12 research outputs found
Outcome and Prognosis of Patients with Bladder Cancer below 20 Years Old
Objective: evaluate the treatment and prognosis of the bladder mass in young patients less than 20 years old Patients and methods: twenty patients with bladder tumors (papilloma and transitional cell carcinoma)18 male and 2 female underwent this study from 2001-2011 all evaluated by abdominal ultrasound and cystoscopy. Results: the age of the patients between 18 months to 20 years, 18 male and 2 female. Hematuria is presenting symptoms in 15 patients, lower abdominal pain in 3 patients and irritative voiding symptoms in 2 patients. Histopathology was papilloma in one patient transitional cell carcinoma grade I in 16 patients, grade II in 2 patients and grade III in one patient. All patients treated by TUR of the tumor except 2 patients treated by open excision and fulguration and one patient by total cystectomy. Follow up period between 6 months to 10 years, mortality reported in one patient only. Conclusion: the bladder tumor in young patient carry good prognosis with low grade and stage at time of presentatio
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Empirical models for estimating monthly global solar radiation: a most comprehensive review and comparative case study in China
Global solar radiation is a core component of scientific research and engineering application across a broad spectrum. However, its measurement is limited by a small number of stations due to the technical and financial restricts. Estimating solar radiation with the meteorological variables using empirical models is of benefit to obtain solar radiation data at global scale. Yet, there are various options of available empirical models to select the most suitable one. This study conducted a most comprehensive collection and review of empirical models employing the commonly measured meteorological variables and geographic factors. A total of 294 different types of empirical models were collected and classified into 37 groups according to input attributes. Such collection built an empirical model library providing an overall overview of the developed empirical models in literatures. Furthermore, the collected models were calibrated and evaluated at three meteorological stations in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area in China. This study suggests that these model-comparing processes can assist the governments, scientists and engineers in tailoring the most fitted model for specific applications and in particular areas
Reducing the environmental impact of surgery on a global scale: systematic review and co-prioritization with healthcare workers in 132 countries
Abstract
Background
Healthcare cannot achieve net-zero carbon without addressing operating theatres. The aim of this study was to prioritize feasible interventions to reduce the environmental impact of operating theatres.
Methods
This study adopted a four-phase Delphi consensus co-prioritization methodology. In phase 1, a systematic review of published interventions and global consultation of perioperative healthcare professionals were used to longlist interventions. In phase 2, iterative thematic analysis consolidated comparable interventions into a shortlist. In phase 3, the shortlist was co-prioritized based on patient and clinician views on acceptability, feasibility, and safety. In phase 4, ranked lists of interventions were presented by their relevance to high-income countries and low–middle-income countries.
Results
In phase 1, 43 interventions were identified, which had low uptake in practice according to 3042 professionals globally. In phase 2, a shortlist of 15 intervention domains was generated. In phase 3, interventions were deemed acceptable for more than 90 per cent of patients except for reducing general anaesthesia (84 per cent) and re-sterilization of ‘single-use’ consumables (86 per cent). In phase 4, the top three shortlisted interventions for high-income countries were: introducing recycling; reducing use of anaesthetic gases; and appropriate clinical waste processing. In phase 4, the top three shortlisted interventions for low–middle-income countries were: introducing reusable surgical devices; reducing use of consumables; and reducing the use of general anaesthesia.
Conclusion
This is a step toward environmentally sustainable operating environments with actionable interventions applicable to both high– and low–middle–income countries
AN INDICATION OF CAESAREAN SECTION
Introduction: Cesarean section (C-section) is one major intervention in the field of obstetrics and gynecology to save the lives of many women and infants from pregnancy and childbirth-related complication. Rated of cesarean section have increased all over the world in recent years. Multiple factors have been found to make it more likely that a C-section will be chosen over the normal delivery, but the risks associated are yet to be clarified.
Aims of study: The review aims to understand the relative and absolute indication of cesarean section with possible risks include.
Methodology: We conducted this review using a comprehensive search of MEDLINE, PubMed, and EMBASE, January 1985, through February 2017. The following search terms were used: C-section, Absolute Indication, Relative Indication, Indication associated with risk factors
Conclusion: Due to enormous scientific progress, social and cultural changes and certain legal changed have led to a fundamental change in attitude to C-section among patients and doctors. The general agreement of indications for C-section has also changed in many countries, including factors such as anxiety about delivery, or even mother’s wish to proceed to C-section in the absence of any medical indication. Nonetheless, the reasons for the increasingly liberal attitude towards cesarean section are diverse and not always discernable.
Keywords: C-section, Absolute Indication, Relative Indication, Indication associated with risk factors
Abstracts from the 3rd International Genomic Medicine Conference (3rd IGMC 2015)
Table of contents
O1 Regulation of genes by telomere length over long distances
Jerry W. Shay
O2 The microtubule destabilizer KIF2A regulates the postnatal establishment of neuronal circuits in addition to prenatal cell survival, cell migration, and axon elongation, and its loss leading to malformation of cortical development and severe epilepsy
Noriko Homma, Ruyun Zhou, Muhammad Imran Naseer, Adeel G. Chaudhary, Mohammed Al-Qahtani, Nobutaka Hirokawa
O3 Integration of metagenomics and metabolomics in gut microbiome research
Maryam Goudarzi, Albert J. Fornace Jr.
O4 A unique integrated system to discern pathogenesis of central nervous system tumors
Saleh Baeesa, Deema Hussain, Mohammed Bangash, Fahad Alghamdi, Hans-Juergen Schulten, Angel Carracedo, Ishaq Khan, Hanadi Qashqari, Nawal Madkhali, Mohamad Saka, Kulvinder S. Saini, Awatif Jamal, Jaudah Al-Maghrabi, Adel Abuzenadah, Adeel Chaudhary, Mohammed Al Qahtani, Ghazi Damanhouri
O5 RPL27A is a target of miR-595 and deficiency contributes to ribosomal dysgenesis
Heba Alkhatabi
O6 Next generation DNA sequencing panels for haemostatic and platelet disorders and for Fanconi anaemia in routine diagnostic service
Anne Goodeve, Laura Crookes, Nikolas Niksic, Nicholas Beauchamp
O7 Targeted sequencing panels and their utilization in personalized medicine
Adel M. Abuzenadah
O8 International biobanking in the era of precision medicine
Jim Vaught
O9 Biobank and biodata for clinical and forensic applications
Bruce Budowle, Mourad Assidi, Abdelbaset Buhmeida
O10 Tissue microarray technique: a powerful adjunct tool for molecular profiling of solid tumors
Jaudah Al-Maghrabi
O11 The CEGMR biobanking unit: achievements, challenges and future plans
Abdelbaset Buhmeida, Mourad Assidi, Leena Merdad
O12 Phylomedicine of tumors
Sudhir Kumar, Sayaka Miura, Karen Gomez
O13 Clinical implementation of pharmacogenomics for colorectal cancer treatment
Angel Carracedo, Mahmood Rasool
O14 From association to causality: translation of GWAS findings for genomic medicine
Ahmed Rebai
O15 E-GRASP: an interactive database and web application for efficient analysis of disease-associated genetic information
Sajjad Karim, Hend F Nour Eldin, Heba Abusamra, Elham M Alhathli, Nada Salem, Mohammed H Al-Qahtani, Sudhir Kumar
O16 The supercomputer facility “AZIZ” at KAU: utility and future prospects
Hossam Faheem
O17 New research into the causes of male infertility
Ashok Agarwa
O18 The Klinefelter syndrome: recent progress in pathophysiology and management
Eberhard Nieschlag, Joachim Wistuba, Oliver S. Damm, Mohd A. Beg, Taha A. Abdel-Meguid, Hisham A. Mosli, Osama S. Bajouh, Adel M. Abuzenadah, Mohammed H. Al-Qahtani
O19 A new look to reproductive medicine in the era of genomics
Serdar Coskun
P1 Wnt signalling receptors expression in Saudi breast cancer patients
Muhammad Abu-Elmagd, Abdelbaset Buhmeida, Ashraf Dallol, Jaudah Al-Maghrabi, Sahar Hakamy, Wejdan Al-Qahtani, Asia Al-Harbi, Shireen Hussain, Mourad Assidi, Mohammed Al-Qahtani, Adel Abuzenadah
P2 Analysis of oxidative stress interactome during spermatogenesis: a systems biology approach to reproduction
Burak Ozkosem, Rick DuBois
P3 Interleukin-18 gene variants are strongly associated with idiopathic recurrent pregnancy loss.
Safia S Messaoudi, Maryam T Dandana, Touhami Mahjoub, Wassim Y Almawi
