265 research outputs found

    Band‐by‐Band Contributions to the Longwave Cloud Radiative Feedbacks

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    Cloud radiative feedback is central to our projection of future climate change. It can be estimated using the cloud radiative kernel (CRK) method or adjustment method. This study, for the first time, examines the contributions of each spectral band to the longwave (LW) cloud radiative feedbacks (CRFs). Simulations of three warming scenarios are analyzed, including +2 K sea surface temperature, 2 × CO2, and 4 × CO2 experiments. While the LW broadband CRFs derived from the CRK and adjustment methods agree with each other, they disagree on the relative contributions from the far‐infrared and window bands. The CRK method provides a consistent band‐by‐band decomposition of LW CRF for different warming scenarios. The simulated and observed short‐term broadband CRFs for the 2003–2013 period are similar to the long‐term counterparts, but their band‐by‐band decompositions are different, which can be further related to the cloud fraction changes in respective simulations and observation.Plain Language SummaryWe studied how the cloud change in response to surface temperature change leads to the changes of radiation at the top of the atmosphere (referred to as cloud radiative feedback) over different frequency ranges in the longwave (referred to as spectral bands). While different methods can provide a similar estimate of broadband cloud radiative feedbacks, the decomposition to different longwave spectral bands can be different from one method to another. The cloud radiative kernel method can provide a more consistent band‐by‐band decomposition of the longwave cloud radiative feedback for different warming scenarios. The decomposition for cloud radiative feedback derived from the warming experiments is considerably different from that derived from decadal‐scale observations and simulations. Such differences in spectral band decomposition can be related to the specific cloud fraction changes for different types of clouds defined with respect to cloud top pressure and cloud opacity.Key PointsThe band‐by‐band decomposition of cloud radiative feedback is studied for the first timeTwo different methods can give similar longwave broadband radiative feedbacks, but their band‐by‐band decompositions are differentSeemingly agreeable broadband cloud radiative feedbacks can have different spectral decompositions, which can be related to cloud changesPeer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/150592/1/grl59162_am.pdfhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/150592/2/grl59162.pdfhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/150592/3/grl59162-sup-0001-2019GL083466-SI.pd

    Cloud optical thickness and albedo retrievals from bidirectional reflectance measurements of POLDER instruments during ACE-2

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    International audienceThe POLDER instrument is devoted to global observations of the solar radiation reflected by the Earth-atmosphere system. The airborne version of the instrument was operated during the ACE-2 experiment, more particularly as a component of the CLOUDYCOLUMN project of ACE-2 that was conducted in summer 1997 over the subtropical northeastern Atlantic ocean. CLOUDYCOLUMN is a coordinated project specifically dedicated to the study of the indirect effect of aerosols. In this context, the airborne POLDER was assigned to remote measurements of the cloud optical and radiative properties, namely the cloud optical thickness and the cloud albedo. This paper presents the retrievals of those 2 cloud parameters for 2 golden days of the campaign 26 June and 9 July 1997. Coincident spaceborne ADEOS-POLDER data from 2 orbits over the ACE-2 area on 26 June are also analyzed. 26 June corresponds to a pure air marine case and 9 July is a polluted air case. The multidirectional viewing capability of airborne POLDER is here demonstrated to be very useful to estimate the effective radius of cloud droplet that characterizes the observed stratocumulus clouds. A 12 μm cloud droplet size distribution appears to be a suitable cloud droplet model in the pure marine cloud case study. For the polluted case the mean retrieved effective droplet radius is of the order of 6-10 μm. This only preliminary result can be interpreted as a confirmation of the indirect effect of aerosols. It is consistent with the significant increase in droplet concentration measured in polluted marine clouds compared to clean marine ones. Further investigations and comparisons to in-situ microphysical measurements are now needed

