ASSESSMENT OF DROUGHT INDICES AND WATER AVAILABILITY USING STATISTICAL Z-SCORE AND MOCK MODEL

The phenomenon of drought and water scarcity due to climate change is a major problem in many countries. Assessing drought conditions and water availability in a watershed helps the government and communities implement sustainable watershed management. The study was conducted in Krueng Jreue Sub Watershed, Krueng Aceh Watershed, Aceh Province, Indonesia. The meteorological and hydrological indices in the watershed were analyzed using statistical Z-Score for Precipitation (ZSP) and Discharges (ZSD). Discharges originated from Mock model was used to examine the water availability in a watershed. The results showed the ZSP and ZSD indices from 2008 to 2017 were almost categorized as normal. In certain months, drought indices with the criteria of extreme wet (EW), very wet (VW), and severe drought (SD) also occurred. In general, the ZSP and ZSD indices were consistent, but for certain months (April 2008, November 2010, and March 2017) inconsistencies were found due to differences in signs and index classes. The Mock model parameters for the proportion of surface soil uncovered by vegetation (m), infiltration factor (IF), initial soil moisture (ISM), and flow reduction coefficient (Rc) were 20 %, 0.4, 200 mm month-1, and 0.6, respectively. The average monthly discharge during the period of 2008-2017 ranged from 3.16-31.18 m3s-1. The total water needs of 5.041 m3 s-1 per month. The water availability per month was surplus in the rainy season (October-April), but deficit in the dry season (May-September). This research not only contributes to enriching references for similar research in Krueng Aceh Watershed, Indonesia but can also be applied to other watersheds according to the current conditions of watershed characteristics

Mortality and pulmonary complications in patients undergoing surgery with perioperative sars-cov-2 infection: An international cohort study

Background The impact of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) on postoperative recovery needs to be understood to inform clinical decision making during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. This study reports 30-day mortality and pulmonary complication rates in patients with perioperative SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods This international, multicentre, cohort study at 235 hospitals in 24 countries included all patients undergoing surgery who had SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed within 7 days before or 30 days after surgery. The primary outcome measure was 30-day postoperative mortality and was assessed in all enrolled patients. The main secondary outcome measure was pulmonary complications, defined as pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome, or unexpected postoperative ventilation. Findings This analysis includes 1128 patients who had surgery between Jan 1 and March 31, 2020, of whom 835 (740%) had emergency surgery and 280 (248%) had elective surgery. SARS-CoV-2 infection was confirmed preoperatively in 294 (261%) patients. 30-day mortality was 238% (268 of 1128). Pulmonary complications occurred in 577 (512%) of 1128 patients; 30-day mortality in these patients was 380% (219 of 577), accounting for 817% (219 of 268) of all deaths. In adjusted analyses, 30-day mortality was associated with male sex (odds ratio 175 [95% CI 128-240], p<00001), age 70 years or older versus younger than 70 years (230 [165-322], p<00001), American Society of Anesthesiologists grades 3-5 versus grades 1-2 (235 [157-353], p<00001), malignant versus benign or obstetric diagnosis (155 [101-239], p=0046), emergency versus elective surgery (167 [106-263], p=0026), and major versus minor surgery (152 [101-231], p=0047). Interpretation Postoperative pulmonary complications occur in half of patients with perioperative SARS-CoV-2 infection and are associated with high mortality. Thresholds for surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic should be higher than during normal practice, particularly in men aged 70 years and older. Consideration should be given for postponing non-urgent procedures and promoting non-operative treatment to delay or avoid the need for surgery. Funding National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland, Bowel and Cancer Research, Bowel Disease Research Foundation, Association of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgeons, British Association of Surgical Oncology, British Gynaecological Cancer Society, European Society of Coloproctology, NIHR Academy, Sarcoma UK, Vascular Society for Great Britain and Ireland, and Yorkshire Cancer Research

Mortality and pulmonary complications in patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2 infection: an international cohort study

