Accurate long-term air temperature prediction with Machine Learning models and data reduction techniques

In this paper, three customised Artificial Intelligence (AI) frameworks, considering Deep Learning, Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and data reduction techniques, are proposed for a problem of long-term summer air temperature prediction. Specifically, the prediction of the average air temperature in the first and second August fortnights, using input data from previous months, at two different locations (Paris, France) and (Córdoba, Spain), is considered. The target variable, mainly in the first August fortnight, can contain signals of extreme events such as heatwaves, like the heatwave of 2003, which affected France and the Iberian Peninsula. Three different computational frameworks for air temperature prediction are proposed: a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), with video-to-image translation, several ML approaches including Lasso regression, Decision Trees and Random Forest, and finally a CNN with pre-processing step using Recurrence Plots, which convert time series into images. Using these frameworks, a very good prediction skill has been obtained in both Paris and Córdoba regions, showing that the proposed approaches can be an excellent option for seasonal climate prediction problems.This research has been partially supported by the European Union, through H2020 Project “CLIMATE INTELLIGENCE Extreme events detection, attribution and adaptation design using machine learning (CLINT)”, Ref: 101003876-CLINT. This research has also been partially supported by the project PID2020-115454GB-C21 of the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (MICINN)

Adaptación y validación de la CBAS para la observación de climas motivacionales

El objetivo principal del estudio fue adaptar y validar el Coaching Behavior Assessment System (CBAS; Smith, Smoll y Hunt, 1977) para evaluar el clima motivacional que transmite el entrenador. La muestra empleada estuvo compuesta por un único monitor de actividad física dirigida, que trabajaba en el Servicio de Deportes de una universidad pública, tenía 27años y dos años de experiencia. En primer lugar, se realizó un análisis del contenido de la CBAS por expertos, que propusieron la inclusión de nuevos ítems. En segundo lugar, se llevó a cabo el proceso de entrenamiento de cuatro observadores para evaluar con la adaptación creada de la CBAS. A continuación, los cuatro investigadores realizaron seis observaciones sistemáticas al mismo monitor durante diferentes sesiones elegidas al azar y se calculóel índice de concordancia. Los resultados del análisis de la fiabilidad entre los observadores mostraron valores superiores al 90 %, llegando a alcanzar en la última observación el 98,9 %. Se discuten los resultados en base a la importancia de tener una herramienta que nos facilite evaluar el clima motivacional que genera un entrenador a través de la observación sistemática

Intervención nutricional en el paciente oncohematológico

Background: Oncohematological diseases such as lymphoma or leukaemia affect an increasing number of newly diagnosed patients in Spain and other countries. Both disease and treatment may have a negatively impact in the nutritional status of the patient. Malnutrition is not uncommon among oncohematological patients. This situation can compromised the course of the disease, the clinical response of the treatment and the patient’s quality of life. Method: The implementation of a multidisciplinary approach and a systematic and protocolled nutritional assessment would be useful when dealing with haematological malignancies. Results: We present a proposal of protocol for nutritional intervention in oncohematological patients. This proposal is been developed from the analysis of the published literature as well as clinical practice of a multidisciplinary team specialized in the management of patients with haematological malignanciesObjetivos: Las enfermedades oncohematológicas como el Linfoma o la Leucemia afectan a un número importante y creciente de personas en España. Tanto la enfermedad como las distintas modalidades de tratamiento que puede llegar a precisar el paciente a lo largo del curso de la misma impactan negativamente en el estado nutricional del paciente, no siendo infrecuente el desarrollo de desnutrición, situación que compromete la evolución, la respuesta al tratamiento y la calidad de vida del paciente. Método: La implementación de una estrategia multidisciplinar, sistematizada y protocolizada de valoración nutricional puede resultar de utilidad a la hora de abordar a los pacientes con enfermedades oncohematológicas. Resultados: Se presenta una propuesta de protocolo de evaluación y soporte nutricional en el paciente oncohematológico elaborada a partir del análisis de la literatura publicada al respecto, así como de la práctica clínica habitual de un equipo sanitario multidisciplinar especialmente implicado en el manejo de los pacientes con enfermedades oncohematológica