    Monte Carlo Radiative Transfer

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    I outline methods for calculating the solution of Monte Carlo Radiative Transfer (MCRT) in scattering, absorption and emission processes of dust and gas, including polarization. I provide a bibliography of relevant papers on methods with astrophysical applications.Comment: To appear in the Chandra Centennial issue of the Bulletin of the Astronomical Society of India, volume 39 (2011), eds D.J. Saikia and Virginia Trimble; 27 pages, 1 figur

    Fast and slow shifts of the zonal-mean intertropical convergence zone in response to an idealized anthropogenic aerosol

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    Previous modeling work showed that aerosol can affect the position of the tropical rain belt, i.e., the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ). Yet it remains unclear which aspects of the aerosol impact are robust across models, and which are not. Here we present simulations with seven comprehensive atmosphere models that study the fast and slow impacts of an idealized anthropogenic aerosol on the zonal-mean ITCZ position. The fast impact, which results from aerosol atmospheric heating and land cooling before sea-surface temperature (SST) has time to respond, causes a northward ITCZ shift. Yet the fast impact is compensated locally by decreased evaporation over the ocean, and a clear northward shift is only found for an unrealistically large aerosol forcing. The local compensation implies that while models differ in atmospheric aerosol heating, this does not contribute to model differences in the ITCZ shift. The slow impact includes the aerosol impact on the ocean surface energy balance and is mediated by SST changes. The slow impact is an order of magnitude more effective than the fast impact and causes a clear southward ITCZ shift for realistic aerosol forcing. Models agree well on the slow ITCZ shift when perturbed with the same SST pattern. However, an energetic analysis suggests that the slow ITCZ shifts would be substantially more model-dependent in interactive-SST setups due to model differences in clear-sky radiative transfer and clouds. We also discuss implications for the representation of aerosol in climate models and attributions of recent observed ITCZ shifts to aerosol

    POLDER observations of cloud bidirectional reflectances compared to a plane-parallel model using the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project cloud phase functions

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    International audienceThis study investigates the validity of the plane-parallel cloud model and in addition the suitability of water droplet and ice polycrystal phase functions for stratocumulus and cirrus clouds, respectively. To do that, we take advantage of the multidirectional viewing capability of the Polarization and Directionality of the Earth's Reflectances (POLDER) instrument which allows us to characterize the anisotropy of the reflected radiation field. We focus on the analysis of airborne-POLDER data acquired over stratocumulus and cirrus clouds during two selected flights (on April 17 and April 18, 1994) of the European Cloud and Radiation Experiment (EUCREX'94) campaign. The bidirectional reflectances measured in the 0.86 μm channel are compared to plane-parallel cloud simulations computed with the microphysical models used by the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP). Although clouds are not homogeneous plane-parallel layers, the extended cloud layers under study appear to act, on average, as a homogeneous plane-parallel layer. The standard water droplet model (with an effective radius of 10 μm) used in the ISCCP analysis seems to be suitable for stratocumulus clouds. The relative root-mean-square difference between the observed bidirectional reflectances and the model is only 2%. For cirrus clouds, the water droplet cloud model is definitely inadequate since the rms difference rises to 9%; when the ice polycrystal model chosen for the reanalysis of ISCCP data is used instead, the rms difference is reduced to 3%

    Реструктуризація підприємств в умовах трансформації економіки України

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    Розглянуто динаміку фінансового стану підприємств України за галузями та необхідність їх фінансового оздоровлення. Проаналізовано механізм та основні варіанти проведення реструктуризації, на прикладах визначено специфічні особливості реструктуризації підприємств різних галузей. Ключові слова: реструктуризація, трансформація, структурні перетворення, фінансові результати, управління, перепрофілювання.Рассмотрена динамика финансового состояния предприятий Украины по отраслям и необходимость их финансового оздоровления. Проанализирован механизм и основные варианты проведения реструктуризации, на примерах определены специфические особенности реструктуризации предприятий различных отраслей. Ключевые слова: реструктуризация, трансформация, структурные преобразования, финансовые результаты, управление, перепрофилирование.The paper focuses on dynamics of financial position of Ukraine’s enterprises by industries and the need for their financial recovery.The mechanism and main ways of restructuring are analysed, specific characteristics of enterprises restructuring are illustrated on the examples from different industries. Keywords: restructuring, transformation, struc¬tural changes, financial results, management, re-profiling

