A novel model for hourly PM2.5 concentration prediction based on CART and EELM

Hourly PM2.5 concentrations have multiple change patterns. For hourly PM2.5 concentration prediction, it is beneficial to split the whole dataset into several subsets with similar properties and to train a local prediction model for each subset. However, the methods based on local models need to solve the global-local duality. In this study, a novel prediction model based on classification and regression tree (CART) and ensemble extreme learning machine (EELM) methods is developed to split the dataset into subsets in a hierarchical fashion and build a prediction model for each leaf. Firstly, CART is used to split the dataset by constructing a shallow hierarchical regression tree. Then at each node of the tree, EELM models are built using the training samples of the node, and hidden neuron numbers are selected to minimize validation errors respectively on the leaves of a sub-tree that takes the node as the root. Finally, for each leaf of the tree, a global and several local EELMs on the path from the root to the leaf are compared, and the one with the smallest validation error on the leaf is chosen. The meteorological data of Yancheng urban area and the air pollutant concentration data from City Monitoring Centre are used to evaluate the method developed. The experimental results demonstrate that the method developed addresses the global-local duality, having better performance than global models including random forest (RF), v-support vector regression (v-SVR) and EELM, and other local models based on season and k-means clustering. The new model has improved the capability of treating multiple change patterns

Towards a more efficient and cost-sensitive extreme learning machine: A state-of-the-art review of recent trend

In spite of the prominence of extreme learning machine model, as well as its excellent features such as insignificant intervention for learning and model tuning, the simplicity of implementation, and high learning speed, which makes it a fascinating alternative method for Artificial Intelligence, including Big Data Analytics, it is still limited in certain aspects. These aspects must be treated to achieve an effective and cost-sensitive model. This review discussed the major drawbacks of ELM, which include difficulty in determination of hidden layer structure, prediction instability and Imbalanced data distributions, the poor capability of sample structure preserving (SSP), and difficulty in accommodating lateral inhibition by direct random feature mapping. Other drawbacks include multi-graph complexity, global memory size, one-by-one or chuck-by-chuck (a block of data), global memory size limitation, and challenges with big data. The recent trend proposed by experts for each drawback is discussed in detail towards achieving an effective and cost-sensitive mode