Conditioning an additive functional of a markov chain to stay non-negative. I, Survival for a long time

Let (X-t)(t >= 0) be a continuous-time irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space E, let v be a map v: E -> R \ {0}, and let (phi(t))(t >= 0) be an additive functional defined by phi(t) = integral(0)(t)(X-s) ds. We consider the case in which the process (phi(t))(t >= 0) is oscillating and that in which (phi(t))(t >= 0) has a negative drift. In each of these cases, we condition the process (X-t, phi(t))(t >= 0) on the event that (phi(t))(t >= 0) is nonnegative until time T and prove weak convergence of the conditioned process as T -> infinity

Game-theoretic approach to risk-sensitive benchmarked asset management

In this article we consider a game theoretic approach to the Risk-Sensitive Benchmarked Asset Management problem (RSBAM) of Davis and Lleo \cite{DL}. In particular, we consider a stochastic differential game between two players, namely, the investor who has a power utility while the second player represents the market which tries to minimize the expected payoff of the investor. The market does this by modulating a stochastic benchmark that the investor needs to outperform. We obtain an explicit expression for the optimal pair of strategies as for both the players.Comment: Forthcoming in Risk and Decision Analysis. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:0905.4740 by other author

On the regularity of American options with regime-switching uncertainty

We study the regularity of the stochastic representation of the solution of a class of initial-boundary value problems related to a regime-switching diffusion. This representation is related to the value function of a finite-horizon optimal stopping problem such as the price of an American-style option in finance. We show continuity and smoothness of the value function using coupling and time-change techniques. As an application, we find the minimal payoff scenario for the holder of an American-style option in the presence of regime-switching uncertainty under the assumption that the transition rates are known to lie within level-dependent compact sets.Comment: 22 pages, to appear in Stochastic Processes and their Application

Monotonicity of the value function for a two-dimensional optimal stopping problem

We consider a pair $(X,Y)$ of stochastic processes satisfying the equation $dX=a(X)Y\,dB$ driven by a Brownian motion and study the monotonicity and continuity in $y$ of the value function $v(x,y)=\sup_{\tau}E_{x,y}[e^{-q\tau}g(X_{\tau})]$, where the supremum is taken over stopping times with respect to the filtration generated by $(X,Y)$. Our results can successfully be applied to pricing American options where $X$ is the discounted price of an asset while $Y$ is given by a stochastic volatility model such as those proposed by Heston or Hull and White. The main method of proof is based on time-change and coupling.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/13-AAP956 the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org