A change-point problem and inference for segment signals

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that indicates whether that point belongs to an unknown segment and this label is contaminated with noise. The endpoints of the unknown segment are the change-points. We study the minimal size of the segment which allows statistical detection in different scenarios, including when the endpoints are separated from the boundary of the domain of the design, or when they are separated from one another. We compare this minimal size with the minimax rates of convergence for estimation of the segment under the same scenarios. The aim of this extensive study of a simple yet fundamental version of the change-point problem is twofold: Understanding the impact of the location and the separation of the change points on detection and estimation and bringing insights about the estimation and detection of convex bodies in higher dimensions.Comment: arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:1404.622

Convex set detection

We address the problem of one dimensional segment detection and estimation, in a regression setup. At each point of a fixed or random design, one observes whether that point belongs to the unknown segment or not, up to some additional noise. We try to understand what the minimal size of the segment is so it can be accurately seen by some statistical procedure, and how this minimal size depends on some a priori knowledge about the location of the unknown segment

Notes and comments on the ex-post evaluation of the fisheries agreement EU-Morocco

This report presents a summary of the content of the ex-post evaluation of the fishing agreement between the EU and Morocco