the dry period between consecutive storms), event rainfall depth and event rainfall duration. This paper focuses on the analytical derivation of the probability distribution of the number and volume of overflows from the storm tank to the receiving water body for different and non-standard shapes of the probability distribution for above mentioned descriptors. The proposed approach is applied to 2 different sites in Spain: Valencia and Santander, located on the Mediterranean and northern Atlantic coastline, respectively. For both cases, it turned out that Pareto and Gamma-2 probability distributions for rainfall depth and duration provided a better fit than the exponential model, widely used in previous studies. A comparison between the two climatic zones, humid and semiarid, respectively, proves the key role played by climatic conditions for storm detention tanks sizing
SUDS filtrantes en Benicalap (València): monitorización y lecciones aprendidas
El presente estudio tiene como objetivo analizar y demostrar la viabilidad de las Soluciones basadas en la Naturaleza (SbN) en el contexto urbano para impulsar la regeneración urbana y la adaptación al cambio climático. Específicamente, se examina la implementación de Sistemas Urbanos de Drenaje Sostenible (SUDS) como estrategia para mejorar la eficiencia y la sostenibilidad en la gestión de las aguas pluviales y la mejora de la calidad del agua. Se monitorizaron diferentes tipologías de SUDS (franja filtrante y pavimento permeable) en el barrio de Benicalap, situado en València, España. Los resultados obtenidos después de un año de monitoreo revelaron una alta eficiencia en la gestión de eventos pluviales, demostrando una reducción significativa en el volumen total de escorrentía y en los caudales máximos. Además, se observó una alta eficacia en la retención de contaminantes, como sólidos suspendidos totales (SST), demanda química de oxígeno (DQO), demanda biológica de oxígeno (DBO límite), fósforo total (PT) y nitrógeno total (NT).Esta investigación se ha desarrollado en el marco del proyecto GROWGREEN - Green Cities For Climate And Water Resilience, Sustainable Economic Growth, Healthy Citizens And Environments (730283) financiado por el Programa Marco Horizonte 2020 de la Comisión Europea en la convocatoria Ciudades Inteligentes y Sostenibles (H2020-SCC-2016-2017)
Another beauty of analytical chemistry: chemical analysis of inorganic pigments of art and archaeological objects
[EN] This lecture text shows what fascinating tasks analytical chemists face in Art Conservation and Archaeology, and it is hoped that students reading it will realize that passions for science, arts or history are by no means mutually exclusive. This study describes the main analytical techniques used since the eighteenth century, and in particular, the instrumental techniques developed throughout the last century for analyzing pigments and inorganic materials, in general, which are found in cultural artefacts, such as artworks and archaeological remains. The lecture starts with a historical review on the use of analytical methods for the analysis of pigments from archaeological and art objects. Three different periods can be distinguished in the history of the application of the Analytical Chemistry in Archaeometrical and Art Conservation studies: (a) the "Formation'' period (eighteenth century1930), (b) the "Maturing'' period (1930-1970), and (c) the "Expansion'' period (1970-nowadays). A classification of analytical methods specifically established in the fields of Archaeometry and Conservation Science is also provided. After this, some sections are devoted to the description of a number of analytical techniques, which are most commonly used in routine analysis of pigments from cultural heritage. Each instrumental section gives the fundamentals of the instrumental technique, together with relevant analytical data and examples of applications.Financial support is gratefully acknowledged from Spanish ‘‘I+D+I MINECO’’ projects CTQ2011-28079-CO3-01 and CTQ2014-53736-C3-1-P supported by ERDEF funds.Domenech Carbo, MT.; Osete Cortina, L. (2016). Another beauty of analytical chemistry: chemical analysis of inorganic pigments of art and archaeological objects. ChemTexts. 2:1-50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40828-016-0033-5S1502Wilks H (ed) (1987) Science for conservators: a conservation science teaching series. The Conservation Unit Museums and Galleries Commission, LondonSan Andrés Moya M, Viña Ferrer S (2004) Fundamentos de química y física para la conservación y restauración. Síntesis, MadridDoménech-Carbó MT (2013) Principios físico-químicos de los materiales integrantes de los bienes culturales, Universitat Politècnica de ValènciaMills JS, White R (1987) The organic chemistry of museum objects. Butterworths, London, pp 141–159Matteini M, Moles A (1991) La Quimica nel Restauro. I materiali dell’arte pittorica. Nardini, FirenzeGomez MA (1998) La Restauración. Examen científico aplicado a la conservación de obras de arte. Cátedra, MadridTaft WS Jr, Mayer JW (2000) The science of paintings. Springer, New YorkAllen RO (ed) (1989) Archaeological chemistry IV; Advances in chemistry. American Chemical Society, Washington, DCAitken MJ (1990) Science-based dating in archaeology. Longman Archaeology Series, New YorkCiliberto E, Spoto G (eds) (2000) Modern analytical methods in art and archaeology. Wiley, New YorkMatteini M, Moles A (1986) Sciencia e Restauro. Metodi di Indagine, 2nd edn. Nardini, FirenzeOdegaard N, Carroll S, Zimmt W (2000) Material characterization tests for objects of art and archaeology. Archetype Publications, LondonDerrick MR, Stulik DC, Landry MJ (1999) Infrared spectroscopy in conservation science. Getty Conservation Institute, Los AngelesDoménech-Carbó A, Doménech-Carbó MT, Costa V (2009) Electrochemical methods in archaeometry, conservation and restoration. In: Scholz F (ed) Series: Monographs in electrochemistry. Springer, BerlinEdwards HGM, Chalmers JM (eds) (2005) Raman spectroscopy in archaeology and art history. The Royal Society of Chemistry, CambridgeLahanier C (1991) Scientific methods applied to the study of art objects. Mikrochim Acta II:245–254Bitossi G, Giorgi R, Salvadori BM, Dei L (2005) Spectroscopic techniques in cultural heritage conservation: a survey. Appl Spectrosc Rev 40:187–228Odlyha M (2000) Special feature: preservation of cultural heritage. The application of thermal analysis and other advanced analytical techniques to cultural objects. Thermochim Acta 365Feature Special (2003) Archaeometry. Meas Sci Technol 14:1487–1630Aitken MJ (1961) Physics and archaeology. Interscience, New YorkOlin JS (ed) (1982) Future directions in archaeometry. A round table. Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, DCTownsend JH (2006) What is conservation science? Macromol Symp 238:1–10Nadolny J (2003) The first century of published scientific analyses of the materials of historical painting and polychromy, circa 1780–1880. Rev Conserv 4:39–51Montero Ruiz I, Garcia Heras M, López-Romero E (2007) Arqueometría: cambios y tendencias actuales. Trabajos de Prehistoria 64:23–40Fernandes Vieira G, Sias Coelho LJ (2011) Arqueometría: Mirada histórica de una ciencia en desarrollo. Revista CPC 13:107–133Rees-Jones SG (1990) Early experiments in pigment analysis. Stud Conserv 35:93–101Allen RO (1989) The role of the chemists in archaeological studies. In: Allen RO (ed) Archaeological chemistry IV. Advances in chemistry. American Chemical Society, Washington DC, pp 1–17Plesters J (1956) Cross-sections and chemical analysis of paint samples. Stud Conserv 2:110–157 and references thereinGilberg M (1987) Friedrich Rathgen: the father of modern archaeological conservation. J Am Inst Conserv 26:105–120Olin JS, Salmon ME, Olin CH (1969) Investigations of historical objects utilizing spectroscopy and other optical methods. Appl