14 research outputs found
Variability and quasi-decadal changes in the methane budget overthe period 2000–2012
Following the recent Global Carbon Project (GCP)
synthesis of the decadal methane (CH4/ budget over 2000–
2012 (Saunois et al., 2016), we analyse here the same dataset
with a focus on quasi-decadal and inter-annual variability in
CH4 emissions. The GCP dataset integrates results from topdown
studies (exploiting atmospheric observations within an
atmospheric inverse-modelling framework) and bottom-up
models (including process-based models for estimating land
surface emissions and atmospheric chemistry), inventories of
anthropogenic emissions, and data-driven approaches.The annual global methane emissions from top-down studies,
which by construction match the observed methane
growth rate within their uncertainties, all show an increase in
total methane emissions over the period 2000–2012, but this
increase is not linear over the 13 years. Despite differences
between individual studies, the mean emission anomaly of the top-down ensemble shows no significant trend in total
methane emissions over the period 2000–2006, during
the plateau of atmospheric methane mole fractions, and also
over the period 2008–2012, during the renewed atmospheric
methane increase. However, the top-down ensemble mean
produces an emission shift between 2006 and 2008, leading
to 22 [16–32] Tg CH4 yr1 higher methane emissions
over the period 2008–2012 compared to 2002–2006. This
emission increase mostly originated from the tropics, with
a smaller contribution from mid-latitudes and no significant
change from boreal regions.
The regional contributions remain uncertain in top-down
studies. Tropical South America and South and East Asia
seem to contribute the most to the emission increase in the
tropics. However, these two regions have only limited atmospheric
measurements and remain therefore poorly constrained.
The sectorial partitioning of this emission increase between
the periods 2002–2006 and 2008–2012 differs from
one atmospheric inversion study to another. However, all topdown
studies suggest smaller changes in fossil fuel emissions
(from oil, gas, and coal industries) compared to the
mean of the bottom-up inventories included in this study.
This difference is partly driven by a smaller emission change
in China from the top-down studies compared to the estimate
in the Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research
(EDGARv4.2) inventory, which should be revised to smaller
values in a near future. We apply isotopic signatures to the
emission changes estimated for individual studies based on
five emission sectors and find that for six individual top-down
studies (out of eight) the average isotopic signature of the
emission changes is not consistent with the observed change
in atmospheric 13CH4. However, the partitioning in emission
change derived from the ensemble mean is consistent with
this isotopic constraint. At the global scale, the top-down ensemble
mean suggests that the dominant contribution to the
resumed atmospheric CH4 growth after 2006 comes from microbial
sources (more from agriculture and waste sectors than
from natural wetlands), with an uncertain but smaller contribution
from fossil CH4 emissions. In addition, a decrease in
biomass burning emissions (in agreement with the biomass
burning emission databases) makes the balance of sources
consistent with atmospheric 13CH4 observations.
In most of the top-down studies included here, OH concentrations
are considered constant over the years (seasonal variations
but without any inter-annual variability). As a result,
the methane loss (in particular through OH oxidation) varies
mainly through the change in methane concentrations and not
its oxidants. For these reasons, changes in the methane loss
could not be properly investigated in this study, although it
may play a significant role in the recent atmospheric methane
changes as briefly discussed at the end of the paper.Published11135–111616A. Geochimica per l'ambienteJCR Journa
The global methane budget 2000–2017
Understanding and quantifying the global methane (CH4) budget is important for assessing realistic pathways to mitigate climate change. Atmospheric emissions and concentrations of CH4 continue to increase, making CH4 the second most important human-influenced greenhouse gas in terms of climate forcing, after carbon dioxide (CO2). The relative importance of CH4 compared to CO2 depends on its shorter atmospheric lifetime, stronger warming potential, and variations in atmospheric growth rate over the past decade, the causes of which are still debated. Two major challenges in reducing uncertainties in the atmospheric growth rate arise from the variety of geographically overlapping CH4 sources and from the destruction of CH4 by short-lived hydroxyl radicals (OH). To address these challenges, we have established a consortium of multidisciplinary scientists under the umbrella of the Global Carbon Project to synthesize and stimulate new research aimed at improving and regularly updating the global methane budget. Following Saunois et al. (2016), we present here the second version of the living review paper dedicated to the decadal methane budget, integrating results of top-down studies (atmospheric observations within an atmospheric inverse-modelling framework) and bottom-up estimates (including process-based models for estimating land surface emissions and atmospheric chemistry, inventories of anthropogenic emissions, and data-driven extrapolations).