P4 Effect of environmental factors on gene-gene and gene-environment reactions: model and theoretical study applied to environmental interventions using genotype
S. Abdalla, M. Nabil Al-Aama
P5 Genomics and transcriptomic analysis of imatinib resistance in gastrointestinal stromal tumor
Asmaa Elzawahry, Tsuyoshi Takahashi, Sachiyo Mimaki, Eisaku Furukawa, Rie Nakatsuka, Isao Kurosaka, Takahiko Nishigaki, Hiromi Nakamura, Satoshi Serada, Tetsuji Naka, Seiichi Hirota, Tatsuhiro Shibata, Katsuya Tsuchihara, Toshirou Nishida, Mamoru Kato
P6 In-Silico analysis of putative HCV epitopes against Pakistani human leukocyte antigen background: an approach towards development of future vaccines for Pakistani population
Sajid Mehmood, Naeem Mahmood Ashraf, Awais Asif, Muhammad Bilal, Malik Siddique Mehmood, Aadil Hussain
P7 Inhibition of AChE and BuChE with the natural compounds of Bacopa monerri for the treatment of Alzheimer’s disease: a bioinformatics approach
Qazi Mohammad Sajid Jamal, Mughees Uddin Siddiqui, Mohammad A. Alzohairy, Mohammad A. Al Karaawi
P8 Her2 expression in urothelial cell carcinoma of the bladder in Saudi Arabia
Taoufik Nedjadi, Jaudah Al-Maghrabi, Mourad Assidi, Heba Al-Khattabi, Adel Al-Ammari, Ahmed Al-Sayyad, Abdelbaset Buhmeida, Mohammed Al-Qahtani
P9 Association of angiotensinogen single nucleotide polymorphisms with Preeclampsia in patients from North Africa
Hédia Zitouni, Nozha Raguema, Marwa Ben Ali, Wided Malah, Raja Lfalah, Wassim Almawi, Touhami Mahjoub
P10 Systems biology analysis reveals relations between normal skin, benign nevi and malignant melanoma
Mohammed Elanbari, Andrey Ptitsyn
P11 The apoptotic effect of thymoquinone in Jurkat cells
Sana Mahjoub, Rabeb El Ghali, Bechir Achour, Nidhal Ben Amor, Mourad Assidi, Brahim N'siri, Hamid Morjani
P12 Sonic hedgehog contributes in bladder cancer invasion in Saudi Arabia
Taoufik Nedjadi, Adel Al-Ammari, Ahmed Al-Sayyad, Nada Salem, Esam Azhar, Jaudah Al-Maghrabi
P13 Association of Interleukin 18 gene promoter polymorphisms - 607A/C and -137 G/C with colorectal cancer onset in a sample of Tunisian population
Vera Chayeb, Maryam Dendena, Hedia Zitouni, Khedija Zouari-Limayem, Touhami Mahjoub
P14 Pathological expression of interleukin-6, -11, leukemia inhibitory factor and their receptors in tubal gestation with and without tubal cytomegalovirus infection
Bassem Refaat, Ahmed M Ashshi, Sarah A Batwa
P15 Phenotypic and genetic profiling of avian pathogenic and human diarrhegenic Escherichia coli in Egypt
Hazem Ramadan, Amal Awad, Ahmed Ateya
P16 Cancer-targeting dual gene virotherapy as a promising therapeutic strategy for treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma
Adel Galal Ahmed El-Shemi, Ahmad Ashshi, Mohammed Basalamah, Youjin Na, Chae-Ok YUN
P17 Cancer dual gene therapy with oncolytic adenoviruses expressing TRAIL and IL-12 transgenes markedly eradicated human hepatocellular carcinoma both in vitro and in vivo
Adel Galal Ahmed El-Shemi, Ahmad Ashshi, Mohammed Basalamah, Youjin Na, Chae-Ok Yun
P18 Therapy with paricalcitol attenuates tumor growth and augments tumoricidal and anti-oncogenic effects of 5-fluorouracil on animal model of colon cancer
Adel Galal El-Shemi, Bassem Refaat, Osama Kensara, Amr Abdelfattah
P19 The effects of Rubus idaeus extract on normal human lymphocytes and cancer cell line
Batol Imran Dheeb, Mohammed M. F. Al-Halbosiy, Rghad Kadhim Al lihabi, Basim Mohammed Khashman
P20 Etanercept, a TNF-alpha inhibitor, alleviates mechanical hypersensitivity and spontaneous pain in a rat model of chemotherapy-induced neuropathic pain
Djouhri, Laiche, Chaudhary Adeel, Nedjadi, Taoufik
P21 Sleeping beauty mutagenesis system identified genes and neuronal transcription factor network involved in pediatric solid tumour (medulloblastoma)
Hani Al-Afghani, Maria Łastowska, Haya H Al-Balool, Harsh Sheth, Emma Mercer, Jonathan M Coxhead, Chris PF Redfern, Heiko Peters, Alastair D Burt, Mauro Santibanez-Koref, Chris M Bacon, Louis Chesler, Alistair G Rust, David J Adams, Daniel Williamson, Steven C Clifford, Michael S Jackson
P22 Involvement of interleukin-1 in vitiligo pathogenesis
Mala Singh, Mohmmad Shoab Mansuri, Shahnawaz D. Jadeja, Hima Patel, Yogesh S. Marfatia, Rasheedunnisa Begum
P23 Cytogenetics abnormalities in 12,884 referred population for chromosomal analysis and the role of FISH in refining the diagnosis (cytogenetic experience 2004-2013)
Amal M Mohamed, Alaa K Kamel, Nivin A Helmy, Sayda A Hammad, Hesham F Kayed, Marwa I Shehab, Assad El Gerzawy, Maha M. Ead, Ola M Ead, Mona Mekkawy, Innas Mazen, Mona El-Ruby
P24 Analysis of binding properties of angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 through in silico method
S. M. A. Shahid, Qazi Mohammad Sajid Jamal, J. M. Arif, Mohtashim Lohani
P25 Relationship of genetics markers cis and trans to the β-S globin gene with fetal hemoglobin expression in Tunisian sickle cell patients
Moumni Imen, Chaouch Leila, Ouragini Houyem, Douzi Kais, Chaouachi Dorra Mellouli Fethi, Bejaoui Mohamed, Abbes Salem
P26 Analysis of estrogen receptor alpha gene polymorphisms in breast cancer: link to genetic predisposition in Sudanese women
Areeg Faggad, Amanuel T Gebreslasie, Hani Y Zaki, Badreldin E Abdalla
P27 KCNQI gene polymorphism and its association with CVD and T2DM in the Saudi population
Maha S AlShammari, Rhaya Al-Ali, Nader Al-Balawi , Mansour Al-Enazi, Ali Al-Muraikhi, Fadi Busaleh, Ali Al-Sahwan, Francis Borgio, Abdulazeez Sayyed, Amein Al-Ali, Sadananda Acharya
P28 Clinical, neuroimaging and cytogenetic study of a patient with microcephaly capillary malformation syndrome
Maha S. Zaki, Hala T. El-Bassyouni, Marwa I. Shehab
P29 Altered expression of CD200R1 on dendritic cells of patients with inflammatory bowel diseases: in silico investigations and clinical evaluations
Mohammed F. Elshal, Kaleemuddin M., Alia M. Aldahlawi, Omar Saadah,
J. Philip McCoy
P30 Development of real time PCR diagnostic protocol specific for the Saudi Arabian H1N1 viral strains
Adel E El-Tarras, Nabil S Awad, Abdulla A Alharthi, Mohamed M M Ibrahim
P31 Identification of novel genetic variations affecting Osteoarthritis patients
Haneen S Alsehli, Ashraf Dallol, Abdullah M Gari, Mohammed M Abbas, Roaa A Kadam, Mazen M. Gari, Mohmmed H Alkaff, Adel M Abuzenadah, Mamdooh A Gari
P32 An integrated database of GWAS SNVs and their evolutionary properties
Heba Abusamra, Sajjad Karim, Hend F Nour eldin, Elham M Alhathli, Nada Salem, Sudhir Kumar, Mohammed H Al-Qahtani
P33 Familial hypercholesterolemia in Saudi Arabia: prime time for a national registry and genetic analysis
Fatima A. Moradi, Omran M. Rashidi, Zuhier A. Awan
P34 Comparative genomics and network-based analyses of early hepatocellular carcinoma
Ibrahim Hamza Kaya, Olfat Al-Harazi, Dilek Colak
P35 A TALEN-based oncolytic viral vector approach to knock out ABCB1 gene mediated chemoresistance in cancer stem cells
Nabila A Alkousi, Takis Athanasopoulos
P36 Cartilage differentiation and gene expression of synovial fluid mesenchymal stem cells derived from osteoarthritis patients
Afnan O Bahmaid, Etimad A Alhwait, Mamdooh A Gari, Haneen S Alsehli, Mohammed M Abbas, Mohammed H Alkaf, Roaa Kadam, Ashraf Dallol, Gauthaman Kalamegam
P37 E-GRASP: Adding an evolutionary component to the genome-wide repository of associations (GRASP) resource
Hend F Nour Eldin, Sajjad Karim, Heba Abusamra, Elham Alhathli, Nada Salem, Mohammed H Al-Qahtani, Sudhir Kumar
P38 Screening of AGL gene mutation in Saudi family with glycogen storage disease Type III
Salma N Alsayed, Fawziah H Aljohani, Samaher M Habeeb, Rawan A Almashali, Sulman Basit, Samia M Ahmed
P39 High throughput proteomic data suggest modulation of cAMP dependent protein kinase A and mitochondrial function in infertile patients with varicocele
Rakesh Sharma, Ashok Agarwal, Damayanthi Durairajanayagam, Luna Samanta, Muhammad Abu-Elmagd, Adel M. Abuzenadah, Edmund S. Sabanegh, Mourad Assidi, Mohammed Al-Qahtani
P40 Significant protein profile alterations in men with primary and secondary infertility
Ashok Agarwal, Rakesh Sharma, Luna Samanta, Damayanthi Durairajanayagam, Mourad Assidi, Muhammad Abu-Elmagd, Mohammed Al-Qahtani, Adel M. Abuzenadah, Edmund S. Sabanegh
P41 Spermatozoa maturation in infertile patients involves compromised expression of heat shock proteins
Luna Samanta, Ashok Agarwal, Rakesh Sharma, Zhihong Cui, Mourad Assidi, Adel M. Abuzenadah, Muhammad Abu-Elmagd, Mohammed Al-Qahtani
P42 Array comparative genomic hybridization approach to search genomic answers for spontaneous recurrent abortion in Saudi Arabia
Alaa A Alboogmi, Nuha A Alansari, Maha M Al-Quaiti, Fai T Ashgan, Afnan Bandah, Hasan S Jamal, Abdullraheem Rozi, Zeenat Mirza, Adel M Abuzenadah, Sajjad Karim, Mohammed H Al-Qahtani
P43 Global gene expression profiling of Saudi kidney cancer patients
Sajjad Karim, Hans-Juergen Schulten, Ahmad J Al Sayyad, Hasan MA Farsi, Jaudah A Al-Maghrabi, Zeenat Mirza, Reem Alotibi, Alaa Al-Ahmadi, Nuha A Alansari, Alaa A Albogmi, Maha M Al-Quaiti, Fai T Ashgan, Afnan Bandah, Mohammed H Al-Qahtani
P44 Downregulated StAR gene and male reproductive dysfunction caused by nifedipine and ethosuximide
Rasha A Ebiya, Samia M Darwish, Metwally M. Montaser
P45 Clustering based gene expression feature selection method: A computational approach to enrich the classifier efficiency of differentially expressed genes
