9 research outputs found

    The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset

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    Academic researchers, government agencies, industry groups, and individuals have produced forecasts at an unprecedented scale during the COVID-19 pandemic. To leverage these forecasts, the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) partnered with an academic research lab at the University of Massachusetts Amherst to create the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub. Launched in April 2020, the Forecast Hub is a dataset with point and probabilistic forecasts of incident cases, incident hospitalizations, incident deaths, and cumulative deaths due to COVID-19 at county, state, and national, levels in the United States. Included forecasts represent a variety of modeling approaches, data sources, and assumptions regarding the spread of COVID-19. The goal of this dataset is to establish a standardized and comparable set of short-term forecasts from modeling teams. These data can be used to develop ensemble models, communicate forecasts to the public, create visualizations, compare models, and inform policies regarding COVID-19 mitigation. These open-source data are available via download from GitHub, through an online API, and through R packages

    Measurement of the bbb\overline{b} dijet cross section in pp collisions at s=7\sqrt{s} = 7 TeV with the ATLAS detector

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    Charged-particle distributions at low transverse momentum in s=13\sqrt{s} = 13 TeV pppp interactions measured with the ATLAS detector at the LHC

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    Search for dark matter in association with a Higgs boson decaying to bb-quarks in pppp collisions at s=13\sqrt s=13 TeV with the ATLAS detector

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    Copy Number Variation in Neuropsychiatric Disorders

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    In this thesis, I characterize the contribution of rare copy number variation (CNV) to the genetic etiology of Tourette syndrome (TS) and bipolar disorder (BP). I accomplish this using several different study designs and various methods for CNV detection. As array data was widely available for the majority of samples evaluated, I make extensive use of this technology throughout this project and first provide an overview of the technical challenges involved and describe the analytical pipeline I developed to produce reliable CNV calls from such data.Then, in the largest TS CNV study conducted to date, I report the discovery of the first two genome-wide significant CNVs associated with the disorder, and demonstrate an increased global burden of large, singleton events and CNVs at known, pathogenic loci. Conditioned on this latter observation, I perform an exploratory analysis aimed at gene discovery through the identification of de novo copy number variants from whole-exome sequencing in a sample of affected proband, unaffected parent trios in TS.I then describe a CNV study of 26 large, multigenerational families with a high incidence of BP from two population isolates, using both microarray and whole-genome sequencing data. While thorough examination of these extended BP pedigrees revealed no segregating variants of large effect, I observe a significant increase in CNV burden across a subset of BP-related genes. Finally, I explore this notion further in a larger North American sample of unrelated individuals ascertained for BP. I demonstrate that although BP cases show no observable differences in the rate or size of rare CNVs, case CNVs affect more highly constrained, brain-expressed genes, and I provide evidence for an increased female CNV burden for BP

    Measurement of the W±ZW^{\pm}Z boson pair-production cross section in pppp collisions at s=13\sqrt{s}=13 TeV with the ATLAS Detector

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    The production of W±ZW^{\pm}Z events in proton--proton collisions at a centre-of-mass energy of 13 TeV is measured with the ATLAS detector at the LHC. The collected data correspond to an integrated luminosity of 3.2 fb1^{-1}. The W±ZW^{\pm}Z candidates are reconstructed using leptonic decays of the gauge bosons into electrons or muons. The measured inclusive cross section in the detector fiducial region for leptonic decay modes is σW±Zνfid.=63.2±3.2\sigma_{W^\pm Z \rightarrow \ell^{'} \nu \ell \ell}^{\textrm{fid.}} = 63.2 \pm 3.2 (stat.) ±2.6\pm 2.6 (sys.) ±1.5\pm 1.5 (lumi.) fb. In comparison, the next-to-leading-order Standard Model prediction is 53.42.8+3.653.4^{+3.6}_{-2.8} fb. The extrapolation of the measurement from the fiducial to the total phase space yields σW±Ztot.=50.6±2.6\sigma_{W^{\pm}Z}^{\textrm{tot.}} = 50.6 \pm 2.6 (stat.) ±2.0\pm 2.0 (sys.) ±0.9\pm 0.9 (th.) ±1.2\pm 1.2 (lumi.) pb, in agreement with a recent next-to-next-to-leading-order calculation of 48.21.0+1.148.2^{+1.1}_{-1.0} pb. The cross section as a function of jet multiplicity is also measured, together with the charge-dependent W+ZW^+Z and WZW^-Z cross sections and their ratio

    Reconstruction of primary vertices at the ATLAS experiment in Run 1 proton-proton collisions at the LHC

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    This paper presents the method and performance of primary vertex reconstruction in proton-proton collision data recorded by the ATLAS experiment during Run 1 of the LHC. The studies presented focus on data taken during 2012 at a centre-of-mass energy of [Formula: see text] TeV. The performance has been measured as a function of the number of interactions per bunch crossing over a wide range, from one to seventy. The measurement of the position and size of the luminous region and its use as a constraint to improve the primary vertex resolution are discussed. A longitudinal vertex position resolution of about [Formula: see text] is achieved for events with high multiplicity of reconstructed tracks. The transverse position resolution is better than [Formula: see text] and is dominated by the precision on the size of the luminous region. An analytical model is proposed to describe the primary vertex reconstruction efficiency as a function of the number of interactions per bunch crossing and of the longitudinal size of the luminous region. Agreement between the data and the predictions of this model is better than 3% up to seventy interactions per bunch crossing
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