Estudio prospectivo y estratégico del sector lechero en la zona alta, media y baja del Municipio de Tuluá, entre los años 2018 al 2026

El presente trabajo está fundamentado en el contexto de la prospectiva orientado a consultar a los actores de la cadena láctea para conocer sus anhelos, temores, proyectos y estrategias, establecer posibles escenarios futuros para los ganaderos del sector lechero en el municipio de Tuluá y su zona de influencia; frente a los nuevos mercados como el americano y el europeo, así mismo propone el desarrollo de las estrategias y lineamientos de política del sector, además diagnostica las variables más relevantes contenida en mejorar la productividad y competitividad del agronegocio de la lechería de la región.MaestríaMAGISTER EN ADMINISTRACIÓ

Transient stabbing headache from an acute thalamic hemorrhage

Stabbing headache can be encountered in both primary and secondary forms, but has been infrequently reported among patients with stroke, and is not known to be associated with a small well-circumscribed brain lesion. A 95-year-old woman taking warfarin presented with the sudden onset of stabbing headache strictly in the right frontal and supraorbital regions, along with gait imbalance and dysarthria. Neuroimaging revealed a small left thalamic hematoma. This association of an acute thalamic lesion with stabbing headache in the contralateral trigeminal distribution is discussed, along with a brief review of stabbing headache occurring in cerebrovascular disease

SSOP Reconstrucción tridimensional de la tibia y el peroné para su aplicación en modelos biomecánicos de fracturas

Context:  Non-fatal injuries represent a public health issue. Among them, lower limb fractures have a large impact on the costs related to orthopedic treatments. In this work, a three-dimensional reconstruction of the tibia and fibula was performed for biomechanical applications with the purpose of defining the 3D reconstruction parameters that allow reducing patients’ radiation exposure and computational costs.  Method: For the 3D reconstruction, a computerized tomography taken from a volunteer was used, as well as two software applications specialized in DICOM image reconstruction (Mimics Research and 3DSlicer). The number of images included in the volume was modified, and the results were compared. The quality of the reconstructed volumes was verified by comparing the reference volume reconstructed with the total number of images/slices vs. the modified volumes. The MeshLab software was used for this purpose. The analyzed parameters were the distance differences between the reference and the alternative models, as well as the qualitative curvature analysis. Results: The ANOVA results for the Max (maximum distance between meshes) response shows that software and slices are significant factors. However, the software-slices interaction did not have a significant influence. As for the RMS (root mean square) distance response, software, slices, and the software-slices interaction are not significant. For the Mean distance response, slices and the software-slices interaction are not significant. Nevertheless, software significantly influences the response. These results suggest a potential way to reduce the computational cost and the patient’s radiation exposure in future biomechanical and preoperatory analyses, since the same quality can be obtained by including fewer 2D images in the reconstruction. Conclusions: The reconstructed surfaces are smoother when Mimics is used, even though the same smoothness factor was employed in both software applications during the reconstruction. When 16 slices are used (retained every 16 images from the complete original model), the distance differences increased for both bones (tibia and fibula). For the RMS, reducing the number of slices and using either one of the two applications analyzed would not show any significant differences in the reconstruction, thus allowing the potential reduction of radiation exposure of the patient. Acknowledgements: The authors are grateful to Universidad Nacional de Colombia for funding the project “Estado de esfuerzos en un elemento de osteosíntesis en la consolidación de una fractura de miembro inferior”. Contexto: Las lesiones no fatales representan un problema de salud pública. Entre ellas, las fracturas de las extremidades inferiores tienen un gran impacto en los costos relacionados con los tratamientos ortopédicos. En este trabajo se realizó una reconstrucción tridimensional de la tibia y el peroné para aplicaciones biomecánicas con el fin de definir los parámetros de reconstrucción 3D que permitan reducir la exposición a la radiación de los pacientes y el costo computacional. Método: Para la reconstrucción 3D se empleó una tomografía computarizada tomada a un voluntario. Se utilizaron dos programas de software especializados en la reconstrucción de imágenes DICOM (Mimics Research y 3DSlicer). Se modificó el número de imágenes 2D incluidas en el volumen y se compararon los resultados. La calidad de los volúmenes reconstruidos se verificó comparando el volumen de referencia reconstruido con el número total de imágenes/cortes frente a los volúmenes modificados. Para ello se utilizó el software MeshLab. Los parámetros analizados fueron las diferencias de distancia entre el modelo de referencia y el alternativo, y el análisis cualitativo de la curvatura. Resultados: Los resultados del ANOVA para la respuesta Max (distancia máxima entre mallas) muestran que el software y los cortes son factores significativos. Sin embargo, la interacción software-cortes no tuvo una influencia significativa. Para la respuesta RMS (Root Mean Square) el software, los cortes y la interacción software*cortes no son significativos. Para la respuesta media, los cortes y la interacción software-cortes no son significativos. Sin embargo, el software influye significativamente en los resultados. Estos resultados suponen una reducción del coste computacional y de la exposición de los pacientes a radiación en futuros análisis biomecánicos y preoperatorios, ya que se puede obtener la misma calidad incluyendo menos imágenes 2D en la reconstrucción. Conclusiones: Las superficies reconstruidas son más suaves cuando se utiliza Mimics a pesar de que se utilizó el mismo factor de suavidad en ambos programas durante la reconstrucción. Cuando se utilizan 16 cortes (retenidas cada 16 imágenes del modelo original completo), las diferencias de distancia aumentan para ambos huesos (tibia y peroné). Para el RMS, reducir el número de cortes y utilizar cualquiera de los dos programas analizados no presentaría diferencias significativas en la reconstrucción planteándose como una forma potencial para la reducción de la exposición a la radiación del paciente. Agradecimientos: Los autores agradecen a la Universidad Nacional de Colombia la financiación del proyecto “Estado de esfuerzos en un elemento de osteosíntesis en la consolidación de una fractura de miembro inferior”