Heba Abusamra, Vladimir B. Bajic
P46 Prognostic significance of Osteopontin expression profile in colorectal carcinoma
Jaudah Al-Maghrabi, Wafaey Gomaa, Mehenaz Hanbazazh, Mahmoud Al-Ahwal, Asia Al-Harbi, Wejdan Al-Qahtani, Saher Hakamy, Ghali Baba, Abdelbaset Buhmeida, Mohammed Al-Qahtani
P47 High Glypican-3 expression pattern predicts longer disease-specific survival in colorectal carcinoma
Jaudah Al-Maghrabi, Abdullah Al-Harbi, Mahmoud Al-Ahwal, Asia Al-Harbi, Wejdan Al-Qahtani, Sahar Hakamy, Ghalia Baba, Abdelbaset Buhmeida, Mohammed Al-Qahtani
P48 An evolutionary re-assessment of GWAS single nucleotide variants implicated in the Cholesterol traits
Elham M Alhathli, Sajjad Karim, Nada Salem, Hend Nour Eldin, Heba Abusamra, Sudhir Kumar, Mohammed H Al-Qahtani
P49 Derivation and characterization of human Wharton’s jelly stem cells (hWJSCs) in vitro for future therapeutic applications
Aisha A Alyamani, Gauthaman Kalamegam, Etimad A Alhwait, Mamdooh A Gari, Mohammed M Abbas, Mohammed H Alkaf, Haneen S Alsehli, Roaa A Kadam, Mohammed Al-Qahtani
P50 Attitudes of healthcare students toward biomedical research in the post-genomic era
Rawan Gadi, Abdelbaset Buhmeida, Mourad Assidi , Adeel Chaudhary, Leena Merdad
P51 Evaluation of the immunomodulatory effects of thymoquinone on human bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells (BM-MSCs) from osteoarthritic patients
Saadiah M Alfakeeh, Etimad A Alhwait, Mamdooh A Gari, Mohammed M Abbas, Mohammed H Alkaf, Haneen S Alsehli, Roaa Kadam, Gauthaman Kalamegam
P52 Implication of IL-10 and IL-28 polymorphism with successful anti-HCV therapy and viral clearance
Rubi Ghazala, Shilu Mathew, M.Haroon Hamed, Mourad Assidi, Mohammed Al-Qahtani, Ishtiaq Qadri
P53 Selection of flavonoids against obesity protein (FTO) using in silico and in vitro approaches
Shilu Mathew, Lobna Mira, Manal Shaabad, Shireen Hussain, Mourad Assidi, Muhammad Abu-Elmagd, Mohammed Al-Qahtani
P54 Computational selection and in vitro validation of flavonoids as new antidepressant agents
Shilu Mathew, Manal Shaabad, Lobna Mira, Shireen Hussain, Mourad Assidi, Muhammad Abu-Elmagd, Mohammed Al-Qahtani
P55 In Silico prediction and prioritization of aging candidate genes associated with
progressive telomere shortening
Ahmed Rebai, Mourad Assidi, Abdelbaset Buhmeida, Muhammad Abu-Elmagd, Ashraf Dallol, Jerry W Shay
P56 Identification of new cancer testis antigen genes in diverse types of malignant human tumour cells
Mikhlid H Almutairi
P57 More comprehensive forensic genetic marker analyses for accurate human remains identification using massively parallel sequencing (MPS)
Angie Ambers, Jennifer Churchill, Jonathan King, Monika Stoljarova, Harrell Gill-King, Mourad Assidi, Muhammad Abu-Elmagd, Abdelbaset Buhmeida, Muhammad Al-Qatani, Bruce Budowle
P58 Flow cytometry approach towards treatment men infertility in Saudi Arabia
Muhammad Abu-Elmagd, Farid Ahmed, Ashraf Dallol, Mourad Assidi, Taha Abo Almagd, Sahar Hakamy, Ashok Agarwal, Muhammad Al-Qahtani, Adel Abuzenadah
P59 Tissue microarray based validation of CyclinD1 expression in renal cell carcinoma of Saudi kidney patients
Sajjad Karim, Hans-Juergen Schulten, Ahmad J Al Sayyad, Hasan MA Farsi, Jaudah A Al-Maghrabi, Abdelbaset Buhmaida, Zeenat Mirza, Reem Alotibi, Alaa Al-Ahmadi, Nuha A Alansari, Alaa A Albogmi, Maha M Al-Quaiti, Fai T Ashgan, Afnan Bandah, Mohammed H Al-Qahtani
P60 Assessment of gold nanoparticles in molecular diagnostics and DNA damage studies
Rukhsana Satar, Mahmood Rasool, Waseem Ahmad, Nazia Nazam, Mohamad I Lone, Muhammad I Naseer, Mohammad S Jamal, Syed K Zaidi, Peter N Pushparaj, Mohammad A Jafri, Shakeel A Ansari, Mohammed H Alqahtani
P61 Surfing the biospecimen management and processing workflow at CEGMR Biobank
Hanan Bashier, Abrar Al Qahtani, Shilu Mathew, Amal M. Nour, Heba Alkhatabi, Adel M. Abu Zenadah, Abdelbaset Buhmeida, Mourad Assidi, Muhammed Al Qahtani
P62 Autism Spectrum Disorder: knowledge, attitude and awareness in Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Muhammad Faheem, Shilu Mathew, Shiny Mathew, Peter Natesan Pushparaj, Mohammad H. Al-Qahtani
P63 Simultaneous genetic screening of the coagulation pathway genes using the Thromboscan targeted sequencing panel
Hani A. Alhadrami, Ashraf Dallol, Adel Abuzenadah
P64 Genome wide array comparative genomic hybridization analysis in patients with syndromic congenital heart defects
Ibtessam R. Hussein, Adeel G. Chaudhary, Rima S Bader, Randa Bassiouni, Maha Alquaiti, Fai Ashgan, Hans Schulten, Mohamed Nabil Alama, Mohammad H. Al Qahtani
P65 Toxocogenetic evaluation of 1, 2-Dichloroethane in bone marrow, blood and cells of immune system using conventional, molecular and flowcytometric approaches
Mohammad I Lone, Nazia Nizam, Waseem Ahmad, Mohammad A Jafri, Mahmood Rasool, Shakeel A Ansari, Muhammed H Al-Qahtani
P66 Molecular cytogenetic diagnosis of sexual development disorders in newborn: A case of ambiguous genitalia
Eradah Alshihri, Muhammad Abu-Elmagd, Lina Alharbi, Mourad Assidi, Mohammed Al-Qahtani
P67 Identification of disease specific gene expression clusters and pathways in hepatocellular carcinoma using In Silico methodologies
Shilu Mathew, Peter Pushparaj Natesan, Muhammed Al Qahtani
P68 Human Wharton’s Jelly stem cell conditioned medium inhibits primary ovarian cancer cells in vitro: Identification of probable targets and mechanisms using systems biology
Gauthaman Kalamegam, Peter Natesan Pushparaj, Fazal Khan, Roaa Kadam, Farid Ahmed, Mourad Assidi, Khalid Hussain Wali Sait, Nisreen Anfinan, Mohammed Al Qahtani
P69 Mutation spectrum of ASPM (Abnormal Spindle-like, Microcephaly-associated) gene in Saudi Arabian population
Muhammad I Naseer, Adeel G Chaudhary, Mohammad S Jamal, Shilu Mathew, Lobna S Mira, Peter N Pushparaj, Shakeel A Ansari, Mahmood Rasool, Mohammed H AlQahtani
P70 Identification and characterization of novel genes and mutations of primary microcephaly in Saudi Arabian population
Muhammad I Naseer, Adeel G Chaudhary, Shilu Mathew, Lobna S Mira, Mohammad S Jamal, Sameera Sogaty, Randa I Bassiouni, Mahmood Rasool, Mohammed H AlQahtani
P71 Molecular genetic analysis of hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer (Lynch Syndrome) in Saudi Arabian population
Mahmood Rasool, Shakeel A Ansari, Mohammad S Jamal, Peter N Pushparaj, Abdulrahman MS Sibiani, Waseem Ahmad, Abdelbaset Buhmeida, Mohammad A Jafri, Mohiuddin K Warsi, Muhammad I Naseer, Mohammed H Al-Qahtani
P72 Function predication of hypothetical proteins from genome database of chlamydia trachomatis
Rubi, Kundan Kumar, Ahmad AT Naqvi, Faizan Ahmad, Md
Global multi-stakeholder endorsement of the MAFLD definition
none1055noneMendez-Sanchez N.; Bugianesi E.; Gish R.G.; Lammert F.; Tilg H.; Nguyen M.H.; Sarin S.K.; Fabrellas N.; Zelber-Sagi S.; Fan J.-G.; Shiha G.; Targher G.; Zheng M.-H.; Chan W.-K.; Vinker S.; Kawaguchi T.; Castera L.; Yilmaz Y.; Korenjak M.; Spearman C.W.; Ungan M.; Palmer M.; El-Shabrawi M.; Gruss H.-J.; Dufour J.-F.; Dhawan A.; Wedemeyer H.; George J.; Valenti L.; Fouad Y.; Romero-Gomez M.; Eslam M.; Abate M.L.; Abbas B.; Abbassy A.A.; Abd El Ghany W.; Abd Elkhalek A.; Abd ElMajeed E.; Abdalgaber M.; AbdAllah M.; Abdallah M.; Abdallah N.; Abdelaleem S.; Abdelghani Y.; Abdelghany W.; Abdelhalim S.M.; Abdelhamid W.; Abdelhamid N.; Abdelkader N.A.; Abdelkreem E.; Abdelmohsen A.M.; Abdelrahman A.A.; Abd-elsalam S.M.; Abdeltawab D.; Abduh A.; Abdulhakam N.; Abdulla M.; Abedpoor N.; Abenavoli L.; Aberg F.; Ablack O.; Abo elftouh M.; Abo-Amer Y.E.-E.; Aboubkr A.; Aboud A.; Abouelnaga A.M.; Aboufarrag G.A.; Aboutaleb A.; Abundis L.; Adali G.; Adames E.; Adams L.; Adda D.; Adel N.; Adel N.; Adel Sayed M.; Afaa T.J.; Afredj N.; Aghayeva G.; Aghemo A.; Aguilar-Salinas C.A.; Ahlenstiel G.; Ahmady W.; Ahmed W.; Ahmed A.; Ahmed S.N.; Ahmed H.M.; Ahmed R.; Aigner E.; Akarsu M.; Akroush M.; Akyuz U.; Al Mahtab M.; Al Qadiri T.; Al Rawahi Y.; AL rubaee R.; Al Saffar M.; Alam S.; Al-Ani Z.; Albillos A.; Alboraie M.; Al-Busafi S.; Al-Emam M.; Alharthi J.; Ali K.; Ali B.A.; Ali M.; Ali R.A.R.; Alisi A.; AL-Khafaji A.R.; Alkhatry M.; Aller R.; Almansoury Y.; Al-Naamani K.; Alnakeeb A.; Alonso A.; Alqahtani S.A.; Alrabadi L.; Alswat K.; Altaher M.; Altamimi T.; Altamirano J.; Alvares-da-Silva M.R.; Aly E.A.M.; Alzahaby A.; Alzamzamy A.; Amano K.; Amer M.A.; Amin M.A.; Amin S.A.; Amir A.A.; Ampuero J.; Anas N.; Andreone P.; Andriamandimby S.F.; Anees M.; Angela P.; Antonios M.; Arafat W.; Araya J.M.; Armendariz-Borunda J.; Armstrong M.J.; Ashktorab H.; Aspichueta P.; Assal F.; Atef M.; Attia D.; Atwa H.; Awad R.; Awad M.A.E.; Awny S.; Awolowo O.; Awuku Y.A.; Ayada I.; Aye T.T.; Ayman S.; Ayman H.; Ayoub H.; Azmy H.M.; Babaran R.P.; Badreldin O.; Badry A.; Bahcecioglu I.H.; Bahour A.; Bai J.; Balaban Y.; Balasubramanyam M.; Bamakhrama K.; Banales J.M.; Bangaru B.; Bao J.; Barahona J.S.; Barakat S.; Barbalho S.M.; Barbra B.; Barranco B.; Barrera F.; Baumann U.; Bazeed S.; Bech E.; Benayad A.; Benesic A.; Bernstein D.; Bessone F.; Birney S.; Bisseye C.; Blake M.; Bobat B.; Bonfrate L.; Bordin D.S.; Bosques-Padilla F.; Boursier J.; Boushab B.M.; Bowen D.; Bravo P.M.; Brennan P.N.; Bright B.; Broekaert I.; Buque X.; Burgos-Santamaria D.; Burman J.; Busetto L.; Byrne C.D.; Cabral-Prodigalidad P.A.I.; Cabrera-Alvarez G.; Cai W.; Cainelli F.; Caliskan A.R.; Canbay A.; Cano-Contreras A.; Cao H.