Dietary Fat Patterns and Outcomes in Acute Pancreatitis in Spain

Background/Objective: Evidence from basic and clinical studies suggests that unsaturated fatty acids (UFAs) might be relevant mediators of the development of complications in acute pancreatitis (AP). Objective: The aim of this study was to analyze outcomes in patients with AP from regions in Spain with different patterns of dietary fat intake. Materials and Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed with data from 1,655 patients with AP from a Spanish prospective cohort study and regional nutritional data from a Spanish cross-sectional study. Nutritional data considered in the study concern the total lipid consumption, detailing total saturated fatty acids, UFAs and monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFAs) consumption derived from regional data and not from the patient prospective cohort. Two multivariable analysis models were used: (1) a model with the Charlson comorbidity index, sex, alcoholic etiology, and recurrent AP; (2) a model that included these variables plus obesity. Results: In multivariable analysis, patients from regions with high UFA intake had a significantly increased frequency of local complications, persistent organ failure (POF), mortality, and moderate-to-severe disease in the model without obesity and a higher frequency of POF in the model with obesity. Patients from regions with high MUFA intake had significantly more local complications and moderate-to-severe disease; this significance remained for moderate-to-severe disease when obesity was added to the model. Conclusions: Differences in dietary fat patterns could be associated with different outcomes in AP, and dietary fat patterns may be a pre-morbid factor that determines the severity of AP. UFAs, and particulary MUFAs, may influence the pathogenesis of the severity of AP

Root traits and arbuscular mycorrhiza on perennial grasses exposed to defoliation after a controlled burning

Plant competition for soil resources is common in semiarid rangelands. Plants have various, alternative mechanisms to deal with soil resource acquisition. They include (1) length, weight and proliferation of roots, (2) root length density, and (3) root colonization by arbuscular mycorrhiza. In rangelands of Argentina, plants are exposed to herbivory after natural fires. As a result, knowledge on how these disturbances impact root traits is important for outlining guidelines focused on rangeland management and improvement. Our aim was to analyze the effects of defoliation after a controlled burning on root traits (1) to (3) on two preferred (Poa ligularis and Nassella tenuis) and one unpreferred (Amelichloa ambigua) perennial grasses. Applied treatments did not affect neither root length nor percentage colonization by arbucular mycorrhiza. The smaller diameter and greater root length found in P. ligularis might contribute to explain its lower root mycorrhizal colonization in comparison to A. ambigua and N. tenuis, respectively. The greatest root length and weight, on P. ligularis will contribute to explain the already known greater competitive ability in this than in the other two study species. Our results suggest that defoliating P. ligularis after fire would not compromise its competitive ability, thus contributing to rangeland management.En pastizales semiáridos, la competencia por los recursos subterráneos es una de las principales formas de competencia entre plantas. Las plantas poseen varios mecanismos alternativos para la adquisición de los recursos del suelo. Éstos incluyen (1) la longitud, peso y proliferación radical, (2) la densidad de longitud de raíces y (3) la colonización del sistema radical por hongos micorrízicos arbusculares. En los pastizales de Argentina las plantas están expuestas a herbivoría luego de fuegos naturales. En consecuencia, resulta crucial conocer cómo impactan dichos disturbios sobre los atributos radicales, con el objeto de emplearlos como herramientas de manejo para hacer un uso sustentable de estos ecosistemas. El objetivo del estudio fue analizar el efecto de la defoliación luego de una quema controlada sobre los parámetros subterráneos mencionados (1 a 3), en dos especies deseables (Poa ligularis y Nassella tenuis) y una indeseable (Amelichloa ambigua). Los tratamientos aplicados no afectaron la longitud radical ni la colonización por hongos micorrízicos arbusculares. El menor diámetro y la mayor longitud radical de P. ligularis, contribuyeron a explicar la menor colonización radical de esta especie respecto de A. ambigua y N. tenuis, respectivamente. Los resultados encontrados sugieren que la defoliación de P. ligularis luego de una quema controlada no comprometería la habilidad competitiva de esta especie, contribuyendo al mejoramiento de los pastizales.Artículo publicado en Phyton, International Journal of Experimental Botany (2018) 87: 51-5

Efecto del fuego controlado y/o rolado en un pastizal natural del sudoeste de la provincia de Buenos Aires

