507 research outputs found

    Contributions to a meteorology of the Tibetan highlands

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    August 1968.Includes bibliographical references.Sponsored by the National Environmental Satellite Center, ESSA E-10-68G

    Life on a Warmer Earth - Possible Climatic Consequences of Man-Made Global Warming

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    An IIASA Executive Report based on and IIASA research report by H. Flohn, who has taken a paleoclimatic approach to gaining insights into the implications of global warming produced by he burning of fossil fuels. Using the most reliable radiation models for the relation between carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere and temperature, Flohn selects thresholds of temperature increase, which he then speculates would produce climatic conditions similar to those of earlier periods in the earth's history. He establishes a four-part scenario. An increase in the global average surface temperature (GAST) of 1 degree C, which could occur around 2000-2010 at the projected rate of fossil fuel consumption, would correspond to the GAST 1,000 years ago during the early middle ages. Warming of 1.5 degrees C could occur around 2005-2030, mimicking conditions 6000 years ago at the peak of the Holocene period. Warming of 2.5 degrees C is considered possible around 2020-2050, corresponding to the last interglacial period 120,000 years ago. Finally, an increase of the GAST by 4 degrees C could be reached 2040-2080, producing conditions that occurred during the late Tertiary Period from 2.5 to 12 million years ago, a remarkable epoch when the North Pole became ice free while the South Pole remained glaciated. The Executive Report briefly describe what is known and generally assumed about the climate of the earth during each of the four periods

    Possible Climatic Consequences of a Man-Made Global Warming

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    There is increasing concern about man's impact on climate. Studying this problem one comes to realize that this influence is not so much felt as a variation of the average values of global climate, such as temperature and pressure. Of concern is instead a change in the climatological patterns, with the average values changing very little. Actually this could be a change in rainfall patterns, for example. Among other effects, increasing levels of carbon dioxide could cause a man-made global warming. While it is impossible to determine such changes in climate patterns given the present state of the art, we consider it perhaps useful to study the changes that occurred in the climate patterns of the past. Today's highly sophisticated knowledge in paleometeorology allows to undertake such a venture -- a research activity that may also be crucial for our understanding of the forthcoming CO2 problem

    Ein geophysikalisches Eiszeit-Modell

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    Auf der Grundlage der jüngsten Fortschritte in vielen Zweigen der Geophysik — Glaziologie, Meteorologie, Ozeanographie, Paläomagnetismus und Tektonophysik — wird ein synthetisches, rein geophysikalisches Modell der Klimaentwicklung im Tertiär und Pleistozän (mit Ausblicken auf das Permokarbon) entwickelt. Hierbei wird besonderes Gewicht auf die Abschätzung des Wärmehaushaltes der Ozeane gelegt; extraterrestrische Faktoren liefern höchstens einen sekundären Beitrag. Als Unterlage für eine weitere Diskussion wird eine knappe Zusammenstellung der wesentlichen Gesichtspunkte in Form von 10 Sätzen (Kapitel 6) gegeben.researc

    Zur meteorologischen Interpretation der pleistozänen Klimaschwankungen

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    Einige allgemeine Fragen der pleistozänen Klimaschwankungen werden vom meteorologischen Standpunkt aus erörtert, unter besonderer Berücksichtigung des Massen- und Wärmehaushalts. Hierzu gehören das Auftreten alternierender Pluviale von entweder tropischer oder polarer Herkunft, von denen nur die letzteren mit den Eiszeiten synchronisieren, die Deutung des allmählichen Absinkens der interglazialen Meeresstände als Folge des graduellen Aufbaus des antarktischen Inlandeises seit Beginn des Pleistozäns, die Diskussion der meteorologischen Verhältnisse während der postglazialen Abschmelzperiode der kontinentalen Inlandeismassen.researc

    Tibet, the Himalaya, Asian monsoons and biodiversity - In what ways are they related?

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    Prevailing dogma asserts that the uplift of Tibet, the onset of the Asian monsoon system and high biodiversity in southern Asia are linked, and that all occurred after 23 million years ago in the Neogene. Here, spanning the last 60 million years of Earth history, the geological, climatological and palaeontological evidence for this linkage is reviewed. The principal conclusions are that: 1) A proto-Tibetan highland existed well before the Neogene and that an Andean type topography with surface elevations of at least 4.5 km existed at the start of the Eocene, before final closure of the Tethys Ocean that separated India from Eurasia. 2) The Himalaya were formed not at the start of the India-Eurasia collision, but after much of Tibet had achieved its present elevation. The Himalaya built against a pre-existing proto-Tibetan highland and only projected above the average height of the plateau after approximately 15 Ma. 3) Monsoon climates have existed across southern Asia for the whole of the Cenozoic, and probably for a lot longer, but that they were of the kind generated by seasonal migrations of the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone. 4) The projection of the High Himalaya above the Tibetan Plateau at about 15 Ma coincides with the development of the modern South Asia Monsoon. 5) The East Asia monsoon became established in its present form about the same time as a consequence of topographic changes in northern Tibet and elsewhere in Asia, the loss of moisture sources in the Asian interior and the development of a strong winter Siberian high as global temperatures declined. 6) New radiometric dates of palaeontological finds point to southern Asia's high biodiversity originating in the Paleogene, not the Neogene
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