671 research outputs found
The double galaxy cluster Abell 2465 - II. Star formation in the cluster
We investigate the star formation rate and its location in the major merger
cluster Abell 2465 at = 0.245. Optical properties of the cluster are
described in Paper I. Measurements of the H and infrared dust emission
of galaxies in the cluster were made with an interference filter centred on the
redshifted line at a wavelength of 817 nm and utilized data from the WISE
satellite 12 m band. Imaging in the Johnson and bands was
obtained, and along with SDSS and was used to study the blue fraction,
which appears enhanced, as a further signatures of star formation in the
cluster. Star formation rates were calculated using standard calibrations. The
total star formation rate normalized by the cluster mass,
compared to compilations for other clusters indicate that the components of
Abell 2465 lie above the mean and relations, suggestive that
interacting galaxy clusters have enhanced star formation. The projected radial
distribution of the star forming galaxies does not follow a NFW profile and is
relatively flat indicating that fewer star forming galaxies are in the cluster
centre. The morphologies of the H sources within for the
cluster as a whole indicate that many are disturbed or merging, suggesting that
a combination of merging or harassment is working.Comment: 15 pages, 14 figure
An Estimate of the Binary Star Fraction Among Young Stars at the Galactic Center: Possible Evidence of a Radial Dependence
We present the first estimate of the intrinsic binary fraction of young stars
across the central 0.4 pc surrounding the supermassive black hole
(SMBH) at the Milky Way Galactic center (GC). This experiment searched for
photometric variability in 102 young stars, using 119 nights of 10"-wide
adaptive optics imaging observations taken at Keck Observatory over 16 years in
the K'- and H-bands. We photometrically detected three binary stars, all of
which are situated more than 1" (0.04 pc) from the SMBH and one of which,
S2-36, is newly reported here with spectroscopic confirmation. To convert the
observed binary fraction into an estimate of the underlying binary fraction, we
determined experiment sensitivity through detailed light curve simulations,
incorporating photometric effects of eclipses, irradiation, and tidal
distortion in binaries. The simulations assumed a population of young binaries,
with stellar ages (4 Myr) and masses matched to the most probable values
measured for the GC young star population and underlying binary system
parameters similar to those of local massive stars. The detections and
simulations imply young, massive stars in the GC have a stellar binary fraction
71% (68% confidence), or 42% (95% confidence). This inferred GC
young star binary fraction is consistent with that typically seen in young
stellar populations in the solar neighborhood. Furthermore, our measured binary
fraction is significantly higher than that recently reported by Chu et al.
(2023) based on RV measurements of young stars <~1" of the SMBH. Constrained
with these two studies, the probability that the same underlying young binary
fraction extends across the entire region is <1.4%. This tension provides
support for a radial dependence of the binary star fraction and, therefore, for
the dynamical predictions of binary merger and evaporation events close to the
SMBH.Comment: 51 pages, 27 figures, 7 tables. Accepted for publication in The
Astrophysical Journal. Abstract revised for final manuscrip
A population of dust-enshrouded objects orbiting the Galactic black hole
The central 0.1 parsecs of the Milky Way host a supermassive black hole
identified with the position of the radio and infrared source Sagittarius A*, a
cluster of young, massive stars (the S stars) and various gaseous features.
Recently, two unusual objects have been found to be closely orbiting
Sagittarius A*: the so-called G sources, G1 and G2. These objects are
unresolved (having a size of the order of 100 astronomical units, except at
periapse, where the tidal interaction with the black hole stretches them along
the orbit) and they show both thermal dust emission and line emission from
ionized gas. G1 and G2 have generated attention because they appear to be
tidally interacting with the supermassive Galactic black hole, possibly
enhancing its accretion activity. No broad consensus has yet been reached
concerning their nature: the G objects show the characteristics of gas and dust
clouds but display the dynamical properties of stellar-mass objects. Here we
report observations of four additional G objects, all lying within 0.04 parsecs
of the black hole and forming a class that is probably unique to this
environment. The widely varying orbits derived for the six G objects
demonstrate that they were commonly but separately formed
Global, regional, and national prevalence and mortality burden of sickle cell disease, 2000–2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Background
Previous global analyses, with known underdiagnosis and single cause per death attribution systems, provide only a small insight into the suspected high population health effect of sickle cell disease. Completed as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021, this study delivers a comprehensive global assessment of prevalence of sickle cell disease and mortality burden by age and sex for 204 countries and territories from 2000 to 2021.
