National predictors of influenza vaccine uptake in pregnancy: the FluMum prospective cohort study, Australia, 2012–2015

Objective: Ascertain predictors of inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV) uptake in pregnancy in mother–infant pairs from six Australian sites over four consecutive influenza seasons (2012–2015). Methods: Prospective observational cohort study calculating proportions of unvaccinated and vaccinated pregnancies. Multivariable logistic regression calculating adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) to determine demographic, pregnancy and birth characteristics as predictors of IIV uptake in pregnancy. Results: Uptake of IIV was 36% (n=3,651/9,878) with only 3–4% during the first trimester. Validation of IIV receipt was obtained for 77% of vaccinated participants. Predictors of IIV uptake in pregnancy were: healthcare provider recommendation to have IIV during pregnancy (aOR 7.04 [95%CI 5.83-8.50]): GP (aOR 4.12 [95%CI 3.43-4.98]), obstetrician (aOR 4.41 [95%CI 3.45-5.64]), midwife (aOR 1.88 [95%CI 1.51-2.36]); previous IIV within 12 months of their current pregnancy (aOR 2.87 [95%CI 2.36-3.50]); and pertussis vaccination during the current pregnancy (aOR 4.88 [95%CI 4.08-5.83]). Conclusions and implications for public health: Healthcare provider discussions with pregnant women about the risks associated with influenza infection during pregnancy and early infancy and evidence about the safety and effectiveness of IIV are required. Recommending and offering IIV in pregnancy needs to be included in these discussions to improve uptake.Lisa McHugh, Kerry-Ann F. O’Grady, Terry Nolan, Peter C. Richmond, Nicholas Wood, Helen S. Marshall, Stephen B. Lambert, Mark D. Chatfield, Kirsten P. Perrett, Paula Binks, Michael J. Binks, Ross M. Andrew

Association of Prognostic Understanding with Health Care Use among Older Adults with Advanced Cancer: A Secondary Analysis of a Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance: A poor prognostic understanding regarding curability is associated with lower odds of hospice use among patients with cancer. However, the association between poor prognostic understanding or prognostic discordance and health care use among older adults with advanced incurable cancers is not well characterized. Objective: To evaluate the association of poor prognostic understanding and patient-oncologist prognostic discordance with hospitalization and hospice use among older adults with advanced cancers. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a post hoc secondary analysis of a cluster randomized clinical trial that recruited patients from October 29, 2014, to April 28, 2017. Data were collected from community oncology practices affiliated with the University of Rochester Cancer Center National Cancer Institute Community Oncology Research Program. The parent trial enrolled 541 patients who were aged 70 years or older and were receiving or considering any line of cancer treatment for incurable solid tumors or lymphomas; the patients' oncologists and caregivers (if available) were also enrolled. Patients were followed up for at least 1 year. Data were analyzed from January 3 to 16, 2021. Main Outcomes and Measures: At enrollment, patients and oncologists were asked about their beliefs regarding cancer curability (100%, >50%, 50%, 5 years; answers of >5 years reflected poor prognostic understanding). Any difference between oncologist and patient in response options was considered discordant. Outcomes were any hospitalization and hospice use at 6 months captured by the clinical research associates. Results: Among the 541 patients, the mean (SD) age was 76.6 (5.2) years, 264 of 540 (49%) were female, and 486 of 540 (90%) were White. Poor prognostic understanding regarding curability was reported for 59% (206 of 348) of patients, and poor prognostic understanding regarding life expectancy estimates was reported for 41% (205 of 496) of patients. Approximately 60% (202 of 336) of patient-oncologist dyads were discordant regarding curability, and 72% (356 of 492) of patient-oncologist dyads were discordant regarding life expectancy estimates. Poor prognostic understanding regarding life expectancy estimates was associated with lower odds of hospice use (adjusted odds ratio, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.16-0.59). Discordance regarding life expectancy estimates was associated with greater odds of hospitalization (adjusted odds ratio, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.01-2.66). Conclusions and Relevance: This study highlights different constructs of prognostic understanding and the need to better understand the association between prognostic understanding and health care use among older adult patients with advanced cancer. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02107443

Geographical and temporal distribution of SARS-CoV-2 clades in the WHO European Region, January to June 2020

We show the distribution of SARS-CoV-2 genetic clades over time and between countries and outline potential genomic surveillance objectives. We applied three available genomic nomenclature systems for SARS-CoV-2 to all sequence data from the WHO European Region available during the COVID-19 pandemic until 10 July 2020. We highlight the importance of real-time sequencing and data dissemination in a pandemic situation. We provide a comparison of the nomenclatures and lay a foundation for future European genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2.Peer reviewe

