Managing risk in cancer presentation, detection and referral: a qualitative study of primary care staff views

Objectives In the UK, there have been a number of national initiatives to promote earlier detection and prompt referral of patients presenting to primary care with signs and symptoms of cancer. The aim of the study was to explore the experiences of a range of primary care staff in promoting earlier presentation, detection and referral of patients with symptoms suggestive of cancer. Setting Six primary care practices in northwest England. Participants: 39 primary care staff from a variety of disciplines took part in five group and four individual interviews. Results The global theme to emerge from the interviews was ‘managing risk’, which had three underpinning organising themes: ‘complexity’, relating to uncertainty of cancer diagnoses, service fragmentation and plethora of guidelines; ‘continuity’, relating to relationships between practice staff and their patients and between primary and secondary care; ‘conflict’ relating to policy drivers and staff role boundaries. A key concern of staff was that policymakers and those implementing cancer initiatives did not fully understand how risk was managed within primary care. Conclusions Primary care staff expressed a range of views and opinions on the benefits of cancer initiatives. National initiatives did not appear to wholly resolve issues in managing risk for all practitioners. Staff were concerned about the number of guidelines and priorities they were expected to implement. These issues need to be considered by policymakers when developing and implementing new initiatives

Changing stroke mortality trends in middle-aged people: an age-period-cohort analysis of routine mortality data in persons aged 40 to 69 in England

Background: In the UK, overall stroke mortality has declined. A similar trend has been seen in coronary heart disease, although recent reports suggest this decline might be levelling off in middle-aged adults. Aim: To investigate recent trends in stroke mortality among those aged 40–69 years in England. Methods: The authors used routine annual aggregated stroke death and population data for England for the years 1979–2005 to investigate time trends in gender-specific mortalities for adults aged 40 to 69 years. The authors applied log-linear modelling to isolate effects attributable to age, linear ‘drift’ over time, time period and birth cohort. Results; Between 1979 and 2005, age-standardised stroke mortality aged 40 to 69 years dropped from 93 to 30 per 100 000 in men and from 62 to 18 per 100 000 in women. Mortality was higher in older age groups, but the difference between the older and younger age groups appears to have decreased over time for both sexes. Modelling of the data suggests an average annual reduction in stroke deaths of 4.0% in men and 4.3% in women, although this decrease has been particularly marked in the last few years. However, we also observed a relative rate increase in mortality among those born since the mid-1940s compared with earlier cohorts; this appears to have been sustained in men, which explains the levelling off in the rate of mortality decline observed in recent years in the younger middle-aged. Conclusions: If observed trends in middle-aged adults continue, overall stroke mortalities may start to increase again

Targeted interventions for patellofemoral pain syndrome (TIPPS): classification of clinical subgroups

Introduction Patellofemoral pain (PFP) can cause significant pain leading to limitations in societal participation and physical activity. An international expert group has highlighted the need for a classification system to allow targeted intervention for patients with PFP; we have developed a work programme systematically investigating this. We have proposed six potential subgroups: hip abductor weakness, quadriceps weakness, patellar hypermobility, patellar hypomobility, pronated foot posture and lower limb biarticular muscle tightness. We could not uncover any evidence of the relative frequency with which patients with PFP fell into these subgroups or whether these subgroups were mutually exclusive. The aim of this study is to provide information on the clinical utility of our classification system. Methods and analysis 150 participants will be recruited over 18 months in four National Health Services (NHS) physiotherapy departments in England. Inclusion criteria: adults 18–40 years with PFP for longer than 3 months, PFP in at least two predesignated functional activities and PFP elicited by clinical examination. Exclusion criteria: prior or forthcoming lower limb surgery; comorbid illness or health condition; and lower limb training or pregnancy. We will record medical history, demographic details, pain, quality of life, psychomotor movement awareness and knee temperature. We will assess hip abductor and quadriceps weakness, patellar hypermobility and hypomobility, foot posture and lower limb biarticular muscle tightness. The primary analytic approach will be descriptive. We shall present numbers and percentages of participants who meet the criteria for membership of (1) each of the subgroups, (2) none of the subgroups and (3) multiple subgroups. Exact (binomial) 95% CIs for these percentages will also be presented. Ethics and dissemination This study has been approved by National Research Ethics Service (NRES) Committee North West—Greater Manchester North (11/NW/0814) and University of Central Lancashire (UCLan) Built, Sport, Health (BuSH) Ethics Committee (BuSH 025). An abstract has been accepted for the third International Patellofemoral Pain Research Retreat, Vancouver, September 2013

