Improving Government Decision-making Practices for Risk Management

Conventional risks, such as environmental degradation, tend to take on new dimensions due to increasingly extreme weather conditions, growing geographical concentration of populations and wealth, etc. Emerging issues, such as new diseases, biotechnologies, bio-terrorism, are occurring, many of which are characterised by extreme uncertainty and the possibility of extensive harm. Government capacity to adjust to traditional and new risks seems increasingly challenged by modern complexities, while at the same time people seem more ready to accept risk resulting from “private” decisions rather than those resulting from “public” decisions (for example most consumers seem ready to assume the uncertainty resulting from the use of cellular phones or pharmaceuticals).

Améliorer les procédures de prise de décision des pouvoirs publics en vue de la gestion des risques

Les risques traditionnels, comme la dégradation de l’environnement, ont tendance à acquérir de nouvelles dimensions, à cause de divers facteurs tels l’augmentation de la fréquence des conditions climatiques extrêmes, la concentration géographique croissante des populations et des richesses, etc. Parallèlement, on voit apparaître de nouveaux problèmes, comme des maladies émergentes, l’utilisation des biotechnologies, le terrorisme biologique, se caractérisant par une incertitude extrême et la possibilité d’entraîner des préjudices considérables. Il semble que la complexité du monde moderne mette de plus en plus en question la capacité d’adaptation des gouvernements à l’évolution des risques traditionnels et aux risques émergents, tandis que l’acceptation de risques personnels découlant de décisions « privées » semble être plus grande que l’acceptation de risques découlant de décisions prises par les pouvoirs publics (ainsi les consommateurs semblent prêts en majorité à accepter les facteurs d’incertitude liés à l’utilisation des téléphones cellulaires ou des produits pharmaceutiques)...

Demo: Do not trust your neighbors! A small IoT platform illustrating a man-in-the-middle attack

International audienceThis demonstration defines a small IoT wireless network that uses TI CC2538-OpenMote as hardware platform and state-of-the-art IETF network standards such as 6LoWPAN, RPL, and CoAP implemented by ContikiOS. The IoT nodes are controlled from outside the IoT network using end-to-end connectivity provided by IPv6-CoAP messages. We implement a man-in-the-middle attack that disrupts the normal behavior of the system. Our attack leverages on the inherent hierarchical routing topology of RPL-based IoT networks. The demonstration aims at highlighting the need for end-to-end source-authentication and authorization enforcement of information even inside a trusted IoT network. We also provide some insights on how these services can be offered in a IoT-friendly way

Demo: Do not trust your neighbors! A small IoT platform illustrating a man-in-the-middle attack

International audienceThis demonstration defines a small IoT wireless network that uses TI CC2538-OpenMote as hardware platform and state-of-the-art IETF network standards such as 6LoWPAN, RPL, and CoAP implemented by ContikiOS. The IoT nodes are controlled from outside the IoT network using end-to-end connectivity provided by IPv6-CoAP messages. We implement a man-in-the-middle attack that disrupts the normal behavior of the system. Our attack leverages on the inherent hierarchical routing topology of RPL-based IoT networks. The demonstration aims at highlighting the need for end-to-end source-authentication and authorization enforcement of information even inside a trusted IoT network. We also provide some insights on how these services can be offered in a IoT-friendly way

Severity of COVID-19 and survival in patients with rheumatic and inflammatory diseases: data from the French RMD COVID-19 cohort of 694 patients

International audienceObjectives: There is little known about the impact of SARS-CoV-2 on patients with inflammatory rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases (iRMD). We examined epidemiological characteristics associated with severe disease, then with death. We also compared mortality between patients hospitalised for COVID-19 with and without iRMD.Methods: Individuals with suspected iRMD-COVID-19 were included in this French cohort. Logistic regression models adjusted for age and sex were used to estimate adjusted ORs and 95% CIs of severe COVID-19. The most significant clinically relevant factors were analysed by multivariable penalised logistic regression models, using a forward selection method. The death rate of hospitalised patients with iRMD-COVID-19 (moderate-severe) was compared with a subset of patients with non-iRMD-COVID-19 from a French hospital matched for age, sex, and comorbidities.Results: Of 694 adults, 438 (63%) developed mild (not hospitalised), 169 (24%) moderate (hospitalised out of the intensive care unit (ICU) and 87 (13%) severe (patients in ICU/deceased) disease. In multivariable imputed analyses, the variables associated with severe infection were age (OR=1.08, 95% CI: 1.05-1.10), female gender (OR=0.45, 95% CI: 0.25-0.80), body mass index (OR=1.07, 95% CI: 1.02-1.12), hypertension (OR=1.86, 95% CI: 1.01-3.42), and use of corticosteroids (OR=1.97, 95% CI: 1.09-3.54), mycophenolate mofetil (OR=6.6, 95% CI: 1.47-29.62) and rituximab (OR=4.21, 95% CI: 1.61-10.98). Fifty-eight patients died (8% (total) and 23% (hospitalised)). Compared with 175 matched hospitalised patients with non-iRMD-COVID-19, the OR of mortality associated with hospitalised patients with iRMD-COVID-19 was 1.45 (95% CI: 0.87-2.42) (n=175 each group).Conclusions: In the French RMD COVID-19 cohort, as already identified in the general population, older age, male gender, obesity, and hypertension were found to be associated with severe COVID-19. Patients with iRMD on corticosteroids, but not methotrexate, or tumour necrosis factor alpha and interleukin-6 inhibitors, should be considered as more likely to develop severe COVID-19. Unlike common comorbidities such as obesity, and cardiovascular or lung diseases, the risk of death is not significantly increased in patients with iRMD

