Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background: In an era of shifting global agendas and expanded emphasis on non-communicable diseases and injuries along with communicable diseases, sound evidence on trends by cause at the national level is essential. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) provides a systematic scientific assessment of published, publicly available, and contributed data on incidence, prevalence, and mortality for a mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive list of diseases and injuries. Methods: GBD estimates incidence, prevalence, mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) due to 369 diseases and injuries, for two sexes, and for 204 countries and territories. Input data were extracted from censuses, household surveys, civil registration and vital statistics, disease registries, health service use, air pollution monitors, satellite imaging, disease notifications, and other sources. Cause-specific death rates and cause fractions were calculated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression. Cause-specific deaths were adjusted to match the total all-cause deaths calculated as part of the GBD population, fertility, and mortality estimates. Deaths were multiplied by standard life expectancy at each age to calculate YLLs. A Bayesian meta-regression modelling tool, DisMod-MR 2.1, was used to ensure consistency between incidence, prevalence, remission, excess mortality, and cause-specific mortality for most causes. Prevalence estimates were multiplied by disability weights for mutually exclusive sequelae of diseases and injuries to calculate YLDs. We considered results in the context of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income per capita, years of schooling, and fertility rate in females younger than 25 years. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered 1000 draw values of the posterior distribution. Findings: Global health has steadily improved over the past 30 years as measured by age-standardised DALY rates. After taking into account population growth and ageing, the absolute number of DALYs has remained stable. Since 2010, the pace of decline in global age-standardised DALY rates has accelerated in age groups younger than 50 years compared with the 1990–2010 time period, with the greatest annualised rate of decline occurring in the 0–9-year age group. Six infectious diseases were among the top ten causes of DALYs in children younger than 10 years in 2019: lower respiratory infections (ranked second), diarrhoeal diseases (third), malaria (fifth), meningitis (sixth), whooping cough (ninth), and sexually transmitted infections (which, in this age group, is fully accounted for by congenital syphilis; ranked tenth). In adolescents aged 10–24 years, three injury causes were among the top causes of DALYs: road injuries (ranked first), self-harm (third), and interpersonal violence (fifth). Five of the causes that were in the top ten for ages 10–24 years were also in the top ten in the 25–49-year age group: road injuries (ranked first), HIV/AIDS (second), low back pain (fourth), headache disorders (fifth), and depressive disorders (sixth). In 2019, ischaemic heart disease and stroke were the top-ranked causes of DALYs in both the 50–74-year and 75-years-and-older age groups. Since 1990, there has been a marked shift towards a greater proportion of burden due to YLDs from non-communicable diseases and injuries. In 2019, there were 11 countries where non-communicable disease and injury YLDs constituted more than half of all disease burden. Decreases in age-standardised DALY rates have accelerated over the past decade in countries at the lower end of the SDI range, while improvements have started to stagnate or even reverse in countries with higher SDI. Interpretation: As disability becomes an increasingly large component of disease burden and a larger component of health expenditure, greater research and developm nt investment is needed to identify new, more effective intervention strategies. With a rapidly ageing global population, the demands on health services to deal with disabling outcomes, which increase with age, will require policy makers to anticipate these changes. The mix of universal and more geographically specific influences on health reinforces the need for regular reporting on population health in detail and by underlying cause to help decision makers to identify success stories of disease control to emulate, as well as opportunities to improve. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 licens

Function and regulation of the human bile salt export pump

During the past decade, important progress has been made in our understanding of the pathophysiology of cholestasis. Inherited disorders have been explained at the molecular level and were shown to be the result of mutations in enzymes involved in bile salt biosynthesis or transmembrane transporters involved in bile formation. Acquired cholestasis, for instance due to inflammation, is linked to disregulation of these proteins. The challenge of future research is to use this knowledge to develop successful therapies for cholestatic patients. The studies described in this thesis initiate such studies. We showed that a mutation in BSEP may cause PFIC-2 even though the protein product is a normally active bile salt export pump. The cause of the disease is due to a specific mutation in the BSEP gene that strongly reduces the BSEP protein level, most likely due to increased protein degradation. This phenomenon has also been described for several other inherited diseases. An important focus of esearch is therefore to define conditions or drug therapies that will maintain or increase the protein level of the mutant, but active protein in these patients. Novel targets to treat cholestasis are the transcription factors that regulate the levels of enzymes and transporters involved in the synthesis and enterohepatic circulation of bile salts. RXR and FXR are key players in this process. Endogenous and synthetic ligands for these transcription factors have been identified. Recent research, however, shows that the activation of FXR-target genes is ligand-dependent. In other words, a specific target gene may be activated by the endogenous ligand, CDCA, but not by the synthetic ligand GW4064. In addition, our own research shows that the ligand for RXR, 9-cis retinoic acid, in combination with bile salt-activated FXR, may simultaneously stimulate and inhibit expression of a subset of FXR-target genes. Therapies to treat cholestatic disease aimed at modulating the activity of these transcription factors therefore requires an in depth study of the effect of the (combination of the) individual ligands on human gene transcription. In the meantime, it should be noted that in a significant number of PFIC patients the genetic defect still has not been elucidated. Therefore, novel genes/proteins that are essential for bile salt homeostasis may be identified in the near future. Altogether, many challenges await us still to further understand the (molecular) causes of cholestasis and to develop successful therapies for this disease.

An orthotopic mouse model for chondrosarcoma of bone provides an in vivo tool for drug testing

Chondrosarcoma is a malignant cartilaginous tumor of the bone. Recently, mutations in isocitrate dehydrogenase-1 (IDH1) and isocitrate dehydrogenase-2 (IDH2) were identified in central chondrosarcomas. As chondrosarcomas are notoriously resistant to conventional treatment modalities, the need for model systems to screen new treatment options is high. We used two chondrosarcoma cell lines (CH2879 and SW1353) to generate a bioluminescent orthotopic chondrosarcoma mouse model. Cell lines were stably transduced with a lentiviral luciferase expression vector, and after clonal selection, luciferase-expressing clones were subcutaneously and orthotopically implanted in nude mice. Mice injected with CH2879 cells were treated with doxorubicin over a period of 6 weeks. Both cell lines resulted in tumor growth. CH2879 tumors were consistently larger than SW1353 tumors. No difference in size could be observed between subcutaneous and orthotopic tumors. Tumor growth could be monitored over time through assessment of luciferase activity, without harming the mice. Using this model, we show that doxorubicin does not have a significant effect on in vivo tumor growth. We describe an orthotopic chondrosarcoma mouse model that can be used to test new treatment strategies evolving from in vitro researc