85 research outputs found

    A universal approximate cross-validation criterion and its asymptotic distribution

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    A general framework is that the estimators of a distribution are obtained by minimizing a function (the estimating function) and they are assessed through another function (the assessment function). The estimating and assessment functions generally estimate risks. A classical case is that both functions estimate an information risk (specifically cross entropy); in that case Akaike information criterion (AIC) is relevant. In more general cases, the assessment risk can be estimated by leave-one-out crossvalidation. Since leave-one-out crossvalidation is computationally very demanding, an approximation formula can be very useful. A universal approximate crossvalidation criterion (UACV) for the leave-one-out crossvalidation is given. This criterion can be adapted to different types of estimators, including penalized likelihood and maximum a posteriori estimators, and of assessment risk functions, including information risk functions and continuous rank probability score (CRPS). This formula reduces to Takeuchi information criterion (TIC) when cross entropy is the risk for both estimation and assessment. The asymptotic distribution of UACV and of a difference of UACV is given. UACV can be used for comparing estimators of the distributions of ordered categorical data derived from threshold models and models based on continuous approximations. A simulation study and an analysis of real psychometric data are presented.Comment: 23 pages, 2 figure

    Early signature in the blood lipidome associated with subsequent cognitive decline in the elderly: A case-control analysis nested within the Three-City cohort study

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    Background Brain lipid metabolism appears critical for cognitive aging, but whether alterations in the lipidome relate to cognitive decline remains unclear at the system level. Methods We studied participants from the Three-City study, a multicentric cohort of older persons, free of dementia at time of blood sampling, and who provided repeated measures of cognition over 12 subsequent years. We measured 189 serum lipids from 13 lipid classes using shotgun lipidomics in a case-control sample on cognitive decline (matched on age, sex and level of education) nested within the Bordeaux study center (discovery, n = 418). Associations with cognitive decline were investigated using bootstrapped penalized regression, and tested for validation in the Dijon study center (validation, n = 314). Findings Among 17 lipids identified in the discovery stage, lower levels of the triglyceride TAG50:5, and of four membrane lipids (sphingomyelin SM40:2,2, phosphatidylethanolamine PE38:5(18:1/20:4), ether-phosphatidylethanolamine PEO34:3(16:1/18:2), and ether-phosphatidylcholine PCO34:1(16:1/18:0)), and higher levels of PCO32:0(16:0/16:0), were associated with greater odds of cognitive decline, and replicated in our validation sample. Interpretation These findings indicate that in the blood lipidome of non-demented older persons, a specific profile of lipids involved in membrane fluidity, myelination, and lipid rafts, is associated with subsequent cognitive decline. Funding The complete list of funders is available at the end of the manuscript, in the Acknowledgement section

    Diet-Related Metabolites Associated with Cognitive Decline Revealed by Untargeted Metabolomics in a Prospective Cohort

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    Scope: Untargeted metabolomics may reveal preventive targets in cognitive aging, including within the food metabolome. Methods and results: A case-control study nested in the prospective Three-City study includes participants aged &65 years and initially free of dementia. A total of 209 cases of cognitive decline and 209 controls (matched for age, gen- der, education) with slower cognitive decline over up to 12 years are contrasted. Using untargeted metabolomics and bootstrap-enhanced penalized regression, a baseline serum signature of 22 metabolites associated with subsequent cognitive decline is identified. The signature includes three coffee metabolites, a biomarker of citrus intake, a cocoa metabolite, two metabolites putatively derived from fish and wine, three medium-chain acylcarnitines, glycodeoxycholic acid, lysoPC(18:3), trimethyllysine, glucose, cortisol, creatinine, and arginine. Adding the 22 metabolites to a reference predictive model for cognitive decline (conditioned on age, gender, education and including ApoE-Δ4, diabetes, BMI, and number of medications) substantially increases the predictive performance: cross-validated Area Under the Receiver Operating Curve = 75% [95% CI 70-80%] compared to 62% [95% CI 56-67%]. Conclusions: The untargeted metabolomics study supports a protective role of specific foods (e.g., coffee, cocoa, fish) and various alterations in the endogenous metabolism responsive to diet in cognitive aging

    Apolipoprotein E and sex modulate fatty acid metabolism in a prospective observational study of cognitive decline