    Effects of ocean biology on the penetrative radiation in a coupled climate model

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    The influence of phytoplankton on the seasonal cycle and the mean global climate is investigated in a fully coupled climate model. The control experiment uses a fixed attenuation depth for shortwave radiation, while the attenuation depth in the experiment with biology is derived from phytoplankton concentrations simulated with a marine biogeochemical model coupled online to the ocean model. Some of the changes in the upper ocean are similar to the results from previous studies that did not use interactive atmospheres, for example, amplification of the seasonal cycle; warming in upwelling regions, such as the equatorial Pacific and the Arabian Sea; and reduction in sea ice cover in the high latitudes. In addition, positive feedbacks within the climate system cause a global shift of the seasonal cycle. The onset of spring is about 2 weeks earlier, which results in a more realistic representation of the seasons. Feedback mechanisms, such as increased wind stress and changes in the shortwave radiation, lead to significant warming in the midlatitudes in summer and to seasonal modifications of the overall warming in the equatorial Pacific. Temperature changes also occur over land where they are sometimes even larger than over the ocean. In the equatorial Pacific, the strength of interannual SST variability is reduced by about 10%–15% and phase locking to the annual cycle is improved. The ENSO spectral peak is broader than in the experiment without biology and the dominant ENSO period is increased to around 5 yr. Also the skewness of ENSO variability is slightly improved. All of these changes lead to the conclusion that the influence of marine biology on the radiative budget of the upper ocean should be considered in detailed simulations of the earth’s climate

    Dynamical and statistical downscaling of seasonal temperature forecasts in Europe: Added value for user applications

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    This work describes the results of a comprehensive intercomparison experiment of dynamical and statistical downscaling methods performed in the framework of the SPECS (http://www.specs-fp7.eu) and EUPORIAS (http://www.euporias.eu) projects for seasonal forecasting over Europe, a region which exhibits low-to-moderate seasonal forecast skill. We considered a 15-member hindcast provided by the ECEARTH global model (similar to ECMWF System 4, but using bias corrected SST) for the period 1991-2012. In particular, we focus on summer mean temperature and evaluate the added value of downscaling for representation of the local climatology (mean values and extremes), improvement of model skill and performance in particular heatwave episodes. Whereas the suitability of dynamical downscaling for reducing the orographic biases of the global model depends on the region and model considered, statistical downscaling can systematically reduce errors in different order moments, from the mean to the extremes (as represented by the 95th percentile here). However, both dynamical and statistical methods lead to similar skill patterns with about the same overall performance as the global model, which shows higher values in south-eastern Europe. Therefore, no relevant added value is found in terms of model skill improvement. Finally, when focusing on the heatwaves of 2003, 2006, 2010 and 2012, the limitations of the global model to detect these hot episodes are inherited by all dynamical and statistical downscaling methods so no added value is neither found in this aspect. This work provides, to our knowledge, the largest and most comprehensive intercomparison of statistical and dynamical downscaling for seasonal forecasting over Europe.This study was supported by the SPECS and EUPORIAS projects, funded by the European Commission through the Seventh Framework Programme for Research under grant agreements 308378 and 308291, respectively. We are also grateful to the E-OBS dataset from the EU-FP6 project ENSEMBLES and the data providers in the ECA&D project. One of the authors (EvM) wants to thank Michael Kolax from SMHI (Norrköping, Sweden) for making available the full EC-EARTH hindcast ensemble for dynamical downscaling at KNMI. Finally, for the WRF simulations, the authors acknowledge the access provided to the Altamira Supercomputer at the Institute of Physics of Cantabria (IFCA-CSIC), member of the Spanish Supercomputing Network (http://grid.ifca.es/wiki/Supercomputing)

