The onset and association of CMEs with sigmoidal active regions

Previous studies of active regions characterised by Soft X-ray S or inverse-S morphology [Canfield et al., 1999], have found these regions to possess a higher probability of eruption. In such cases, CME launch has been inferred using X-ray proxies to indicate eruption. Active regions observed during 1997, previously categorised as both sigmoidal and eruptive [Canfield, 1999], have been selected for further study, incorporating SoHO-LASCO, SoHO-EIT and ground based H-alpha data. Our results allow re-classification into three main categories; sigmoidal, non-sigmoidal and active regions appearing sigmoidal due to the projection of many loops. Although the reduced dataset size prevents a statistical measure of significance, we note that regions comprising a single S (or inverse-S) shaped structure are more frequently associated with a CME than those classed as non-sigmoidal. This motivates the study of a larger dataset and highlights the need for a quantitative observational definition of the term "sigmoid"

Homologous Flares and Magnetic Field Topology in Active Region NOAA 10501 on 20 November 2003

We present and interpret observations of two morphologically homologous flares that occurred in active region (AR) NOAA 10501 on 20 November 2003. Both flares displayed four homologous H-alpha ribbons and were both accompanied by coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The central flare ribbons were located at the site of an emerging bipole in the center of the active region. The negative polarity of this bipole fragmented in two main pieces, one rotating around the positive polarity by ~ 110 deg within 32 hours. We model the coronal magnetic field and compute its topology, using as boundary condition the magnetogram closest in time to each flare. In particular, we calculate the location of quasiseparatrix layers (QSLs) in order to understand the connectivity between the flare ribbons. Though several polarities were present in AR 10501, the global magnetic field topology corresponds to a quadrupolar magnetic field distribution without magnetic null points. For both flares, the photospheric traces of QSLs are similar and match well the locations of the four H-alpha ribbons. This globally unchanged topology and the continuous shearing by the rotating bipole are two key factors responsible for the flare homology. However, our analyses also indicate that different magnetic connectivity domains of the quadrupolar configuration become unstable during each flare, so that magnetic reconnection proceeds differently in both events.Comment: 24 pages, 10 figures, Solar Physics (accepted

Photometric transit search for planets around cool stars from the western Italian Alps: A pilot study

[ABRIDGED] In this study, we set out to a) demonstrate the sensitivity to <4 R_E transiting planets with periods of a few days around our program stars, and b) improve our knowledge of some astrophysical properties(e.g., activity, rotation) of our targets by combining spectroscopic information and our differential photometric measurements. We achieve a typical nightly RMS photometric precision of ~5 mmag, with little or no dependence on the instrumentation used or on the details of the adopted methods for differential photometry. The presence of correlated (red) noise in our data degrades the precision by a factor ~1.3 with respect to a pure white noise regime. Based on a detailed stellar variability analysis, a) we detected no transit-like events; b) we determined photometric rotation periods of ~0.47 days and ~0.22 days for LHS 3445 and GJ 1167A, respectively; c) these values agree with the large projected rotational velocities (~25 km/s and ~33 km/s, respectively) inferred for both stars based on the analysis of archival spectra; d) the estimated inclinations of the stellar rotation axes for LHS 3445 and GJ 1167A are consistent with those derived using a simple spot model; e) short-term, low-amplitude flaring events were recorded for LHS 3445 and LHS 2686. Finally, based on simulations of transit signals of given period and amplitude injected in the actual (nightly reduced) photometric data for our sample, we derive a relationship between transit detection probability and phase coverage. We find that, using the BLS search algorithm, even when phase coverage approaches 100%, there is a limit to the detection probability of ~90%. Around program stars with phase coverage >50% we would have had >80% chances of detecting planets with P0.5%, corresponding to minimum detectable radii in the range 1.0-2.2 R_E. [ABRIDGED]Comment: 23 pages, 17 figures, 7 tables. Accepted for publication in MNRA

Universal Pre-school Education: The Case of Public Funding with Private Provision

© 2016 The Authors. The Economic Journal published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Royal Economic Society This article studies the effect of free pre-school education on child outcomes in primary school. We exploit the staggered implementation of free part-time pre-school for three year olds across Local Education Authorities in England in the early 2000s. The policy led to small improvements in attainment at age 5, with no apparent benefits by age 11. We argue that this is because the expansion of free places largely crowded out privately paid care, with small changes in total participation, and was achieved through an increase in private provision, where quality is lower on average than in the public sector

Driving major solar flares and eruptions: a review

This review focuses on the processes that energize and trigger major solar flares and flux-rope destabilizations. Numerical modeling of specific solar regions is hampered by uncertain coronal-field reconstructions and by poorly understood magnetic re- connection; these limitations result in uncertain estimates of field topology, energy, and helicity. The primary advances in understanding field destabilizations therefore come from the combination of generic numerical experiments with interpretation of sets of observations. These suggest a critical role for the emergence of twisted flux ropes into pre-existing strong field for many, if not all, of the active regions that pro- duce M- or X-class flares. The flux and internal twist of the emerging ropes appear to play as important a role in determining whether an eruption will develop predom- inantly as flare, confined eruption, or CME, as do the properties of the embedding field. Based on reviewed literature, I outline a scenario for major flares and erup- tions that combines flux-rope emergence, mass draining, near-surface reconnection, and the interaction with the surrounding field. Whether deterministic forecasting is in principle possible remains to be seen: to date no reliable such forecasts can be made. Large-sample studies based on long-duration, comprehensive observations of active regions from their emergence through their flaring phase are needed to help us better understand these complex phenomena.Comment: in press for Advances in Space Researc

An Observational Overview of Solar Flares

We present an overview of solar flares and associated phenomena, drawing upon a wide range of observational data primarily from the RHESSI era. Following an introductory discussion and overview of the status of observational capabilities, the article is split into topical sections which deal with different areas of flare phenomena (footpoints and ribbons, coronal sources, relationship to coronal mass ejections) and their interconnections. We also discuss flare soft X-ray spectroscopy and the energetics of the process. The emphasis is to describe the observations from multiple points of view, while bearing in mind the models that link them to each other and to theory. The present theoretical and observational understanding of solar flares is far from complete, so we conclude with a brief discussion of models, and a list of missing but important observations.Comment: This is an article for a monograph on the physics of solar flares, inspired by RHESSI observations. The individual articles are to appear in Space Science Reviews (2011

Studies of solar flares Homology and X ray line broadening

Available from British Library Document Supply Centre- DSC:DXN063223 / BLDSC - British Library Document Supply CentreSIGLEGBUnited Kingdo

Drug systems change pilots evaluation. Final report.

The Drug Systems Change pilot programme, funded jointly by the UK Department of Health and the Home Office, ran from 2009-2011. The aim was to test whether local drug and alcohol treatment partnerships could tailor services better, in response to local needs, if they were allowed more flexibility in how they used the range of funding streams available to them and were not constrained by central targets. The 7 pilot sites investigated how they could redesign the commissioning and delivery of drug treatment and related social provision, both in prison and in community settings, adopting more user-led, outcome-focused approaches, and so improving the outcomes achieved by their service users. A collaboration led by NatCen (National Centre for Social Research) was commissioned to evaluate the pilots. Chris Heffer, Deputy Director, Alcohol and Drugs, at the Department of Health, said: ‘with their focus on local innovation, recovery and continuity of care, the work undertaken by the 7 pilot sites fits well with current priorities. The changes in practice they achieved required months of hard work and a good deal of intensive partnership collaboration.’ The evaluation report highlights: the challenges of system redesign the importance of partnership working in affecting change lessons in enhancing continuity of care implementing single points of assessment and personalised treatment budget