-X.; Cao Z.; Carrion A.; Carubbi F.; Casanovas T.; Castellanos Fernandez M.I.; Chai J.; Chan S.P.; Charatcharoenwitthaya P.; Chavez-Tapia N.; Chayama K.; Chen J.; Chen L.; Chen Z.-W.; Chen H.; Chen S.-D.; Chen Q.; Chen Y.; Chen G.; Chen E.-Q.; Chen F.; Chen P.-J.; Cheng R.; Cheng W.; Chieh J.T.W.; Chokr I.; Cholongitas E.; Choudhury A.; Chowdhury A.; Chukwudike E.S.; Ciardullo S.; Clayton M.; Clement K.; Cloa M.M.; Coccia C.; Collazos C.; Colombo M.; Cosar A.M.; Cotrim H.P.; Couillerot J.; Coulibaly A.; Crespo G.; Crespo J.; Cruells M.; Cua I.H.Y.; Dabbous H.K.; Dalekos G.N.; D'Alia P.; Dan L.; Dao V.H.; Darwish M.; Datz C.; Davalos-Moscol M.B.; Dawoud H.; de Careaga B.O.; de Knegt R.; de Ledinghen V.; de Silva J.; Debzi N.; Decraecker M.; Del Pozo E.; Delgado T.C.; Delgado-Blanco M.; Dembinski L.; Depina A.; Derbala M.; Desalegn H.; Desbois-Mouthon C.; Desoky M.; Dev A.; Di Ciaula A.; Diago M.; Diallo I.; Diaz L.A.; Dirchwolf M.; Dongiovanni P.; Dorofeyev A.; Dou X.; Douglas M.W.; Doulberis M.; Dovia C.K.; Doyle A.; Dragojevic I.; Drenth J.P.; Duan X.; Dulskas A.; Dumitrascu D.L.; Duncan O.; Dusabejambo V.; Dwawhi R.S.N.A.; Eiketsu S.; El Amrousy D.; El Deeb A.; El Deriny G.; El Din H.S.; El Kamshishy S.; El Kassas M.; El Raziky M.; Elagamy O.A.; Elakel W.; Elalfy D.; Elaraby H.; ElAwady H.; Elbadawy R.; Eldash H.H.; Eldefrawy M.S.; Elecharri C.L.; Elfaramawy A.; Elfatih M.; Elfiky M.; Elgamsy M.; Elgendy M.; El-Guindi M.A.; Elhussieny N.; Eliwa A.M.; Elkabbany Z.; El-Khayat H.; El-Koofy N.M.; Elmetwalli A.; Elrabat A.; El-Raey F.; Elrashdy F.; Elsahhar M.; Elsaid E.M.; Elsayed S.; Elsayed H.; Elsayed A.; Elsayed A.M.; Elsayed H.; El-Serafy M.; Elsharkawy A.M.; Elsheemy R.Y.; Elshemy E.E.; Elsherbini S.; Eltoukhy N.; Elwakil R.; Emad O.; Emad S.; Embabi M.; Ergenc I.; Ermolova T.; Esmat G.; Esmat D.M.; Estupinan E.C.; Ettair S.; Eugen T.; Ezz-Eldin M.; Falcon L.P.V.; Fan Y.-C.; Fandari S.; Farag M.; Farahat T.M.; Fares E.M.; Fares M.; Fassio E.; Fathy H.; Fathy D.; Fathy W.; Fayed S.; Feng D.; Feng G.; Fernandez-Bermejo M.; Ferreira C.T.; Ferrer J.D.; Forbes A.; Fouad R.; Fouad H.M.; Frisch T.; Fujii H.; Fukunaga S.; Fukunishi S.; Fulya H.; Furuhashi M.; Gaber Y.; Galang A.J.G.; Gallardo J.C.; Galloso R.; Gamal M.; Gamal R.; Gamal H.; Gan J.; Ganbold A.; Gao X.; Garas G.; Garba T.; Garcia-Cortes M.; Garcia-Monzon C.; Garcia-Samaniego J.; Gastaldelli A.; Gatica M.; Gatley E.; Gegeshidze T.; Geng B.; Ghazinyan H.; Ghoneem S.; Giacomelli L.; Giannelli G.; Giannini E.G.; Giefer M.; Gines P.; Girala M.; Giraudi P.J.; Goh G.B.-B.; Gomaa A.A.; Gong B.; Gonzales D.H.C.; Gonzalez H.C.; Gonzalez-Huezo M.S.; Graupera I.; Grgurevic I.; Gronbaek H.; Gu X.; Guan L.; Gueye I.; Guingane A.N.; Gul O.O.; Gul C.B.; Guo Q.; Gupta P.P.; Gurakar A.; Gutierrez J.C.R.; Habib G.; Hafez A.; Hagman E.; Halawa E.; Hamdy O.; Hamed A.E.; Hamed D.H.; Hamid S.; Hamoudi W.; Han Y.; Haridy J.; Haridy H.; Harris D.C.H.H.; Hart M.; Hasan F.; Hashim A.; Hassan I.; Hassan A.; Hassan E.A.; Hassan A.A.; Hassan M.S.; Hassanin F.; Hassnine A.; Haukeland J.W.; Hawal A.I.M.; He J.; He Q.; He Y.; He F.-P.; Hegazy M.; Hegazy A.; Henegil O.; Hernandez N.; Hernandez-Guerra M.; Higuera-de-la-Tijera F.; Hindy I.; Hirota K.; Ho L.C.; Hodge A.; Hosny M.; Hou X.; Huang J.-F.; Huang Y.; Huang Z.; Huang Y.; Huang A.; Huang X.-P.; Hui-ping S.; Hunyady B.; Hussein M.A.; Hussein O.; Hussien S.M.; Ibanez-Samaniego L.; Ibdah J.; Ibrahim L.; Ibrahim M.; Ibrahim I.; Icaza-Chavez M.E.; Idelbi S.; Idilman R.I.; Ikeda M.; Indolfi G.; Invernizzi F.; Irshad I.; Isa H.M.A.; Iskandar N.J.; Ismaiel A.; Ismail M.; Ismail Z.; Ismail F.; Iwamoto H.; Jack K.; Jacob R.; Jafarov F.; Jafri W.; Jahshan H.; Jalal P.K.; Jancoriene L.; Janicko M.; Jayasena H.; Jefferies M.; Jha V.; Ji F.; Ji Y.; Jia J.; Jiang C.; Jiang N.; Jiang Z.-Z.; Jin X.; Jin Y.; Jing X.; Jingyu Q.; Jinjolava M.; Jong F.H.H.; Jucov A.; Julius I.; Kaddah M.; Kamada Y.; kamal A.; Kamal E.M.; Kamel A.S.; Kao J.-H.; Karin M.; Karlas T.; Kashwaa M.; Katsidzira L.; Kaya E.; Kayasseh M.A.; Keenan B.; Keklikkiran C.; Keml W.; Khalaf D.K.; Khalefa R.; Khamis S.; Khater D.; khattab H.; Khavkin A.; Khlynova O.; Khmis N.; Kobyliak N.; Koffas A.; Koike K.; Kok K.Y.Y.; Koller T.; Komas N.P.; Korochanskaya N.V.; Koulla Y.; Koya S.; Kraft C.; Kraja B.; Krawczyk M.; Kuchay M.S.; Kulkarni A.V.; Kumar A.; Kumar M.; Lakoh S.; Lam P.; Lan L.; Lange N.F.; Lankarani K.B.; Lanthier N.; Lapshyna K.; Lashen S.A.; Laure K.N.J.; Lazebnik L.; Lebrec D.; Lee S.S.; Lee W.S.; Lee Y.Y.; Leeming D.J.; Leite N.C.; Leon R.; Lesmana C.R.A.; Li J.; Li Q.; Li J.; Li Y.-Y.; Li Y.; Li L.; Li M.; li Y.; Liang H.; Lijuan T.; Lim S.G.; Lim L.-L.; Lin S.; Lin H.-C.; Lin R.; Lithy R.; Liu Y.; Liu Y.; Liu X.; Liu W.-Y.; Liu S.; Liu K.; Liu T.; Lonardo A.; Lopez M.B.; Lopez-Benages E.; Lopez-Jaramillo P.; Lu H.; Lu L.G.; Lu Y.; Lubel J.; Lui R.; Lupasco I.; Luzina E.; Lv X.-H.; Lynch K.; Ma H.-L.; Machado M.V.; Maduka N.; Madzharova K.; Magdaong R.; Mahadeva S.; Mahfouz A.; Mahmood N.R.K.N.; Mahmoud E.; Mahrous M.; Maiwall R.; Majeed A.; Majumdar A.; Mak L.; Maklouf M.M.; Malekzadeh R.; Mandato C.; Mangia A.; Mann J.; Mansour H.H.; Mansouri A.; Mantovani A.; Mao J.Q.; Maramag F.; Marchesini G.; Marcus C.; Marinho R.A.R.T.; Martinez-Chantar M.L.; Martins A.A.S.; Marwan R.; Mason K.F.; Masoud G.; Massoud M.N.; Matamoros M.A.; Mateos R.M.; Mawed A.; Mbanya J.C.; Mbendi C.; McColaugh L.; McLeod D.; Medina J.F.R.; Megahed A.; Mehrez M.; Memon I.; Merat S.; Mercado R.; Mesbah A.; Meskini T.; Metwally M.; Metwaly R.; Miao L.; Micah E.; Miele L.; Milivojevic V.; Milovanovic T.; Mina Y.L.; Mishkovik M.; Mishriki A.; Mitchell T.; Mohamed A.; Mohamed M.; Mohamed S.; Mohammed S.; Mohammed A.; Mohan V.; Mohie S.; Mokhtar A.; Moniem R.; Montilla M.S.; Morales J.A.O.; Morata M.M.S.; Moreno-Planas J.M.; Morise S.; Mosaad S.; Moselhy M.; Mostafa A.M.; Mostafa E.; Mouane N.; Mousa N.; Moustafa H.M.; Msherif A.; Muller K.; Munoz C.; Munoz-Urribarri A.B.; Murillo O.A.; Mustapha F.I.; Muzurovic E.; Nabil Y.; Nafady S.; Nagamatsu A.; Nakajima A.; Nakano D.; Nan Y.; Nascimbeni F.; Naseef M.S.; Nashat N.; Natalia T.; Negro F.; Nersesov A.V.; Neuman M.; Ng'wanasayi M.; Ni Y.; Nicoll A.; Niizeki T.; Nikolova D.; Ningning W.; Niriella M.; Nogoibaeva K.A.; Nordien R.; O Sullivan C.; O'Beirne J.; Obekpa S.; Ocama P.; Ochwoto M.; Ogolodom M.P.; Ojo O.; Okrostsvaridze N.; Oliveira C.P.; Omana R.C.; Omar O.M.; Omar H.; Omar M.; Omran S.; Omran R.; Osman M.M.; Owise N.; Owusu-Ansah T.; Padilla- Machaca P.M.; Palle S.; Pan Z.; Pan X.-Y.; Pan Q.; Papaefthymiou A.; Paquissi F.C.; Par G.; Parkash A.; Payawal D.; Peltekian K.M.; Peng X.; Peng L.; Peng Y.; Pengoria R.; Perez M.; Perez J.L.; Perez N.M.; Persico M.; Pessoa M.G.; Petta S.; Philip M.; Plaz Torres M.C.; Polavarapu N.; Poniachik J.; Portincasa P.; Pu C.; Purnak T.; Purwanto E.; Qi X.; Qi X.; Qian Z.; Qiang Z.; Qiao Z.; Qiao L.; Queiroz A.; Rabiee A.; Radwan M.; Rahetilahy A.M.; Ramadan Y.; Ramadan D.; Ramli A.S.; Ramm G.A.; Ran A.; Rankovic I.; RAO H.; Raouf S.; Ray S.; Reau N.; Refaat A.; Reiberger T.; Remes-Troche J.M.; Reyes E.C.; Richardson B.; Ridruejo E.; Riestra Jimenez S.; Rizk I.; Roberts S.; Roblero J.P.; Robles J.A.P.; Rockey D.; Rodriguez M.; Rodriguez Hernandez H.; Roman E.; Romeiro F.G.; Romeo S.; Rosales-Zabal J.M.; Roshdi G.R.; Rosso N.; Ruf A.; Ruiz P.C.; Runes N.R.; Ruzzenente A.; Ryan M.; Saad A.; Sabbagh E.B.; Sabbah M.; Saber S.; Sabrey R.; Sabry R.; Saeed M.A.; Said D.; Said E.M.; Sakr M.A.; Salah Y.; Salama R.M.; Salama A.; Saleh H.; Saleh A.; Salem A.; Salem A.T.; Salifou A.; Salih A.F.; Salman A.; Samouda H.; Sanai F.; Sanchez-Avila J.F.; Sanker L.; Sano T.; Sanz M.; Saparbu T.; Sawhney R.; Sayed F.; Sayed S.A.; Sayed A.O.; Sayed M.; Sebastiani G.; Secadas L.; Sediqi K.Q.; Seif S.; Semida N.; Senates E.; Serban E.D.; Serfaty L.; Seto W.-K.; Sghaier I.; Sha M.; Shabaan H.M.; Shalaby L.; Shaltout I.; Sharara A.I.; Sharma V.; Shawa I.T.; Shawkat A.; Shawky N.; Shehata O.; Sheils S.; Shewaye A.B.; Shi G.; Shi J.; Shimose S.; Shirono T.; Shou L.; Shrestha A.; Shui G.; Sievert W.; Sigurdardottir S.; Sira M.M.; Siradj R.; Sison C.; Smyth L.; Soliman R.; Sollano J.D.; Sombie R.; Sonderup M.; Sood S.; Soriano G.; Stedman C.A.M.; Stefanyuk O.; Stimac D.; Strasser S.; Strnad P.; Stuart K.; Su W.; Su M.; Sumida Y.; Sumie S.; Sun D.-Q.; Sun J.; Suzuki H.; Svegliati-Baroni G.; Swar M.O.; TAHARBOUCHT S.; Taher Z.; Takamura S.; Tan L.; Tan S.-S.; Tanwandee T.; Tarek S.; Tatiana G.; Tavaglione F.; Tecson G.Y.; Tee H.-P.; Teschke R.; Tharwat M.; Thong V.D.; Thursz M.; Tine T.; Tiribelli C.; Tolmane I.; Tong J.; Tongo M.; Torkie M.; Torre A.; Torres E.A.; Trajkovska M.; Treeprasertsuk S.; Tsutsumi T.; Tu T.; Tur J.A.; Turan D.; Turcan S.; Turkina S.; Tutar E.; Tzeuton C.; Ugiagbe R.; Uygun A.; Vacca M.; Vajro P.; Van der Poorten D.; Van Kleef L.A.; Vashakidze E.; Velazquez C.M.; Velazquez M.I.; Vento S.; Verhoeven V.; Vespasiani-Gentilucci U.; Vethakkan S.R.; Vilaseca J.; Vitek L.; Volkanovska A.; Wallace M.; Wan W.; Wang Y.; Wang Y.; Wang X.; Wang X.; Wang C.; Wang C.; Wang M.; Wangchuk P.; Weltman M.; White M.; Wiegand J.; Wifi M.-N.; Wigg A.; Wilhelmi M.; William R.; Wittenburg H.; Wu S.; Wubeneh A.M.; Xia H.; Xiao J.; Xiao X.; Xiaofeng W.; Xiong W.; Xu L.; Xu J.; Xu W.; Xu J.-H.; Xu K.; Xu Y.; Xu S.-H.; Xu M.; Xu A.; Xu C.; Yan H.; Yang J.; Yang R.