Estimating global injuries morbidity and mortality : methods and data used in the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study

Background While there is a long history of measuring death and disability from injuries, modern research methods must account for the wide spectrum of disability that can occur in an injury, and must provide estimates with sufficient demographic, geographical and temporal detail to be useful for policy makers. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 study used methods to provide highly detailed estimates of global injury burden that meet these criteria. Methods In this study, we report and discuss the methods used in GBD 2017 for injury morbidity and mortality burden estimation. In summary, these methods included estimating cause-specific mortality for every cause of injury, and then estimating incidence for every cause of injury. Non-fatal disability for each cause is then calculated based on the probabilities of suffering from different types of bodily injury experienced. Results GBD 2017 produced morbidity and mortality estimates for 38 causes of injury. Estimates were produced in terms of incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability, cause-specific mortality, years of life lost and disability-adjusted life-years for a 28-year period for 22 age groups, 195 countries and both sexes. Conclusions GBD 2017 demonstrated a complex and sophisticated series of analytical steps using the largest known database of morbidity and mortality data on injuries. GBD 2017 results should be used to help inform injury prevention policy making and resource allocation. We also identify important avenues for improving injury burden estimation in the future.Peer reviewe

Global injury morbidity and mortality from 1990 to 2017 : results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Correction:Background Past research in population health trends has shown that injuries form a substantial burden of population health loss. Regular updates to injury burden assessments are critical. We report Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 Study estimates on morbidity and mortality for all injuries. Methods We reviewed results for injuries from the GBD 2017 study. GBD 2017 measured injury-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. To measure non-fatal injuries, GBD 2017 modelled injury-specific incidence and converted this to prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs). YLLs and YLDs were summed to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Findings In 1990, there were 4 260 493 (4 085 700 to 4 396 138) injury deaths, which increased to 4 484 722 (4 332 010 to 4 585 554) deaths in 2017, while age-standardised mortality decreased from 1079 (1073 to 1086) to 738 (730 to 745) per 100 000. In 1990, there were 354 064 302 (95% uncertainty interval: 338 174 876 to 371 610 802) new cases of injury globally, which increased to 520 710 288 (493 430 247 to 547 988 635) new cases in 2017. During this time, age-standardised incidence decreased non-significantly from 6824 (6534 to 7147) to 6763 (6412 to 7118) per 100 000. Between 1990 and 2017, age-standardised DALYs decreased from 4947 (4655 to 5233) per 100 000 to 3267 (3058 to 3505). Interpretation Injuries are an important cause of health loss globally, though mortality has declined between 1990 and 2017. Future research in injury burden should focus on prevention in high-burden populations, improving data collection and ensuring access to medical care.Peer reviewe

Vocal Fold Paresis and Voice Outcomes following Vocal Fold Mass Excision.

OBJECTIVE: To correlate the surgical results of vocal fold mass excision with pre-operative existence of vocal fold paresis. METHODS: Data were collected on 66 patients who underwent excision of benign vocal fold masses from 2015 to 2020. The pre- and post-operative strobovideolaryngoscopy (SVL) examinations for all patients included were evaluated blindly by three otolaryngologists using THE Voice-Vibratory Assessment with Laryngeal Imaging (VALI) Form for scar severity, mucosal wave, free edge contour, glottal closure, and phase closure. The success of mass excision surgery was determined based on the presence of the following criteria post-operatively: 1) improved mucosal wave motion 2) improved phase closure or glottic closure 3) improved free edge contour and 4) lack of worsening of vocal fold scar severity. Surgery was considered successful if 3 or 4 criteria were met, partially successful if 1 or 2 criteria were met, and unsuccessful if no criteria were met. The percent recruitment of the thyroarytenoid, posterior cricoarytenoid (PCA), and cricothyroid muscles were used evaluated the severity of paresis as mild (70-99% recruitment), moderate (40-60% recruitment), or severe (0-39% recruitment). VHI-10 scores were used as subjective measures of pre- and post-operative voice. RESULTS: Sixty-six patients (26 male, 40 female) were included in this study, with a mean age of 37.25 ± 16.6 (range 18-78). Twelve patients had no evidence of VF paresis noted during the initial clinical evaluation; and 52 patients had paresis and had undergone laryngeal EMG. 81% of these patients had mild paresis, 12.8% had moderate paresis, and 5.8% had severe paresis. Based on pre- and post-operative strobovideolaryngoscopy, there was improvement in mucosal wave in 44.9% of cases, improvement of phase or glottic closure in 85.4% of cases, improved free edge contour in 95.5% of cases, and worsening of scar in 38.5% of cases. 39.6% of surgeries were fully successful, 33.3% of surgeries were partially successful, and 27.1% were not successful. There was a significant correlation between female gender and vocal fold paresis (P = 0.048). Paresis severity did not correlate with complete or partial surgical success (P = 0.956), pre-operative VHI-10 scores (P = 0.519), post-operative VHI-10 scores (P = 0.563), or strobovideolaryngoscopy parameters. Unilateral and bilateral paresis did not correlate with any other parameter of surgical success (P \u3e0.05). CONCLUSION: This study suggests that there is no correlation between pre-operative vocal fold paresis and voice outcomes after mass excision surgery, that the majority of mass excision surgeries (72.9%) are successful based on improvement in stroboscopic parameters, and that the proportion of patients with moderate and severe paresis is consistent across all laryngeal nerves