FACTORES ASOCIADOS A MORTALIDAD EN PACIENTES HOSPITALIZADOS CON COVID-19: COHORTE PROSPECTIVA EN EL HOSPITAL NACIONAL EDGARDO REBAGLIATI MARTINS. LIMA, PERÚ

Aim: To determine the associated factors with mortality of adult patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study and included patients older than 18 years hospitalized with the diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Those patients with a positive rapid serological test on admission, but no respiratory symptoms nor compatible images were excluded. We collected the data from clinical records. Results: A total of 813 adults were included, 544 (66.9%) with confirmed COVID-19. The mean age was 61.2 years (SD: 15.0) and 575 (70.5%) were male. The most frequent comorbidities were hypertension (34.1%) and obesity (25.9%). The most frequent symptoms on admission were dyspnea (82.2%) and cough (53.9%). A total of 114 (14.0%) patients who received mechanical ventilation, 38 (4.7%) were admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and 377 (46.4%) died. The requirement for ventilatory support, greater lung involvement, comorbidities, and inflammatory markers were associated with mortality. It was found that for every 10 - year increase in age, the risk of dying increased by 32% (RR: 1.32 95% CI: 1.25 to 1.38). Those who required admission to the ICU and mechanical ventilation had 1.39 (95% CI: 1.13 to 1.69) and 1.97 (95% CI: 1.69 to 2.29) times the risk of dying compared to those who did not. Conclusion:  We found a high mortality rate in hospitalized patients associated with greater age, more elevated inflammatory markers, and more severe respiratory compromise.Objetivos. Determinar los factores asociados a mortalidad de los pacientes adultos hospitalizados con COVID-19 en un hospital de referencia de la seguridad social. Materiales y métodos. Se realizó un estudio de cohorte prospectivo. Se incluyó a pacientes mayores de 18 años hospitalizados con el diagnostico de infección por SARS-CoV-2 y se excluyó a quienes ingresaron asintomáticos respiratorios, con prueba rápida serológica positiva al ingreso y sin imágenes compatibles. Los datos se recolectaron a partir de la historia clínica. Resultados. Se incluyó un total de 813 adultos, 544 (66.9%) tuvieron COVID-19 confirmado. La media de la edad fue de 61.2 años (DE: 15.0) y 575 (70.5%) fueron de sexo masculino. Las comorbilidades más frecuentes fueron hipertensión arterial (34.1%) y obesidad (25.9%). Los síntomas más frecuentes al ingreso fueron disnea (82.2%) y tos (53.9%). Un total de 114 (14.0%) pacientes recibieron ventilación mecánica, 38 (4.7%) ingresaron a UCI y 377 (46.4%) fallecieron. El requerimiento de soporte ventilatorio, el mayor compromiso pulmonar, las comorbilidades y los marcadores inflamatorios se asociaron a la mortalidad. Se halló que por cada 10 años que aumenta la edad, el riesgo de morir se incrementa en 32% (RR: 1.32 IC95%: 1.25 a 1.38). Aquellos que requirieron ingreso a UCI y ventilación mecánica tuvieron 1.39 (IC95%: 1.13 a 1.69) y 1.97 (IC95%: 1.69 a 2.29) veces el riesgo de morir, respectivamente. Conclusión. La mortalidad encontrada en nuestro estudio fue alta y estuvo asociada a la edad,  marcadores inflamatorios y compromiso respiratorio.