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    Background: Fatty acids play prominent roles in brain function as they participate in structural, metabolic and signaling processes. The homeostasis of fatty acids and related pathways is known to be impaired in cognitive decline and dementia, but the relationship between these metabolic disturbances and common risk factors, namely the ɛ4 allele of the apolipoprotein E (ApoE-ɛ4) gene and sex, remains elusive. Methods: In order to investigate early alterations associated with cognitive decline in the fatty acid-related serum metabolome, we here applied targeted metabolomics analysis on a nested case-control study (N=368), part of a prospective population cohort on dementia. Results: When considering the entire study population, circulating levels of free fatty acids, acyl-carnitines and pantothenic acid were found to be increased among those participants who had greater odds of cognitive decline over a 12-year follow-up. Interestingly, stratified analyses indicated that these metabolomic alterations were specific for ApoE-ɛ4 non-carriers and women. Conclusions: Altogether, our results highlight that the regulation of fatty acids and related metabolic pathways during ageing and cognitive decline depends on complex inter-relationships between the ApoE-Δ4 genotype and sex. A better understanding of the ApoE-ɛ4 and sex dependent modulation of metabolism is essential to elucidate the individual variability in the onset of cognitive decline, which would help develop personalized therapeutic approaches

    Nutrition and the ageing brain: moving towards clinical applications

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    The global increases in life expectancy and population have resulted in a growing ageing population and with it a growing number of people living with age-related neurodegenerative conditions and dementia, shifting focus towards methods of prevention, with lifestyle approaches such as nutrition representing a promising avenue for further development. This overview summarises the main themes discussed during the 3 Symposium on "Nutrition for the Ageing Brain: Moving Towards Clinical Applications" held in Madrid in August 2018, enlarged with the current state of knowledge on how nutrition influences healthy ageing and gives recommendations regarding how the critical field of nutrition and neurodegeneration research should move forward into the future. Specific nutrients are discussed as well as the impact of multi-nutrient and whole diet approaches, showing particular promise to combatting the growing burden of age-related cognitive decline. The emergence of new avenues for exploring the role of diet in healthy ageing, such as the impact of the gut microbiome and development of new techniques (imaging measures of brain metabolism, metabolomics, biomarkers) are enabling researchers to approach finding answers to these questions. But the translation of these findings into clinical and public health contexts remains an obstacle due to significant shortcomings in nutrition research or pressure on the scientific community to communicate recommendations to the general public in a convincing and accessible way. Some promising programs exist but further investigation to improve our understanding of the mechanisms by which nutrition can improve brain health across the human lifespan is still required

    Nutrition state of science and dementia prevention: Recommendations of the Nutrition for Dementia Prevention Working Group

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    Observational studies suggest that nutritional factors have a potential cognitive benefit. However, systematic reviews of randomised trials of dietary and nutritional supplements have reported largely null effects on cognitive outcomes and have highlighted study inconsistencies and other limitations. In this Personal View, the Nutrition for Dementia Prevention Working Group presents what we consider to be limitations in the existing nutrition clinical trials for dementia prevention. On the basis of this evidence, we propose recommendations for incorporating dietary patterns and the use of genetic, and nutrition assessment tools, biomarkers, and novel clinical trial designs to guide future trial developments. Nutrition-based research has unique challenges that could require testing both more personalised interventions in targeted risk subgroups, identified by nutritional and other biomarkers, and large-scale and pragmatic study designs for more generalisable public health interventions across diverse populations

    Nutrition and the ageing brain: Moving towards clinical applications

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    The global increases in life expectancy and population have resulted in a growing ageing population and with it a growing number of people living with age-related neurodegenerative conditions and dementia, shifting focus towards methods of prevention, with lifestyle approaches such as nutrition representing a promising avenue for further development.This overview summarises the main themes discussed during the 3rd Symposium on “Nutrition for the Ageing Brain: Moving Towards Clinical Applications” held in Madrid in August 2018, enlarged with the current state of knowledge on how nutrition influences healthy ageing and gives recommendations regarding how the critical field of nutrition and neurodegeneration research should move forward into the future.Specific nutrients are discussed as well as the impact of multi-nutrient and whole diet approaches, showing particular promise to combatting the growing burden of age-related cognitive decline. The emergence of new avenues for exploring the role of diet in healthy ageing, such as the impact of the gut microbiome and development of new techniques (imaging measures of brain metabolism, metabolomics, biomarkers) are enabling researchers to approach finding answers to these questions. But the translation of these findings into clinical and public health contexts remains an obstacle due to significant shortcomings in nutrition research or pressure on the scientific community to communicate recommendations to the general public in a convincing and accessible way. Some promising programs exist but further investigation to improve our understanding of the mechanisms by which nutrition can improve brain health across the human lifespan is still required.</p

    Blood n-3 fatty acid levels and total and cause-specific mortality from 17 prospective studies.

