Ondaietas e previsão de séries de tempo: uma análise empírica

This paper presents three case studies in time series forecasting. We try to compare the use of traditional ARIMA models with an alternative method that combines of ARIMA and Wavelets models. Two different approaches are applied. In the first one, Wavelets are used to fraction the original time series, so that ARIMA forecasting is performed on the ffactioned series. The fractioned forecasting is then jointed to obtain the original series forecasting. The second alternative method consist in using Wavelets to smooth the original series before using traditional ARIMA forecasting

Las pruebas de laboratorio para la identificación de sars-cov-2 en tiempos de pandemia en el Perú: Algunas precisiones acerca del «rendimiento diagnóstico»

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Proceso de definición de prioridades institucionales de investigación en el Seguro Social de Salud del Perú, 2020-2022

Introduction: Health research priorities definition address research efforts to the promotion of health science, technology, and innovation. Material and Methods: Health research priorities in the Peruvian Social Security for the period 2020-2022 was carried out in four stages using a systematic, structured, participatory and sequential process. Results: First, the progress of the research in the priorities of the period 2017-2019 was evaluated. In the second stage, various sources were consulted to identify disease-oriented research needs and the framework for priorities oriented to health systems and health interventions. The third stage consisted of an expanded consultation to select priority disease-oriented topics. Finally, a participatory and multidisciplinary workshop was developed to select themes, subtopics, and priority areas for research. Conclusion: The final product was the definition of 11 priority themes, seven for diseases and four for health systems and health interventions.Introducción: La definición de prioridades de investigación en salud dirige los esfuerzos de investigación para promover ciencia, tecnología e innovación en salud. Material y Métodos: La definición de estas en el Seguro Social de Salud peruano para el periodo 2020-2022 se realizó en cuatro etapas y de forma sistemática, estructurada, participativa y secuencial. Resultados: Primero, se evaluó el avance de investigación en las prioridades del periodo 2017-2019. En la segunda etapa, se consultó diversas fuentes y se identificó necesidades de investigación orientadas a enfermedades y se estableció el marco para prioridades orientadas a sistemas de salud e intervenciones sanitarias. La tercera etapa consistió en una consulta ampliada para seleccionar los temas prioritarios orientados a enfermedades. Finalmente, se desarrolló un taller participativo y multidisciplinario para seleccionar temas, subtemas y áreas prioritarias de investigación. Conclusión: El producto final fue la definición de 11 temas prioritarios, siete para enfermedades y cuatro para sistemas de salud e intervenciones sanitarias

The mitochondrial NAD+ transporter (NDT1) plays important roles in cellular NAD+ homeostasis in \u3ci\u3eArabidopsis thaliana\u3c/i\u3e

Nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide (NAD+) is an essential coenzyme required for all living organisms. In eukaryotic cells, the final step of NAD+ biosynthesis is exclusively cytosolic. Hence, NAD+ must be imported into organelles to support their metabolic functions. Three NAD+ transporters belonging to the mitochondrial carrier family (MCF) have been biochemically characterized in plants. AtNDT1 (At2g47490), focus of the current study, AtNDT2 (At1g25380), targeted to the inner mitochondrial membrane, and AtPXN (At2g39970), located in the peroxisomal membrane. Although AtNDT1 was presumed to reside in the chloroplast membrane, subcellular localization experiments with green fluorescent protein (GFP) fusions revealed that AtNDT1 locates exclusively in the mitochondrial membrane in stably transformed Arabidopsis plants. To understand the biological function of AtNDT1 in Arabidopsis, three transgenic lines containing an antisense construct of AtNDT1 under the control of the 35S promoter alongside a T-DNA insertional line were evaluated. Plants with reduced AtNDT1 expression displayed lower pollen viability, silique length, and higher rate of seed abortion. Furthermore, these plants also exhibited an increased leaf number and leaf area concomitant with higher photosynthetic rates and higher levels of sucrose and starch. Therefore, lower expression of AtNDT1 was associated with enhanced vegetative growth but severe impairment of the reproductive stage. These results are discussed in the context of the mitochondrial localization of AtNDT1 and its important role in the cellular NAD+ homeostasis for both metabolic and developmental processes in plants

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on cardiometabolic patients without SARS CoV-2 infection in Latin America