-X.; Yang Y.; Yang Q.; Yang N.; Yao J.; Yara J.; Yaras S.; Yilmaz N.; Younes R.; younes H.; Young S.; Youssef F.; Yu Y.; Yu M.-L.; Yuan J.; Yue Z.; Yuen M.-F.; Yun W.; Yurukova N.; Zakaria S.; Zaky S.; Zaldastanishvili M.; Zapata R.; Zare N.; Zerem E.; Zeriban N.; Zeshuai X.; Zhang H.; Zhang X.; Zhang Y.; Zhang W.-H.; Zhang X.; Zhang Y.-P.; Zhang Y.; Zhang Z.-Q.; Zhao J.; Zhao R.-R.; Zhao H.; Zheng C.; Zheng Y.; Zheng R.; Zheng T.-L.; Zheng K.; Zhou X.Q.; Zhou Y.; Zhou Y.-J.; Zhou H.; Zhou L.; Zhou Y.; Zhu L.D.; Zhu Y.F.; Zhu Y.; Zhu P.-W.; Ziada E.; Ziring D.; Ziyi L.; Zou S.; Zou Z.; Zou H.; Zuart Ruiz R.Mendez-Sanchez, N.; Bugianesi, E.; Gish, R. G.; Lammert, F.; Tilg, H.; Nguyen, M. H.; Sarin, S. K.; Fabrellas, N.; Zelber-Sagi, S.; Fan, J. -G.; Shiha, G.; Targher, G.; Zheng, M. -H.; Chan, W. -K.; Vinker, S.; Kawaguchi, T.; Castera, L.; Yilmaz, Y.; Korenjak, M.; Spearman, C. W.; Ungan, M.; Palmer, M.; El-Shabrawi, M.; Gruss, H. -J.; Dufour, J. -F.; Dhawan, A.; Wedemeyer, H.; George, J.; Valenti, L.; Fouad, Y.; Romero-Gomez, M.; Eslam, M.; Abate, M. L.; Abbas, B.; Abbassy, A. A.; Abd El Ghany, W.; Abd Elkhalek, A.; Abd ElMajeed, E.; Abdalgaber, M.; Abdallah, M.; Abdallah, M.; Abdallah, N.; Abdelaleem, S.; Abdelghani, Y.; Abdelghany, W.; Abdelhalim, S. M.; Abdelhamid, W.; Abdelhamid, N.; Abdelkader, N. A.; Abdelkreem, E.; Abdelmohsen, A. M.; Abdelrahman, A. A.; Abd-elsalam, S. M.; Abdeltawab, D.; Abduh, A.; Abdulhakam, N.; Abdulla, M.; Abedpoor, N.; Abenavoli, L.; Aberg, F.; Ablack, O.; Abo elftouh, M.; Abo-Amer, Y. E. -E.; Aboubkr, A.; Aboud, A.; Abouelnaga, A. M.; Aboufarrag, G. A.; Aboutaleb, A.; Abundis, L.; Adali, G.; Adames, E.; Adams, L.; Adda, D.; Adel, N.; Adel, N.; Adel Sayed, M.; Afaa, T. J.; Afredj, N.; Aghayeva, G.; Aghemo, A.; Aguilar-Salinas, C. A.; Ahlenstiel, G.; Ahmady, W.; Ahmed, W.; Ahmed, A.; Ahmed, S. N.; Ahmed, H. M.; Ahmed, R.; Aigner, E.; Akarsu, M.; Akroush, M.; Akyuz, U.; Al Mahtab, M.; Al Qadiri, T.; Al Rawahi, Y.; AL rubaee, R.; Al Saffar, M.; Alam, S.; Al-Ani, Z.; Albillos, A.; Alboraie, M.; Al-Busafi, S.; Al-Emam, M.; Alharthi, J.; Ali, K.; Ali, B. A.; Ali, M.; Ali, R. A. R.; Alisi, A.; AL-Khafaji, A. R.; Alkhatry, M.; Aller, R.; Almansoury, Y.; Al-Naamani, K.; Alnakeeb, A.; Alonso, A.; Alqahtani, S. A.; Alrabadi, L.; Alswat, K.; Altaher, M.; Altamimi, T.; Altamirano, J.; Alvares-da-Silva, M. R.; Aly, E. A. M.; Alzahaby, A.; Alzamzamy, A.; Amano, K.; Amer, M. A.; Amin, M. A.; Amin, S. A.; Amir, A. A.; Ampuero, J.; Anas, N.; Andreone, P.; Andriamandimby, S. F.; Anees, M.; Angela, P.; Antonios, M.; Arafat, W.; Araya, J. M.; Armendariz-Borunda, J.; Armstrong, M. J.; Ashktorab, H.; Aspichueta, P.; Assal, F.; Atef, M.; Attia, D.; Atwa, H.; Awad, R.; Awad, M. A. E.; Awny, S.; Awolowo, O.; Awuku, Y. A.; Ayada, I.; Aye, T. T.; Ayman, S.; Ayman, H.; Ayoub, H.; Azmy, H. M.; Babaran, R. P.; Badreldin, O.; Badry, A.; Bahcecioglu, I. H.; Bahour, A.; Bai, J.; Balaban, Y.; Balasubramanyam, M.; Bamakhrama, K.; Banales, J. M.; Bangaru, B.; Bao, J.; Barahona, J. S.; Barakat, S.; Barbalho, S. M.; Barbra, B.; Barranco, B.; Barrera, F.; Baumann, U.; Bazeed, S.; Bech, E.; Benayad, A.; Benesic, A.; Bernstein, D.; Bessone, F.; Birney, S.; Bisseye, C.; Blake, M.; Bobat, B.; Bonfrate, L.; Bordin, D. S.; Bosques-Padilla, F.; Boursier, J.; Boushab, B. M.; Bowen, D.; Bravo, P. M.; Brennan, P. N.; Bright, B.; Broekaert, I.; Buque, X.; Burgos-Santamaria, D.; Burman, J.; Busetto, L.; Byrne, C. D.; Cabral-Prodigalidad, P. A. I.; Cabrera-Alvarez, G.; Cai, W.; Cainelli, F.; Caliskan, A. R.; Canbay, A.; Cano-Contreras, A.; Cao, H. -X.; Cao, Z.; Carrion, A.; Carubbi, F.; Casanovas, T.; Castellanos Fernandez, M. I.; Chai, J.; Chan, S. P.; Charatcharoenwitthaya, P.; Chavez-Tapia, N.; Chayama, K.; Chen, J.; Chen, L.; Chen, Z. -W.; Chen, H.; Chen, S. -D.; Chen, Q.; Chen, Y.; Chen, G.; Chen, E. -Q.; Chen, F.; Chen, P. -J.; Cheng, R.; Cheng, W.; Chieh, J. T. W.; Chokr, I.; Cholongitas, E.; Choudhury, A.; Chowdhury, A.; Chukwudike, E. S.; Ciardullo, S.; Clayton, M.; Clement, K.; Cloa, M. M.; Coccia, C.; Collazos, C.; Colombo, M.; Cosar, A. M.; Cotrim, H. P.; Couillerot, J.; Coulibaly, A.; Crespo, G.; Crespo, J.; Cruells, M.; Cua, I. H. Y.; Dabbous, H. K.; Dalekos, G. N.; D'Alia, P.; Dan, L.; Dao, V. H.; Darwish, M.; Datz, C.; Davalos-Moscol, M. B.; Dawoud, H.; de Careaga, B. O.; de Knegt, R.; de Ledinghen, V.; de Silva, J.; Debzi, N.; Decraecker, M.; Del Pozo, E.; Delgado, T. C.; Delgado-Blanco, M.; Dembinski, L.; Depina, A.; Derbala, M.; Desalegn, H.; Desbois-Mouthon, C.; Desoky, M.; Dev, A.; Di Ciaula, A.; Diago, M.; Diallo, I.; Diaz, L. A.; Dirchwolf, M.; Dongiovanni, P.; Dorofeyev, A.; Dou, X.; Douglas, M. W.; Doulberis, M.; Dovia, C. K.; Doyle, A.; Dragojevic, I.; Drenth, J. P.; Duan, X.; Dulskas, A.; Dumitrascu, D. L.; Duncan, O.; Dusabejambo, V.; Dwawhi, R. S. N. A.; Eiketsu, S.; El Amrousy, D.; El Deeb, A.; El Deriny, G.; El Din, H. S.; El Kamshishy, S.; El Kassas, M.; El Raziky, M.; Elagamy, O. A.; Elakel, W.; Elalfy, D.; Elaraby, H.; Elawady, H.; Elbadawy, R.; Eldash, H. H.; Eldefrawy, M. S.; Elecharri, C. L.; Elfaramawy, A.; Elfatih, M.; Elfiky, M.; Elgamsy, M.; Elgendy, M.; El-Guindi, M. A.; Elhussieny, N.; Eliwa, A. M.; Elkabbany, Z.; El-Khayat, H.; El-Koofy, N. M.; Elmetwalli, A.; Elrabat, A.; El-Raey, F.; Elrashdy, F.; Elsahhar, M.; Elsaid, E. M.; Elsayed, S.; Elsayed, H.; Elsayed, A.; Elsayed, A. M.; Elsayed, H.; El-Serafy, M.; Elsharkawy, A. M.; Elsheemy, R. Y.; Elshemy, E. E.; Elsherbini, S.; Eltoukhy, N.; Elwakil, R.; Emad, O.; Emad, S.; Embabi, M.; Ergenc, I.; Ermolova, T.; Esmat, G.; Esmat, D. M.; Estupinan, E. C.; Ettair, S.; Eugen, T.; Ezz-Eldin, M.; Falcon, L. P. V.; Fan, Y. -C.; Fandari, S.; Farag, M.; Farahat, T. M.; Fares, E. M.; Fares, M.; Fassio, E.; Fathy, H.; Fathy, D.; Fathy, W.; Fayed, S.; Feng, D.; Feng, G.; Fernandez-Bermejo, M.; Ferreira, C. T.; Ferrer, J. D.; Forbes, A.; Fouad, R.; Fouad, H. M.; Frisch, T.; Fujii, H.; Fukunaga, S.; Fukunishi, S.; Fulya, H.; Furuhashi, M.; Gaber, Y.; Galang, A. J. G.; Gallardo, J. C.; Galloso, R.; Gamal, M.; Gamal, R.; Gamal, H.; Gan, J.; Ganbold, A.; Gao, X.; Garas, G.; Garba, T.; Garcia-Cortes, M.; Garcia-Monzon, C.; Garcia-Samaniego, J.; Gastaldelli, A.; Gatica, M.; Gatley, E.; Gegeshidze, T.; Geng, B.; Ghazinyan, H.; Ghoneem, S.; Giacomelli, L.; Giannelli, G.; Giannini, E. G.; Giefer, M.; Gines, P.; Girala, M.; Giraudi, P. J.; Goh, G. B. -B.; Gomaa, A. A.; Gong, B.; Gonzales, D. H. C.; Gonzalez, H. C.; Gonzalez-Huezo, M. S.; Graupera, I.; Grgurevic, I.; Gronbaek, H.; Gu, X.; Guan, L.; Gueye, I.; Guingane, A. N.; Gul, O. O.; Gul, C. B.; Guo, Q.; Gupta, P. P.; Gurakar, A.; Gutierrez, J. C. R.; Habib, G.; Hafez, A.; Hagman, E.; Halawa, E.; Hamdy, O.; Hamed, A. E.; Hamed, D. H.; Hamid, S.; Hamoudi, W.; Han, Y.; Haridy, J.; Haridy, H.; Harris, D. C. H. H.; Hart, M.; Hasan, F.; Hashim, A.; Hassan, I.; Hassan, A.; Hassan, E. A.; Hassan, A. A.; Hassan, M. S.; Hassanin, F.; Hassnine, A.; Haukeland, J. W.; Hawal, A. I. M.; He, J.; He, Q.; He, Y.; He, F. -P.; Hegazy, M.; Hegazy, A.; Henegil, O.; Hernandez, N.; Hernandez-Guerra, M.; Higuera-de-la-Tijera, F.; Hindy, I.; Hirota, K.; Ho, L. C.; Hodge, A.; Hosny, M.; Hou, X.; Huang, J. -F.; Huang, Y.; Huang, Z.; Huang, Y.; Huang, A.; Huang, X. -P.; Hui-ping, S.; Hunyady, B.; Hussein, M. A.; Hussein, O.; Hussien, S. M.; Ibanez-Samaniego, L.; Ibdah, J.; Ibrahim, L.; Ibrahim, M.; Ibrahim, I.; Icaza-Chavez, M. E.; Idelbi, S.; Idilman, R. I.; Ikeda, M.; Indolfi, G.; Invernizzi, F.; Irshad, I.; Isa, H. M. A.; Iskandar, N. J.; Ismaiel, A.; Ismail, M.; Ismail, Z.; Ismail, F.; Iwamoto, H.; Jack, K.; Jacob, R.; Jafarov, F.; Jafri, W.; Jahshan, H.; Jalal, P. K.; Jancoriene, L.; Janicko, M.; Jayasena, H.; Jefferies, M.; Jha, V.; Ji, F.; Ji, Y.; Jia, J.; Jiang, C.; Jiang, N.; Jiang, Z. -Z.; Jin, X.; Jin, Y.; Jing, X.; Jingyu, Q.; Jinjolava, M.; Jong, F. H. H.; Jucov, A.; Julius, I.; Kaddah, M.; Kamada, Y.; Kamal, A.; Kamal, E. M.; Kamel, A. S.; Kao, J. -H.; Karin, M.; Karlas, T.; Kashwaa, M.; Katsidzira, L.; Kaya, E.; Kayasseh, M. A.; Keenan, B.; Keklikkiran, C.; Keml, W.; Khalaf, D. K.; Khalefa, R.; Khamis, S.; Khater, D.; Khattab, H.; Khavkin, A.; Khlynova, O.; Khmis, N.; Kobyliak, N.; Koffas, A.; Koike, K.; Kok, K. Y. Y.; Koller, T.; Komas, N. P.; Korochanskaya, N. V.; Koulla, Y.; Koya, S.; Kraft, C.; Kraja, B.; Krawczyk, M.; Kuchay, M. S.; Kulkarni, A. V.; Kumar, A.; Kumar, M.; Lakoh, S.; Lam, P.; Lan, L.; Lange, N. F.; Lankarani, K. B.; Lanthier, N.; Lapshyna, K.; Lashen, S. A.; Laure, K. N. J.; Lazebnik, L.; Lebrec, D.; Lee, S. S.; Lee, W. S.; Lee, Y. Y.; Leeming, D. J.; Leite, N. C.; Leon, R.; Lesmana, C. R. A.; Li, J.; Li, Q.; Li, J.; Li, Y. -Y.; Li, Y.; Li, L.; Li, M.; Li, Y.; Liang, H.; Lijuan, T.; Lim, S. G.; Lim, L. -L.; Lin, S.; Lin, H. -C.; Lin, R.; Lithy, R.; Liu, Y.; Liu, Y.; Liu, X.; Liu, W. -Y.; Liu, S.; Liu, K.; Liu, T.; Lonardo, A.; Lopez, M. B.; Lopez-Benages, E.; Lopez-Jaramillo, P.; Lu, H.; Lu, L. G.; Lu, Y.; Lubel, J.; Lui, R.; Lupasco, I.; Luzina, E.; Lv, X. -H.; Lynch, K.; Ma, H. -L.; Machado, M. V.; Maduka, N.; Madzharova, K.; Magdaong, R.; Mahadeva, S.; Mahfouz, A.; Mahmood, N. R. K. N.; Mahmoud, E.; Mahrous, M.; Maiwall, R.; Majeed, A.; Majumdar, A.; Mak, L.; Maklouf, M. M.; Malekzadeh, R.; Mandato, C.; Mangia, A.; Mann, J.; Mansour, H. H.; Mansouri, A.; Mantovani, A.; Mao, J. Q.; Maramag, F.; Marchesini, G.; Marcus, C.; Marinho, R. A. R. T.; Martinez-Chantar, M. L.; Martins, A. A. S.; Marwan, R.; Mason, K. F.; Masoud, G.; Massoud, M. N.; Matamoros, M. A.; Mateos, R. M.; Mawed, A.; Mbanya, J. C.; Mbendi, C.; Mccolaugh, L.; Mcleod, D.; Medina, J. F. R.; Megahed, A.; Mehrez, M.; Memon, I.; Merat, S.; Mercado, R.; Mesbah,