    Domain choice in an experimental nested modeling prediction system for South America

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    The purposes of this paper are to evaluate the new version of the regional model, RegCM3, over South America for two test seasons, and to select a domain for use in an experimental nested prediction system, which incorporates RegCM3 and the European Community-Hamburg (ECHAM) general circulation model (GCM). To evaluate RegCM3, control experiments were completed with RegCM3 driven by both the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis (NNRP) and ECHAM, using a small control domain (D-CTRL) and integration periods of January–March 1983 (El Niño) and January–March 1985 (La Niña). The new version of the regional model captures the primary circulation and rainfall differences between the two years over tropical and subtropical South America. Both the NNRP-driven and ECHAM-driven RegCM3 improve the simulation of the Atlantic intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) compared to the GCM. However, there are some simulation errors. Irrespective of the driving fields, weak northeasterlies associated with reduced precipitation are observed over the Amazon. The simulation of the South Atlantic convergence zone is poor due to errors in the boundary condition forcing which appear to be amplified by the regional model. To select a domain for use in an experimental prediction system, sensitivity tests were performed for three domains, each of which includes important regional features and processes of the climate system. The domain sensitivity experiments were designed to determine how domain size and the location of the GCM boundary forcing affect the regional circulation, moisture transport, and rainfall in two years with different large scale conditions. First, the control domain was extended southward to include the exit region of the Andes low level jet (D-LLJ), then eastward to include the South Atlantic subtropical high (D-ATL), and finally westward to include the subsidence region of the South Pacific subtropical high and to permit the regional model more freedom to respond to the increased resolution of the Andes Mountains (D-PAC). In order to quantify differences between the domain experiments, measures of bias, root mean square error, and the spatial correlation pattern were calculated between the model results and the observed data for the seasonal average fields. The results show the GCM driving fields have remarkable control over the RegCM3 simulations. Although no single domain clearly outperforms the others in both seasons, the control domain, D-CTRL, compares most favorably with observations. Over the ITCZ region, the simulations were improved by including a large portion of the South Atlantic subtropical high (D-ATL). The methodology presented here provides a quantitative basis for evaluating domain choice in future studies

    Numerical model simulation of the Saharan dust event of 6–11 March 2006 using the Regional Climate Model version 3 (RegCM3)

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    The Sahara desert is the world's primary source of mineral dust aerosols and is known to be an important but poorly understood component of the climate system. Climate models which incorporate dust modules have the potential to improve our understanding of the climate impacts of dust. In this study, the performance of the Regional Climate Model version 3 (RegCM3) with an active dust scheme is evaluated, using a major dust event of 6-11 March 2006 as a test case. To account for the distribution of preferential dust source regions, soil texture characteristics were modified in dust source regions identified from long-term SEVIRI satellite data. The dust event was associated with a pronounced cold outbreak of midlatitude air over the northern Sahara which produced anomalously strong northerly winds, which propagated from west to east over the Sahara during the study period. This resulted in dust mobilization from multiple dust sources across the domain. RegCM3 represents the space/time structure of near-surface meteorology well, although surface winds are underestimated in absolute terms. The experiment in which soils are modified provides a better representation of local dust sources and emission and resulting atmospheric optical thickness (AOT). In this experiment, model simulated dust flux exported from the Sahara to the Sahel and the tropical east Atlantic is estimated as 1.9 Tg d(-1). The dust event had a profound impact on the surface solar radiation budget of similar to-140 W m(-2) per unit AOT (domain average). The shortwave radiative effect at the top of the atmosphere is similar to-10 W m(-2) per unit AOT over the study domain. However, this is strongly dependent on surface albedo. The results also highlight how errors in model simulated circulation lead to errors in the position of the dust plume
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