29 research outputs found
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Glaciological investigations in east greenland using digital landsat imagery
Sixteen late summer Landsat MSS scenes of East Greenland from 1986 to 1989 were acquired for use in glaciological and marine geological investigations. Drainage basin areas and snowline elevations were determined for 74 tidewater glaciers in the study area, and turbid meltwater plumes were identified. A method of correcting digital Landsat MSS data for the effects of atmospheric haze has been developed and tested. The method consists of subtracting the radiance value of clear, open water measured in each of the four bands from the total radiance of each band. Verification of the haze correction technique, by comparing two overlapping scenes acquired two days apart, showed that the results were consistent to within 6% or less in all bands over four terrain types: bare ice, snow, bare rock and turbid lakewater. Analysis of band 4 Landsat MSS data (0.8 to 1.1 ?m) has been used to identify ice divides and drainage basin areas for tidewater glaciers in East Greenland between 67°N and 75°N. Basin areas ranged from approximately 50,000 km2 for Daugaard-Jensen Gletscher and Kangerdlugssuaq Gletscher, both fast-flowing outlet glaciers draining tlie Greenland Ice Sheet, to about 20 km2 for small local glaciers. The largest basins lie mostly outside the study area, and estimates of their area were obtained from published elevation maps, where available. Smaller glaciers could not be resolved because of problems with delineating their boundaries due to shadowing, new snow and surface moraine. The ratio of basin area to terminus width of a glacier was shown to give an indication of dynamic regime, as a glacier with a large drainage basin, but only a narrow terminus is likely to be fast flowing, and vice versa. The late-summer snowlines were located for glaciers within the study area using MSS band 3 reflectance data (0.7 to 0.8 ?m) , and the elevations of these snowlines were determined from the published 1 :250,000 topographic maps. A trend was seen in the snowline elevations increasing northwards from about 200 m for glaciers south of Kangerdlugssuaq Fjord (68°N) to over 1000 mat the head of Kejser Franz Josef Fjord (74°N). The reliability of these estimates was investigated by using overlapping imagery where possible, and it was seen that much of the variability in the values could be explained if the snowline was still rising on the earlier images, or if new snow had fallen shortly before acquisition of the later images~ Meteorological data and a time series of imagery would be needed to confirm this hypothesis. Areas of higher reflectance in the vicinity of tidewater termini and river mouths were identified using MSS band 1 data (0.5 to 0.6 ?m). These are interpreted to be turbid meltwater plumes, and this conclusion is supported by comparison with photographs from the field. Meltwater plumes are an important mechanism for transporting suspended sediments to the marine environment, and their presence implies that at least part of the glacier bed is at the pressure melting point or above, and thus gives an indication of the thermal regime of the glacier. Sediments deposited in the fjords and on the adjacent shelves form a record of the palaeoclimate of the polar North Atlantic and the fluctuations of the Greenland Ice Sheet. Information useful for the interpretation of sediment cores could therefore be obtained by studying the distribution of meltwater plumes and their variation with latitude and drainage basin area
Temporal variations in flow velocity at Finsterwalderbreen, a Svalbard surge-type glacier.
Inter- and intra-annual velocity variations are well known on alpine glaciers, but their
importance for Arctic glaciers has only been recognized more recently. This paper presents flow velocity
data from Finsterwalderbreen, a 35km2 polythermal surge-type glacier in southern Svalbard that is
presently ~100 years into its quiescent phase. Field measurements of glacier surface velocities are
available from 1950–52 and 1994–97, and mean velocities for the last decade are estimated for the lower
glacier using cables drilled to the glacier bed. These velocities show substantial seasonal variations
indicating that basal sliding is an important component of surface velocities and interannual fluctuations
of up to 75%, possibly indicating variations in subglacial water storage. Several lines of evidence indicate
that this glacier has an extensive subglacial hydrological system, generally considered to be a
prerequisite for surge-type glaciers, which is at least partly pressurized. Information on surface
morphology from 1898 onwards shows that the glacier has experienced continuous retreat since the last
surge in about 1910, and has now retreated ~1.5km further back than its previous pre-surge position in
1898. Tracking of moraine loops on terrestrial and aerial photographs acquired over a 100 year period
indicates that the surge period of Finsterwalderbreen may be lengthening in response to climate changes
Geometry change between 1990 and 2003 at Finsterwalderbreen, a Svalbard surge-type glacier, from GPS profiling.