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    The health effects of omega-3 fatty acids have been controversial. Here we report the results of a de novo pooled analysis conducted with data from 17 prospective cohort studies examining the associations between blood omega-3 fatty acid levels and risk for all-cause mortality. Over a median of 16 years of follow-up, 15,720 deaths occurred among 42,466 individuals. We found that, after multivariable adjustment for relevant risk factors, risk for death from all causes was significantly lower (by 15-18%, at least p < 0.003) in the highest vs the lowest quintile for circulating long chain (20-22 carbon) omega-3 fatty acids (eicosapentaenoic, docosapentaenoic, and docosahexaenoic acids). Similar relationships were seen for death from cardiovascular disease, cancer and other causes. No associations were seen with the 18-carbon omega-3, alpha-linolenic acid. These findings suggest that higher circulating levels of marine n-3 PUFA are associated with a lower risk of premature death.The EPIC Norfolk study (DOI 10.22025/2019.10.105.00004) has received funding from the Medical Research Council (MR/N003284/1 and MC-UU_12015/1) and Cancer Research UK (C864/A14136). NJW, NGF, and FI were supported by the Medical Research Council Epidemiology Unit core funding [MC_UU_12015/1 and MC_UU_12015/5]. NJW and NGF acknowledge support from the National Institute for Health Research Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre [IS-BRC-1215-20014] and NJW is an NIHR Senior Investigator

    Nutrition and brain aging : role of fatty acids with an epidemiological perspective

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    La nutrition pourrait ĂȘtre un facteur de prĂ©vention de la dĂ©mence, pour laquelle il n’existe pas Ă  ce jour de traitement Ă©tiologique identifiĂ©. L’objectif de la thĂšse Ă©tait d’étudier la relation entre nutrition et vieillissement cĂ©rĂ©bral chez 1796 participants bordelais, ĂągĂ©s de 65 ans et plus, de la cohorte des 3 CitĂ©s, avec un intĂ©rĂȘt particulier pour les acides gras. Compte-tenu de la nature multidimensionnelle de l’alimentation, plusieurs approches complĂ©mentaires ont Ă©tĂ© utilisĂ©es. A l’échelle du comportement alimentaire, des profils de consommation spontanĂ©ment observĂ©s ont Ă©tĂ© identifiĂ©s par des mĂ©thodes exploratoires. Les sujets ĂągĂ©s du profil « sain », consommateurs de plus de 3,5 portions de poisson par semaine chez les hommes et de plus de 6 portions quotidiennes de fruits et lĂ©gumes chez les femmes, ont montrĂ© une meilleure santĂ© cognitive et psychologique. L’adhĂ©rence Ă  un rĂ©gime de type mĂ©diterranĂ©en, mesurĂ©e par un score construit selon une approche confirmatoire, a Ă©tĂ© associĂ©e Ă  un moindre dĂ©clin cognitif global aprĂšs 5 ans de suivi. A l’échelle du biomarqueur de nutriment, la proportion plasmatique d’acide eicosapentĂ©noĂŻque (EPA), acide gras omĂ©ga-3 Ă  longue chaĂźne, a Ă©tĂ© associĂ©e Ă  une diminution du risque de dĂ©mence, et le ratio des acides gras omĂ©ga-6 / omĂ©ga-3 Ă  une augmentation du risque, particuliĂšrement chez les sujets dĂ©primĂ©s. L’EPA a Ă©galement Ă©tĂ© associĂ© Ă  une diminution du dĂ©clin de la mĂ©moire de travail chez les sujets dĂ©primĂ©s ou porteurs de l’allĂšle e4 de la protĂ©ine ApoE, et l’acide docosahexaĂ©noĂŻque Ă  une diminution du dĂ©clin uniquement chez les porteurs de l’ApoEe4.In the absence of identified etiologic treatment for dementia, the potential preventive role of nutrition may offer an interesting perspective. The objective of the thesis was to study the association between nutrition and brain aging in 1796 subjects, aged 65 years or older, from the Bordeaux sample of the three-City study, with a particular emphasis on fatty acids. Considering the multidimensional nature of nutritional data, several complementary strategies were used. At the global diet level, dietary patterns actually observed in the population were identified by exploratory methods. Older subjects from the “healthy” pattern, who consumed more than 3.5 weekly servings of fish in men and more than 6 daily servings of fruits and vegetables in women, showed a better cognitive and psychological health. Adherence to the Mediterranean diet, measured according to a score-based confirmatory method, was associated with slower global cognitive decline after 5 years of follow-up. At the nutrient biomarker level, higher plasma eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA), a long-chain omega-3 fatty acid, was associated with a decreased dementia risk, and the omega-6-to-omega-3 fatty acids ratio to an increased risk, particularly in depressed subjects. EPA was also related to slower working memory decline in depressed subjects or in carriers of the e4 allele of the ApoE gene. Docosahexaenoic acid was related to slower working memory decline only in ApoEe4 carriers
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