Substantial increase in minimum lake surface temperatures under climate change

The annual minimum of lake surface water temperature influences ecological and biogeochemical processes, but variability and change in this extreme has not been investigated. Here, we analysed observational data from eight European lakes and investigated the changes in annual minimum surface water temperature. We found that, between 1973 and 2014, the annual minimum lake surface temperature has increased at an average rate of +0.35°C decade-1; comparable to the rate of summer average lake surface temperature change during the same period (+0.32°C decade-1). Coherent responses to climatic warming are observed between the increase in annual minimum lake surface temperature and the increase in winter air temperature variations. As a result of the rapid warming of annual minimum lake surface temperatures, some of the studied lakes no longer reach important minimum surface temperature thresholds that occur in winter, with complex and significant potential implications for lakes and the ecosystem services that they provide

New, old and evergreen frontiers in freshwater phytoplankton ecology: the legacy of Colin S. Reynolds

This paper offers a brief overview of the contributions provided by widely recognised phytoplankton ecologists to honour the memory of an undisputed leader in the field of aquatic sciences: Colin S. Reynolds. Colin passed away quite unexpectedly in December 2018 causing a wave of sorrow that rapidly circulated among friends and colleagues all over the world. The 14 review papers collected in this Special Issue form a tribute to Colin’s scientific thinking, which survives the man and represents a legacy to all the scientists in the field, especially to young generations. Although authors and editors carefully selected 14 different topics, a certain degree of overlap exists among the collected contributions. This, far from being a limit, further underlines the holistic nature of Colin’s vision about phytoplankton and shows the need to develop a comprehensive cultural framework when analysing this complex ecological group of organisms

Global data set of long-term summertime vertical temperature profiles in 153 lakes

Climate change and other anthropogenic stressors have led to long-term changes in the thermal structure, including surface temperatures, deepwater temperatures, and vertical thermal gradients, in many lakes around the world. Though many studies highlight warming of surface water temperatures in lakes worldwide, less is known about long-term trends in full vertical thermal structure and deepwater temperatures, which have been changing less consistently in both direction and magnitude. Here, we present a globally-expansive data set of summertime in-situ vertical temperature profiles from 153 lakes, with one time series beginning as early as 1894. We also compiled lake geographic, morphometric, and water quality variables that can influence vertical thermal structure through a variety of potential mechanisms in these lakes. These long-term time series of vertical temperature profiles and corresponding lake characteristics serve as valuable data to help understand changes and drivers of lake thermal structure in a time of rapid global and ecological change

Warming of Central European lakes and their response to the 1980s climate regime shift

Lake surface water temperatures (LSWTs) are sensitive to atmospheric warming and have previously been shown to respond to regional changes in the climate. Using a combination of in situ and simulated surface temperatures from 20 Central European lakes, with data spanning between 50 and ∼100 years, we investigate the long-term increase in annually averaged LSWT. We demonstrate that Central European lakes are warming most in spring and experience a seasonal variation in LSWT trends. We calculate significant LSWT warming during the past few decades and illustrate, using a sequential t test analysis of regime shifts, a substantial increase in annually averaged LSWT during the late 1980s, in response to an abrupt shift in the climate. Surface air temperature measurements from 122 meteorological stations situated throughout Central Europe demonstrate similar increases at this time. Climatic modification of LSWT has numerous consequences for water quality and lake ecosystems. Quantifying the response of LSWT increase to large-scale and abrupt climatic shifts is essential to understand how lakes will respond in the future

Deeper waters are changing less consistently than surface waters in a global analysis of 102 lakes

Globally, lake surface water temperatures have warmed rapidly relative to air temperatures, but changes in deepwater temperatures and vertical thermal structure are still largely unknown. We have compiled the most comprehensive data set to date of long-term (1970-2009) summertime vertical temperature profiles in lakes across the world to examine trends and drivers of whole-lake vertical thermal structure. We found significant increases in surface water temperatures across lakes at an average rate of +0.37°C decade-1, comparable to changes reported previously for other lakes, and similarly consistent trends of increasing water column stability (+0.08 kg m-3 decade-1). In contrast, however, deepwater temperature trends showed little change on average (+0.06°C decade-1 ), but had high variability across lakes, with trends in individual lakes ranging from -0.68°C decade-1 to +0.65°C decade-1 . The variability in deepwater temperature trends was not explained by trends in either surface water temperatures or thermal stability within lakes, and only 8.4% was explained by lake thermal region or local lake characteristics in a random forest analysis. These findings suggest that external drivers beyond our tested lake characteristics are important in explaining long-term trends in thermal structure, such as local to regional climate patterns or additional external anthropogenic influences.Additional co-authors: Karl Havens, Dag O Hessen, Scott N Higgins, Timo H Huttula, Hannu Huuskonen, Peter D F Isles, Klaus D Joehnk, Wendel Bill Keller, Lesley B Knoll, Johanna Korhonen, Benjamin M Kraemer, Peter R Leavitt, Fabio Lepori, Martin S Luger, Stephen C Maberly, John M Melack, Stephanie J Melles, Döerthe C Müller-Navarra, Don C Pierson, Helen V Pislegina, Pierre-Denis Plisnier, David C Richardson, Alon Rimmer, Michela Rogora, James A Rusak, Steven Sadro, Nico Salmaso, Jasmine E Saros, Émilie Saulnier-Talbot, Daniel E Schindler, Martin Schmid, Svetlana V Shimaraeva, Eugene A Silow, Lewis M Sitoki, Ruben Sommaruga, Dietmar Straile, Kristin E Strock, Wim Thiery, Maxim A Timofeyev, Piet Verburg, Rolf D Vinebrooke, Gesa A Weyhenmeyer, Egor Zaderee

The state of the Martian climate

60°N was +2.0°C, relative to the 1981–2010 average value (Fig. 5.1). This marks a new high for the record. The average annual surface air temperature (SAT) anomaly for 2016 for land stations north of starting in 1900, and is a significant increase over the previous highest value of +1.2°C, which was observed in 2007, 2011, and 2015. Average global annual temperatures also showed record values in 2015 and 2016. Currently, the Arctic is warming at more than twice the rate of lower latitudes

Climate change drives widespread shifts in lake thermal habitat

Lake surfaces are warming worldwide, raising concerns about lake organism responses to thermal habitat changes. Species may cope with temperature increases by shifting their seasonality or their depth to track suitable thermal habitats, but these responses may be constrained by ecological interactions, life histories or limiting resources. Here we use 32 million temperature measurements from 139 lakes to quantify thermal habitat change (percentage of non-overlap) and assess how this change is exacerbated by potential habitat constraints. Long-term temperature change resulted in an average 6.2% non-overlap between thermal habitats in baseline (1978–1995) and recent (1996–2013) time periods, with non-overlap increasing to 19.4% on average when habitats were restricted by season and depth. Tropical lakes exhibited substantially higher thermal non-overlap compared with lakes at other latitudes. Lakes with high thermal habitat change coincided with those having numerous endemic species, suggesting that conservation actions should consider thermal habitat change to preserve lake biodiversity