Severity of COVID-19 and survival in patients with rheumatic and inflammatory diseases: data from the French RMD COVID-19 cohort of 694 patients

International audienceObjectives: There is little known about the impact of SARS-CoV-2 on patients with inflammatory rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases (iRMD). We examined epidemiological characteristics associated with severe disease, then with death. We also compared mortality between patients hospitalised for COVID-19 with and without iRMD.Methods: Individuals with suspected iRMD-COVID-19 were included in this French cohort. Logistic regression models adjusted for age and sex were used to estimate adjusted ORs and 95% CIs of severe COVID-19. The most significant clinically relevant factors were analysed by multivariable penalised logistic regression models, using a forward selection method. The death rate of hospitalised patients with iRMD-COVID-19 (moderate-severe) was compared with a subset of patients with non-iRMD-COVID-19 from a French hospital matched for age, sex, and comorbidities.Results: Of 694 adults, 438 (63%) developed mild (not hospitalised), 169 (24%) moderate (hospitalised out of the intensive care unit (ICU) and 87 (13%) severe (patients in ICU/deceased) disease. In multivariable imputed analyses, the variables associated with severe infection were age (OR=1.08, 95% CI: 1.05-1.10), female gender (OR=0.45, 95% CI: 0.25-0.80), body mass index (OR=1.07, 95% CI: 1.02-1.12), hypertension (OR=1.86, 95% CI: 1.01-3.42), and use of corticosteroids (OR=1.97, 95% CI: 1.09-3.54), mycophenolate mofetil (OR=6.6, 95% CI: 1.47-29.62) and rituximab (OR=4.21, 95% CI: 1.61-10.98). Fifty-eight patients died (8% (total) and 23% (hospitalised)). Compared with 175 matched hospitalised patients with non-iRMD-COVID-19, the OR of mortality associated with hospitalised patients with iRMD-COVID-19 was 1.45 (95% CI: 0.87-2.42) (n=175 each group).Conclusions: In the French RMD COVID-19 cohort, as already identified in the general population, older age, male gender, obesity, and hypertension were found to be associated with severe COVID-19. Patients with iRMD on corticosteroids, but not methotrexate, or tumour necrosis factor alpha and interleukin-6 inhibitors, should be considered as more likely to develop severe COVID-19. Unlike common comorbidities such as obesity, and cardiovascular or lung diseases, the risk of death is not significantly increased in patients with iRMD

COVID-19 outcomes in patients with inflammatory rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases treated with rituximab: a cohort study

International audienceBackground: Various observations have suggested that the course of COVID-19 might be less favourable in patients with inflammatory rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases receiving rituximab compared with those not receiving rituximab. We aimed to investigate whether treatment with rituximab is associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes in patients with inflammatory rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases.Methods: In this cohort study, we analysed data from the French RMD COVID-19 cohort, which included patients aged 18 years or older with inflammatory rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases and highly suspected or confirmed COVID-19. The primary endpoint was the severity of COVID-19 in patients treated with rituximab (rituximab group) compared with patients who did not receive rituximab (no rituximab group). Severe disease was defined as that requiring admission to an intensive care unit or leading to death. Secondary objectives were to analyse deaths and duration of hospital stay. The inverse probability of treatment weighting propensity score method was used to adjust for potential confounding factors (age, sex, arterial hypertension, diabetes, smoking status, body-mass index, interstitial lung disease, cardiovascular diseases, cancer, corticosteroid use, chronic renal failure, and the underlying disease [rheumatoid arthritis vs others]). Odds ratios and hazard ratios and their 95% CIs were calculated as effect size, by dividing the two population mean differences by their SD. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04353609.Findings: Between April 15, 2020, and Nov 20, 2020, data were collected for 1090 patients (mean age 55·2 years [SD 16·4]); 734 (67%) were female and 356 (33%) were male. Of the 1090 patients, 137 (13%) developed severe COVID-19 and 89 (8%) died. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, severe disease was observed more frequently (effect size 3·26, 95% CI 1·66-6·40, p=0·0006) and the duration of hospital stay was markedly longer (0·62, 0·46-0·85, p=0·0024) in the 63 patients in the rituximab group than in the 1027 patients in the no rituximab group. 13 (21%) of 63 patients in the rituximab group died compared with 76 (7%) of 1027 patients in the no rituximab group, but the adjusted risk of death was not significantly increased in the rituximab group (effect size 1·32, 95% CI 0·55-3·19, p=0·53).Interpretation: Rituximab therapy is associated with more severe COVID-19. Rituximab will have to be prescribed with particular caution in patients with inflammatory rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases