Resilience to change: understanding social-ecological dynamics in reef-dependent fishing communities in Madagascar

Coral reefs are located across the tropics, predominantly in developing countries where reef fisheries play an important role in generating income and supporting food security. These fisheries are increasingly governed in co-management arrangements, which typically involve a form of shared management authority between local resource users and a government or non-governmental partner. As coral ecosystems rapidly degrade, driven by climate change, overfishing and other anthropogenic impacts, effective co-management will be a critical pathway to secure a sustainable future for reef-dependant coastal communities. To support locally-relevant co-management strategies, a comprehensive understanding of the local social-ecological context is required – including the environmental conditions, resource dynamics and the social and cultural setting. In this context, co-management stakeholders are increasingly investigating how different types of data, including scientific monitoring, local ecological knowledge, and citizen-science data can be used to inform management decisions. However, this remains under investigated in the context of reef fisheries co-management. This thesis addresses this gap by studying the social and ecological dynamics of traditional Vezo fishing communities and coral reef fisheries in the Velondriake Locally Managed Marine Area (LMMA) in southwest Madagascar. The research draws on data collected over two decades including citizen science reef monitoring data (2012 -2018), social surveys conducted in 11 villages in 2016 and 2021, semi-structured and key informant interviews, participatory video and climate reanalysis data. The thesis contains four research chapters structured as research articles. The first chapter assesses the impact and recovery of the coral ecosystem following the damage caused by Cyclone Haruna in 2013. Using generalized linear model analysis, we found the damage was spatially heterogeneous throughout the study region and that the coral reef sites showed positive signs of recovery in the two years following the cyclone. However, a shift in dominant coral species from fragile to more resilient morphologies following the cyclone indicates that an increased frequency of destructive cyclones could cause a shift in the coral assemblage. The second chapter examines the dynamics of adaptive capacity— the capacity of individuals or groups to cope with change— in the communities of Velondriake. Adaptive capacity is found to be differentiated between social groups but relatively stable over time. The findings suggest that co-management interventions, such as livelihood programmes could improve adaptive capacity. However, findings indicate that only certain adaptive capacity indicators were significantly associated with impact and response from disturbance events, and these indicators differed between the type of disturbance. These findings underscore that caution is required when using adaptive capacity indicators in the absence of locally derived evidence of actual adaptive behaviour. The third chapter integrates local knowledge and scientific approaches to examine catch trends and climate variability and change in the Velondriake LMMA over the past generation. The study reveals a long-term decline in fin fish and octopus fisheries that aligns with socioeconomic pressures. Shifting wind patterns were identified as a key climate variable impacting fishers’ livelihoods. This chapter underscores the unequal impacts of declining catches on male and female fishers and disparities in adaptation options. The final research chapter is an investigation of how participatory video can be used as a tool to support co-management. Participatory video is found to be a means to synthesise local knowledge concerning shifting social and ecological conditions, fostering dialogue and action towards locally relevant management interventions. Collectively, the research in this thesis underscores the climate and ecological challenges faced by reef-dependent fishing communities and their ramifications on the social-ecological system in southwest Madagascar. It reveals differentiated resilience among community members to declining marine ecosystems and elucidates potential interventions that can be undertaken within a co-management framework to bolster the resilience of reef-dependent communities in the face of shifting conditions. Moreover, it emphasises that in data-scarce regions, local ecological knowledge and participatory research can facilitate capacity building and generate evidence to inform locally relevant marine management and governance decisions

Functional network changes and cognitive control in schizophrenia

Cognitive control is a cognitive and neural mechanism that contributes to managing the complex demands of day-to-day life. Studies have suggested that functional impairments in cognitive control associated brain circuitry contribute to a broad range of higher cognitive deficits in schizophrenia. To examine this issue, we assessed functional connectivity networks in healthy adults and individuals with schizophrenia performing tasks from two distinct cognitive domains that varied in demands for cognitive control, the RiSE episodic memory task and DPX goal maintenance task. We characterized general and cognitive control-specific effects of schizophrenia on functional connectivity within an expanded frontal parietal network (FPN) and quantified network topology properties using graph analysis. Using the network based statistic (NBS), we observed greater network functional connectivity in cognitive control demanding conditions during both tasks in both groups in the FPN, and demonstrated cognitive control FPN specificity against a task independent auditory network. NBS analyses also revealed widespread connectivity deficits in schizophrenia patients across all tasks. Furthermore, quantitative changes in network topology associated with diagnostic status and task demand were observed. The present findings, in an analysis that was limited to correct trials only, ensuring that subjects are on task, provide critical insights into network connections crucial for cognitive control and the manner in which brain networks reorganize to support such control. Impairments in this mechanism are present in schizophrenia and these results highlight how cognitive control deficits contribute to the pathophysiology of this illness

A behavioral comparison of male and female adults with high functioning autism spectrum conditions

Autism spectrum conditions (ASC) affect more males than females in the general population. However, within ASC it is unclear if there are phenotypic sex differences. Testing for similarities and differences between the sexes is important not only for clinical assessment but also has implications for theories of typical sex differences and of autism. Using cognitive and behavioral measures, we investigated similarities and differences between the sexes in age- and IQ-matched adults with ASC (high-functioning autism or Asperger syndrome). Of the 83 (45 males and 38 females) participants, 62 (33 males and 29 females) met Autism Diagnostic Interview-Revised (ADI-R) cut-off criteria for autism in childhood and were included in all subsequent analyses. The severity of childhood core autism symptoms did not differ between the sexes. Males and females also did not differ in self-reported empathy, systemizing, anxiety, depression, and obsessive-compulsive traits/symptoms or mentalizing performance. However, adult females with ASC showed more lifetime sensory symptoms (p = 0.036), fewer current socio-communication difficulties (p = 0.001), and more self-reported autistic traits (p = 0.012) than males. In addition, females with ASC who also had developmental language delay had lower current performance IQ than those without developmental language delay (p<0.001), a pattern not seen in males. The absence of typical sex differences in empathizing-systemizing profiles within the autism spectrum confirms a prediction from the extreme male brain theory. Behavioral sex differences within ASC may also reflect different developmental mechanisms between males and females with ASC. We discuss the importance of the superficially better socio-communication ability in adult females with ASC in terms of why females with ASC may more often go under-recognized, and receive their diagnosis later, than males

Expressions 1985

PRODUCTION STAFFLOUISE AUSTINDANA Z. BEHRENDSENAMBER HEWITTTOSHIA SOUTHRANDY STANDLEYSHELLY WILSONhttps://openspace.dmacc.edu/expressions/1006/thumbnail.jp

Combined Associations of a Polygenic Risk Score and Classical Risk Factors With Breast Cancer Risk.

We evaluated the joint associations between a new 313-variant PRS (PRS313) and questionnaire-based breast cancer risk factors for women of European ancestry, using 72 284 cases and 80 354 controls from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium. Interactions were evaluated using standard logistic regression and a newly developed case-only method for breast cancer risk overall and by estrogen receptor status. After accounting for multiple testing, we did not find evidence that per-standard deviation PRS313 odds ratio differed across strata defined by individual risk factors. Goodness-of-fit tests did not reject the assumption of a multiplicative model between PRS313 and each risk factor. Variation in projected absolute lifetime risk of breast cancer associated with classical risk factors was greater for women with higher genetic risk (PRS313 and family history) and, on average, 17.5% higher in the highest vs lowest deciles of genetic risk. These findings have implications for risk prevention for women at increased risk of breast cancer

The ASTUTE Health study protocol: deliberative stakeholder engagements to inform implementation approaches to healthcare disinvestment

BACKGROUND Governments and other payers are yet to determine optimal processes by which to review the safety, effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness of technologies and procedures that are in active use within health systems, and rescind funding (partially or fully) from those that display poor profiles against these parameters. To further progress a disinvestment agenda, a model is required to support payers in implementing disinvestment in a transparent manner that may withstand challenge from vested interests and concerned citizens. Combining approaches from health technology assessment and deliberative democratic theory, this project seeks to determine if and how wide stakeholder engagement can contribute to improved decision-making processes, wherein the views of both vested and non-vested stakeholders are seen to contribute to informing policy implementation within a disinvestment context. METHODS/DESIGN Systematic reviews pertaining to illustrative case studies were developed and formed the evidence base for discussion. Review findings were presented at a series of deliberative, evidence-informed stakeholder engagements, including partisan (clinicians and consumers) and non-partisan (representative community members) stakeholders. Participants were actively facilitated towards identifying shared and dissenting perspectives regarding public funding policy for each of the case studies and developing their own funding models in response to the evidence presented. Policy advisors will subsequently be invited to evaluate disinvestment options based on the scientific and colloquial evidence presented to them, and to explore the value of this information to their decision-making processes with reference to disinvestment. DISCUSSION Analysis of the varied outputs of the deliberative engagements will contribute to the methodological development around how to best integrate scientific and colloquial evidence for consideration by policy advisors. It may contribute to the legitimization of broad and transparent stakeholder engagement in this context. It is anticipated that decision making will benefit from the knowledge delivered through informed deliberation with engaged stakeholders, and this will be explored through interviews with key decision makers.Amber M Watt, Janet E Hiller, Annette J Braunack-Mayer, John R Moss, Heather Buchan, Janet Wale, Dagmara E Riitano, Katherine Hodgetts, Jackie M Street and Adam G Elshaug, for the ASTUTE Health study grou

Trends in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Eastern 3 Mediterranean countries, 1990–2015: findings from the Global 4 Burden of Disease 2015 study

Objectives We used the results of the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to estimate trends of HIV/AIDS burden in Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) countries between 1990 and 2015. Methods Tailored estimation methods were used to produce final estimates of mortality. Years of life lost (YLLs) were calculated by multiplying the mortality rate by population by age-specific life expectancy. Years lived with disability (YLDs) were computed as the prevalence of a sequela multiplied by its disability weight. Results In 2015, the rate of HIV/AIDS deaths in the EMR was 1.8 (1.4–2.5) per 100,000 population, a 43% increase from 1990 (0.3; 0.2–0.8). Consequently, the rate of YLLs due to HIV/AIDS increased from 15.3 (7.6–36.2) per 100,000 in 1990 to 81.9 (65.3–114.4) in 2015. The rate of YLDs increased from 1.3 (0.6–3.1) in 1990 to 4.4 (2.7–6.6) in 2015. Conclusions HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality increased in the EMR since 1990. To reverse this trend and achieve epidemic control, EMR countries should strengthen HIV surveillance,and scale up HIV antiretroviral therapy and comprehensive prevention services

Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

The UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of “leaving no one behind”. Understanding today’s gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990–2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030