Methods
We estimated cause-specific sickle cell disease mortality using standardised GBD approaches, in which each death is assigned to a single underlying cause, to estimate mortality rates from the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-coded vital registration, surveillance, and verbal autopsy data. In parallel, our goal was to estimate a more accurate account of sickle cell disease health burden using four types of epidemiological data on sickle cell disease: birth incidence, age-specific prevalence, with-condition mortality (total deaths), and excess mortality (excess deaths). Systematic reviews, supplemented with ICD-coded hospital discharge and insurance claims data, informed this modelling approach. We employed DisMod-MR 2.1 to triangulate between these measures—borrowing strength from predictive covariates and across age, time, and geography—and generated internally consistent estimates of incidence, prevalence, and mortality for three distinct genotypes of sickle cell disease: homozygous sickle cell disease and severe sickle cell β-thalassaemia, sickle-haemoglobin C disease, and mild sickle cell β-thalassaemia. Summing the three models yielded final estimates of incidence at birth, prevalence by age and sex, and total sickle cell disease mortality, the latter of which was compared directly against cause-specific mortality estimates to evaluate differences in mortality burden assessment and implications for the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
Findings
Between 2000 and 2021, national incidence rates of sickle cell disease were relatively stable, but total births of babies with sickle cell disease increased globally by 13·7% (95% uncertainty interval 11·1–16·5), to 515 000 (425 000–614 000), primarily due to population growth in the Caribbean and western and central sub-Saharan Africa. The number of people living with sickle cell disease globally increased by 41·4% (38·3–44·9), from 5·46 million (4·62–6·45) in 2000 to 7·74 million (6·51–9·2) in 2021. We estimated 34 400 (25 000–45 200) cause-specific all-age deaths globally in 2021, but total sickle cell disease mortality burden was nearly 11-times higher at 376 000 (303 000–467 000). In children younger than 5 years, there were 81 100 (58 800–108 000) deaths, ranking total sickle cell disease mortality as 12th (compared to 40th for cause-specific sickle cell disease mortality) across all causes estimated by the GBD in 2021.
Interpretation
Our findings show a strikingly high contribution of sickle cell disease to all-cause mortality that is not apparent when each death is assigned to only a single cause. Sickle cell disease mortality burden is highest in children, especially in countries with the greatest under-5 mortality rates. Without comprehensive strategies to address morbidity and mortality associated with sickle cell disease, attainment of SDG 3.1, 3.2, and 3.4 is uncertain. Widespread data gaps and correspondingly high uncertainty in the estimates highlight the urgent need for routine and sustained surveillance efforts, further research to assess the contribution of conditions associated with sickle cell disease, and widespread deployment of evidence-based prevention and treatment for those with sickle cell disease.publishedVersio
Prolactinomas, Cushing's disease and acromegaly: debating the role of medical therapy for secretory pituitary adenomas
Pituitary adenomas are associated with a variety of clinical manifestations resulting from excessive hormone secretion and tumor mass effects, and require a multidisciplinary management approach. This article discusses the treatment modalities for the management of patients with a prolactinoma, Cushing's disease and acromegaly, and summarizes the options for medical therapy in these patients
Multi-messenger observations of a binary neutron star merger
On 2017 August 17 a binary neutron star coalescence candidate (later designated GW170817) with merger time 12:41:04 UTC was observed through gravitational waves by the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. The Fermi Gamma-ray Burst Monitor independently detected a gamma-ray burst (GRB 170817A) with a time delay of ~1.7 s with respect to the merger time. From the gravitational-wave signal, the source was initially localized to a sky region of 31 deg2 at a luminosity distance of 40+8-8 Mpc and with component masses consistent with neutron stars. The component masses were later measured to be in the range 0.86 to 2.26 Mo. An extensive observing campaign was launched across the electromagnetic spectrum leading to the discovery of a bright optical transient (SSS17a, now with