The assessment of present, past and future climatic variability in the americas from tree-line environments

In this note we introduce one of 14 Collaborative Research Networks (CRN) funded by the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research. It was established in 1999 and involves 15 principal investigators from 13 institutions in Canada, USA, Mexico, Bolivia, Chile and Argentina. The primary goals of the project are (i) to develop a network of tree-ring chronologies from climatically-sensitive treeline sites in the western American Cordillera and (ii) to use these data to reconstruct and compare regional interannual to decadal climate variability along the PEP-1 transect from Alaska to Tierra del Fuego. The project also seeks to enhance the development and utilization of dendrochronology for tropical mountain tree species and expand collaboration, training and the application of paleoenvironmental science within Latin America to address the issues of climate variability and change.Fil: Luckman, Brian H.. University of Western Ontario; CanadáFil: Boninsegna, Jose Armando. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; Argentin

Debris Accumulation Patterns on Talus Slopes in Surprise Valley, Alberta

This paper presents the results of the measurement of debris accumulation processes, patterns and volumes at seven sites over a 13-year period in Surprise Valley, Alberta, Canada. Mean accumulation rates range up to ca 5 mm/yr and are strongly influenced by the amount and frequency of snow avalanche activity. All talus slopes studied experienced avalanches during the 13-year period and avalanche erosion is important in modifying and reworking the surface of these slopes. Mapped depositional patterns on selected slopes indicate deposition is more probable and usually greater on upper an middle slopes but avalanche erosion may result in greater volumes of deposition on lower slopes in some years (almost one year in two at the most active sites). There is high year-to-year and site-tosite variation in avalanche activity indicating that local, site specific controls are the most important determinant of depositional patterns. Rockfall amounts are underestimated by the point sampling techniques used in this study. Limited available data suggest rockfall inputs to the talus exceed those by snow avalanches (much of the avalanche deposition is reworked from upslope) and a least two major debris-flow generating events were recorded over a 13-year period.On présente ici les résultats de mesures prises au cours d'une période de 13 ans sur les processus, les modes de mise en place et le volume des débris dans Surprise Valley, en Alberta. Les taux d'accumulation moyens s'élèvent jusqu'à environ 5 mm/an et sont grandement dépendants de la quantité et de la fréquence des avalanches. Tous les talus d'éboulis ont été affectés par les avalanches au cours de ces 13 années, et l'érosion provoquée par les avalanches est importante en ce qu'elle modifie et remanie la surface des versants. Les modes de mise en place sur quelques versants choisies démontrent que l'accumulation est davantage probable et plus importante dans les parties supérieures et moyennes des versants, mais que l'érosion par les avalanches peut donner de plus grandes accumulations dans les parties inférieures des versants selon les années (presque un an sur deux aux sites les plus actifs). On note une forte variation de l'activité des avalanches d'une année à l'autre et d'un site à l'autre, démontrant ainsi que les forces locales spécifiques à chacun des sites sont les éléments les plus importants déterminant le mode d'accumulation. Selon les techniques utilisés dans ce travail, les éboulis rocheux sont sous-estimés. Les quelques données disponibles laissent croire que les débris produits par les éboulis rocheux sur les talus sont plus volumineux que ceux résultant des avalanches (la plus grande partie de l'accumulation entraînée par les avalanches est remaniée à partir de la partie supérieure de la pente). Au moins deux événements importants responsables de coulées de débris ont été enregistrées au cours des 13 années.Dieser Artikel stellt die Messungsergebnisse von Verlauf, Anordnung und Volumen der Gesteinstrummeranhàufung dar, die ùber einen Zeitraum von 13 Jahren in Surprise Valley, Alberta, durchgefùhrt wurden. Die durchschnittlichen Akkumulationsraten reichen bis zu etwa 5 mm/ Jahr und sind sehr stark durch die Menge und Frequenz der Schneelawinen beeinflusst. Allé untersuchten Gerôllhalden sind wâhrend dieser Zeitspanne von 13 Jahren durch Lawinen beeinflusst worden, und die durch Lawinen herbeigefùhrte Erosion spielt eine wichtige RoIIe bei der Verânderung und Umarbeitung der Oberflàche dieser Halden. Diefùrausgewàhlte Halden kartographierten Anordnungsmuster der Ablagerung zeigen, dass die Ablagerung in den hôheren und mittleren Halden wahrscheinlicher und normalerweise grosser ist, aber die Erosion durch Lawinen kann in manchen Jahren zu grôsseren Ablagerungsvolumen in den niedrigeren Halden fùhren (fast jedes zweite Jahr an den aktivsten Plâtzen). Die Lawinen-Aktivitàt variiert von Jahr zu Jahr und Platz zu Platz sehr stark, was zeigt, dass fur die Anordnung der Ablagerungen die ôrtlichen und platzspezifischen Einflùsse am wichtigsten sind. Mit den in dieser Studie verwendeten punktuellen Untersuchungen wird die Menge des Gesteinsfalls unterschâtzt. Die wenigen vorhandenen Daten lassen vermuten, dass der Gesteinsfall mehr zu den Halden beitràgt als die Schneelawinen (ein grosser Teil der Ablagerung durch Lawinen wird vom oberen Teil der Halde aus umgearbeitet). In der Zeitspanne von 13 Jahren werden mindestens zwei wichtige Ereignisse registriert, die zum Fliessen der Gesteinstrùmmer fùhrten

