Examining collusion and voting biases between countries during the Eurovision song contest since 1957

The Eurovision Song Contest (ESC) is an annual event which attracts millions of viewers. It is an interesting activity to examine since the participants of the competition represent a particular country's musical performance that will be awarded a set of scores from other participating countries based upon a quality assessment of a performance. There is a question of whether the countries will vote exclusively according to the artistic merit of the song, or if the vote will be a public signal of national support for another country. Since the competition aims to bring people together, any consistent biases in the awarding of scores would defeat the purpose of the celebration of expression and this has attracted researchers to investigate the supporting evidence for biases. This paper builds upon an approach which produces a set of random samples from an unbiased distribution of score allocation, and extends the methodology to use the full set of years of the competition's life span which has seen fundamental changes to the voting schemes adopted. By building up networks from statistically significant edge sets of vote allocations during a set of years, the results display a plausible network for the origins of the culture anchors for the preferences of the awarded votes. With 60 years of data, the results support the hypothesis of regional collusion and biases arising from proximity, culture and other irrelevant factors in regards to the music which that alone is intended to affect the judgment of the contest.Comment: to be published in JASS

Early social rearing, the V1A arginine vasopressin receptor genotype, and autistic traits in chimpanzees

Previous studies found associations between autism-related phenotypes and both rearing and V1A arginine vasopressin receptor (AVPR1A) genotypes. We tested whether these exposures as well as their interaction were associated with autism-related phenotypes in 121 laboratory-housed chimpanzees. We used expert-derived weights to obtain autism scores from ratings on the 43-item Chimpanzee Personality Questionnaire; higher scores indicated more autistic-like traits. The first model included fixed effects for sex, age, and rearing, and a random effect that addressed the relatedness of subjects. The second model was the same except that it also included the rearing × AVPR1A genotype interaction as a fixed effect. Both models indicated that the phenotype was moderately heritable and that chimpanzees reared by their mothers had lower scores on the scale. The effect of genotype in both models indicated that chimpanzees with an indel deletion had higher scores on the scale, although the credible interval included zero. Moreover, the rearing × genotype interaction in the second model indicated that chimpanzees who possessed the non-deletion genotype and who were reared by their mother were at even greater risk. The credible interval for this effect did not include zero, but fit statistics indicated that the model without the interaction was marginally better, and the interaction was in the opposite direction than we expected based on previous work. These findings highlight the importance of rearing effects in the typical social development of our closet-living nonhuman relative

The Formation of High Redshift Submillimeter Galaxies

We describe a model for the formation of \zsim 2 Submillimeter Galaxies (SMGs) which simultaneously accounts for both average and bright SMGs while providing a reasonable match to their mean observed spectral energy distributions (SEDs). By coupling hydrodynamic simulations of galaxy mergers with the high resolution 3D polychromatic radiative transfer code Sunrise, we find that a mass sequence of merger models which use observational constraints as physical input naturally yield objects which exhibit black hole, bulge, and H2 gas masses similar to those observed in SMGs. The dominant drivers behind the 850 micron flux are the masses of the merging galaxies and the stellar birthcloud covering fraction. The most luminous (S850 ~ 15 mJy) sources are recovered by ~10^13 Msun 1:1 major mergers with a birthcloud covering fraction close to unity, whereas more average SMGs ~5-7 mJy) may be formed in lower mass halos ~5x10^12 Msun. These models demonstrate the need for high spatial resolution hydrodynamic and radiative transfer simulations in matching both the most luminous sources as well as the full SEDs of SMGs. While these models suggest a natural formation mechanism for SMGs, they do not attempt to match cosmological statistics of galaxy populations; future efforts along this line will help ascertain the robustness of these models.Comment: MNRAS Accepted; Revised version includes expanded discussion of simulated radio properties of SMG

T-duality and Differential K-Theory

We give a precise formulation of T-duality for Ramond-Ramond fields. This gives a canonical isomorphism between the "geometrically invariant" subgroups of the twisted differential K-theory of certain principal torus bundles. Our result combines topological T-duality with the Buscher rules found in physics.Comment: 23 pages, typos corrected, submitted to Comm.Math.Phy

Deep, ultra-high-resolution radio imaging of submillimetre galaxies using Very Long Baseline Interferometry

We present continent-scale VLBI - obtained with the European VLBI Network (EVN) at a wavelength of 18cm - of six distant, luminous submm-selected galaxies (SMGs). Our images have a synthesized beam width of ~30 milliarcsec FWHM - three orders of magnitude smaller in area than the highest resolution VLA imaging at this wavelength - and are capable of separating radio emission from ultra-compact radio cores (associated with active super-massive black holes - SMBHs) from that due to starburst activity. Despite targeting compact sources - as judged by earlier observations with the VLA and MERLIN - we identify ultra-compact cores in only two of our targets. This suggests that the radio emission from SMGs is produced primarily on larger scales than those probed by the EVN, and therefore is generated by star formation rather than an AGN - a result consistent with other methods used to identify the presence of SMBHs in these systems.Comment: MNRAS, in pres

Mergers, AGN, and 'Normal' Galaxies: Contributions to the Distribution of Star Formation Rates and Infrared Luminosity Functions