Why Are Outcomes Different for Registry Patients Enrolled Prospectively and Retrospectively? Insights from the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF).

Background: Retrospective and prospective observational studies are designed to reflect real-world evidence on clinical practice, but can yield conflicting results. The GARFIELD-AF Registry includes both methods of enrolment and allows analysis of differences in patient characteristics and outcomes that may result. Methods and Results: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and ≥1 risk factor for stroke at diagnosis of AF were recruited either retrospectively (n = 5069) or prospectively (n = 5501) from 19 countries and then followed prospectively. The retrospectively enrolled cohort comprised patients with established AF (for a least 6, and up to 24 months before enrolment), who were identified retrospectively (and baseline and partial follow-up data were collected from the emedical records) and then followed prospectively between 0-18 months (such that the total time of follow-up was 24 months; data collection Dec-2009 and Oct-2010). In the prospectively enrolled cohort, patients with newly diagnosed AF (≤6 weeks after diagnosis) were recruited between Mar-2010 and Oct-2011 and were followed for 24 months after enrolment. Differences between the cohorts were observed in clinical characteristics, including type of AF, stroke prevention strategies, and event rates. More patients in the retrospectively identified cohort received vitamin K antagonists (62.1% vs. 53.2%) and fewer received non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (1.8% vs . 4.2%). All-cause mortality rates per 100 person-years during the prospective follow-up (starting the first study visit up to 1 year) were significantly lower in the retrospective than prospectively identified cohort (3.04 [95% CI 2.51 to 3.67] vs . 4.05 [95% CI 3.53 to 4.63]; p = 0.016). Conclusions: Interpretations of data from registries that aim to evaluate the characteristics and outcomes of patients with AF must take account of differences in registry design and the impact of recall bias and survivorship bias that is incurred with retrospective enrolment. Clinical Trial Registration: - URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier for GARFIELD-AF (NCT01090362)

Special and differential treatment for developingcountries

Special and Differential Treatment for Developing Countries (SDT) constitutes a central feature of the GATT/WTO system. Its formal goal is to foster export-led growth in developing countries. Its theoretical foundations and empirical support are, however, weak at best. In particular, SDT conflicts with the GATT's two key principles of reciprocity and non-discrimination, compromising the efficiency of the multilateral trading system. Still, if SDT provisions help those who most need help, sacrificing economic efficiency may be justifiable. However, there are numerous criticisms, on theoretical and empirical grounds, to the premises and the achievements of SDT-based disciplines, casting serious doubt on its effectiveness in helping developing countries trade and grow. For researchers, the good news is that there is plenty of room for progress, with several important areas where our understanding remains unsatisfactory but progress is feasible---that is, where the expected return to research effort seems unusually high

Global overview of the management of acute cholecystitis during the COVID-19 pandemic (CHOLECOVID study)