Geoscience of Climate and Energy 6. Tree Rings as Temperature Proxies

Tree rings have provided annually resolved and precisely dated proxy climate records for large areas of the earth’s land surface. These records are considerably longer than instrumental climate data and allow the reconstruction of climate history, trends and patterns over a wide range of temporal and spatial scales. This paper briefly reviews the principles and assumptions that underlie the reconstruction of temperatures from tree-ring data, and provides three examples of their application at differing spatial and temporal scales over the last millennium. SOMMAIRE Les anneaux de croissance des arbres ont permis d’expliquer et de dater avec précision, bien qu’indirectement, des événements climatiques portant sur de grandes étendues de la surface terrestre. La portée temporelle de ces archives naturelles dépasse de beau-coup celle de tout registre climatique d’instruments humains et permet de reconstituer l’histoire, les tendances et patrons climatiques pour une gamme étendue d’échelles dans le temps et l’e-space. Le présent article présente une revue sommaire des principes et postulats qui fondent la reconstitution des conditions météorologiques à partir des données des anneaux de croissance des arbres, ainsi que trois exemples d’application pour différentes échelles temporelles et spatiales au cours du dernier millénaire

An investigation of the snowpack signal in moisture-sensitive trees from the Southern Canadian Cordillera

AbstractVariations in mountain snowpack in the western Canadian Cordillera have widespread and important impacts on ecosystems, environmental processes and socio-economic activities (e.g. water availability downstream). Historical records of snowpack generally span only the latter half of the 20th century offering a limited perspective on the causes and uniqueness of recently observed changes across the region. This paper explores the potential utility of a network of low elevation Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) and ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) tree ring-width chronologies to reconstruct past snowpack variations. Correlation coefficients between the tree-ring chronologies and a set of snow water equivalent (SWE) records are calculated and mapped. Separate analyses were carried out for total ring- width (TRW) and partial-ring measurements (earlywood and latewood; EW and LW). A set of Adjusted LW chronologies was also developed; in these, the relationship between LW and the preceding EW width has been removed. The ring-width chronologies exhibit moderately strong relationships with SWE records from the western Canadian Cordillera and these relationships vary in sign across the region. Distinctive regional groups are identified where chronologies exhibit same-sign correlations with SWE, in possible accordance with the elevation and characteristics of the tree-ring chronology sample sites. The EW chronologies correlate more strongly and consistently with SWE records in regions where the growth relationship with SWE is negative. The LW chronologies, and particularly the Adjusted LW chronologies, exhibit a greater number of positive correlations with the set of SWE records. Collectively these results offer valuable insights for developing a targeted sampling and/or reconstruction strategy that can exploit these different relationships with SWE to generate more robust estimates of pre-instrumental snowpack for the region