Background: The impact of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) on postoperative recovery needs to be understood to inform clinical decision making during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. This study reports 30-day mortality and pulmonary complication rates in patients with perioperative SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods: This international, multicentre, cohort study at 235 hospitals in 24 countries included all patients undergoing surgery who had SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed within 7 days before or 30 days after surgery. The primary outcome measure was 30-day postoperative mortality and was assessed in all enrolled patients. The main secondary outcome measure was pulmonary complications, defined as pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome, or unexpected postoperative ventilation. Findings: This analysis includes 1128 patients who had surgery between Jan 1 and March 31, 2020, of whom 835 (74·0%) had emergency surgery and 280 (24·8%) had elective surgery. SARS-CoV-2 infection was confirmed preoperatively in 294 (26·1%) patients. 30-day mortality was 23·8% (268 of 1128). Pulmonary complications occurred in 577 (51·2%) of 1128 patients; 30-day mortality in these patients was 38·0% (219 of 577), accounting for 81·7% (219 of 268) of all deaths. In adjusted analyses, 30-day mortality was associated with male sex (odds ratio 1·75 [95% CI 1·28–2·40], p\textless0·0001), age 70 years or older versus younger than 70 years (2·30 [1·65–3·22], p\textless0·0001), American Society of Anesthesiologists grades 3–5 versus grades 1–2 (2·35 [1·57–3·53], p\textless0·0001), malignant versus benign or obstetric diagnosis (1·55 [1·01–2·39], p=0·046), emergency versus elective surgery (1·67 [1·06–2·63], p=0·026), and major versus minor surgery (1·52 [1·01–2·31], p=0·047). Interpretation: Postoperative pulmonary complications occur in half of patients with perioperative SARS-CoV-2 infection and are associated with high mortality. Thresholds for surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic should be higher than during normal practice, particularly in men aged 70 years and older. Consideration should be given for postponing non-urgent procedures and promoting non-operative treatment to delay or avoid the need for surgery. Funding: National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland, Bowel and Cancer Research, Bowel Disease Research Foundation, Association of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgeons, British Association of Surgical Oncology, British Gynaecological Cancer Society, European Society of Coloproctology, NIHR Academy, Sarcoma UK, Vascular Society for Great Britain and Ireland, and Yorkshire Cancer Research

Bunch Merging and Compression: Recent Progress with RF and LLRF Systems for FAIR

Besides the realization of several new RF systems for the new heavy-ion synchrotron SIS100 and the storage rings CR and HESR, the FAIR project also includes an upgrade of the RF systems of the existing accelerator rings such as SIS18. The SIS18 RF systems currently comprise two ferrite cavities, three broadband magnetic-alloy cavities and one bunch-compressor cavity. In addition, the LLRF system has been continuously upgraded over the past years towards the planned topology that will be implemented for all FAIR ring accelerators. One of the challenges for the SIS18 RF systems is the large RF frequency span between 400 kHz and 5.4 MHz. Although the SIS18 upgrade is still under progress, a major part of the functionality has already been successfully tested with beam in machine development experiments (MDE). This includes multi-harmonic operation such as dual-harmonic acceleration and further beam gymnastics manipulations such as bunch merging and bunch compression. Many of these features are already used in standard operation. In this contribution, the current status is illustrated and recent MDE results are presented that demonstrate the capabilities of the RF systems for FAIR

Continuum model for the phase behavior, microstructure, and rheology of unentangled polymer nanocomposite melts

We introduce a continuum model for polymer melts filled with nanoparticles capable of describing in a unified and self-consistent way their microstructure, phase behavior, and rheology in both the linear and nonlinear regimes. It is based on the Hamiltonian formulation of transport phenomena for fluids with a complex microstructure with the final dynamic equations derived by means of a generalized (Poisson plus dissipative) bracket. The model describes the polymer nanocomposite melt at a mesoscopic level by using three fields (state variables): a vectorial (the momentum density) and two tensorial ones (the conformation tensor for polymer chains and the orientation tensor for nanoparticles). The dynamic equations are developed for nanoparticles with an arbitrary shape but then they are specified to the case of spherical ones. Restrictions on the parameters of the model are provided by analyzing its thermodynamic admissibility. A key ingredient of the model is the expression for the Helmholtz free energy A of the polymer nanocomposite. At equilibrium this reduces to the form introduced by Mackay et al. (Science 2006, 311, 1740-1743) to explain the phase behavior of polystyrene melts filled with silica nanoparticles. Beyond equilibrium, A contains additional terms that account for the coupling between microstructure and flow. In the absence of chain elasticity, the proposed evolution equations capture known models for the hydrodynamics of a Newtonian suspension of particles. A thorough comparison against several sets of experimental and simulation data demonstrates the unique capability of the model to accurately describe chain conformation and swelling in polymer melt nanocomposites and to reliably fit measured rheological data for their shear and complex viscosity over large ranges of volume fractions and deformation rates. © 2014 American Chemical Society