En muchas regiones del mundo, el aumento de la abundancia de especies leñosas, ha sido principalmente atribuido a los efectos combinados del pastoreo, la sequía y la alteración del régimen de fuego. Desde la introducción del ganado doméstico en el sur de la Provincia Fitogeográfica del Monte, comúnmente conocida come el Monte, muchas décadas de sobrepastoreo han ocurrido. Esto puede haber disparado el proceso de arbustización en este ecosistema. El pastoreo puede reducir la habilidad competitiva de las plantas pastoreadas favoreciendo el crecimiento de las especies leñosas. Al mismo tiempo, se producirá una alteración en la frecuencia con que ocurre el fuego debido a que se reduce la acumulación de combustibles finos. En el sur del Monte, los fuegos accidentales y/o naturales son comunes durante los veranos secos y calurosos. Esos fuegos con frecuencia ocurren en presencia de alta temperatura, baja humedad relativa e intensos vientos pudiendo causar efectos indeseables sobre el ecosistema. Sin embargo, los fuegos controlados de intensidad moderada pueden controlar las especies leñosas, aumentar la producción de forraje y facilitar el manejo del ganado vacuno. Existe alguna información de los efectos del fuego controlado sobre la vegetación del Monte; sin embargo, el impacto del rolado aún no ha sido evaluado en la región. El objetivo del presente trabajo fue estudiar el efecto de un fuego controlado y/o de un rolado sobre la cobertura aérea y densidad de las especies leñosas y gramíneas perennes forrajeras más conspicuas en el sur de la región del Monte

Aportaciones al conocimiento de la evolución paleoclimática y paleoambiental en la Península Ibérica durante los dos ultimos millones de años a partir del estudio de trasvertinos y espeleotemas

En este trabajo se contemplan los resultados principales del Proyecto" Reconstrucción Paleoclimática desde el Pleistoceno Medio a partir de análisis geocronológicos e isotópicos de travertinos españoles" (P. CEC FI2W-CT91-0075 " Paleoclimatological revision of climate evolution in the Western Mediterranean Region, Evaluation of altered scenarios) . Se seleccionaron cuatro áreas de depósitos travertínicos de carácter fluvial (Priego, Río Blanco), lacustre (Río Blanco, Banyoles) y aluvial (Tolox) así como una zona con depósitos espeleotémicos (Karst de la Cueva del Reguerillo). En ellas se obtuvieron datos sobre la evolución del paisaje y del clima, los travertinos y espeleotemas son indicadores de clima cálido s.l. que de forma abreviada son: O Mediante la geomorfología y dataciones (paleomagnetismo, U/Th, Resonancia de espín Resumen electrónico y racemización de aminoácidos), se determinó las historia fluvial de los travertinos de Priego y Río Blanco así como del Karst de la Cueva del Reguerillo donde, además, se dataron un paleosismo y fenómenos de neotectónica. La data más antigua obtenida mediante Resonancia de espín electrónico fue 950ka, mientras que mediante racemización de aminoácidos se dataron depósitos de más de 750ka. Mediante dataciones, sedimentología, análisis de isótopos estables y palinología se determinaron aspectos de la evolución climática de algunas áreas de la Península Ibérica. La correlación entre palinología e isotopía permitió la validación de algunos de los resultados. También se obtuvieron datos cualitativos sobre input hidraúlicos a los sistemas fluviales o kársticos

Earliest Known Use of Marine Resources by Neanderthals

Numerous studies along the northern Mediterranean borderland have documented the use of shellfish by Neanderthals but none of these finds are prior to Marine Isotopic Stage 3 (MIS 3). In this paper we present evidence that gathering and consumption of mollusks can now be traced back to the lowest level of the archaeological sequence at Bajondillo Cave (Málaga, Spain), dated during the MIS 6. The paper describes the taxonomical and taphonomical features of the mollusk assemblages from this level Bj19 and briefly touches upon those retrieved in levels Bj18 (MIS 5) and Bj17 (MIS 4), evidencing a continuity of the shellfishing activity that reaches to MIS 3. This evidence is substantiated on 29 datings through radiocarbon, thermoluminescence and U series methods. Obtained dates and paleoenvironmental records from the cave include isotopic, pollen, lithostratigraphic and sedimentological analyses and they are fully coherent with paleoclimate conditions expected for the different stages. We conclude that described use of shellfish resources by Neanderthals (H. neanderthalensis) in Southern Spain started ∼150 ka and were almost contemporaneous to Pinnacle Point (South Africa), when shellfishing is first documented in archaic modern humans

Bioactive characterization of Persea americana Mill. by-products: A rich source of inherent antioxidants