The Paleoecological Record of 6 ka BP Climate in the Canadian Prairie Provinces

Synthesis of available paleoecological studies in the Prairie provinces of Canada indicates that although the peak in postglacial aridity that characterized early Holocene climate of the western foothills and plains had passed, conditions remained warmer and drier than present throughout the region ca. 6000 yr BP Compared to today, treeline elevations were higher and alpine glaciers were reduced in size in the Rocky Mountains, lake levels were lower over much of the Interior Plains, and the grassland and boreal forest ecozones extended north of their present positions. Forest fires were more prevalent ca. 6000 yr BP than they are today, aiding westward migration of jack pine (Pinus banksiana) through the boreal forest and increasing the area occupied by grassland in boreal and montane forest regions. Attempts to quantify the magnitude of 6 ka temperature and precipitation differences have produced variable results, but suggest that mean annual temperature was 0.50°C to 1.50°C higher than today (summer temperature may have been up to 3°C higher) and mean annual precipitation was reduced by 65 mm (or summer precipitation was reduced by 50 mm), compared to present. The nature and scale of these changes suggests that a vigorous zonal atmospheric circulation pattern, similar to that of the 1930s but shifted northward, prevailed at 6 ka.La synthèse des études paléoécologiques montrent qu'à 6 ka le maximum d'aridité, qui caractérisait l'Holocène inférieur, avait été atteint, mais le climat demeurait plus chaud et plus sec que maintenant dans toute la région. Les différentes limites des arbres étaient plus élevées qu'aujourd'hui et la superficie des glaciers alpins étaient plus petite, les niveaux lacustres étaient moins élevés dans la plus grande partie des plaines intérieures et les écozones des Prairies et de la forêt boréale s'étendaient plus au nord qu'aujourd'hui. Les feux de forêt étaient plus fréquents à 6 ka qu'actuellement, ce qui a favorisé la migration du pin gris (Pinus banksiana) vers l'ouest à travers la forêt boréale et accru la superficie de la prairie dans les zones de forêts boréale et alpine. Les essais faits dans le but de mesurer l'ampleur des différences de températures et de précipitations à 6 ka ont donné des résultats variables, mais montrent que la température était de 0,5 à 1,5°C plus élevé que maintenant (avec une température estivale jusqu'à 3°C plus élevée) et les précipitations annuelles moyennes étaient de 65 mm inférieures (avec des précipitations estivales de 50 mm inférieures) à maintenant. La nature et le degré des changements laissent croire qu'une forte circulation atmosphérique zonale, semblable à celle des années 1930, mais plus nordique, existait à 6 ka.Die Synthèse der verfùgbaren palâoôkologischen Studien in den Prârie-Provinzen Kanadas zeigt, daf3 das Klima in der ganzen Region um etwa 6000 Jahre v.u.Z. warmer und trockener als gegenwârtig blieb, wenn auch das Maximum an postglazialer Trockenheit, welches im frùhen Holozàn das Klima der westlichen Gebirgsauslâufer und Ebenen charakterisierte, vorùber war. Verglichen mit heute waren die Baumgrenzen hôher und die alpinen Gletscher in den Rocky Mountains kleiner, die Seehôhen waren niedriger im grôBten Teil der inneren Ebenen, und die Ôkozonen von Grasland und nôrdlichem WaId erstreckten sich weiter nôrdlich als heute. Waldbrânde traten um etwa 6000 v.u.Z. hâufiger als gegenwârtig auf und haben so die Westwàrtswanderung von Graukiefer (Pinus banksiana) durch den nôrdlichen WaId begùnstigt und die Graslandflàchen in den Gebieten des nôrdlichen und alpinen Waldes vergrôBert. Versuche, den Umfang der Unterschiede in Temperatur und Niederschlàgen um 6 ka zu bestimmen, ergaben wechselnde Ergebnissse, doch zeigen sie, daB die durchschnittliche jâhrliche Temperatur 0.5° C bis 1.50C hôher als gegenwârtig war (die Sommertemperatur dûrfte bis zu 3°C hôher gewesen sein) und die durchschnittlichen jâhrlichen Niederschlâge waren um 65 mm geringer (oder die Sommer-Niederschlàge waren um 50 mm geringer) verglichen mit heute. Die Natur und der Grad dieser Wechsel lassen vermuten, daB eine krâftige zonale atmosphàrische Strômung, àhnlich der von den 1930 iger Jahren aber nôrdlicher gelagert, um 6 ka vorherrschte

Tree-Ring Dates for the Maximum Little Ice Age Advance of Kaskawulsh Glacier, St. Elias Mountains, Canada