We use a novel method to predict the contribution of normal star-forming galaxies, merger-induced bursts, and obscured AGN, to IR luminosity functions (LFs) and global SFR densities. We use empirical halo occupation constraints to populate halos with galaxies and determine the distribution of normal and merging galaxies. Each system can then be associated with high-resolution hydrodynamic simulations. We predict the distribution of observed luminosities and SFRs, from different galaxy classes, as a function of redshift from z=0-6. We provide fitting functions for the predicted LFs, quantify the uncertainties, and compare with observations. At all redshifts, 'normal' galaxies dominate the LF at moderate luminosities ~L* (the 'knee'). Merger-induced bursts increasingly dominate at L>>L*; at the most extreme luminosities, AGN are important. However, all populations increase in luminosity at higher redshifts, owing to increasing gas fractions. Thus the 'transition' between normal and merger-dominated sources increases from the LIRG-ULIRG threshold at z~0 to bright Hyper-LIRG thresholds at z~2. The transition to dominance by obscured AGN evolves similarly, at factor of several higher L_IR. At all redshifts, non-merging systems dominate the total luminosity/SFR density, with merger-induced bursts constituting ~5-10% and AGN ~1-5%. Bursts contribute little to scatter in the SFR-stellar mass relation. In fact, many systems identified as 'ongoing' mergers will be forming stars in their 'normal' (non-burst) mode. Counting this as 'merger-induced' star formation leads to a stronger apparent redshift evolution in the contribution of mergers to the SFR density.Comment: 16 pages, 9 figures (+appendices), accepted to MNRAS. A routine to return the galaxy merger rates discussed here is available at http://www.cfa.harvard.edu/~phopkins/Site/mergercalc.htm

A Physical Model for z~2 Dust Obscured Galaxies

We present a physical model for the origin of z~2 Dust-Obscured Galaxies (DOGs), a class of high-redshift ULIRGs selected at 24 micron which are particularly optically faint (24/R>1000). By combining N-body/SPH simulations of high redshift galaxy evolution with 3D polychromatic dust radiative transfer models, we find that luminous DOGs (with F24 > 0.3 mJy at z~2 are well-modeled as extreme gas-rich mergers in massive (~5x10^12-10^13 Msun) halos, with elevated star formation rates (~500-1000 Msun/yr) and/or significant AGN growth (Mdot > 0.5 Msun/yr), whereas less luminous DOGs are more diverse in nature. At final coalescence, merger-driven DOGs transition from being starburst dominated to AGN dominated, evolving from a "bump" to a power-law shaped mid-IR (IRAC) spectral energy distribution (SED). After the DOG phase, the galaxy settles back to exhibiting a "bump" SED with bluer colors and lower star formation rates. While canonically power-law galaxies are associated with being AGN-dominated, we find that the power-law mid-IR SED can owe both to direct AGN contribution, as well as to a heavily dust obscured stellar bump at times that the galaxy is starburst dominated. Thus power-law galaxies can be either starburst or AGN dominated. Less luminous DOGs can be well-represented either by mergers, or by massive ($M_{\rm baryon} ~5x10^11 Msun) secularly evolving gas-rich disc galaxies (with SFR > 50 Msun/yr). By utilising similar models as those employed in the SMG formation study of Narayanan et al. (2010), we investigate the connection between DOGs and SMGs. We find that the most heavily star-forming merger driven DOGs can be selected as Submillimetre Galaxies (SMGs), while both merger-driven and secularly evolving DOGs typically satisfy the BzK selection criteria.Comment: Accepted by MNRAS; major changes include better description of dependency on ISM specification and updated models allowing dust to evolve with metallicity

Obscured GOODS AGN and Their Host Galaxies at z < 1.25: The Slow Black Hole Growth Phase

We compute black hole masses and bolometric luminosities for 87 obscured AGN in the redshift range 0.25 < z < 1.25, selected from the GOODS deep multi-wavelength survey fields via their X-ray emission. We fit the optical images and obtain morphological parameters for the host galaxy, separating the galaxy from its central point source, thereby obtaining a four-band optical SED for each active nucleus. We calculate bolometric luminosities for these AGN by reddening a normalized mean SED of GOODS broad-line AGN to match the observed central point-source SED of each obscured AGN. This estimate of Lbol has a smaller spread than simple bolometric corrections to the X-ray luminosity or direct integration of the observed multi-wavelength SED, suggesting it is a better measure. We estimate central black hole masses from the bulge luminosities. The black hole masses span a wide range, 7 x 10^6 M_sun to 6 x 10^9 M_sun; the median black hole mass is 5 x 10^8 M_sun. The majority of these AGN have L/L_Edd < 0.01, and we detect no significant evolution of the mean Eddington ratio to z = 1.25. This implies that the bulk of black hole growth in these obscured AGN must have occurred at z > 1 and that we are observing these AGN in a slow- or no-growth state.Comment: Accepted to ApJ; 17 pages, 10 figures, 2 tables; Updated version has 1 corrected referenc

The physical scale of the far-infrared emission in the most luminous submillimetre galaxies II: evidence for merger-driven star formation

We present high-resolution 345 GHz interferometric observations of two extreme luminous (L_{IR}>10^{13} L_sun), submillimetre-selected galaxies (SMGs) in the COSMOS field with the Submillimeter Array (SMA). Both targets were previously detected as unresolved point-sources by the SMA in its compact configuration, also at 345 GHz. These new data, which provide a factor of ~3 improvement in resolution, allow us to measure the physical scale of the far-infrared in the submillimetre directly. The visibility functions of both targets show significant evidence for structure on 0.5-1 arcsec scales, which at z=1.5 translates into a physical scale of 5-8 kpc. Our results are consistent with the angular and physical scales of two comparably luminous objects with high-resolution SMA followup, as well as radio continuum and CO sizes. These relatively compact sizes (<5-10 kpc) argue strongly for merger-driven starbursts, rather than extended gas-rich disks, as the preferred channel for forming SMGs. For the most luminous objects, the derived sizes may also have important physical consequences; under a series of simplifying assumptions, we find that these two objects in particular are forming stars close to or at the Eddington limit for a starburst.Comment: 9 pages, 3 Figures, submitted to MNRA