the IAU identification of AT 2017gfo) in NGC 4993 (at ~40 Mpc) less than 11 hours after the merger by the One- Meter, Two Hemisphere (1M2H) team using the 1 m Swope Telescope. The optical transient was independently detected by multiple teams within an hour. Subsequent observations targeted the object and its environment. Early ultraviolet observations revealed a blue transient that faded within 48 hours. Optical and infrared observations showed a redward evolution over ~10 days. Following early non-detections, X-ray and radio emission were discovered at the transient’s position ~9 and ~16 days, respectively, after the merger. Both the X-ray and radio emission likely arise from a physical process that is distinct from the one that generates the UV/optical/near-infrared emission. No ultra-high-energy gamma-rays and no neutrino candidates consistent with the source were found in follow-up searches. These observations support the hypothesis that GW170817 was produced by the merger of two neutron stars in NGC4993 followed by a short gamma-ray burst (GRB 170817A) and a kilonova/macronova powered by the radioactive decay of r-process nuclei synthesized in the ejecta
Prediction of overall survival for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer : development of a prognostic model through a crowdsourced challenge with open clinical trial data
Background Improvements to prognostic models in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer have the potential to augment clinical trial design and guide treatment strategies. In partnership with Project Data Sphere, a not-for-profit initiative allowing data from cancer clinical trials to be shared broadly with researchers, we designed an open-data, crowdsourced, DREAM (Dialogue for Reverse Engineering Assessments and Methods) challenge to not only identify a better prognostic model for prediction of survival in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer but also engage a community of international data scientists to study this disease. Methods Data from the comparator arms of four phase 3 clinical trials in first-line metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer were obtained from Project Data Sphere, comprising 476 patients treated with docetaxel and prednisone from the ASCENT2 trial, 526 patients treated with docetaxel, prednisone, and placebo in the MAINSAIL trial, 598 patients treated with docetaxel, prednisone or prednisolone, and placebo in the VENICE trial, and 470 patients treated with docetaxel and placebo in the ENTHUSE 33 trial. Datasets consisting of more than 150 clinical variables were curated centrally, including demographics, laboratory values, medical history, lesion sites, and previous treatments. Data from ASCENT2, MAINSAIL, and VENICE were released publicly to be used as training data to predict the outcome of interest-namely, overall survival. Clinical data were also released for ENTHUSE 33, but data for outcome variables (overall survival and event status) were hidden from the challenge participants so that ENTHUSE 33 could be used for independent validation. Methods were evaluated using the integrated time-dependent area under the curve (iAUC). The reference model, based on eight clinical variables and a penalised Cox proportional-hazards model, was used to compare method performance. Further validation was done using data from a fifth trial-ENTHUSE M1-in which 266 patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer were treated with placebo alone. Findings 50 independent methods were developed to predict overall survival and were evaluated through the DREAM challenge. The top performer was based on an ensemble of penalised Cox regression models (ePCR), which uniquely identified predictive interaction effects with immune biomarkers and markers of hepatic and renal function. Overall, ePCR outperformed all other methods (iAUC 0.791; Bayes factor >5) and surpassed the reference model (iAUC 0.743; Bayes factor >20). Both the ePCR model and reference models stratified patients in the ENTHUSE 33 trial into high-risk and low-risk groups with significantly different overall survival (ePCR: hazard ratio 3.32, 95% CI 2.39-4.62, p Interpretation Novel prognostic factors were delineated, and the assessment of 50 methods developed by independent international teams establishes a benchmark for development of methods in the future. The results of this effort show that data-sharing, when combined with a crowdsourced challenge, is a robust and powerful framework to develop new prognostic models in advanced prostate cancer.Peer reviewe
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