For the 2008–2017 decade, global methane emissions are estimated by atmospheric inversions (a top-down approach) to be 576 Tg CH4 yr−1 (range 550–594, corresponding to the minimum and maximum estimates of the model ensemble). Of this total, 359 Tg CH4 yr−1 or ∼ 60 % is attributed to anthropogenic sources, that is emissions caused by direct human activity (i.e. anthropogenic emissions; range 336–376 Tg CH4 yr−1 or 50 %–65 %). The mean annual total emission for the new decade (2008–2017) is 29 Tg CH4 yr−1 larger than our estimate for the previous decade (2000–2009), and 24 Tg CH4 yr−1 larger than the one reported in the previous budget for 2003–2012 (Saunois et al., 2016). Since 2012, global CH4 emissions have been tracking the warmest scenarios assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Bottom-up methods suggest almost 30 % larger global emissions (737 Tg CH4 yr−1, range 594–881) than top-down inversion methods. Indeed, bottom-up estimates for natural sources such as natural wetlands, other inland water systems, and geological sources are higher than top-down estimates. The atmospheric constraints on the top-down budget suggest that at least some of these bottom-up emissions are overestimated. The latitudinal distribution of atmospheric observation-based emissions indicates a predominance of tropical emissions (∼ 65 % of the global budget, < 30∘ N) compared to mid-latitudes (∼ 30 %, 30–60∘ N) and high northern latitudes (∼ 4 %, 60–90∘ N). The most important source of uncertainty in the methane budget is attributable to natural emissions, especially those from wetlands and other inland waters.
Some of our global source estimates are smaller than those in previously published budgets (Saunois et al., 2016; Kirschke et al., 2013). In particular wetland emissions are about 35 Tg CH4 yr−1 lower due to improved partition wetlands and other inland waters. Emissions from geological sources and wild animals are also found to be smaller by 7 Tg CH4 yr−1 by 8 Tg CH4 yr−1, respectively. However, the overall discrepancy between bottom-up and top-down estimates has been reduced by only 5 % compared to Saunois et al. (2016), due to a higher estimate of emissions from inland waters, highlighting the need for more detailed research on emissions factors. Priorities for improving the methane budget include (i) a global, high-resolution map of water-saturated soils and inundated areas emitting methane based on a robust classification of different types of emitting habitats; (ii) further development of process-based models for inland-water emissions; (iii) intensification of methane observations at local scales (e.g., FLUXNET-CH4 measurements) and urban-scale monitoring to constrain bottom-up land surface models, and at regional scales (surface networks and satellites) to constrain atmospheric inversions; (iv) improvements of transport models and the representation of photochemical sinks in top-down inversions; and (v) development of a 3D variational inversion system using isotopic and/or co-emitted species such as ethane to improve source partitioning
Philadelphia Music Engraving And Publishing, 1800-1820: A Study In Bibliography And Cultural History.
