7 research outputs found

    A machine learning approach to predict healthcare-associated infections at intensive care unit admission: findings from the SPIN-UTI project

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    BACKGROUND: Identifying patients at higher risk of healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) in intensive care unit (ICU) represents a major challenge for public health. Machine learning could improve patient risk stratification and lead to targeted infection prevention and control interventions.AIM: To evaluate the performance of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II for HAIs risk prediction in ICUs, using both traditional statistical and machine learning approaches.METHODS: We used data of 7827 patients from the "Italian Nosocomial Infections Surveillance in Intensive Care Units" project. The Support Vector Machines (SVM) algorithm was applied to classify patients according to sex, patient origin, non-surgical treatment for acute coronary disease, surgical intervention, SAPS II at admission, presence of invasive devices, trauma, impaired immunity, antibiotic therapy in 48 hours before ICU admission.FINDINGS: The performance of SAPS II for predicting the risk of HAIs provides a ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) curve with an AUC (Area Under the Curve) of 0.612 (p<0.001) and an accuracy of 56%. Considering SAPS II along with other characteristics at ICU admission, we found an accuracy of the SVM classifier of 88% and an AUC of 0.90 (p<0.001) for the test set. In line, the predictive ability was lower when considering the same SVM model but removing the SAPS II variable (accuracy= 78% and AUC= 0.66).CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggested the SVM model as a tool to early predict patients at higher risk of HAI at ICU admission

    Epidemiology of intensive care unit-acquired sepsis in Italy: Results of the SPIN-UTI network

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    Pancreatic surgery outcomes: multicentre prospective snapshot study in 67 countries

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    Background: Pancreatic surgery remains associated with high morbidity rates. Although postoperative mortality appears to have improved with specialization, the outcomes reported in the literature reflect the activity of highly specialized centres. The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcomes following pancreatic surgery worldwide.Methods: This was an international, prospective, multicentre, cross-sectional snapshot study of consecutive patients undergoing pancreatic operations worldwide in a 3-month interval in 2021. The primary outcome was postoperative mortality within 90 days of surgery. Multivariable logistic regression was used to explore relationships with Human Development Index (HDI) and other parameters.Results: A total of 4223 patients from 67 countries were analysed. A complication of any severity was detected in 68.7 percent of patients (2901 of 4223). Major complication rates (Clavien-Dindo grade at least IIIa) were 24, 18, and 27 percent, and mortality rates were 10, 5, and 5 per cent in low-to-middle-, high-, and very high-HDI countries respectively. The 90-day postoperative mortality rate was 5.4 per cent (229 of 4223) overall, but was significantly higher in the low-to-middle-HDI group (adjusted OR 2.88, 95 per cent c.i. 1.80 to 4.48). The overall failure-to-rescue rate was 21 percent; however, it was 41 per cent in low-to-middle-compared with 19 per cent in very high-HDI countries.Conclusion: Excess mortality in low-to-middle-HDI countries could be attributable to failure to rescue of patients from severe complications. The authors call for a collaborative response from international and regional associations of pancreatic surgeons to address management related to death from postoperative complications to tackle the global disparities in the outcomes of pancreatic surgery (NCT04652271; ISRCTN95140761)

    D. Die einzelnen romanischen Sprachen und Literaturen.

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