A dendroglaciological study at Kaskawulsh Glacier provides the first calendar dating of a Little Ice Age glacier advance in the northeast St. Elias Mountains of Yukon Territory. Ring series from white spruce trees, Picea glauca (Moench) Voss, that had been sheared, tilted, and killed by deposition of till at the glacier’s terminal moraine were cross-dated with a millennium-length ring-width chronology developed at a site near the south end of Kluane Lake, about 25 km north of the glacier forefield. Six cross-dated samples from two sites at Kaskawulsh Glacier suggest that the north lobe of the glacier reached its greatest Holocene extent in the mid-1750s. Additional limited data suggest that the east lobe may have reached its maximum extent somewhat earlier (ca. 1717). This chronology of Little Ice Age activity of Kaskawulsh Glacier is consistent with well-dated glacier chronologies from adjacent mountain ranges in coastal and interior Alaska. The results also demonstrate the potential to derive calendar dates from subfossil wood in the St. Elias Mountains that hitherto had been dated only with much lower precision, using radiocarbon techniques.L’étude dendroglaciologique du glacier Kaskawulsh fournit la première datation de calendrier de l’avancée glaciaire du petit âge glaciaire, dans le nord-est des montagnes St. Elias, territoire du Yukon. Les séries de cernes d’épinettes blanches, Picea glauca (Moench) Voss, qui avaient été abattues, inclinées et tuées par le dépôt de till à la moraine terminale du glacier, ont été contre-datées à l’aide d’une chronologie millénaire de largeur des cernes mise au point à un emplacement situé près du côté sud du lac Kluane, à environ 25 km au nord du front du glacier. Six échantillons contre-datés provenant de deux emplacements du glacier Kaskawulsh suggèrent que le lobe nord du glacier a atteint sa plus grande étendue holocène dans le milieu des années 1750. Par ailleurs, certaines données supplémentaires suggèrent que le lobe est pourrait avoir atteint son étendue maximale un peu plus tôt (vers 1717). Cette chronologie de l’activité du petit âge glaciaire du glacier Kaskawulsh coïncide avec les chronologies bien datées des chaînes de montagnes adjacentes, sur la côte et à l’intérieur de l’Alaska. Les résultats démontrent aussi la possibilité d’établir les dates de calendrier à partir de bois subfossile dans les montagnes St. Elias qui avait été daté avec beaucoup moins de précision jusqu’ici à l’aide de techniques de datation au carbone 14

Prospects for dendroanatomy in paleoclimatology - a case study on Picea engelmannii from the Canadian Rockies

Funding: This research was supported by the Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas (grant no. 2019-01482), the National Science Foundation (grant no. 1502150), the Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (grant no. 200021_182398), and the Grantová Agentura České Republiky (grant no. 20-22351Y).The continuous development of new proxies as well as a refinement of existing tools are key to advances in paleoclimate research and improvements in the accuracy of existing climate reconstructions. Herein, we build on recent methodological progress in dendroanatomy, the analyses of wood anatomical parameters in dated tree rings, and introduce the longest (1585-2014CE) dendroanatomical dataset currently developed for North America. We explore the potential of dendroanatomy of high-elevation Engelmann spruce (Picea engelmannii) as a proxy of past temperatures by measuring anatomical cell dimensions of 15 living trees from the Columbia Icefield area. X-ray maximum latewood density (MXD) and its blue intensity counterpart (MXBI) have previously been measured, allowing comparison between the different parameters. Our findings highlight anatomical MXD and maximum radial cell wall thickness as the two most promising wood anatomical proxy parameters for past temperatures, each explaining 46% and 49%, respectively, of detrended instrumental July-August maximum temperatures over the 1901-1994 period. While both parameters display comparable climatic imprinting at higher frequencies to X-ray derived MXD, the anatomical dataset distinguishes itself from its predecessors by providing the most temporally stable warm season temperature signal. Further studies, including samples from more diverse age cohorts and the adaptation of the regional curve standardization method, are needed to disentangle the ontogenetic and climatic components of long-term signals stored in the wood anatomical traits and to more comprehensively evaluate the potential contribution of this new dataset to paleoclimate research.Publisher PDFPeer reviewe