[EN] Avocado (Persea americana Mill.) is a worldwide consumed fruit, with great interest for cosmetic and pharmaceutical industries; however, 30% of avocado fruits are bio-wastes (peels and kernels), converting them into a potential source of bioactive compounds, such as phenolic compounds. Therefore, the hydroethanolic extracts of peels and kernels of Persea america Mill. var. Hass were analysed regarding their individual phenolic profile by HPLC-DAD/ESI-MS and correlated with their antioxidant, antimicrobial and cytotoxic activities. Avocado by-products presented a very distinct phenolic profile, presenting higher concentration in peels (227.9 mg/g of extract for total phenolic content), mainly in (epi)catechin derivatives (175 mg/g of extract), followed by chlorogenic derivatives (42.9 mg/g of extract). In this study hydrophilic and lipophilic antioxidant assays were performed together for the first time in P. americana by-products, and although kernels showed a great antioxidant potential (EC50 values ranging from 18.1 to 276 mu g/mL), peels presented the highest potential (EC50 ranging from 11.7 to 152 mu g/mL), mainly due to the presence of phenolic compounds, and an overall better performance in the antibacterial assays. Further studies needs to be conducted to better understand the correlation between the presence of phenolic compounds and bioactivities, however, the main objective is to implement these biocompounds in different products and industries, due to results obtained, P. americana peels could be a great alternative in the substitution of synthetic antioxidants.The authors are grateful to the Foundation for Science and Technology(FCT, Portugal) and FEDER under Program PT2020 for financial support to CIMO (UID/AGR/00690/2013) and L. Barros contract. The authors would like to thank the Interreg Espana-Portugal for financial support through the project 0377_Iberphenol_6_E. B. Melgar thanks CONACyT for his grant (No. 329930). The authors are also grateful to the Serbian Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development, grant number 173032 for financial support.Melgar-Castañeda, B.; Dias, MI.; Ciric, A.; Sokovic, M.; Garcia-Castello, EM.; Rodríguez López, AD.; Barros, L.... (2018). Bioactive characterization of Persea americana Mill. by-products: A rich source of inherent antioxidants. Industrial Crops and Products. 111:212-218. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indcrop.2017.10.024S21221811

Effectiveness and safety of first-generation protease inhibitors in clinical practice: Hepatitis C virus patients with advanced fibrosis

AIM: To evaluates the effectiveness and safety of the first generation, NS3/4A protease inhibitors (PIs) in clinical practice against chronic C virus, especially in patients with advanced fibrosis. METHODS: Prospective study and non-experimental analysis of a multicentre cohort of 38 Spanish hospitals that includes patients with chronic hepatitis C genotype 1, treatment-nai¨ve (TN) or treatment-experienced (TE), who underwent triple therapy with the first generation NS3/4A protease inhibitors, boceprevir (BOC) and telaprevir (TVR), in combination with pegylated interferon and ribavirin. The patients were treatment in routine practice settings. Data on the study population and on adverse clinical and virologic effects were compiled during the treatment period and during follow up. RESULTS: One thousand and fifty seven patients were included, 405 (38%) were treated with BOC and 652 (62%) with TVR. Of this total, 30% (n = 319) were TN and the remaining were TE: 28% (n = 298) relapsers, 12% (n = 123) partial responders (PR), 25% (n = 260) null-responders (NR) and for 5% (n = 57) with prior response unknown. The rate of sustained virologic response (SVR) by intention-to-treatment (ITT) was greater in those treated with TVR (65%) than in those treated with BOC (52%) (P < 0.0001), whereas by modified intention-to-treatment (mITT) no were found significant differences. By degree of fibrosis, 56% of patients were F4 and the highest SVR rates were recorded in the non-F4 patients, both TN and TE. In the analysis by groups, the TN patients treated with TVR by ITT showed a higher SVR (P = 0.005). However, by mITT there were no significant differences between BOC and TVR. In the multivariate analysis by mITT, the significant SVR factors were relapsers, IL28B CC and non-F4; the type of treatment (BOC or TVR) was not significant. The lowest SVR values were presented by the F4-NR patients, treated with BOC (46%) or with TVR (45%). 28% of the patients interrupted the treatment, mainly by non-viral response (51%): this outcome was more frequent in the TE than in the TN patients (57% vs 40%, P = 0.01). With respect to severe haematological disorders, neutropaenia was more likely to affect the patients treated with BOC (33% vs 20%, P = 0.0001), and thrombocytopaenia and anaemia, the F4 patients (P = 0.000, P = 0.025, respectively). CONCLUSION: In a real clinical practice setting with a high proportion of patients with advanced fibrosis, effectiveness of first-generation PIs was high except for NR patients, with similar SVR rates being achieved by BOC and TVR