73 research outputs found

    Measuring Liquidity in Gas Markets: The Case of the UK National Balancing Point. ESRI Research Bulletin 2019/06

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    Liquidity is the ability to match buyers and sellers at the lowest transaction costs. Therefore, in a liquid market, executing a transaction over a short-time horizon does not imply higher costs than spreading the same transaction over a longer horizon. Policymakers and practitioners traditionally use the churn ratio to measure liquidity in gas markets. The churn ratio is the ratio of traded volume to actual physical delivery. However, this measure does not consider the impact of trading activity on prices. This research focuses on applying different measures of liquidity, which are used in financial markets, to measure and assess the impact of trading activity on prices. The UK National Balancing Point (NBP) is used as a case study, since it is the most mature hub for gas trading in Europe. Therefore, conclusions from this study can be extended to other gas markets. The research shows that a positive correlation exists between trading activity and prices in the market. However, the strength of this correlation changes over time, depending upon market conditions. Specifically, in the presence of oversupply the impact of trading activity on prices is lower, thus implying that trading a high amount of gas is less expensive, and liquidity is high. Consequently, risk management costs are also less expensive

    What is the effect of size on the use of the EFQM excellence model?

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    Purpose By contrasting a contingency with a universal approach to business excellence models (BEMs), the purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of size on the use of the European Foundation for Quality Management (EFQM) model by organizations that were officially “Recognized for Excellence” in Spain. It considers the potential differences between large organizations and SMEs on the level of adoption of EFQM criteria and on the impact that enablers-criteria may have on key performance measures. Design/methodology/approach This study uses actual sub-criteria and criteria scores attained by organizations in their assessment for EFQM recognition. Scores of a population of 216 organizations are analyzed via analysis of variance, factor and structural equations models. Findings Although there are some criteria in the EFQM model that appear to be universally adopted irrespective of size, the empirical analyses indicate that size may shape the adoption of other criteria and the impact that enablers can have on results, thus supporting a contingency perspective. Moreover, the findings call for the revision of the relationships embedded in the EFQM model. Originality/value In contrast to most previous research, which relied on surveys of managers’ perceptions, this study uses the actual scores achieved by organizations in their assessment for EFQM recognition. It addresses the effect of size on the whole model, which so far has been neglected in the literature. All in all this study contributes to the literature on contingency approaches to best practices, and more specifically to BEMs. To the practitioner, it provides guidelines for addressing perceived performance gaps in their pursuit of recognition for excellence

    A comparison of univariate methods for forecasting electricity demand up to a day ahead

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    This empirical paper compares the accuracy of six univariate methods for short-term electricity demand forecasting for lead times up to a day ahead. The very short lead times are of particular interest as univariate methods are often replaced by multivariate methods for prediction beyond about six hours ahead. The methods considered include the recently proposed exponential smoothing method for double seasonality and a new method based on principal component analysis (PCA). The methods are compared using a time series of hourly demand for Rio de Janeiro and a series of half-hourly demand for England and Wales. The PCA method performed well, but, overall, the best results were achieved with the exponential smoothing method, leading us to conclude that simpler and more robust methods, which require little domain knowledge, can outperform more complex alternatives

    MONITORAMENTO DO RESERVATÓRIO DE PITUAÇU, INSERIDO NA MATRIZ DE EXPANSÃO URBANA DA CIDADE DE SALVADOR - BAHIA

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    O reservatÛrio de PituaÁu, na matriz de expans„o urbana da cidade de Salvador (Bahia), encontra-se inserido no Parque Metropolitano de PituaÁu. Esse foi fundado em 1973 com 660 hectares e atualmente possui uma ·rea de aproximadamente 390 hectares, a reduÁ„o È consequÍncia das intervenÁıes histÛricas que ocorreram na ·rea e no entorno do reservatÛrio. O trabalho tem objetivo apresentar os resultados dos par‚metros monitorados pela Empresa Baiana de ÂĄguas e Saneamento (Embasa) no perÌodo entre os anos de 2007 atÈ 2015. No delineamento amostral foram distribuÌdos aleatoriamente 09 pontos, com frequÍncia de monitoramento semestral, onde apenas os par‚metros: Cloreto Total, Potencial HidrogeniÙnico, Demanda BioquÌmica de OxigÍnio, FÛsforo Total, NitrogÍnio Amoniacal, Nitrato, AlumÌnio Dissolvido, B·rio Total, C·dmio Total, Chumbo Total, Ferro Dissolvido, ManganÍs Total, Zinco Total, OxigÍnio Dissolvido, SÛlidos Dissolvidos, Sulfato Total, Turbidez, Clorofila-a, Coliformes Termotolerantes, CianobactÈrias e Cianotoxinas, apresentam resultados significativos para discutir a qualidade da ·gua do reservatÛrio. As ocupaÁıes irregulares na bacia hidrogr·fica do rio PituaÁu promovem aporte de nutrientes org‚nicos e inorg‚nicos que comprometem a qualidade da ·gua, conforme indica os par‚metros analisados. O elevado tempo de residÍncia da ·gua no reservatÛrio potencializa a degradaÁ„o dos nutrientes aportados pelas fontes antrÛpicas localizadas na bacia hidrogr·fica. As alteraÁıes observadas no monitoramento indicam variaÁıes significativas no grau de trofia do reservatÛrio, onde o mesmo flutua dentro do balanÁo hÌdrico anual entre os estados eutrÛfico e hipereutrÛfico. A qualidade da ·gua n„o atende os par‚metros destinados ao enquadramento para consumo humano e a Empresa Baiana de ÂĄguas e Saneamento (Embasa), apesar de possuir estrutura eficiente para o tratamento convencional, n„o utiliza o reservatÛrio para abastecimento da populaÁ„o da cidade de Salvador (Bahia). Contudo, mantÈm o programa de monitoramento ativo, visando auxiliar os Ûrg„os respons·veis pela gest„o do Parque Metropolitano de PituaÁu na definiÁ„o dos usos para o reservatÛrio
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