64 research outputs found

    The state of the Martian climate

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    60°N was +2.0°C, relative to the 1981–2010 average value (Fig. 5.1). This marks a new high for the record. The average annual surface air temperature (SAT) anomaly for 2016 for land stations north of starting in 1900, and is a significant increase over the previous highest value of +1.2°C, which was observed in 2007, 2011, and 2015. Average global annual temperatures also showed record values in 2015 and 2016. Currently, the Arctic is warming at more than twice the rate of lower latitudes

    State of the climate in 2018

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    In 2018, the dominant greenhouse gases released into Earth’s atmosphere—carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide—continued their increase. The annual global average carbon dioxide concentration at Earth’s surface was 407.4 ± 0.1 ppm, the highest in the modern instrumental record and in ice core records dating back 800 000 years. Combined, greenhouse gases and several halogenated gases contribute just over 3 W m−2 to radiative forcing and represent a nearly 43% increase since 1990. Carbon dioxide is responsible for about 65% of this radiative forcing. With a weak La Niña in early 2018 transitioning to a weak El Niño by the year’s end, the global surface (land and ocean) temperature was the fourth highest on record, with only 2015 through 2017 being warmer. Several European countries reported record high annual temperatures. There were also more high, and fewer low, temperature extremes than in nearly all of the 68-year extremes record. Madagascar recorded a record daily temperature of 40.5°C in Morondava in March, while South Korea set its record high of 41.0°C in August in Hongcheon. Nawabshah, Pakistan, recorded its highest temperature of 50.2°C, which may be a new daily world record for April. Globally, the annual lower troposphere temperature was third to seventh highest, depending on the dataset analyzed. The lower stratospheric temperature was approximately fifth lowest. The 2018 Arctic land surface temperature was 1.2°C above the 1981–2010 average, tying for third highest in the 118-year record, following 2016 and 2017. June’s Arctic snow cover extent was almost half of what it was 35 years ago. Across Greenland, however, regional summer temperatures were generally below or near average. Additionally, a satellite survey of 47 glaciers in Greenland indicated a net increase in area for the first time since records began in 1999. Increasing permafrost temperatures were reported at most observation sites in the Arctic, with the overall increase of 0.1°–0.2°C between 2017 and 2018 being comparable to the highest rate of warming ever observed in the region. On 17 March, Arctic sea ice extent marked the second smallest annual maximum in the 38-year record, larger than only 2017. The minimum extent in 2018 was reached on 19 September and again on 23 September, tying 2008 and 2010 for the sixth lowest extent on record. The 23 September date tied 1997 as the latest sea ice minimum date on record. First-year ice now dominates the ice cover, comprising 77% of the March 2018 ice pack compared to 55% during the 1980s. Because thinner, younger ice is more vulnerable to melting out in summer, this shift in sea ice age has contributed to the decreasing trend in minimum ice extent. Regionally, Bering Sea ice extent was at record lows for almost the entire 2017/18 ice season. For the Antarctic continent as a whole, 2018 was warmer than average. On the highest points of the Antarctic Plateau, the automatic weather station Relay (74°S) broke or tied six monthly temperature records throughout the year, with August breaking its record by nearly 8°C. However, cool conditions in the western Bellingshausen Sea and Amundsen Sea sector contributed to a low melt season overall for 2017/18. High SSTs contributed to low summer sea ice extent in the Ross and Weddell Seas in 2018, underpinning the second lowest Antarctic summer minimum sea ice extent on record. Despite conducive conditions for its formation, the ozone hole at its maximum extent in September was near the 2000–18 mean, likely due to an ongoing slow decline in stratospheric chlorine monoxide concentration. Across the oceans, globally averaged SST decreased slightly since the record El Niño year of 2016 but was still far above the climatological mean. On average, SST is increasing at a rate of 0.10° ± 0.01°C decade−1 since 1950. The warming appeared largest in the tropical Indian Ocean and smallest in the North Pacific. The deeper ocean continues to warm year after year. For the seventh consecutive year, global annual mean sea level became the highest in the 26-year record, rising to 81 mm above the 1993 average. As anticipated in a warming climate, the hydrological cycle over the ocean is accelerating: dry regions are becoming drier and wet regions rainier. Closer to the equator, 95 named tropical storms were observed during 2018, well above the 1981–2010 average of 82. Eleven tropical cyclones reached Saffir–Simpson scale Category 5 intensity. North Atlantic Major Hurricane Michael’s landfall intensity of 140 kt was the fourth strongest for any continental U.S. hurricane landfall in the 168-year record. Michael caused more than 30 fatalities and 25billion(U.S.dollars)indamages.InthewesternNorthPacific,SuperTyphoonMangkhutledto160fatalitiesand25 billion (U.S. dollars) in damages. In the western North Pacific, Super Typhoon Mangkhut led to 160 fatalities and 6 billion (U.S. dollars) in damages across the Philippines, Hong Kong, Macau, mainland China, Guam, and the Northern Mariana Islands. Tropical Storm Son-Tinh was responsible for 170 fatalities in Vietnam and Laos. Nearly all the islands of Micronesia experienced at least moderate impacts from various tropical cyclones. Across land, many areas around the globe received copious precipitation, notable at different time scales. Rodrigues and Réunion Island near southern Africa each reported their third wettest year on record. In Hawaii, 1262 mm precipitation at Waipā Gardens (Kauai) on 14–15 April set a new U.S. record for 24-h precipitation. In Brazil, the city of Belo Horizonte received nearly 75 mm of rain in just 20 minutes, nearly half its monthly average. Globally, fire activity during 2018 was the lowest since the start of the record in 1997, with a combined burned area of about 500 million hectares. This reinforced the long-term downward trend in fire emissions driven by changes in land use in frequently burning savannas. However, wildfires burned 3.5 million hectares across the United States, well above the 2000–10 average of 2.7 million hectares. Combined, U.S. wildfire damages for the 2017 and 2018 wildfire seasons exceeded $40 billion (U.S. dollars)

    Can a CME Case Conference Series Create a Community of Practice in a Group of Hospitalist Physicians?

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    Objective/Purpose: To develop and describe a community of practice amongst a group of hospitalist physicians through a longitudinal structured continuing medical education (CME) activity. Need for Innovation: National studies which were confirmed by local survey, reveal that adult medicine hospitalists have reported feelings of isolation, poor socialization with limited forums to collaborate and learn together as colleagues (e.g., structured case discussions, morbidity and mortality conferences). They struggle with clinical and teaching workloads and the stress of keeping up-to-date. CME has been the traditional mechanism to support continuous learning, yet there is limited data regarding the impact of CME case conference on physicians’ socialization and isolation. Instructional Methods/Materials Used: A CME approved case conference series for Internal Medicine hospitalists was designed using Communities of Practice principles and Harden’s CRISIS criteria for effective CME (making participation voluntary, choosing topics relevant to their role in the workplace, encouraging peer-to peer learning, scheduling the program). The hospital leadership was approached for resources to support a CME endeavor, and they provided administrative support for CME documentation, along with a meeting space and refreshments. The 1-hour clinical conference series was scheduled every two months and selected clinical cases are presented by a hospitalist. A case is selected on the basis of its rare presentation, complicated diagnosis or challenging management. The presenter, through a powerpoint discussion, provides the group with the session’s educational objectives, followed by the presentation of the patient, and poses clinical questions at strategic points. An open format for discussion allows attendees to offer their opinions, ask questions and reflect on each others’ experiences. Educational Outcomes: Attendees complete an end of session evaluation to gauge their reaction. In future events, we will gather narratives from attendees with regards to their changes in behavior a few months following the session. We have had five sessions since November 2015. Some examples of presented cases are management of atypical chest pain and approach to severe hyponatremia. Narrative comments on a post conference anonymous survey indicated participants valued ‘prompted audience participation’, ‘the discussion and debate to improve practice based on evidence based guidelines’. Despite potential scheduling challenges, each session has had at least 8 participants (75% of this hospitalist group). Strengths/Areas for Improvement: Our CME series helps fill the void of professional isolation and provides a collegial peer-to-peer learning opportunity that community hospitalists seem to value. Since it is situated in social learning and communities of practice, the case conference accommodates practitioners of varying levels of experience in shared learning from each another. Moreover, this program is not resource intensive. Since we have had 5 sessions in the past year, we hope to expand our audience to hospitalists and specialists from other facilities in other health care systems (which lack structured local CME activities). Feasibility of Program Maintenance/Transferability: With leadership support, we propose that a program such as ours, grounded in social learning theory, is reproducible in comparative settings. Although designed keeping the unique characteristics of hospitalist physicians in mind, it can be replicated in other settings where physicians do not necessarily meet each other on a regular professional basis such as primary care. In addition, physicians working in shift-based specialties such as critical care and emergency medicine will likely find value in engaging in this form of community of practic

    Blueprinting evaluation evidence: Data sources and methods

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    Effectiveness of rifaximin and fluoroquinolones in preventing travelers’ diarrhea (TD): a systematic review and meta-analysis

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    Abstract Background Recent developments related to a safe and effective nonabsorbable antibiotic, rifaximin, and identification of postinfectious irritable bowel syndrome as a frequent sequela call for a need to reconsider the value of primary prevention of traveler’s diarrhea (TD) with antibiotics. Methods Randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind studies evaluating the effectiveness and safety of rifaximin or a fluoroquinolone chemoprophylaxis against TD were pooled using a random effects model and assessed for heterogeneity. Results The nine studies (four rifaximin and five fluoroquinolone) included resulted in pooled relative risk estimates of 0.33 (95% CI = 0.24–0.45, I2 = 3.1%) and 0.12 (95% CI = 0.07–0.20, I2 =0.0%), respectively. Similar rates of treatment emergent adverse events were found between antibiotic and placebo groups. Conclusions This meta-analysis supports the effectiveness of antibiotics in preventing TD. However, further studies that include prevention of secondary chronic health outcomes among travelers to different geographic regions, and a formal risk-benefit analysis for antibiotic chemoprophylaxis, are needed.</p
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