Surface mass-balance and geometry data are key to quantifying the climate response of
glaciers, and confidence in data synthesis and model interpretations and forecasts requires data from as
wide a range of locations and glacier types as possible. This paper presents measurements of surface
elevation change at the Svalbard surge-type glacier Finsterwalderbreen, by comparing a 1990 digital
elevation model (DEM) with a surface GPS profile from 2003. The pattern of elevation change is
consistent with that previously noted between 1970 and 1990, and reflects the continued quiescentphase
evolution of the glacier, with mass loss in the down-glacier/receiving area of up to –1.25mw.e. a–1,
and mass gain in the up-glacier/reservoir area of up to 0.60mw.e. a–1; the area-weighted, mean change
for the whole glacier is 0.19mw.e. a–1. The spatial pattern of elevation increase and decrease is complex,
and the boundary between thickening and thinning determined by combining GPS and DEM data does
not appear to correspond with the equilibrium-line altitude determined from surface mass-balance
measurements. There is no evidence yet of a decrease in the rate of reservoir area build-up driven by
mass-balance change resulting from the warmer winter air temperatures, and decreased proportion of
snowfall in total precipitation, noted at meteorological stations in Svalbard
Ebola virus disease in West Africa — the first 9 Months of the epidemic and forward projections
BACKGROUND
On March 23, 2014, the World Health Organization (WHO) was notified of an outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Guinea. On August 8, the WHO declared the epidemic to be a "public health emergency of international concern."
METHODS
By September 14, 2014, a total of 4507 probable and confirmed cases, including 2296 deaths from EVD (Zaire species) had been reported from five countries in West Africa - Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal, and Sierra Leone. We analyzed a detailed subset of data on 3343 confirmed and 667 probable Ebola cases collected in Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone as of September 14.
RESULTS
The majority of patients are 15 to 44 years of age (49.9% male), and we estimate that the case fatality rate is 70.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 69 to 73) among persons with known clinical outcome of infection. The course of infection, including signs and symptoms, incubation period (11.4 days), and serial interval (15.3 days), is similar to that reported in previous outbreaks of EVD. On the basis of the initial periods of exponential growth, the estimated basic reproduction numbers (R-0) are 1.71 (95% CI, 1.44 to 2.01) for Guinea, 1.83 (95% CI, 1.72 to 1.94) for Liberia, and 2.02 (95% CI, 1.79 to 2.26) for Sierra Leone. The estimated current reproduction numbers (R) are 1.81 (95% CI, 1.60 to 2.03) for Guinea, 1.51 (95% CI, 1.41 to 1.60) for Liberia, and 1.38 (95% CI, 1.27 to 1.51) for Sierra Leone; the corresponding doubling times are 15.7 days (95% CI, 12.9 to 20.3) for Guinea, 23.6 days (95% CI, 20.2 to 28.2) for Liberia, and 30.2 days (95% CI, 23.6 to 42.3) for Sierra Leone. Assuming no change in the control measures for this epidemic, by November 2, 2014, the cumulative reported numbers of confirmed and probable cases are predicted to be 5740 in Guinea, 9890 in Liberia, and 5000 in Sierra Leone, exceeding 20,000 in total.