Are there three main subgroups within the patellofemoral pain population? A detailed characterisation study of 127 patients to help develop targeted Intervention (TIPPs)

• Background Current multimodal approaches for the management of non-specific patellofemoral pain are not optimal, however, targeted intervention for subgroups could improve patient outcomes. This study explores whether subgrouping of non-specific patellofemoral pain patients, using a series of low cost simple clinical tests, is possible. • Method The exclusivity and clinical importance of potential subgroups was assessed by applying à priori test thresholds (1 SD) from seven clinical tests in a sample of adult patients with non-specific patellofemoral pain. Hierarchical clustering and latent profile analysis, were used to gain additional insights into subgroups using data from the same clinical tests. • Results One hundred and thirty participants were recruited, 127 had complete data: 84 (66%) female, mean age 26 years (SD 5.7) and mean BMI 25.4 (SD 5.83), median (IQR) time between onset of pain and assessment was 24 (7-60) months. Potential subgroups defined by the à priori test thresholds were not mutually exclusive and patients frequently fell into multiple subgroups. Using hierarchical clustering and latent profile analysis three subgroups were identified using 6 of the 7 clinical tests. These subgroups were given the following nomenclature: (i) ‘strong’, (ii) ‘weak and tighter’, and (iii) ‘weak and pronated foot’. • Conclusions We conclude that three subgroups of patellofemoral patients may exist based on the results of six clinical tests which are feasible to perform in routine clinical practice. Further research is needed to validate these findings in other datasets and, if supported by external validation, to see if targeted interventions for these subgroups improve patient outcomes

Do people who consciously attend to their movements have more self-reported knee pain? An exploratory cross-sectional study

Objectives: This study explored the relationship between propensity for conscious control of movement (assessed by the Movement-Specific Reinvestment Scale) and self-reported knee pain. Design: Cross-sectional study. Setting: General population. Subjects: Adults aged 18 to 55 years of age. Measures: Participants completed the movement-specific reinvestment scale and a self-report questionnaire on knee pain at the same time on one occasion. Results: Data was collected on 101 adults of whom 34 (33.7%) self-reported knee pain. Mean scores on the conscious motor processing subscale of the movement-specific reinvestment scale, but not the movement self-consciousness subscale, were significantly higher for participants who reported knee pain within the previous year compared with those who did not (mean difference 3.03; t-test 2.66, df = 97, P = 0.009; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.77 to 5.30). The association between self-reported knee pain and propensity for conscious motor processing was still observed, even after controlling for movement self-consciousness subscale scores, age, gender and body mass index (adjusted odds ratio 1.16, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.30)

Cancer awareness messages in the UK print media: a content analytical and corpus linguistic mixed methods study

Background Newspaper readership in the UK is high. Exposure to media stories has been shown to influence reader perceptions and newspapers are frequently used as part of cancer awareness campaigns. However we don’t know what happens to the cancer awareness message when it reaches the print media or whether people featured in cancer-related personal interest stories reflect current cancer inequalities. This study forms the first stage of a PhD and looks at the people featured and the language used to see how cancer is currently reported in the UK print media and how this might influence the public’s awareness and perception of the disease. Methods UK national and regional/local newspaper articles featuring a personal interest story about an individual’s journey with ovarian cancer over a seven-and-a-half year period were identified from the Nexis database. Content analytical methods were used to code information about the newspaper, demographic information about the people featured, and key cancer awareness information such as whether a list of symptoms was provided, or whether early detection was linked to better survival. WMatrix3 was used to conduct corpus linguistic analyses of the language used in the articles including key words, themes, and patterns of words appearing together by comparing the articles to a corpus of standard written English (British National Corpus Written Sampler). Results Newspaper coverage decreased with increasing age; only 34.51% (n=156) of articles featured individuals aged over 50. Managers/professionals were featured twice as often as non-professionals (14.82%, n=67 vs 29.8%, n=68). Only a quarter (26.77%, n=121) of articles provided a list of symptoms and even fewer linked early detection and survival (16.81%, n=76) or described the age group most at risk (13.05%, n=59). Corpus linguistic analyses utilising log likelihood (LL) across the years revealed distinctly negative use of language reflecting sadness (LL=+17.03, n=36 [2006] to LL=+72.13, n=105 [2009]) and death (LL=+16.27, n=92 [2012] to LL=+114.29, n=139 [2007]), as well as frequent use of battle language. Conclusions Stories about an individual’s journey with ovarian cancer in UK newspapers tend to be negative, lack educational content and do not reflect those most at risk. The next steps of the project are: 1) tracking specific campaigns through the print media to see what happens to the message and how any related personal interest stories are presented 2) understanding why articles are presented in this way through interviewing press release officers, journalists and editors