Optics 8:29–39Feller RL (1954) Dammar and mastic infrared analysis. Science 120:1069–1070Hall ET (1963) Methods of analysis (physical and microchemical) applied to paintings and antiquities. In: Thomson G (ed) Recent advances in conservation. Butterworths, London, pp 29–32Feigl F, Anger V (1972) Spot tests in inorganic analysis, 6th English edition, translated by Oesper RE. Elsevier, AmsterdamLocke DC, Riley OH (1970) Chemical analysis of paint samples using the Weisz ring oven technique. Stud Conserv 15:94–101Mairinger F, Schreiner M (1986) Analysis of supports, grounds and pigments. In: van Schoute R, Verougstracte-Marcq H (eds) PACT 13, Xth Anniversary Meeting of PACT Group. Louvain-la Neuve, pp 171–183 (and references therein)Vandenabeele P, Edwards HGM (2005) Overview: Raman spectrometry of artefacts. In: Edwards HGM, Chalmers JM (eds) Raman spectroscopy in archaeology and art history. The Royal Society of Chemistry, Cambridge, pp 169–178Tykot RH (2004) Scientific methods and applications to archaeological provenance studies. In: Proceedings of the International School of Physics “Enrico Fermi”. IOS Press, Amsterdam, pp 407–432Doménech-Carbó A, Doménech-Carbó MT, Valle-Algarra FM, Domine ME, Osete-Cortina L (2013) On the dehydroindigo contribution to Maya Blue. J Mat Sci 48:7171–7183Lovric M, Scholz F (1997) A model for the propagation of a redox reaction through microcrystals. J Solid State Electrochem 1:108–113Fitzgerald AG, Storey BE, Fabian D (1993) Quantitative microbeam analysis. Scottish Universities Sumer School in Physics and Institute of Physics Publishing, BristolDoménech-Carbó A (2015) Dating: an analytical task. ChemTexts 1:5Mairinger F, Schreiner M (1982) New methods of chemical analysis-a tool for the conservator. Science and Technology in the service of conservation, IIC, London, pp 5–13Malissa H, Benedetti-Pichler AA (1958) Anorganische qualitative Mikroanalyse. Springer, New YorkTertian R, Claisse F (1982) Principles of quantitative X-ray fluorescence analysis. Heyden, LondonMantler M, Schreiner M (2000) X-ray fluorescence spectrometry in art and archaeology. X-Ray Spectrom 29:3–17Scholz F (2015) Voltammetric techniques of analysis: the essentials. ChemTexts 1:17Inzelt G (2014) Crossing the bridge between thermodynamics and electrochemistry. From the potential of the cell reaction to the electrode potential. ChemTexts 1:2Milchev A (2016) Nucleation phenomena in electrochemical systems: thermodynamic concepts. ChemTexts 2:2Milchev A (2016) Nucleation phenomena in electrochemical systems: kinetic models. ChemTexts 2:4Seeber R, Zanardi C, Inzelt G (2015) Links between electrochemical thermodynamics and kinetics. ChemTexts 1:18Feist M (2015) Thermal analysis: basics, applications, and benefit. ChemTexts 1:8Stoiber RE, Morse SA (1994) Crystal identification with the polarizing microscope. Springer, BerlinGoldstein JI, Newbury DE, Echlin P, Joy DC, Lyman CE, Echlin P, Lifshin E, Sawyer L, Michael JR (2003) Scanning electron microscopy and X-ray microanalysis. Plenum Press, New YorkDoménech-Carbó A, Doménech-Carbó MT, Más-Barberá X (2007) Identification of lead pigments in nanosamples from ancient paintings and polychromed sculptures using voltammetry of nanoparticles/atomic force microscopy. Talanta 71:1569–1579Reedy TJ, Reedy ChL (1988) Statistical analysis in art conservation research. The Getty Conservation Institute, Los AngelesEastaugh N, Walsh V, Chaplin T, Siddall R (2004) Pigment compendium, optical microscopy of historical pigments. Elsevier, OxfordFeller RL, Bayard M (1986) Terminology and procedures used in the systematic examination of pigment particles with polarizing microscope. In: Feller RL (ed) Artists’ pigment. A handbook of their history and characteristics, vol 1. National Gallery of Art, Washington, pp 285–298Feller RL (ed) (1986) Artists’ pigment. A handbook of their history and characteristics, vol 1. National Gallery of Art, WashingtonRoy A (ed) (1993) Artists’ pigments. A handbook of their history and characteristics, vol 2. National Gallery of Art, WashingtonFitzHugh EW (ed) (1997) Artists’ pigments. A handbook of their history and characteristics, vol 3. National Gallery of Art, WashingtonBerrie BH (ed) (2007) Artists’ pigment. A handbook of their history and characteristics, vol 4. National Gallery of Art, WashingtonHaynes WN (ed) (2015) CRC handbook for physics and chemistry, 96th edn. Taylor and Francis Group, UKFiedler I, Bayard MA (1986) Cadmium yellows, oranges and reds. In: Feller RL (ed) Artists’ pigment. A handbook of their history and characteristics, vol 1. National Gallery of Art, Washington, pp 65–108Domenech-Carbó MT, de Agredos Vazquez, Pascual ML, Osete-Cortina L, Domenech A, Guasch-Ferré N, Manzanilla LR, Vidal C (2012) Characterization of Pre-hispanic cosmetics found in a burial of the ancient city of Teotihuacan (Mexico). J Archaeol Sci 39:1043–1062Mühlethaler B, Thissen J (1993) Smalt. In: Roy A (ed) Artists’ pigments. A handbook of their history and characteristics, vol 2. National Gallery of Art, Washington, pp 113–130Musumarra G, Fichera M (1998) Chemometrics and cultural heritage. Chemometr Intell Lab Syst 44:363–372Hochleitner B, Schreiner M, Drakopoulos M, Snigireva I, Snigirev A (2005) Analysis of paint layers by light microscopy, scanning electron microscopy and synchrotron induced X-ray micro-diffraction. In: Van Grieken R, Janssens K (eds) Cultural heritage conservation and environment impact assessment by non-destructive testing and micro-analysis. AA Balkema Publishers, London, pp 171–182Švarcová S, Kočí E, Bezdička P, Hradil D, Hradilová J (2010) Evaluation of laboratory powder X-ray micro-diffraction for applications in the fields of cultural heritage and forensic science. Anal Bioanal Chem 398:1061–1076Van de Voorde L, Vekemans B, Verhaeven E, Tack P, DeWolf R, Garrevoet J, Vandenabeele P, Vincze L (2015) Analytical characterization of a new mobile X-ray fluorescence and X-ray diffraction instrument combined with a pigment identification case study. Spectrochim Acta B 110:14–19Hochleitner B, Desnica V, Mantler M, Schreiner M (2003) Historical pigments: a collection analyzed with X-ray diffraction analysis and X-ray fluorescence analysis in order to create a database. Spectrochim Acta B 58:641–649Middleton PS, Ospitali F, Di Lonardo F (2005) Case study: painters and decorators: Raman spectroscopic studies of five Romano-British villas and the Domus Coiedii at Suasa, Italy. In: Edwards HGM, Chalmers JM (eds) Raman spectroscopy in archaeology and art history. The Royal Society of Chemistry, Cambridge, pp 97–120Helwig K (1993) Iron oxide pigments: natural and synthetic. In: Roy A (ed) Artists’ pigments. A handbook of their history and characteristics, vol 2. National Gallery of Art, Washington, pp 39–95Silva CE, Silva LP, Edwards HGM, de Oliveira LFC (2006) Diffuse reflection FTIR spectral database of dyes and pigments. Anal Bioanal Chem 386:2183–2191Hummel DO (ed) (1985) Atlas of polymer and plastic analysis, vol 1, Polymers, structures and spectra. Hanser VCH, Münichhttp://www.irug.org (consulted: 1 Feb 2016)http://www.ehu.es/udps/database/database.html (consulted: 1 Feb 2016)Burgio L, Clark RJH (2001) Library of FT-Raman spectra of pigments, minerals, pigment media and varnishes, and supplement to existing library of Raman spectra of pigments with visible excitation. Spectrochim Acta A 57:1491–1521http://www.chem.ucl.ac.uk/resources/raman/speclib.html (consulted: 1 Feb 2016)Madariaga JM, Bersani D (2012) Special feature: Raman spectroscopy in art and archaeology. J Raman Spectrosc 43(11):1523–1844http://minerals.gps.caltech.edu/ (consulted: 1 Feb 2016)http://www.rruff.info (consulted: 1 Feb 2016)Frost RL, Martens WN, Rintoul L, Mahmutagic E, Kloprogge JT (2002) J Raman Spectrosc 33:252–259Smith D (2005) Overwiew: jewellery and precious stones. In: Edwards HGM, Chalmers JM (eds) Raman spectroscopy