CONCLUSIONS
These data indicate that without drastic improvements in control measures, the numbers of cases of and deaths from EVD are expected to continue increasing from hundreds to thousands per week in the coming months
Nutrition for the ageing brain: towards evidence for an optimal diet
As people age they become increasingly susceptible to chronic and extremely debilitating brain diseases. The precise cause of the neuronal degeneration underlying these disorders, and indeed normal brain ageing remains however elusive. Considering the limits of existing preventive methods, there is a desire to develop effective and safe strategies. Growing preclinical and clinical research in healthy individuals or at the early stage of cognitive decline has demonstrated the beneficial impact of nutrition on cognitive functions. The present review is the most recent in a series produced by the Nutrition and Mental Performance Task Force under the auspice of the International Life Sciences Institute Europe (ILSI Europe). The latest scientific advances specific to how dietary nutrients and non-nutrient may affect cognitive ageing are presented. Furthermore, several key points related to mechanisms contributing to brain ageing, pathological conditions affecting brain function, and brain biomarkers are also discussed. Overall, findings are inconsistent and fragmented and more research is warranted to determine the underlying mechanisms and to establish dose-response relationships for optimal brain maintenance in different population subgroups. Such approaches are likely to provide the necessary evidence to develop research portfolios that will inform about new dietary recommendations on how to prevent cognitive decline
Immunoglobulin, glucocorticoid, or combination therapy for multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children: a propensity-weighted cohort study.
BACKGROUND: Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C), a hyperinflammatory condition associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection, has emerged as a serious illness in children worldwide. Immunoglobulin or glucocorticoids, or both, are currently recommended treatments. METHODS: The Best Available Treatment Study evaluated immunomodulatory treatments for MIS-C in an international observational cohort. Analysis of the first 614 patients was previously reported. In this propensity-weighted cohort study, clinical and outcome data from children with suspected or proven MIS-C were collected onto a web-based Research Electronic Data Capture database. After excluding neonates and incomplete or duplicate records, inverse probability weighting was used to compare primary treatments with intravenous immunoglobulin, intravenous immunoglobulin plus glucocorticoids, or glucocorticoids alone, using intravenous immunoglobulin as the reference treatment. Primary outcomes were a composite of inotropic or ventilator support from the second day after treatment initiation, or death, and time to improvement on an ordinal clinical severity scale. Secondary outcomes included treatment escalation, clinical deterioration, fever, and coronary artery aneurysm occurrence and resolution. This study is registered with the ISRCTN registry, ISRCTN69546370. FINDINGS: We enrolled 2101 children (aged 0 months to 19 years) with clinically diagnosed MIS-C from 39 countries between June 14, 2020, and April 25, 2022, and, following exclusions, 2009 patients were included for analysis (median age 8·0 years [IQR 4·2-11·4], 1191 [59·3%] male and 818 [40·7%] female, and 825 [41·1%] White). 680 (33·8%) patients received primary treatment with intravenous immunoglobulin, 698 (34·7%) with intravenous immunoglobulin plus glucocorticoids, 487 (24·2%) with glucocorticoids alone; 59 (2·9%) patients received other combinations, including biologicals, and 85 (4·2%) patients received no immunomodulators. There were no significant differences between treatments for primary outcomes for the 1586 patients with complete baseline and outcome data that were considered for primary analysis. Adjusted odds ratios for ventilation, inotropic support, or death were 1·09 (95% CI 0·75-1·58; corrected p value=1·00) for intravenous immunoglobulin plus glucocorticoids and 0·93 (0·58-1·47; corrected p value=1·00) for glucocorticoids alone, versus intravenous immunoglobulin alone. Adjusted average hazard ratios for time to improvement were 1·04 (95% CI 0·91-1·20; corrected p value=1·00) for intravenous immunoglobulin plus glucocorticoids, and 0·84 (0·70-1·00; corrected p value=0·22) for glucocorticoids alone, versus intravenous immunoglobulin alone. Treatment escalation was less frequent for intravenous immunoglobulin plus glucocorticoids (OR 0·15 [95% CI 0·11-0·20]; p<0·0001) and glucocorticoids alone (0·68 [0·50-0·93]; p=0·014) versus intravenous immunoglobulin alone. Persistent