Global multi-stakeholder endorsement of the MAFLD definition
none1055noneMendez-Sanchez N.; Bugianesi E.; Gish R.G.; Lammert F.; Tilg H.; Nguyen M.H.; Sarin S.K.; Fabrellas N.; Zelber-Sagi S.; Fan J.-G.; Shiha G.; Targher G.; Zheng M.-H.; Chan W.-K.; Vinker S.; Kawaguchi T.; Castera L.; Yilmaz Y.; Korenjak M.; Spearman C.W.; Ungan M.; Palmer M.; El-Shabrawi M.; Gruss H.-J.; Dufour J.-F.; Dhawan A.; Wedemeyer H.; George J.; Valenti L.; Fouad Y.; Romero-Gomez M.; Eslam M.; Abate M.L.; Abbas B.; Abbassy A.A.; Abd El Ghany W.; Abd Elkhalek A.; Abd ElMajeed E.; Abdalgaber M.; AbdAllah M.; Abdallah M.; Abdallah N.; Abdelaleem S.; Abdelghani Y.; Abdelghany W.; Abdelhalim S.M.; Abdelhamid W.; Abdelhamid N.; Abdelkader N.A.; Abdelkreem E.; Abdelmohsen A.M.; Abdelrahman A.A.; Abd-elsalam S.M.; Abdeltawab D.; Abduh A.; Abdulhakam N.; Abdulla M.; Abedpoor N.; Abenavoli L.; Aberg F.; Ablack O.; Abo elftouh M.; Abo-Amer Y.E.-E.; Aboubkr A.; Aboud A.; Abouelnaga A.M.; Aboufarrag G.A.; Aboutaleb A.; Abundis L.; Adali G.; Adames E.; Adams L.; Adda D.; Adel N.; Adel N.; Adel Sayed M.; Afaa T.J.; Afredj N.; Aghayeva G.; Aghemo A.; Aguilar-Salinas C.A.; Ahlenstiel G.; Ahmady W.; Ahmed W.; Ahmed A.; Ahmed S.N.; Ahmed H.M.; Ahmed R.; Aigner E.; Akarsu M.; Akroush M.; Akyuz U.; Al Mahtab M.; Al Qadiri T.; Al Rawahi Y.; AL rubaee R.; Al Saffar M.; Alam S.; Al-Ani Z.; Albillos A.; Alboraie M.; Al-Busafi S.; Al-Emam M.; Alharthi J.; Ali K.; Ali B.A.; Ali M.; Ali R.A.R.; Alisi A.; AL-Khafaji A.R.; Alkhatry M.; Aller R.; Almansoury Y.; Al-Naamani K.; Alnakeeb A.; Alonso A.; Alqahtani S.A.; Alrabadi L.; Alswat K.; Altaher M.; Altamimi T.; Altamirano J.; Alvares-da-Silva M.R.; Aly E.A.M.; Alzahaby A.; Alzamzamy A.; Amano K.; Amer M.A.; Amin M.A.; Amin S.A.; Amir A.A.; Ampuero J.; Anas N.; Andreone P.; Andriamandimby S.F.; Anees M.; Angela P.; Antonios M.; Arafat W.; Araya J.M.; Armendariz-Borunda J.; Armstrong M.J.; Ashktorab H.; Aspichueta P.; Assal F.; Atef M.; Attia D.; Atwa H.; Awad R.; Awad M.A.E.; Awny S.; Awolowo O.; Awuku Y.A.; Ayada I.; Aye T.T.; Ayman S.; Ayman H.; Ayoub H.; Azmy H.M.; Babaran R.P.; Badreldin O.; Badry A.; Bahcecioglu I.H.; Bahour A.; Bai J.; Balaban Y.; Balasubramanyam M.; Bamakhrama K.; Banales J.M.; Bangaru B.; Bao J.; Barahona J.S.; Barakat S.; Barbalho S.M.; Barbra B.; Barranco B.; Barrera F.; Baumann U.; Bazeed S.; Bech E.; Benayad A.; Benesic A.; Bernstein D.; Bessone F.; Birney S.; Bisseye C.; Blake M.; Bobat B.; Bonfrate L.; Bordin D.S.; Bosques-Padilla F.; Boursier J.; Boushab B.M.; Bowen D.; Bravo P.M.; Brennan P.N.; Bright B.; Broekaert I.; Buque X.; Burgos-Santamaria D.; Burman J.; Busetto L.; Byrne C.D.; Cabral-Prodigalidad P.A.I.; Cabrera-Alvarez G.; Cai W.; Cainelli F.; Caliskan A.R.; Canbay A.; Cano-Contreras A.; Cao H.-X.; Cao Z.; Carrion A.; Carubbi F.; Casanovas T.; Castellanos Fernandez M.I.; Chai J.; Chan S.P.; Charatcharoenwitthaya P.; Chavez-Tapia N.; Chayama K.; Chen J.; Chen L.; Chen Z.-W.; Chen H.; Chen S.-D.; Chen Q.; Chen Y.; Chen G.; Chen E.-Q.; Chen F.; Chen P.-J.; Cheng R.; Cheng W.; Chieh J.T.W.; Chokr I.; Cholongitas E.; Choudhury A.; Chowdhury A.; Chukwudike E.S.; Ciardullo S.; Clayton M.; Clement K.; Cloa M.M.; Coccia C.; Collazos C.; Colombo M.; Cosar A.M.; Cotrim H.P.; Couillerot J.; Coulibaly A.; Crespo G.; Crespo J.; Cruells M.; Cua I.H.Y.; Dabbous H.K.; Dalekos G.N.; D'Alia P.; Dan L.; Dao V.H.; Darwish M.; Datz C.; Davalos-Moscol M.B.; Dawoud H.; de Careaga B.O.; de Knegt R.; de Ledinghen V.; de Silva J.; Debzi N.; Decraecker M.; Del Pozo E.; Delgado T.C.; Delgado-Blanco M.; Dembinski L.; Depina A.; Derbala M.; Desalegn H.; Desbois-Mouthon C.; Desoky M.; Dev A.; Di Ciaula A.; Diago M.; Diallo I.; Diaz L.A.; Dirchwolf M.; Dongiovanni P.; Dorofeyev A.; Dou X.; Douglas M.W.; Doulberis M.; Dovia C.K.; Doyle A.; Dragojevic I.; Drenth J.P.; Duan X.; Dulskas A.; Dumitrascu D.L.; Duncan O.; Dusabejambo V.; Dwawhi R.S.N.A.; Eiketsu S.; El Amrousy D.; El Deeb A.; El Deriny G.; El Din H.S.; El Kamshishy S.; El Kassas M.; El Raziky M.; Elagamy O.A.; Elakel W.; Elalfy D.; Elaraby H.; ElAwady H.; Elbadawy R.; Eldash H.H.; Eldefrawy M.S.; Elecharri C.L.; Elfaramawy A.; Elfatih M.; Elfiky M.; Elgamsy M.; Elgendy M.; El-Guindi M.A.; Elhussieny N.; Eliwa A.M.; Elkabbany Z.; El-Khayat H.; El-Koofy N.M.; Elmetwalli A.; Elrabat A.; El-Raey F.; Elrashdy F.; Elsahhar M.; Elsaid E.M.; Elsayed S.; Elsayed H.; Elsayed A.; Elsayed A.M.; Elsayed H.; El-Serafy M.; Elsharkawy A.M.; Elsheemy R.Y.; Elshemy E.E.; Elsherbini S.; Eltoukhy N.; Elwakil R.; Emad O.; Emad S.; Embabi M.; Ergenc I.; Ermolova T.; Esmat G.; Esmat D.M.; Estupinan E.C.; Ettair S.; Eugen T.; Ezz-Eldin M.; Falcon L.P.V.; Fan Y.-C.; Fandari S.; Farag M.; Farahat T.M.; Fares E.M.; Fares M.; Fassio E.; Fathy H.; Fathy D.; Fathy W.; Fayed S.; Feng D.; Feng G.; Fernandez-Bermejo M.; Ferreira C.T.; Ferrer J.D.; Forbes A.; Fouad R.; Fouad H.M.; Frisch T.; Fujii H.; Fukunaga S.; Fukunishi S.; Fulya H.; Furuhashi M.; Gaber Y.; Galang A.J.G.; Gallardo J.C.; Galloso R.; Gamal M.; Gamal R.; Gamal H.; Gan J.; Ganbold A.; Gao X.; Garas G.; Garba T.; Garcia-Cortes M.; Garcia-Monzon C.; Garcia-Samaniego J.; Gastaldelli A.; Gatica M.; Gatley E.; Gegeshidze T.; Geng B.; Ghazinyan H.; Ghoneem S.; Giacomelli L.; Giannelli G.; Giannini E.G.; Giefer M.; Gines P.; Girala M.; Giraudi P.J.; Goh G.B.-B.; Gomaa A.A.; Gong B.; Gonzales D.H.C.; Gonzalez H.C.; Gonzalez-Huezo M.S.; Graupera I.; Grgurevic I.; Gronbaek H.; Gu X.; Guan L.; Gueye I.; Guingane A.N.; Gul O.O.; Gul C.B.; Guo Q.; Gupta P.P.; Gurakar A.; Gutierrez J.C.R.; Habib G.; Hafez A.; Hagman E.; Halawa E.; Hamdy O.; Hamed A.E.; Hamed D.H.; Hamid S.; Hamoudi W.; Han Y.; Haridy J.; Haridy H.; Harris D.C.H.H.; Hart M.; Hasan F.; Hashim A.; Hassan I.; Hassan A.; Hassan E.A.; Hassan A.A.; Hassan M.S.; Hassanin F.; Hassnine A.; Haukeland J.W.; Hawal A.I.M.; He J.; He Q.; He Y.; He F.-P.; Hegazy M.; Hegazy A.; Henegil O.; Hernandez N.; Hernandez-Guerra M.; Higuera-de-la-Tijera F.; Hindy I.; Hirota K.; Ho L.C.; Hodge A.; Hosny M.; Hou X.; Huang J.-F.; Huang Y.; Huang Z.; Huang Y.; Huang A.; Huang X.-P.; Hui-ping S.; Hunyady B.; Hussein M.A.; Hussein O.; Hussien S.M.; Ibanez-Samaniego L.; Ibdah J.; Ibrahim L.; Ibrahim M.; Ibrahim I.; Icaza-Chavez M.E.; Idelbi S.; Idilman R.I.; Ikeda M.; Indolfi G.; Invernizzi F.; Irshad I.; Isa H.M.A.; Iskandar N.J.; Ismaiel A.; Ismail M.; Ismail Z.; Ismail F.; Iwamoto H.; Jack K.; Jacob R.; Jafarov F.; Jafri W.; Jahshan H.; Jalal P.K.; Jancoriene L.; Janicko M.; Jayasena H.; Jefferies M.; Jha V.; Ji F.; Ji Y.; Jia J.; Jiang C.; Jiang N.; Jiang Z.-Z.; Jin X.; Jin Y.; Jing X.; Jingyu Q.; Jinjolava M.; Jong F.H.H.; Jucov A.; Julius I.; Kaddah M.; Kamada Y.; kamal A.; Kamal E.M.; Kamel A.S.; Kao J.-H.; Karin M.; Karlas T.; Kashwaa M.; Katsidzira L.; Kaya E.; Kayasseh M.A.; Keenan B.; Keklikkiran C.; Keml W.; Khalaf D.K.; Khalefa R.; Khamis S.; Khater D.; khattab H.; Khavkin A.; Khlynova O.; Khmis N.; Kobyliak N.; Koffas A.; Koike K.; Kok K.Y.Y.; Koller T.; Komas N.P.; Korochanskaya N.V.; Koulla Y.; Koya S.; Kraft C.; Kraja B.; Krawczyk M.; Kuchay M.S.; Kulkarni A.V.; Kumar A.; Kumar M.; Lakoh S.; Lam P.; Lan L.; Lange N.F.; Lankarani K.B.; Lanthier N.; Lapshyna K.; Lashen S.A.; Laure K.N.J.; Lazebnik L.; Lebrec D.; Lee S.S.; Lee W.S.; Lee Y.Y.; Leeming D.J.; Leite N.C.; Leon R.; Lesmana C.R.A.; Li J.; Li Q.; Li J.; Li Y.-Y.; Li Y.; Li L.; Li M.; li Y.; Liang H.; Lijuan T.; Lim S.G.; Lim L.-L.; Lin S.; Lin H.-C.; Lin R.; Lithy R.; Liu Y.; Liu Y.; Liu X.; Liu W.-Y.; Liu S.; Liu K.; Liu T.; Lonardo A.; Lopez M.B.; Lopez-Benages E.; Lopez-Jaramillo P.; Lu H.; Lu L.G.; Lu Y.; Lubel J.; Lui R.; Lupasco I.; Luzina E.; Lv X.-H.; Lynch K.; Ma H.-L.; Machado M.V.; Maduka N.; Madzharova K.; Magdaong R.; Mahadeva S.; Mahfouz A.; Mahmood N.R.K.N.; Mahmoud E.; Mahrous M.; Maiwall R.; Majeed A.; Majumdar A.; Mak L.; Maklouf M.M.; Malekzadeh R.; Mandato C.; Mangia A.; Mann J.; Mansour H.H.; Mansouri A.; Mantovani A.; Mao J.Q.; Maramag F.; Marchesini G.; Marcus C.; Marinho R.A.R.T.; Martinez-Chantar M.L.; Martins A.A.S.; Marwan R.; Mason K.F.; Masoud G.; Massoud M.N.; Matamoros M.A.; Mateos R.M.; Mawed A.; Mbanya J.C.; Mbendi C.; McColaugh L.; McLeod D.; Medina J.F.R.; Megahed A.; Mehrez M.; Memon I.; Merat S.; Mercado R.; Mesbah A.; Meskini T.; Metwally M.; Metwaly R.; Miao L.; Micah E.; Miele L.; Milivojevic V.; Milovanovic T.; Mina Y.L.; Mishkovik M.; Mishriki A.; Mitchell T.; Mohamed A.; Mohamed M.; Mohamed S.; Mohammed S.; Mohammed A.; Mohan V.; Mohie S.; Mokhtar A.; Moniem R.; Montilla M.S.; Morales J.A.O.; Morata M.M.S.; Moreno-Planas J.M.; Morise S.; Mosaad S.; Moselhy M.; Mostafa A.M.; Mostafa E.; Mouane N.; Mousa N.; Moustafa H.M.; Msherif A.; Muller K.; Munoz C.; Munoz-Urribarri A.B.; Murillo O.A.; Mustapha F.I.; Muzurovic E.; Nabil Y.; Nafady S.; Nagamatsu A.; Nakajima A.; Nakano D.; Nan Y.; Nascimbeni F.; Naseef M.S.; Nashat N.; Natalia T.; Negro F.; Nersesov A.V.; Neuman M.; Ng'wanasayi M.; Ni Y.; Nicoll A.; Niizeki T.; Nikolova D.; Ningning W.; Niriella M.; Nogoibaeva K.A.; Nordien R.; O Sullivan C.; O'Beirne J.; Obekpa S.; Ocama P.; Ochwoto M.; Ogolodom M.P.; Ojo O.; Okrostsvaridze N.; Oliveira C.P.; Omana R.C.; Omar O.M.; Omar H.; Omar M.; Omran S.; Omran R.; Osman M.M.; Owise N.; Owusu-Ansah T.; Padilla- Machaca P.M.; Palle S.; Pan Z.; Pan X.-Y.; Pan Q.; Papaefthymiou A.; Paquissi F.C.; Par G.; Parkash A.; Payawal D.; Peltekian K.M.; Peng X.; Peng L.; Peng Y.; Pengoria R.; Perez M.; Perez J.L.; Perez N.M.; Persico M.; Pessoa M.G.; Petta S.; Philip M.; Plaz Torres M.C.; Polavarapu N.; Poniachik J.; Portincasa P.; Pu C.; Purnak T.; Purwanto E.; Qi X.; Qi X.; Qian Z.; Qiang Z.; Qiao Z.; Qiao L.; Queiroz A.; Rabiee A.; Radwan M.; Rahetilahy A.M.; Ramadan Y.; Ramadan D.; Ramli A.S.; Ramm G.A.; Ran A.; Rankovic I.; RAO H.; Raouf S.; Ray S.; Reau N.; Refaat A.; Reiberger T.; Remes-Troche J.M.; Reyes E.C.; Richardson B.; Ridruejo E.; Riestra Jimenez S.; Rizk I.; Roberts S.; Roblero J.P.; Robles J.A.P.; Rockey D.; Rodriguez M.; Rodriguez Hernandez H.; Roman E.; Romeiro F.G.; Romeo S.; Rosales-Zabal J.M.; Roshdi G.R.; Rosso N.; Ruf A.; Ruiz P.C.; Runes N.R.; Ruzzenente A.; Ryan M.; Saad A.; Sabbagh E.B.; Sabbah M.; Saber S.; Sabrey R.; Sabry R.; Saeed M.A.; Said D.; Said E.M.; Sakr M.A.; Salah Y.; Salama R.M.; Salama A.; Saleh H.; Saleh A.; Salem A.; Salem A.T.; Salifou A.; Salih A.F.; Salman A.; Samouda H.; Sanai F.; Sanchez-Avila J.F.; Sanker L.; Sano T.; Sanz M.; Saparbu T.; Sawhney R.; Sayed F.; Sayed S.A.; Sayed A.O.; Sayed M.; Sebastiani G.; Secadas L.; Sediqi K.Q.; Seif S.; Semida N.; Senates E.; Serban E.D.; Serfaty L.; Seto W.-K.; Sghaier I.; Sha M.; Shabaan H.M.; Shalaby L.; Shaltout I.; Sharara A.I.; Sharma V.; Shawa I.T.; Shawkat A.; Shawky N.; Shehata O.; Sheils S.; Shewaye A.B.; Shi G.; Shi J.; Shimose S.; Shirono T.; Shou L.; Shrestha A.; Shui G.; Sievert W.; Sigurdardottir S.; Sira M.M.; Siradj R.; Sison C.; Smyth L.; Soliman R.; Sollano J.D.; Sombie R.; Sonderup M.; Sood S.; Soriano G.; Stedman C.A.M.; Stefanyuk O.; Stimac D.; Strasser S.; Strnad P.; Stuart K.; Su W.; Su M.; Sumida Y.; Sumie S.; Sun D.-Q.; Sun J.; Suzuki H.; Svegliati-Baroni G.; Swar M.O.; TAHARBOUCHT S.; Taher Z.; Takamura S.; Tan L.; Tan S.-S.; Tanwandee T.; Tarek S.; Tatiana G.; Tavaglione F.; Tecson G.Y.; Tee H.-P.; Teschke R.; Tharwat M.; Thong V.D.; Thursz M.; Tine T.; Tiribelli C.; Tolmane I.; Tong J.; Tongo M.; Torkie M.; Torre A.; Torres E.A.; Trajkovska M.; Treeprasertsuk S.; Tsutsumi T.; Tu T.; Tur J.A.; Turan D.; Turcan S.; Turkina S.; Tutar E.; Tzeuton C.; Ugiagbe R.; Uygun A.; Vacca M.; Vajro P.; Van der Poorten D.; Van Kleef L.A.; Vashakidze E.; Velazquez C.M.; Velazquez M.I.; Vento S.; Verhoeven V.; Vespasiani-Gentilucci U.; Vethakkan S.R.; Vilaseca J.; Vitek L.; Volkanovska A.; Wallace M.; Wan W.; Wang Y.; Wang Y.; Wang X.; Wang X.; Wang C.; Wang C.; Wang M.; Wangchuk P.; Weltman M.; White M.; Wiegand J.; Wifi M.-N.; Wigg A.; Wilhelmi M.; William R.; Wittenburg H.; Wu S.; Wubeneh A.M.; Xia H.; Xiao J.; Xiao X.; Xiaofeng W.; Xiong W.; Xu L.; Xu J.; Xu W.; Xu J.-H.; Xu K.; Xu Y.; Xu S.-H.; Xu M.; Xu A.; Xu C.; Yan H.; Yang J.; Yang R.-X.; Yang Y.; Yang Q.; Yang N.; Yao J.; Yara J.; Yaras S.; Yilmaz N.; Younes R.; younes H.; Young S.; Youssef F.; Yu Y.; Yu M.-L.; Yuan J.; Yue Z.; Yuen M.-F.; Yun W.; Yurukova N.; Zakaria S.; Zaky S.; Zaldastanishvili M.; Zapata R.; Zare N.; Zerem E.; Zeriban N.; Zeshuai X.; Zhang H.; Zhang X.; Zhang Y.; Zhang W.-H.; Zhang X.; Zhang Y.-P.; Zhang Y.; Zhang Z.-Q.; Zhao J.; Zhao R.-R.; Zhao H.; Zheng C.; Zheng Y.; Zheng R.; Zheng T.-L.; Zheng K.; Zhou X.Q.; Zhou Y.; Zhou Y.-J.; Zhou H.; Zhou L.; Zhou Y.; Zhu L.D.; Zhu Y.F.; Zhu Y.; Zhu P.-W.; Ziada E.; Ziring D.; Ziyi L.; Zou S.; Zou Z.; Zou H.; Zuart Ruiz R.Mendez-Sanchez, N.; Bugianesi, E.; Gish, R. 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R.; Canbay, A.; Cano-Contreras, A.; Cao, H. -X.; Cao, Z.; Carrion, A.; Carubbi, F.; Casanovas, T.; Castellanos Fernandez, M. I.; Chai, J.; Chan, S. P.; Charatcharoenwitthaya, P.; Chavez-Tapia, N.; Chayama, K.; Chen, J.; Chen, L.; Chen, Z. -W.; Chen, H.; Chen, S. -D.; Chen, Q.; Chen, Y.; Chen, G.; Chen, E. -Q.; Chen, F.; Chen, P. -J.; Cheng, R.; Cheng, W.; Chieh, J. T. W.; Chokr, I.; Cholongitas, E.; Choudhury, A.; Chowdhury, A.; Chukwudike, E. S.; Ciardullo, S.; Clayton, M.; Clement, K.; Cloa, M. M.; Coccia, C.; Collazos, C.; Colombo, M.; Cosar, A. M.; Cotrim, H. P.; Couillerot, J.; Coulibaly, A.; Crespo, G.; Crespo, J.; Cruells, M.; Cua, I. H. Y.; Dabbous, H. K.; Dalekos, G. N.; D'Alia, P.; Dan, L.; Dao, V. H.; Darwish, M.; Datz, C.; Davalos-Moscol, M. B.; Dawoud, H.; de Careaga, B. O.; de Knegt, R.; de Ledinghen, V.; de Silva, J.; Debzi, N.; Decraecker, M.; Del Pozo, E.; Delgado, T. C.; Delgado-Blanco, M.; Dembinski, L.; Depina, A.; Derbala, M.; Desalegn, H.; Desbois-Mouthon, C.; Desoky, M.; Dev, A.; Di Ciaula, A.; Diago, M.; Diallo, I.; Diaz, L. A.; Dirchwolf, M.; Dongiovanni, P.; Dorofeyev, A.; Dou, X.; Douglas, M. W.; Doulberis, M.; Dovia, C. K.; Doyle, A.; Dragojevic, I.; Drenth, J. P.; Duan, X.; Dulskas, A.; Dumitrascu, D. L.; Duncan, O.; Dusabejambo, V.; Dwawhi, R. S. N. A.; Eiketsu, S.; El Amrousy, D.; El Deeb, A.; El Deriny, G.; El Din, H. S.; El Kamshishy, S.; El Kassas, M.; El Raziky, M.; Elagamy, O. A.; Elakel, W.; Elalfy, D.; Elaraby, H.; Elawady, H.; Elbadawy, R.; Eldash, H. H.; Eldefrawy, M. S.; Elecharri, C. L.; Elfaramawy, A.; Elfatih, M.; Elfiky, M.; Elgamsy, M.; Elgendy, M.; El-Guindi, M. A.; Elhussieny, N.; Eliwa, A. M.; Elkabbany, Z.; El-Khayat, H.; El-Koofy, N. M.; Elmetwalli, A.; Elrabat, A.; El-Raey, F.; Elrashdy, F.; Elsahhar, M.; Elsaid, E. M.; Elsayed, S.; Elsayed, H.; Elsayed, A.; Elsayed, A. M.; Elsayed, H.; El-Serafy, M.; Elsharkawy, A. M.; Elsheemy, R. Y.; Elshemy, E. E.; Elsherbini, S.; Eltoukhy, N.; Elwakil, R.; Emad, O.; Emad, S.; Embabi, M.; Ergenc, I.; Ermolova, T.; Esmat, G.; Esmat, D. M.; Estupinan, E. C.; Ettair, S.; Eugen, T.; Ezz-Eldin, M.; Falcon, L. P. V.; Fan, Y. -C.; Fandari, S.; Farag, M.; Farahat, T. M.; Fares, E. M.; Fares, M.; Fassio, E.; Fathy, H.; Fathy, D.; Fathy, W.; Fayed, S.; Feng, D.; Feng, G.; Fernandez-Bermejo, M.; Ferreira, C. T.; Ferrer, J. D.; Forbes, A.; Fouad, R.; Fouad, H. M.; Frisch, T.; Fujii, H.; Fukunaga, S.; Fukunishi, S.; Fulya, H.; Furuhashi, M.; Gaber, Y.; Galang, A. J. G.; Gallardo, J. C.; Galloso, R.; Gamal, M.; Gamal, R.; Gamal, H.; Gan, J.; Ganbold, A.; Gao, X.; Garas, G.; Garba, T.; Garcia-Cortes, M.; Garcia-Monzon, C.; Garcia-Samaniego, J.; Gastaldelli, A.; Gatica, M.; Gatley, E.; Gegeshidze, T.; Geng, B.; Ghazinyan, H.; Ghoneem, S.; Giacomelli, L.; Giannelli, G.; Giannini, E. G.; Giefer, M.; Gines, P.; Girala, M.; Giraudi, P. J.; Goh, G. B. -B.; Gomaa, A. A.; Gong, B.; Gonzales, D. H. C.; Gonzalez, H. C.; Gonzalez-Huezo, M. S.; Graupera, I.; Grgurevic, I.; Gronbaek, H.; Gu, X.; Guan, L.; Gueye, I.; Guingane, A. N.; Gul, O. O.; Gul, C. B.; Guo, Q.; Gupta, P. P.; Gurakar, A.; Gutierrez, J. C. R.; Habib, G.; Hafez, A.; Hagman, E.; Halawa, E.; Hamdy, O.; Hamed, A. E.; Hamed, D. H.; Hamid, S.; Hamoudi, W.; Han, Y.; Haridy, J.; Haridy, H.; Harris, D. C. H. H.; Hart, M.; Hasan, F.; Hashim, A.; Hassan, I.; Hassan, A.; Hassan, E. A.; Hassan, A. A.; Hassan, M. S.; Hassanin, F.; Hassnine, A.; Haukeland, J. W.; Hawal, A. I. M.; He, J.; He, Q.; He, Y.; He, F. -P.; Hegazy, M.; Hegazy, A.; Henegil, O.; Hernandez, N.; Hernandez-Guerra, M.; Higuera-de-la-Tijera, F.; Hindy, I.; Hirota, K.; Ho, L. C.; Hodge, A.; Hosny, M.; Hou, X.; Huang, J. -F.; Huang, Y.; Huang, Z.; Huang, Y.; Huang, A.; Huang, X. -P.; Hui-ping, S.; Hunyady, B.; Hussein, M. A.; Hussein, O.; Hussien, S. M.; Ibanez-Samaniego, L.; Ibdah, J.; Ibrahim, L.; Ibrahim, M.; Ibrahim, I.; Icaza-Chavez, M. E.; Idelbi, S.; Idilman, R. I.; Ikeda, M.; Indolfi, G.; Invernizzi, F.; Irshad, I.; Isa, H. M. A.; Iskandar, N. J.; Ismaiel, A.; Ismail, M.; Ismail, Z.; Ismail, F.; Iwamoto, H.; Jack, K.; Jacob, R.; Jafarov, F.; Jafri, W.; Jahshan, H.; Jalal, P. K.; Jancoriene, L.; Janicko, M.; Jayasena, H.; Jefferies, M.; Jha, V.; Ji, F.; Ji, Y.; Jia, J.; Jiang, C.; Jiang, N.; Jiang, Z. -Z.; Jin, X.; Jin, Y.; Jing, X.; Jingyu, Q.; Jinjolava, M.; Jong, F. H. H.; Jucov, A.; Julius, I.; Kaddah, M.; Kamada, Y.; Kamal, A.; Kamal, E. M.; Kamel, A. S.; Kao, J. -H.; Karin, M.; Karlas, T.; Kashwaa, M.; Katsidzira, L.; Kaya, E.; Kayasseh, M. A.; Keenan, B.; Keklikkiran, C.; Keml, W.; Khalaf, D. K.; Khalefa, R.; Khamis, S.; Khater, D.; Khattab, H.; Khavkin, A.; Khlynova, O.; Khmis, N.; Kobyliak, N.; Koffas, A.; Koike, K.; Kok, K. Y. Y.; Koller, T.; Komas, N. P.; Korochanskaya, N. V.; Koulla, Y.; Koya, S.; Kraft, C.; Kraja, B.; Krawczyk, M.; Kuchay, M. S.; Kulkarni, A. V.; Kumar, A.; Kumar, M.; Lakoh, S.; Lam, P.; Lan, L.; Lange, N. F.; Lankarani, K. B.; Lanthier, N.; Lapshyna, K.; Lashen, S. A.; Laure, K. N. J.; Lazebnik, L.; Lebrec, D.; Lee, S. S.; Lee, W. S.; Lee, Y. Y.; Leeming, D. J.; Leite, N. C.; Leon, R.; Lesmana, C. R. A.; Li, J.; Li, Q.; Li, J.; Li, Y. -Y.; Li, Y.; Li, L.; Li, M.; Li, Y.; Liang, H.; Lijuan, T.; Lim, S. G.; Lim, L. -L.; Lin, S.; Lin, H. -C.; Lin, R.; Lithy, R.; Liu, Y.; Liu, Y.; Liu, X.; Liu, W. -Y.; Liu, S.; Liu, K.; Liu, T.; Lonardo, A.; Lopez, M. B.; Lopez-Benages, E.; Lopez-Jaramillo, P.; Lu, H.; Lu, L. G.; Lu, Y.; Lubel, J.; Lui, R.; Lupasco, I.; Luzina, E.; Lv, X. -H.; Lynch, K.; Ma, H. -L.; Machado, M. V.; Maduka, N.; Madzharova, K.; Magdaong, R.; Mahadeva, S.; Mahfouz, A.; Mahmood, N. R. K. N.; Mahmoud, E.; Mahrous, M.; Maiwall, R.; Majeed, A.; Majumdar, A.; Mak, L.; Maklouf, M. M.; Malekzadeh, R.; Mandato, C.; Mangia, A.; Mann, J.; Mansour, H. H.; Mansouri, A.; Mantovani, A.; Mao, J. Q.; Maramag, F.; Marchesini, G.; Marcus, C.; Marinho, R. A. R. T.; Martinez-Chantar, M. L.; Martins, A. A. S.; Marwan, R.; Mason, K. F.; Masoud, G.; Massoud, M. N.; Matamoros, M. A.; Mateos, R. M.; Mawed, A.; Mbanya, J. C.; Mbendi, C.; Mccolaugh, L.; Mcleod, D.; Medina, J. F. R.; Megahed, A.; Mehrez, M.; Memon, I.; Merat, S.; Mercado, R.; Mesbah,
Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
BackgroundAccurate assessments of current and future fertility—including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions—are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour supply, education, gender equality, and family planning and support. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 produced up-to-date and comprehensive demographic assessments of key fertility indicators at global, regional, and national levels from 1950 to 2021 and forecast fertility metrics to 2100 based on a reference scenario and key policy-dependent alternative scenarios. MethodsTo estimate fertility indicators from 1950 to 2021, mixed-effects regression models and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression were used to synthesise data from 8709 country-years of vital and sample registrations, 1455 surveys and censuses, and 150 other sources, and to generate age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) for 5-year age groups from age 10 years to 54 years. ASFRs were summed across age groups to produce estimates of total fertility rate (TFR). Livebirths were calculated by multiplying ASFR and age-specific female population, then summing across ages 10–54 years. To forecast future fertility up to 2100, our Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) forecasting model was based on projections of completed cohort fertility at age 50 years (CCF50; the average number of children born over time to females from a specified birth cohort), which yields more stable and accurate measures of fertility than directly modelling TFR. CCF50 was modelled using an ensemble approach in which three sub-models (with two, three, and four covariates variously consisting of female educational attainment, contraceptive met need, population density in habitable areas, and under-5 mortality) were given equal weights, and analyses were conducted utilising the MR-BRT (meta-regression—Bayesian, regularised, trimmed) tool. To capture time-series trends in CCF50 not explained by these covariates, we used a first-order autoregressive model on the residual term. CCF50 as a proportion of each 5-year ASFR was predicted using a linear mixed-effects model with fixed-effects covariates (female educational attainment and contraceptive met need) and random intercepts for geographical regions. Projected TFRs were then computed for each calendar year as the sum of single-year ASFRs across age groups. The reference forecast is our estimate of the most likely fertility future given the model, past fertility, forecasts of covariates, and historical relationships between covariates and fertility. We additionally produced forecasts for multiple alternative scenarios in each location: the UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) for education is achieved by 2030; the contraceptive met need SDG is achieved by 2030; pro-natal policies are enacted to create supportive environments for those who give birth; and the previous three scenarios combined. Uncertainty from past data inputs and model estimation was propagated throughout analyses by taking 1000 draws for past and present fertility estimates and 500 draws for future forecasts from the estimated distribution for each metric, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) given as the 2·5 and 97·5 percentiles of the draws. To evaluate the forecasting performance of our model and others, we computed skill values—a metric assessing gain in forecasting accuracy—by comparing predicted versus observed ASFRs from the past 15 years (2007–21). A positive skill metric indicates that the model being evaluated performs better than the baseline model (here, a simplified model holding 2007 values constant in the future), and a negative metric indicates that the evaluated model performs worse than baseline. FindingsDuring the period from 1950 to 2021, global TFR more than halved, from 4·84 (95% UI 4·63–5·06) to 2·23 (2·09–2·38). Global annual livebirths peaked in 2016 at 142 million (95% UI 137–147), declining to 129 million (121–138) in 2021. Fertility rates declined in all countries and territories since 1950, with TFR remaining above 2·1—canonically considered replacement-level fertility—in 94 (46·1%) countries and territories in 2021. This included 44 of 46 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, which was the super-region with the largest share of livebirths in 2021 (29·2% [28·7–29·6]). 47 countries and territories in which lowest estimated fertility between 1950 and 2021 was below replacement experienced one or more subsequent years with higher fertility; only three of these locations rebounded above replacement levels. Future fertility rates were projected to continue to decline worldwide, reaching a global TFR of 1·83 (1·59–2·08) in 2050 and 1·59 (1·25–1·96) in 2100 under the reference scenario. The number of countries and territories with fertility rates remaining above replacement was forecast to be 49 (24·0%) in 2050 and only six (2·9%) in 2100, with three of these six countries included in the 2021 World Bank-defined low-income group, all located in the GBD super-region of sub-Saharan Africa. The proportion of livebirths occurring in sub-Saharan Africa was forecast to increase to more than half of the world's livebirths in 2100, to 41·3% (39·6–43·1) in 2050 and 54·3% (47·1–59·5) in 2100. The share of livebirths was projected to decline between 2021 and 2100 in most of the six other super-regions—decreasing, for example, in south Asia from 24·8% (23·7–25·8) in 2021 to 16·7% (14·3–19·1) in 2050 and 7·1% (4·4–10·1) in 2100—but was forecast to increase modestly in the north Africa and Middle East and high-income super-regions. Forecast estimates for the alternative combined scenario suggest that meeting SDG targets for education and contraceptive met need, as well as implementing pro-natal policies, would result in global TFRs of 1·65 (1·40–1·92) in 2050 and 1·62 (1·35–1·95) in 2100. The forecasting skill metric values for the IHME model were positive across all age groups, indicating that the model is better than the constant prediction. InterpretationFertility is declining globally, with rates in more than half of all countries and territories in 2021 below replacement level. Trends since 2000 show considerable heterogeneity in the steepness of declines, and only a small number of countries experienced even a slight fertility rebound after their lowest observed rate, with none reaching replacement level. Additionally, the distribution of livebirths across the globe is shifting, with a greater proportion occurring in the lowest-income countries. Future fertility rates will continue to decline worldwide and will remain low even under successful implementation of pro-natal policies. These changes will have far-reaching economic and societal consequences due to ageing populations and declining workforces in higher-income countries, combined with an increasing share of livebirths among the already poorest regions of the world. FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation
SARS-CoV-2 vaccination modelling for safe surgery to save lives: data from an international prospective cohort study
Background: Preoperative SARS-CoV-2 vaccination could support safer elective surgery. Vaccine numbers are limited so this study aimed to inform their prioritization by modelling.
Methods: The primary outcome was the number needed to vaccinate (NNV) to prevent one COVID-19-related death in 1 year. NNVs were based on postoperative SARS-CoV-2 rates and mortality in an international cohort study (surgical patients), and community SARS-CoV-2 incidence and case fatality data (general population). NNV estimates were stratified by age (18-49, 50-69, 70 or more years) and type of surgery. Best- and worst-case scenarios were used to describe uncertainty.
Results: NNVs were more favourable in surgical patients than the general population. The most favourable NNVs were in patients aged 70 years or more needing cancer surgery (351; best case 196, worst case 816) or non-cancer surgery (733; best case 407, worst case 1664). Both exceeded the NNV in the general population (1840; best case 1196, worst case 3066). NNVs for surgical patients remained favourable at a range of SARS-CoV-2 incidence rates in sensitivity analysis modelling. Globally, prioritizing preoperative vaccination of patients needing elective surgery ahead of the general population could prevent an additional 58 687 (best case 115 007, worst case 20 177) COVID-19-related deaths in 1 year.
Conclusion: As global roll out of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination proceeds, patients needing elective surgery should be prioritized ahead of the general population