Background: This study provides a global overview of the management of patients with acute cholecystitis during the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: CHOLECOVID is an international, multicentre, observational comparative study of patients admitted to hospital with acute cholecystitis during the COVID-19 pandemic. Data on management were collected for a 2-month study interval coincident with the WHO declaration of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and compared with an equivalent pre-pandemic time interval. Mediation analysis examined the influence of SARS-COV-2 infection on 30-day mortality. Results: This study collected data on 9783 patients with acute cholecystitis admitted to 247 hospitals across the world. The pandemic was associated with reduced availability of surgical workforce and operating facilities globally, a significant shift to worse severity of disease, and increased use of conservative management. There was a reduction (both absolute and proportionate) in the number of patients undergoing cholecystectomy from 3095 patients (56.2 per cent) pre-pandemic to 1998 patients (46.2 per cent) during the pandemic but there was no difference in 30-day all-cause mortality after cholecystectomy comparing the pre-pandemic interval with the pandemic (13 patients (0.4 per cent) pre-pandemic to 13 patients (0.6 per cent) pandemic; P = 0.355). In mediation analysis, an admission with acute cholecystitis during the pandemic was associated with a non-significant increased risk of death (OR 1.29, 95 per cent c.i. 0.93 to 1.79, P = 0.121). Conclusion: CHOLECOVID provides a unique overview of the treatment of patients with cholecystitis across the globe during the first months of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. The study highlights the need for system resilience in retention of elective surgical activity. Cholecystectomy was associated with a low risk of mortality and deferral of treatment results in an increase in avoidable morbidity that represents the non-COVID cost of this pandemic

Risk profiles and one-year outcomes of patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation in India: Insights from the GARFIELD-AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: The Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF) is an ongoing prospective noninterventional registry, which is providing important information on the baseline characteristics, treatment patterns, and 1-year outcomes in patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). This report describes data from Indian patients recruited in this registry. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 52,014 patients with newly diagnosed AF were enrolled globally; of these, 1388 patients were recruited from 26 sites within India (2012-2016). In India, the mean age was 65.8 years at diagnosis of NVAF. Hypertension was the most prevalent risk factor for AF, present in 68.5% of patients from India and in 76.3% of patients globally (P < 0.001). Diabetes and coronary artery disease (CAD) were prevalent in 36.2% and 28.1% of patients as compared with global prevalence of 22.2% and 21.6%, respectively (P < 0.001 for both). Antiplatelet therapy was the most common antithrombotic treatment in India. With increasing stroke risk, however, patients were more likely to receive oral anticoagulant therapy [mainly vitamin K antagonist (VKA)], but average international normalized ratio (INR) was lower among Indian patients [median INR value 1.6 (interquartile range {IQR}: 1.3-2.3) versus 2.3 (IQR 1.8-2.8) (P < 0.001)]. Compared with other countries, patients from India had markedly higher rates of all-cause mortality [7.68 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval 6.32-9.35) vs 4.34 (4.16-4.53), P < 0.0001], while rates of stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding were lower after 1 year of follow-up. CONCLUSION: Compared to previously published registries from India, the GARFIELD-AF registry describes clinical profiles and outcomes in Indian patients with AF of a different etiology. The registry data show that compared to the rest of the world, Indian AF patients are younger in age and have more diabetes and CAD. Patients with a higher stroke risk are more likely to receive anticoagulation therapy with VKA but are underdosed compared with the global average in the GARFIELD-AF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION-URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01090362

Registro ACESUR: atención de pacientes adultos con crisis epilépticas en servicios de urgencias: diferencias entre primer episodio y recurrencia

Objetivo. Describir las características y la atención recibida de pacientes adultos que consultan por crisis epiléptica (CE) en los servicios de urgencias hospitalarios (SUH), diferenciando entre primera crisis y recurrencia en epiléptico conocido. Método. ACESUR es un registro observacional de cohortes multipropósito, prospectivo y multicéntrico con un muestreo sistemático, los días pares de febrero y julio alternando con los impares de abril y octubre de 2017. Se incluyeron pacientes 18 años con diagnóstico de CE en los SUH. Se recogieron variables clínico-asistenciales de la visita índice de pacientes, distinguiendo entre primera CE y recurrencia en epiléptico. Resultados. El registro ACESUR recogió a 664 pacientes procedentes de 18 SUH españoles, 229 (34, 5%) con primera CE y 435 (65, 5%) con CE recurrentes. Los pacientes con primera CE fueron de mayor edad (p < 0, 001), presentaron motivos de consulta distintos (p < 0, 001) y requirieron más traslados en ambulancia (p < 0, 001). La atención recibida en el SUH fue diferente, en pacientes con primera CE se solicitó con mayor probabilidad una prueba complementaria específica (OR ajustada = 13, 94; IC95%:7, 29-26, 7; p < 0, 001) y se necesitó mayor hospitalización o estancia prolongada en el SUH (OR ajustada = 1, 69; IC95%:1, 11-2, 58; p = 0, 015). No hubo diferencias en cuanto al tratamiento farmacológico en fase aguda ni preventivo (OR ajustada = 1, 40; IC95%:0, 94-2, 09; p = 0, 096). Se inició tratamiento con fármacos antiepiépticos (FAE) en 100 pacientes (43, 7%) tras primera CE y se reinició o modificó añadiendo nuevo FAE en 142 pacientes (32, 6%) con CE recurrentes. Conclusiones. Las características clínicas y la atención recibida de pacientes adultos con primera CE en SUH en España difieren de las recurrencias en epiléptico conocido. Objective. To describe the characteristics of care received by patients who come to the emergency department with a first epileptic seizure versus a recurrent seizure in a patient with diagnosed epilepsy. Methods. ACESUR (Acute Epileptic Seizures in the Emergency Department) is a prospective multicenter, multipurpose registry of cases obtained by systematic sampling on even days in February and July 2017 and on odd days in April and October 2017. Patients were aged 18 years or older and had an emergency department diagnosis of epileptic seizure. We recorded clinical variables and details related to care given during each patient''s visit, including whether the event was a first or recurrent seizure. Results. A total of 664 patients attended by 18 Spanish emergency departments were entered into the ACESUR registry. Two hundred twenty-nine (34.5%) were first seizures and 435 (65.5%) were recurrences. Patients who were attended for first seizures were older, consulted for a wider variety of reasons, and were transported in ambulances (P<.001, all comparisons). Care received differed between patients with first seizures versus recurrent seizures. Specific complementary testing was more likely in patients with first seizures (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 13.94; 95% CI, 29-26.7; P<.001), and they were more often hospitalized or stayed longer in the emergency department, (aOR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.11-2.58; P=.015). Pharmacologic treatment did not differ between the groups, either in the acute phase or for prevention (aOR, 1.40; 95% CI, 0.94-2.09; P=.096). Antiepileptic drugs were given to 100 patients (43.7%) after a first seizure and were restarted or changed in 142 patients with recurrent seizure (32.6%). Conclusions. The clinical characteristics of adults attended for a first epileptic seizure differ from those of patients with diagnosed epilepsy who were attended for recurrent seizures in Spain. The care received also differs

Evaluation of appendicitis risk prediction models in adults with suspected appendicitis

Background Appendicitis is the most common general surgical emergency worldwide, but its diagnosis remains challenging. The aim of this study was to determine whether existing risk prediction models can reliably identify patients presenting to hospital in the UK with acute right iliac fossa (RIF) pain who are at low risk of appendicitis. Methods A systematic search was completed to identify all existing appendicitis risk prediction models. Models were validated using UK data from an international prospective cohort study that captured consecutive patients aged 16–45 years presenting to hospital with acute RIF in March to June 2017. The main outcome was best achievable model specificity (proportion of patients who did not have appendicitis correctly classified as low risk) whilst maintaining a failure rate below 5 per cent (proportion of patients identified as low risk who actually had appendicitis). Results Some 5345 patients across 154 UK hospitals were identified, of which two‐thirds (3613 of 5345, 67·6 per cent) were women. Women were more than twice as likely to undergo surgery with removal of a histologically normal appendix (272 of 964, 28·2 per cent) than men (120 of 993, 12·1 per cent) (relative risk 2·33, 95 per cent c.i. 1·92 to 2·84; P < 0·001). Of 15 validated risk prediction models, the Adult Appendicitis Score performed best (cut‐off score 8 or less, specificity 63·1 per cent, failure rate 3·7 per cent). The Appendicitis Inflammatory Response Score performed best for men (cut‐off score 2 or less, specificity 24·7 per cent, failure rate 2·4 per cent). Conclusion Women in the UK had a disproportionate risk of admission without surgical intervention and had high rates of normal appendicectomy. Risk prediction models to support shared decision‐making by identifying adults in the UK at low risk of appendicitis were identified