in archaeology and art history. The Royal Society of Chemistry, Cambridge, pp 335–378Weiner S, Bar-Yosef O (1990) States of preservation of bones from prehistoric sites in the Near East: a survey. J Archaeol Sci 17:187–196Chu V, Regev L, Weiner S, Boaretto E (2008) Differentiating between anthropogenic calcite in plaster, ash and natural calcite using infrared spectroscopy: implications in archaeology. J Archaeol Sci 35:905–911Beniash E, Aizenberg J, Addadi L, Weiner S (1997) Amorphous calcium carbonate transforms into calcite during sea-urchin larval spicule growth. Proc R Soc Lond Ser B 264:461–465Regev L, Poduska KM, Addadi L, Weiner S, Boaretto E (2010) Distinguishing between calcites formed by different mechanisms using infrared spectrometry: archaeological applications. J Archaeol Sci 37:3022–3029Farmer C (ed) (1974) The infrared spectra of mineral, Monograph 4. Mineralogical Society, LondonMadejová J, Kečkéš J, Pálková H, Komadel P (2002) Identification of components in smectite/kaolinite mixtures. Clay Miner 37:377–388Šucha V, Środoń J, Clauer N, Elsass F, Eberl DD, Kraus I, Madejová J (2001) Weathering of smectite and illite–smectite under temperate climatic conditions. Clay Miner 36:403–419Doménech-Carbó A, Doménech-Carbó MT, López-López F, Valle-Algarra FM, Osete-Cortina L, Arcos-Von Haartman E (2013) Electrochemical characterization of egyptian blue pigment in wall paintings using the voltammetry of microparticles methodology. Electroanalysis 25:2621–2630Doménech-Carbó MT, Edwards HGM, Doménech-Carbó A, del Hoyo-Meléndez JM, de la Cruz-Cañizares J (2012) An authentication case study: Antonio Palomino vs. Vicente Guillo paintings in the vaulted ceiling of the Sant Joan del Mercat church (Valencia, Spain). J Raman Spectrosc 43:1250–1259Lovric M, Scholz F (1999) A model for the coupled transport of ions and electrons in redox conductive microcrystals. J Solid State Electrochem 3:172–175Oldham KB (1998) Voltammetry at a three phase junction. J Solid State Electrochem 2:367–377Doménech A, Doménech-Carbó MT, Gimeno-Adelantado JV, Bosch-Reig F, Saurí-Peris MC, Sánchez-Ramos S (2001) Electrochemical identification of iron oxide pigments (earths) from pictorial microsamples attached to graphite/polyester composite electrodes. Analyst 126:1764–1772Doménech A, Doménech-Carbó MT, Moya-Moreno MCM, Gimeno-Adelantado JV, Bosch-Reig F (2000) Identification of inorganic pigments from paintings and polychromed sculptures immobilized into polymer film electrodes by stripping differential pulse voltammetry. Anal Chim Acta 407:275–289Doménech-Carbó A, Doménech-Carbó MT, Valle-Algarra FM, Gimeno-Adelantado JV, Osete-Cortina L, Bosch-Reig F (2016) On-line database of voltammetric data of immobilized particles for identifying pigments and minerals in archaeometry, conservation and restoration (ELCHER database). Anal Chim Acta 927:1–12http://www.elcher.info (consulted: 1 July 2016)Scholz F, Doménech-Carbó A (2010) Special feature: electrochemistry for conservation science. J Solid State Electrochem 14Domenech-Carbó A, Domenech-Carbó MT, Edwards HGM (2007) Identification of earth pigment by hierarchical cluster applied to solid state voltammetry. Application to a severely damaged frescoes. Electroanalysis 19:1890–1900Domenech-Carbó A, Domenech-Carbó MT, Vázquez de Agredos-Pascual ML (2006) Dehydroindigo: a new piece into the Maya Blue puzzle from the voltammetry of microparticles approach. J Phys Chem B 110:6027–6039Doménech-Carbó A, Doménech-Carbó MT, Vázquez de Agredos-Pascual ML (2007) Chemometric study of Maya Blue from the voltammetry of microparticles approach. Anal Chem 79:2812–2821Doménech-Carbó A, Doménech-Carbó MT, Vázquez de Agredos-Pascual ML (2011) From Maya Blue to ‘Maya Yellow’: a connection between ancient nanostructured materials from the voltammetry of microparticles. Angew Chem Int Edit 50:5741–5744Doménech-Carbó A, Doménech-Carbó MT, Vidal-Lorenzo C, Vázquez de Agredos-Pascual ML (2012) Insights into the Maya Blue Technology: greenish pellets from the ancient city of La Blanca. Angew Chem Int Ed 51:700–703Doménech-Carbó A, Doménech-Carbó MT, Osete-Cortina L, Montoya N (2012) Application of solid-state electrochemistry techniques to polyfunctional organic-inorganic hybrid materials: the Maya Blue problem. Micropor Mesopor Mater 166:123–130Doménech-Carbó MT, Osete-Cortina L, Doménech-Carbó A, Vázquez de Agredos-Pascual ML, Vidal-Lorenzo C (2014) Identification of indigoid compounds present in archaeological Maya blue by pyrolysis-silylation-gas chromatography–mass spectrometry. J Anal Appl Pyrol 105:355–36
Epidemiological characteristics and predictors of late presentation of HIV infection in Barcelona (Spain) during the period 2001-2009
<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Early diagnosis of HIV infection can prevent morbidity and mortality as well as reduce HIV transmission. The aim of the present study was to assess prevalence, describe trends and identify factors associated with late presentation of HIV infection in Barcelona (Spain) during the period 2001-09.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Demographic and epidemiological characteristics of cases reported to the Barcelona HIV surveillance system were analysed. Late presentation was defined for individuals with a CD4 count below 350 cells/ml upon HIV diagnosis or diagnosis of AIDS within 3 months of HIV diagnosis. Multivariate logistic regression were used to identify predictors of late presentation.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Of the 2,938 newly diagnosed HIV-infected individuals, 2,507 (85,3%) had either a CD4 cell count or an AIDS diagnosis available. A total of 1,139 (55.6%) of the 2,507 studied cases over these nine years were late presenters varying from 48% among men who have sex with men to 70% among heterosexual men. The proportion of late presentation was 62.7% in 2001-2003, 51.9% in 2004-2005, 52.6% in 2006-2007 and 52.1% in 2008-2009. A decrease over time only was observed between 2001-2003 and 2004-2005 (p = 0.001) but remained constant thereafter (p = 0.9). Independent risk factors for late presentation were older age at diagnosis (p < 0.0001), use of injected drugs by men (p < 0.0001), being a heterosexual men (p < 0.0001), and being born in South America (p < 0.0001) or sub-Saharan Africa (p = 0.002).</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Late presentation of HIV is still too frequent in all transmission groups in spite of a strong commitment with HIV prevention in our city. It is necessary to develop interventions that increase HIV testing and facilitate earlier entry into HIV care.</p
Flood Risk Assessment for Urban Drainage System in a Changing Climate Using Artificial Neural Network
Changes in rainfall patterns due to climate change are expected to have negative impact on urban drainage systems, causing increase in flow volumes entering the system. In this paper, two emission scenarios for greenhouse concentration have been used, the high (A1FI) and the low (B1). Each scenario was selected for purpose of assessing the impacts on the drainage system. An artificial neural network downscaling technique was used to obtain local-scale future rainfall from three coarse-scale GCMs. An impact assessment was then carried out using the projected local rainfall and a risk assessment methodology to understand and quantify the potential hazard from surface flooding. The case study is a selected urban drainage catchment in northwestern England. The results show that there will be potential increase in the spilling volume from manholes and surcharge in sewers, which would cause a significant number of properties to be affected by flooding
Actualidad de la renovación pedagógica en la Comunidad de Madrid: un estudio a través de centros escolares representativos