PhDLibrary scienceUniversity of Michigan, Horace H. Rackham School of Graduate Studieshttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/179340/2/5807749.pd
Copyright law's musical work
This article addresses and contests a particular narrative about the history of copyright law's engagement with music, an exemplary version of which is to be found in Lydia Goehr's highly influential The Imaginary Museum of Musical Works(1992). According to this narrative, copyright law's conception of the musical object that it protects by means of a property right derives from an aesthetic conception of the musical ‘work’ that itself emerged from the field of musical practice, theory and criticism around 1800. Yet an analysis of the case law arising under the first modern copyright legislation of 1710 shows that copyright was recognized as vested in the composer of a musical ‘writing’ as early as 1777 in England, and that an embryonic legal ‘work-concept’ had already taken shape a decade or more earlier than that. This concept developed through a complex set of articulations between the doctrinal logic of property law and, especially, economic and aesthetic understandings of what a musical artefact was and where its value resided. However, far from simply absorbing aesthetic ideas about musical or other cultural practices, it is argued here that copyright's categories have developed relatively autonomously of these and other ‘external’ influences. Further, being only relatively autonomous, they have also actively helped to shape what is assumed – by Goehr and other historians of culture – to have shaped them. In short, the central claim of this article is that the work done by intellectual property discourse in forging conceptions of cultural form has been significant and important, and that copyright doctrine has accordingly played a major role in producing that plural construct which is known as ‘the’ musical work-concept
Music and Print
This chapter surveys some of the major trends in music printing and publishing from the fifteenth century to the present day. From Ottaviano Petrucci's introduction of triple‐impression printing for polyphonic music in the sixteenth century to the global marketing of music in modern times, the history of music in print reveals an uneven correlation between technological development, socioeconomic change, and notational evolution. Owing to the unique spatial and performative dimensions to the musical text, the music publisher plays an unusually significant role in mediating between the composer and intended audience. Music therefore offers an illuminating and challenging area for bibliographical exploration
Results from the International Halocarbons in Air Comparison Experiment : (IHALACE) [Discussion paper]
The International Halocarbons in Air Comparison Experiment (IHALACE) was conducted to document relationships between calibration scales among various laboratories that measure atmospheric greenhouse and ozone depleting gases. Six stainless steel cylinders containing natural and modified natural air samples were circulated among 19 laboratories. Results from this experiment reveal relatively good agreement among commonly used calibration scales for a number of trace gases present in the unpolluted atmosphere at pmol mol−1 (parts per trillion) levels, such as chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs), and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs). Some scale relationships were found to be consistent with those derived from bi-lateral experiments or from analysis of atmospheric data, while others revealed discrepancies. The transfer of calibration scales among laboratories was found to be problematic in many cases, meaning that measurements tied to a common scale may not, in fact, be compatible. These results reveal substantial improvements in calibration over previous comparisons. However there is room for improvement in communication and coordination of calibration activities with respect to the measurement of halogenated and related trace gases
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The Global Methane Budget: 2000–2012
Abstract. The global methane (CH4) budget is becoming an increasingly important component for managing realistic pathways to mitigate climate change. This relevance, due to a shorter atmospheric lifetime and a stronger warming potential than carbon dioxide, is challenged by the still unexplained changes of atmospheric CH4 over the past decade. Emissions and concentrations of CH4 are continuing to increase making CH4 the second most important human-induced greenhouse gas after carbon dioxide. Two major difficulties in reducing uncertainties come from the large variety of diffusive CH4 sources that overlap geographically, and from the destruction of CH4 by the very short-lived hydroxyl radical (OH). To address these difficulties, we have established a consortium of multi-disciplinary scientists under the umbrella of the Global Carbon Project to synthesize and stimulate research on the methane cycle, and producing regular (~biennial) updates of the global methane budget. This consortium includes atmospheric physicists and chemists, biogeochemists of surface and marine emissions, and socio-economists who study anthropogenic emissions. Following Kirschke et al. (2013), we propose here the first version of a living review paper that integrates results of top-down studies (T-D, exploiting atmospheric observations within an atmospheric inverse-modelling framework) and bottom-up models, inventories, and data-driven approaches (B-U, including process-based models for estimating land surface emissions and atmospheric chemistry, and inventories for anthropogenic emissions, data-driven extrapolations). For the 2003–2012 decade, global methane emissions are estimated by T-D inversions at 558 Tg CH4 yr−1 (range [540–568]). About 60 % of global emissions are anthropogenic (range [50–65 %]). B-U approaches suggest larger global emissions (736 Tg CH4 yr−1 [596–884]) mostly because of larger natural emissions from individual sources such as inland waters, natural wetlands and geological sources. Considering the atmospheric constraints on the T-D budget, it is likely that some of the individual emissions reported by the B-U approaches are overestimated, leading to too large global emissions. Latitudinal data from T-D emissions indicate a predominance of tropical emissions (~64 % of the global budget