+A 5680-year tree-ring temperature record for southern South America

It is widely documented that the Earth’s surface temperatures have increased in recent decades. However, temperature increment patterns are not uniform around the globe, showing different or even contrasting trends. Here we present a mean maximum summer temperature record, based on tree-ring widths, over the past 5682 years (3672BC e 2009AD) for southern South America (SSA), covering from mid-Holocene to the present. This is the longest such record for the Southern Hemisphere (SH), and expands available annual proxy climate records for this region in more than 2060 years. Our record explains 49% of the temperature variation, and documents two major warm periods between 3140 e2800BC and 70BC e 150AD, which coincide with the lack of evidence of glacier advances in SSA. Recent decades in the reconstruction (1959e2009) show a warming trend that is not exceptional in the context of the last five millennia. The long-term relationship between our temperature reconstruction and a reconstructed total solar irradiance record, with coinciding cycles at 293, 372, 432e434, 512 and 746 years, indicate a persistent influence of solar forcing on centennial climate variability in SSA. At interannual to interdecadal scales, reconstructed temperature is mainly related to the internal climate variability of the Pacific Ocean, including El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and longer oscillations. Our ~ study reveals the need to characterize regional-scale climate variability and its drivers, which in the context of global-scale processes such as anthropogenic warming, interact to modulate local climate affecting humans and ecosystems.Fil: Lara, Antonio. Center for Climate and Resilience Research; Chile. Universidad Austral de Chile; Chile. Fundación Centro de los Bosques Nativos; ChileFil: Villalba, Ricardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; ArgentinaFil: Urrutia Jalabert, Rocío. Center for Climate and Resilience Research; Chile. Instituto Forestal; Chile. Universidad Austral de Chile; ChileFil: González Reyes, Álvaro. Center for Climate and Resilience Research; Chile. Universidad Austral de Chile; Chile. Universidad Mayor; ChileFil: Aravena, Juan Carlos. Universidad de Magallanes; ChileFil: Luckman, Brian Henry. Western University; CanadáFil: Cuq, Emilio. Universidad Austral de Chile; ChileFil: Rodríguez, Carmen Gloria. Universidad Austral de Chile; ChileFil: Wolodarsky Franke, Alexia. Cooperativa Calahuala; Chil

Reconstructing the annual mass balance of the Echaurren Norte glacier (Central Andes, 33.5° S) using local and regional hydroclimatic data

Despite the great number and variety of glaciers in southern South America, in situ glacier mass-balance records are extremely scarce and glacier–climate relationships are still poorly understood in this region. Here we use the longest (>  35 years) and most complete in situ mass-balance record, available for the Echaurren Norte glacier (ECH) in the Andes at  ∼  33.5° S, to develop a minimal glacier surface mass-balance model that relies on nearby monthly precipitation and air temperature data as forcing. This basic model is able to explain 78 % of the variance in the annual glacier mass- balance record over the 1978–2013 calibration period. An attribution assessment identified precipitation variability as the dominant forcing modulating annual mass balances at ECH, with temperature variations likely playing a secondary role. A regionally averaged series of mean annual streamflow records from both sides of the Andes between  ∼  30 and 37° S is then used to estimate, through simple linear regression, this glacier's annual mass-balance variations since 1909. The reconstruction model captures 68 % of the observed glacier mass-balance variability and shows three periods of sustained positive mass balances embedded in an overall negative trend over the past 105 years. The three periods of sustained positive mass balances (centered in the 1920s–1930s, in the 1980s and in the first decade of the 21st century) coincide with several documented glacier advances in this region. Similar trends observed in other shorter glacier mass-balance series suggest that the Echaurren Norte glacier reconstruction is representative of larger-scale conditions and could be useful for more detailed glaciological, hydrological and climatological assessments in this portion of the Andes

Six hundred years of South American tree rings reveal an increase in severe hydroclimatic events since mid-20th century

South American (SA) societies are highly vulnerable to droughts and pluvials, but lack of long-term climate observations severely limits our understanding of the global processes driving climatic variability in the region. The number and quality of SA climate-sensitive tree ring chronologies have significantly increased in recent decades, now providing a robust network of 286 records for characterizing hydroclimate variability since 1400 CE. We combine this network with a self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) dataset to derive the South American Drought Atlas (SADA) over the continent south of 12°S. The gridded annual reconstruction of austral summer scPDSI is the most spatially complete estimate of SA hydroclimate to date, and well matches past historical dry/wet events. Relating the SADA to the Australia–New Zealand Drought Atlas, sea surface temperatures and atmospheric pressure fields, we determine that the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) are strongly associated with spatially extended droughts and pluvials over the SADA domain during the past several centuries. SADA also exhibits more extended severe droughts and extreme pluvials since the mid-20th century. Extensive droughts are consistent with the observed 20th-century trend toward positive SAM anomalies concomitant with the weakening of midlatitude Westerlies, while low-level moisture transport intensified by global warming has favored extreme rainfall across the subtropics. The SADA thus provides a long-term context for observed hydroclimatic changes and for 21st-century Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections that suggest SA will experience more frequent/severe droughts and rainfall events as a consequence of increasing greenhouse gas emissions