Resumen La historia de la renovación pedagógica española alberga una extensa y plural actividad que constata la búsqueda de una escuela configurada no solo con finalidad académica, sino también entendida como motor de transformación personal, cultural y social. Son numerosos los centros educativos que a lo largo de la historia española evidencian esta búsqueda, construyendo una mirada socio-educativa crítica e innovadora sobre la educación. A lo largo del artículo se estudian once centros escolares de educación primaria, representativos de la renovación pedagógica, que estaban activos durante el curso académico 2012-2013 en la Comunidad de Madrid. La investigación se ha realizado a través del estudio de bibliografía destacada, entrevistas a miembros significativos, observaciones de centros y análisis de contenido de proyectos educativos. Se establecen dos ejes de análisis: metodología e ideario pedagógico de los centros y principales dificultades en la realización de su proyecto educativo. Los resultados muestran que cada uno de los centros refleja una singularidad educativa propia. Sin embargo, todos revelan múltiples aspectos educativos comunes que ponen en cuestión elementos muy arraigados en la cultura pedagógica española, a saber: libro de texto como material exclusivo de trabajo, escasa participación de padres y madres, y por último, clase magistral como único método de relación pedagógica
Post-Franco Theatre
In the multiple realms and layers that comprise the contemporary Spanish theatrical landscape, “crisis” would seem to be the word that most often lingers in the air, as though it were a common mantra, ready to roll off the tongue of so many theatre professionals with such enormous ease, and even enthusiasm, that one is prompted to wonder whether it might indeed be a miracle that the contemporary technological revolution – coupled with perpetual quandaries concerning public and private funding for the arts – had not by now brought an end to the evolution of the oldest of live arts, or, at the very least, an end to drama as we know it
Coupling urban event-based and catchment continuous modelling for combined sewer overflow river impact assessment
Since Water Framework Directive (WFD) was passed in year 2000, the conservation of water bodies in the EU must be understood in a completely different way. Regarding to combined sewer overflows (CSOs) from urban drainage networks, the WFD implies that we cannot accept CSOs because of their intrinsic features, but they must be assessed for their impact on the receiving water bodies in agreement with specific environmental aims. Consequently, both, urban system and the receiving water body must be jointly analysed to evaluate the environmental impact generated on the latter. In this context, a coupled scheme is presented in this paper to assess the CSOs impact on a river system in Torrelavega (Spain). First, a urban model is developed to statistically characterise the CSOs frequency, volume and duration. The main feature of this first model is the fact of being event-based: the system is modelled with some built synthetic storms which cover adequately the probability range of the main rainfall descriptors, i.e., rainfall event volume and peak intensity. Thus, CSOs are characterised in terms of their occurrence probability. Secondly, a continuous and distributed basin model is built to assess river response at different points in the river network. This model was calibrated initially on a daily scale and downscaled later to hourly scale. The main objective of this second element of the scheme is to provide the most likely state of the receiving river when a CSO occurs. By combining results of both models, CSO and river flows are homogeneously characterised from a statistical point of view. Finally, results from both models were coupled to estimate the final concentration of some analysed pollutants (biochemical oxygen demand, BOD, and total ammonium, NH<sub>4</sub><sup>+</sup>), within the river just after the spills
- …