A cross-sectional survey including 38 questions about demography, clinical condition, changes in health habits, and medical treatments for cardiometabolic patients in outpatient follow-up was conducted. From June 15 to July 15, 2020, a total of 13 Latin-American countries participated in enrolling patients. These countries were divided into 3 geographic regions: Region 1 including North, Central, and Caribbean Regions (NCCR), Region 2 including the Andean Region (AR), and Region 3 including the Southern Cone Region (SCR). 4.216 patients were analyzed, resulting in a coefficient of 33.82%, 32.23%, and 33.94% for NCCR, AR, and SCR, respectively. Significant differences were found between the AR, SCR, and NCCR regions. The analysis of habitual medication usage showed that discontinued use of medication was more present in AR, reaching almost 30% (p < 0.001). The main finding of this study was the negative impact that restrictive measures have on adherence to medications and physical activity: Rs = 0.84 (p = 0.0003) and Rs = 0.61 (p = 0.0032), respectively. AR was the most vulnerable region. Restrictive quarantine measures imposed by the different countries showed a positive correlation with medication discontinuation and a negative correlation with physical activity levels in patients analyzed. These findings characterize the impact of the consequences left by this pandemic. Undoubtedly, restrictive measures have been and will continue to have reverberating negative effects in most Latin-American countries.Fil: Camiletti, Jorge. Hospital Italiano de La Plata; ArgentinaFil: Renna, Nicolas Federico. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto de Medicina y Biología Experimental de Cuyo; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Facultad de Ciencias Médicas. Cátedra de Fisiología Patológica; Argentina. Hospital Español de Mendoza; ArgentinaFil: López Santi, Ricardo. Hospital Italiano de La Plata; ArgentinaFil: Erriest, Juan. Hospital Italiano de La Plata; ArgentinaFil: García-Bello, Eliomar. Centro de Diagnóstico Medicina Avanzada y Telemedicina; República DominicanaFil: Araujo, John. Centro Cardiovascular Somer Incare; ColombiaFil: Varleta-Olivares, Paola. Hospital Dipreca; ChileFil: Gómez-Díaz, Eduardo. Hospital Metropolitano del Norte; VenezuelaFil: Ramírez, Gisselle. Medicina Cardiovascular Asociada; República DominicanaFil: Berni Betancourt, Ana. Sociedad interamericana de Cardiología; México. Consejo Interamericano de Electrocardiográfica y Arritmias; México. Hospital Ángeles Pedregal; MéxicoFil: Escalada Lesme, Gustavo. Centro Médico Nacional-Hospital Nacional Itaguá; ParaguayFil: Campos Alcántara, Lourdes V.. Consultorio de Lourdes Victoria Campos Alcántara; PerúFil: Moya Loor, Leonardo. Hospital Santa Margarita; EcuadorFil: Rey Benavente, Claudio. Hospital Arroyabe Pichanal; ArgentinaFil: Almonte, Claudia. Medicina Cardiovascular Asociada; República DominicanaFil: Cortez Sandoval, Maicol. Hospital Nacional Edgardo Rebagliti Martins; PerúFil: Alvarado Cuadros, María. Department of Cardiology, Institution; EcuadorFil: Rosario, Monica I.. Centro de Diagnóstico Medicina Avanzada y Telemedicina; República DominicanaFil: Gupta, Shyla. Queen’s University; CanadáFil: Ibarrola, Martin. Cardiovascular Center BV; ArgentinaFil: Baranchuk, Adrián. Kingston Health Sciences Centre; Canad

An Assessment of the Effectiveness of High Definition Cameras as Remote Monitoring Tools for Dolphin Ecology Studies.

Research involving marine mammals often requires costly field programs. This paper assessed whether the benefits of using cameras outweighs the implications of having personnel performing marine mammal detection in the field. The efficacy of video and still cameras to detect Indo-Pacific bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops aduncus) in the Fremantle Harbour (Western Australia) was evaluated, with consideration on how environmental conditions affect detectability. The cameras were set on a tower in the Fremantle Port channel and videos were perused at 1.75 times the normal speed. Images from the cameras were used to estimate position of dolphins at the water’s surface. Dolphin detections ranged from 5.6 m to 463.3 m for the video camera, and from 10.8 m to 347.8 m for the still camera. Detection range showed to be satisfactory when compared to distances at which dolphins would be detected by field observers. The relative effect of environmental conditions on detectability was considered by fitting a Generalised Estimation Equations (GEEs) model with Beaufort, level of glare and their interactions as predictors and a temporal auto-correlation structure. The best fit model indicated level of glare had an effect, with more intense periods of glare corresponding to lower occurrences of observed dolphins. However this effect was not large (-0.264) and the parameter estimate was associated with a large standard error (0.113).The limited field of view was the main restraint in that cameras can be only applied to detections of animals observed rather than counts of individuals. However, the use of cameras was effective for long term monitoring of occurrence of dolphins, outweighing the costs and reducing the health and safety risks to field personal. This study showed that cameras could be effectively implemented onshore for research such as studying changes in habitat use in response to development and construction activities

Measurement of the cross-section and charge asymmetry of WW bosons produced in proton-proton collisions at s=8\sqrt{s}=8 TeV with the ATLAS detector

This paper presents measurements of the $W^+ \rightarrow \mu^+\nu$ and $W^- \rightarrow \mu^-\nu$ cross-sections and the associated charge asymmetry as a function of the absolute pseudorapidity of the decay muon. The data were collected in proton--proton collisions at a centre-of-mass energy of 8 TeV with the ATLAS experiment at the LHC and correspond to a total integrated luminosity of 20.2~\mbox{fb^{-1}}. The precision of the cross-section measurements varies between 0.8% to 1.5% as a function of the pseudorapidity, excluding the 1.9% uncertainty on the integrated luminosity. The charge asymmetry is measured with an uncertainty between 0.002 and 0.003. The results are compared with predictions based on next-to-next-to-leading-order calculations with various parton distribution functions and have the sensitivity to discriminate between them.Comment: 38 pages in total, author list starting page 22, 5 figures, 4 tables, submitted to EPJC. All figures including auxiliary figures are available at https://atlas.web.cern.ch/Atlas/GROUPS/PHYSICS/PAPERS/STDM-2017-13

Search for chargino-neutralino production with mass splittings near the electroweak scale in three-lepton final states in √s=13 TeV pp collisions with the ATLAS detector

A search for supersymmetry through the pair production of electroweakinos with mass splittings near the electroweak scale and decaying via on-shell W and Z bosons is presented for a three-lepton final state. The analyzed proton-proton collision data taken at a center-of-mass energy of √s=13  TeV were collected between 2015 and 2018 by the ATLAS experiment at the Large Hadron Collider, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 139  fb−1. A search, emulating the recursive jigsaw reconstruction technique with easily reproducible laboratory-frame variables, is performed. The two excesses observed in the 2015–2016 data recursive jigsaw analysis in the low-mass three-lepton phase space are reproduced. Results with the full data set are in agreement with the Standard Model expectations. They are interpreted to set exclusion limits at the 95% confidence level on simplified models of chargino-neutralino pair production for masses up to 345 GeV