fever (from day 2 onward) was less common with intravenous immunoglobulin plus glucocorticoids compared with either intravenous immunoglobulin alone (OR 0·50 [95% CI 0·38-0·67]; p<0·0001) or glucocorticoids alone (0·63 [0·45-0·88]; p=0·0058). Coronary artery aneurysm occurrence and resolution did not differ significantly between treatment groups. INTERPRETATION: Recovery rates, including occurrence and resolution of coronary artery aneurysms, were similar for primary treatment with intravenous immunoglobulin when compared to glucocorticoids or intravenous immunoglobulin plus glucocorticoids. Initial treatment with glucocorticoids appears to be a safe alternative to immunoglobulin or combined therapy, and might be advantageous in view of the cost and limited availability of intravenous immunoglobulin in many countries. FUNDING: Imperial College London, the European Union's Horizon 2020, Wellcome Trust, the Medical Research Foundation, UK National Institute for Health and Care Research, and National Institutes of Health
Search for gravitational-lensing signatures in the full third observing run of the LIGO-Virgo network
Gravitational lensing by massive objects along the line of sight to the source causes distortions of gravitational wave-signals; such distortions may reveal information about fundamental physics, cosmology and astrophysics. In this work, we have extended the search for lensing signatures to all binary black hole events from the third observing run of the LIGO--Virgo network. We search for repeated signals from strong lensing by 1) performing targeted searches for subthreshold signals, 2) calculating the degree of overlap amongst the intrinsic parameters and sky location of pairs of signals, 3) comparing the similarities of the spectrograms amongst pairs of signals, and 4) performing dual-signal Bayesian analysis that takes into account selection effects and astrophysical knowledge. We also search for distortions to the gravitational waveform caused by 1) frequency-independent phase shifts in strongly lensed images, and 2) frequency-dependent modulation of the amplitude and phase due to point masses. None of these searches yields significant evidence for lensing. Finally, we use the non-detection of gravitational-wave lensing to constrain the lensing rate based on the latest merger-rate estimates and the fraction of dark matter composed of compact objects
Search for eccentric black hole coalescences during the third observing run of LIGO and Virgo
Despite the growing number of confident binary black hole coalescences observed through gravitational waves so far, the astrophysical origin of these binaries remains uncertain. Orbital eccentricity is one of the clearest tracers of binary formation channels. Identifying binary eccentricity, however, remains challenging due to the limited availability of gravitational waveforms that include effects of eccentricity. Here, we present observational results for a waveform-independent search sensitive to eccentric black hole coalescences, covering the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO and Virgo detectors. We identified no new high-significance candidates beyond those that were already identified with searches focusing on quasi-circular binaries. We determine the sensitivity of our search to high-mass (total mass M>70 M⊙) binaries covering eccentricities up to 0.3 at 15 Hz orbital frequency, and use this to compare model predictions to search results. Assuming all detections are indeed quasi-circular, for our fiducial population model, we place an upper limit for the merger rate density of high-mass binaries with eccentricities 0<e≤0.3 at 0.33 Gpc−3 yr−1 at 90\% confidence level
Ultralight vector dark matter search using data from the KAGRA O3GK run
Among the various candidates for dark matter (DM), ultralight vector DM can be probed by laser interferometric gravitational wave detectors through the measurement of oscillating length changes in the arm cavities. In this context, KAGRA has a unique feature due to differing compositions of its mirrors, enhancing the signal of vector DM in the length change in the auxiliary channels. Here we present the result of a search for U(1)B−L gauge boson DM using the KAGRA data from auxiliary length channels during the first joint observation run together with GEO600. By applying our search pipeline, which takes into account the stochastic nature of ultralight DM, upper bounds on the coupling strength between the U(1)B−L gauge boson and ordinary matter are obtained for a range of DM masses. While our constraints are less stringent than those derived from previous experiments, this study demonstrates the applicability of our method to the lower-mass vector DM search, which is made difficult in this measurement by the short observation time compared to the auto-correlation time scale of DM