The safety of influenza and pertussis vaccination in pregnancy in a cohort of Australian mother-infant pairs, 2012-2015: the FluMum study

Background: Inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV) and pertussis vaccination are recommended in pregnancy. Limited safety data exist for women who received IIV vaccine during the first trimester of pregnancy or received both vaccines in pregnancy. We assessed adverse birth outcomes between vaccinated and unvaccinated pregnancies. Methods: Among prospectively enrolled Australian “FluMum” participants (2012–2015), primary exposure was receipt and timing of IIV during pregnancy. Primary outcomes included preterm birth, low birthweight at term (LBWT), and small for gestational age (SGA). We compared birth outcomes for IIV in pregnancy with women unvaccinated in pregnancy using Cox proportional hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Adjusted HRs (aHRs) controlled for potential confounding variables. Sensitivity analyses were conducted in a subgroup of women who received pertussis vaccination during pregnancy to assess whether associations between IIV and adverse outcomes were maintained after adjusting for pertussis vaccination. Results: Among 8827 participants in our study, women who received IIV in pregnancy did not have an elevated risk of an adverse birth outcome compared with unvaccinated pregnant women: preterm births (HR, 1.10 [95% CI, .92–1.31]; P = .28); LBWT (HR, 1.05 [95% CI, .76–1.44]; P = .77); or SGA (HR, 0.99 [95% CI, .86–1.15]; P = .94). Adjustment for pertussis vaccination during pregnancy yielded similar results: preterm births (aHR, 1.05 [95% CI, .82–1.34]; P = .69); LBWT (aHR, 0.81 [95% CI, .50–1.29]; P = .37); SGA (aHR, 0.92 [95% CI, .74–1.14]; P = .43). There was no evidence of elevated risk by trimester of IIV. Conclusions: No significant associations were found between maternal IIV or pertussis vaccination in pregnancy and adverse birth outcomes, regardless of the trimester of pregnancy a vaccination was given compared to unvaccinated pregnancies.Lisa McHugh, Helen S Marshall, Kirsten P Perrett, Terry Nolan, Nicholas Wood, Stephen B Lambert, Peter Richmond, Robert S Ware, Paula Binks, Michael J Binks, Ross M Andrew

Immunosuppressive FK506 treatment leads to more frequent EBV-associated lymphoproliferative disease in humanized mice

Post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) is a potentially fatal complication after organ transplantation frequently associated with the Epstein-Barr virus (EBV). Immunosuppressive treatment is thought to allow the expansion of EBV-infected B cells, which often express all eight oncogenic EBV latent proteins. Here, we assessed whether HLA-A2 transgenic humanized NSG mice treated with the immunosuppressant FK506 could be used to model EBV-PTLD. We found that FK506 treatment of EBV-infected mice led to an elevated viral burden, more frequent tumor formation and diminished EBV-induced T cell responses, indicative of reduced EBV-specific immune control. EBV latency III and lymphoproliferation-associated cellular transcripts were up-regulated in B cells from immunosuppressed animals, akin to the viral and host gene expression pattern found in EBV-PTLD. Utilizing an unbiased gene expression profiling approach, we identified genes differentially expressed in B cells of EBV-infected animals with and without FK506 treatment. Upon investigating the most promising candidates, we validated sCD30 as a marker of uncontrolled EBV proliferation in both humanized mice and in pediatric patients with EBV-PTLD. High levels of sCD30 have been previously associated with EBV-PTLD in patients. As such, we believe that humanized mice can indeed model aspects of EBV-PTLD development and may prove useful for the safety assessment of immunomodulatory therapies

Solidification in spray forming

Solidification in spray forming takes place in two distinct steps: typically half of the alloy latent heat is removed rapidly from the droplet spray created by gas atomization; the droplets are then constituted into a billet at deposition where the remaining liquid fraction solidifies relatively slowly. However, within the droplet spray, individual droplets have different thermal and solidification histories and depositing droplets may be solid, mushy, or liquid. Despite many studies of solidification behavior in spray forming, uncertainties and some misconceptions remain on how the solidification conditions in the spray and billet interact to give rise to the characteristic spray-formed microstructure comprising refined, polygonal/equiaxed primary grains with low levels of microsegregation. This article presents a simple numerical model for the spray-formed grain size arising from the deposition of the various droplets in the spray and combines insights provided by the model with previous investigations of the phenomena occurring during and immediately after deposition to propose a comprehensive description of the important solidification behavior during spray forming. Remelting, grain multiplication, thermal and elemental equilibration, and microstructural coarsening are proposed to play a critical role in the evolution of the spray-formed microstructure