Portfolio optimisation with transaction cost

This thesis was submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy and awarded by Brunel University.Portfolio selection is an example of decision making under conditions of uncertainty. In the face of an unknown future, fund managers make complex financial choices based on the investors perceptions and preferences towards risk and return. Since the seminal work of Markowitz, many studies have been published using his mean-variance (MV) model as a basis. These mathematical models of investor attitudes and asset return dynamics aid in the portfolio selection process. In this thesis we extend the MV model to include the cardinality constraints which limit the number of assets held in the portfolio and bounds on the proportion of an asset held (if any is held). We present our formulation based on the Markowitz MV model for rebalancing an existing portfolio subject to both fixed and variable transaction cost (the fee associated with trading). We determine and demonstrate the differences that arise in the shape of the trading portfolio and efficient frontiers when subject to non-cardinality and cardinality constrained transaction cost models. We apply our flexible heuristic algorithms of genetic algorithm, tabu search and simulated annealing to both the cardinality constrained and transaction cost models to solve problems using data from seven real world market indices. We show that by incorporating optimization into the generation of valid portfolios leads to good quality solutions in acceptable computational time. We illustrate this on problems from literature as well as on our own larger data sets

A two-stage stochastic mixed-integer program modelling and hybrid solution approach to portfolio selection problems

In this paper, we investigate a multi-period portfolio selection problem with a comprehensive set of real-world trading constraints as well as market random uncertainty in terms of asset prices. We formulate the problem into a two-stage stochastic mixed-integer program (SMIP) with recourse. The set of constraints is modelled as mixed-integer program, while a set of decision variables to rebalance the portfolio in multiple periods is explicitly introduced as the recourse variables in the second stage of stochastic program. Although the combination of stochastic program and mixed-integer program leads to computational challenges in finding solutions to the problem, the proposed SMIP model provides an insightful and flexible description of the problem. The model also enables the investors to make decisions subject to real-world trading constraints and market uncertainty. To deal with the computational difficulty of the proposed model, a simplification and hybrid solution method is applied in the paper. The simplification method aims to eliminate the difficult constraints in the model, resulting into easier sub-problems compared to the original one. The hybrid method is developed to integrate local search with Branch-and-Bound (B&B) to solve the problem heuristically. We present computational results of the hybrid approach to analyse the performance of the proposed method. The results illustrate that the hybrid method can generate good solutions in a reasonable amount of computational time. We also compare the obtained portfolio values against an index value to illustrate the performance and strengths of the proposed SMIP model. Implications of the model and future work are also discussed

Portfolio optimization and index tracking for the shipping stock and freight markets using evolutionary algorithms

This paper reproduces the performance of an international market capitalization shipping stock index and two physical shipping indexes by investing only in US stock portfolios. The index-tracking problem is addressed using the differential evolution algorithm and the genetic algorithm. Portfolios are constructed by a subset of stocks picked from the shipping or the Dow Jones Composite Average indexes. To test the performance of the heuristics, three different trading scenarios are examined: annually, quarterly and monthly rebalancing, accounting for transaction costs where necessary. Competing portfolios are also assessed through predictive ability tests. Overall, the proposed investment strategies carry less risk compared to the tracked benchmark indexes while providing investors the opportunity to efficiently replic ate the performance of both the stock and physical shipping indexes in the most cost-effective way

Heuristic algorithms for the cardinality constrained efficient frontier

This paper examines the application of genetic algorithm, tabu search and simulated annealing metaheuristic approaches to finding the cardinality constrained efficient frontier that arises in financial portfolio optimisation. We consider the mean-variance model of Markowitz as extended to include the discrete restrictions of buy-in thresholds and cardinality constraints. Computational results are reported for publicly available data sets drawn from seven major market indices involving up to 1318 assets. Our results are compared with previous results given in the literature illustrating the effectiveness of the proposed metaheuristics in terms of solution quality and computation time.Efficient frontier Genetic algorithm Portfolio optimisation Simulated annealing Tabu search

Efficient Cardinality/Mean-Variance Portfolios

We propose a novel approach to handle cardinality in portfolio selection, by means of a biobjective cardinality/mean-variance problem, allowing the investor to analyze the efficient tradeoff between return-risk and number of active positions. Recent progress in multiobjective optimization without derivatives allow us to robustly compute (in-sample) the whole cardinality/mean-variance efficient frontier, for a variety of data sets and mean-variance models. Our results show that a significant number of efficient cardinality/mean-variance portfolios can overcome (out-of-sample) the naive strategy, while keeping transaction costs relatively low