Identification of strata for a trial of a targeted multimodal physiotherapy intervention in patellofemoral pain patients

Background Patellofemoral Pain (PFP) is a musculoskeletal disorder causing significant pain and dysfunction around the knee, commonly leading to long term limitations. People with PFP are commonly referred for physiotherapy, although current multimodal physiotherapy approaches tend to be rather ad-hoc and are failing in the long term. Identification of patient strata (or subgroups) who may respond differentially to interventions has been recognised as an international priority. It has been proposed that there are PFP patient strata, classified based on clinical tests, who would respond to modes of interventions targeted at the individual's stratum. Methods Participants with PFP underwent clinical assessment of muscle weakness, muscle length, patellar mobility and foot posture. The presence of strata was explored using two classification techniques: hierarchical cluster analysis and latent profile analysis (LPA); for LPA, the Bayesian Information Criterion was used to guide model selection. Results One hundred and twenty seven (of 130) recruited participants had complete assessment data. A three strata solution appeared optimal from modelling and clinical perspectives. The three suggested strata were characterised as: stronger; weaker and tighter; weaker with pronated feet. However, although membership of the stronger stratum was consistent, there were substantial differences in the other composition of the other two strata between the two classification approaches. Conclusion PFP patients can be classified into clinical strata, although further investigation is needed to identify thresholds upon which stratification should be performed. Interventions are currently being mapped onto the strata and feasibility and evaluation trials of these interventions should then be performed

Optimasi Portofolio Resiko Menggunakan Model Markowitz MVO Dikaitkan dengan Keterbatasan Manusia dalam Memprediksi Masa Depan dalam Perspektif Al-Qur`an

Risk portfolio on modern finance has become increasingly technical, requiring the use of sophisticated mathematical tools in both research and practice. Since companies cannot insure themselves completely against risk, as human incompetence in predicting the future precisely that written in Al-Quran surah Luqman verse 34, they have to manage it to yield an optimal portfolio. The objective here is to minimize the variance among all portfolios, or alternatively, to maximize expected return among all portfolios that has at least a certain expected return. Furthermore, this study focuses on optimizing risk portfolio so called Markowitz MVO (Mean-Variance Optimization). Some theoretical frameworks for analysis are arithmetic mean, geometric mean, variance, covariance, linear programming, and quadratic programming. Moreover, finding a minimum variance portfolio produces a convex quadratic programming, that is minimizing the objective function ðð¥with constraintsð ð 𥠥 ðandð´ð¥ = ð. The outcome of this research is the solution of optimal risk portofolio in some investments that could be finished smoothly using MATLAB R2007b software together with its graphic analysis

Search for heavy resonances decaying to two Higgs bosons in final states containing four b quarks

A search is presented for narrow heavy resonances X decaying into pairs of Higgs bosons (H) in proton-proton collisions collected by the CMS experiment at the LHC at root s = 8 TeV. The data correspond to an integrated luminosity of 19.7 fb(-1). The search considers HH resonances with masses between 1 and 3 TeV, having final states of two b quark pairs. Each Higgs boson is produced with large momentum, and the hadronization products of the pair of b quarks can usually be reconstructed as single large jets. The background from multijet and t (t) over bar events is significantly reduced by applying requirements related to the flavor of the jet, its mass, and its substructure. The signal would be identified as a peak on top of the dijet invariant mass spectrum of the remaining background events. No evidence is observed for such a signal. Upper limits obtained at 95 confidence level for the product of the production cross section and branching fraction sigma(gg -> X) B(X -> HH -> b (b) over barb (b) over bar) range from 10 to 1.5 fb for the mass of X from 1.15 to 2.0 TeV, significantly extending previous searches. For a warped extra dimension theory with amass scale Lambda(R) = 1 TeV, the data exclude radion scalar masses between 1.15 and 1.55 TeV

Search for supersymmetry in events with one lepton and multiple jets in proton-proton collisions at root s=13 TeV

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