Quasi-Likelihood Estimation for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Diffusion Observed at Random Time Points

2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J60, 62M99.In this paper, we study the quasi-likelihood estimator of the drift parameter θ in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion process, when the process is observed at random time points, which are assumed to be unobservable. These time points are arrival times of a Poisson process with known rate. The asymptotic properties of the quasi-likelihood estimator (QLE) of θ, as well as those of its approximations are also elucidated. An extensive simulation study of these estimators is also performed. As a corollary to this work, we obtain the quasi-likelihood estimator iteratively in the deterministic framework with non-equidistant time points.The first and third authors greatly appreciate the support of the Naturel Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada for this research

On Revelation Transforms that Characterize Probability Distributions

A characterization of exponential, geometric and of distributions with almost-lack-of-memory property, based on the revelation transform of probability distributions and relevation of random variables is discussed. Known characterizations of the exponential distribution on the base of relevation transforms given by Grosswald et al. [4], and Lau and Rao [7] are obtained under weakened conditions and the proofs are simplified. A characterization the class of almost-lack-of-memory distributions through the relevation is specified

Géochimie du Groupe de Blake River (Sous-province de l’Abitibi) : compilation et résultats préliminaires.

La Sous-province de l'Abitibi constitue l'un des meilleurs endroits au monde pour l'exploration des gisements polymétalliques de type « sulfures massifs volcanogènes » (SMV). Le Groupe de Blake River, dans le secteur de Rouyn- Noranda, comprend deux importants camps miniers de SMV, le camp de Noranda et celui de Doyon-Bousquet-LaRonde. Puisque la mise en place des gisements de SMV est contrôlée en partie par la stratigraphie, il est souhaitable d'améliorer nos connaissances dans ce domaine pour les roches volcaniques sous-marines du Groupe de Blake River. Peu de niveaux marqueurs sont connus à l'échelle régionale. Ces dernières années, des milliers d'analyses géochimiques, incluant les éléments en traces immobiles, sont devenues disponibles à la suite des campagnes de cartographie gouvernementales, des études thématiques universitaires et gouvernementales et des travaux d'exploration des compagnies. De plus, de nombreuses datations U-Pb ont été obtenues, ce qui permet de fournir un cadre temporel aux événements volcaniques et à la minéralisation. Ces données géochimiques n'ont pourtant pas été exploitées de manière optimale afin de mieux comprendre la stratigraphie du Groupe de Blake River; c'est là l'objectif principal du projet de maîtrise entrepris cet automne à l'INRS-ETE avec le soutien du MRNF. La première étape a été de compiler l'information existante pour construire une base de données des analyses géochimiques jugées les plus fiables et complètes, et ce en distinguant bien les laves des intrusions. Dans un second temps, de nouveaux échantillons ont été récoltés sur le terrain pour combler les lacunes dans la couverture géochimique à l'échelle régionale. Nous avons aussi soumis plusieurs poudres pour la ré-analyse des éléments en traces. La présente affiche présentera donc la distribution géographique des données et quelques résultats préliminaires. Les travaux futurs viseront à identifier la signature et l'homogénéité géochimique des unités stratigraphiques et à vérifier la cohérence spatiale d'éventuels regroupements géochimiques

Endogenous IL-33 Accelerates Metacestode Growth during Late-Stage Alveolar Echinococcosis.

During the course of the infectious disease alveolar echinococcosis (AE), the larval stage of Echinococcus multilocularis develops in the liver, where an initial Th1/Th17 immune response may allow its elimination in resistant individuals. In patients susceptible to infection and disease, the Th2 response initiates later, inducing tolerance to the parasite. The role of interleukin 33 (IL-33), an alarmin released during necrosis and known to drive a Th2 immune response, has not yet been described during AE. Wild-type (WT) and IL-33-/- C57BL/6J mice were infected by peritoneal inoculation with E. multilocularis metacestodes and euthanized 4 months later, and their immune response were analyzed. Immunofluorescence staining and IL-33 enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) were also performed on liver samples from human patients with AE. Overall, metacestode lesions were smaller in IL-33-/- mice than in WT mice. IL-33 was detected in periparasitic tissues, but not in mouse or human serum. In infected mice, endogenous IL-33 modified peritoneal macrophage polarization and cytokine profiles. Th2 cytokine concentrations were positively correlated with parasite mass in WT mice, but not in IL-33-/- mice. In human AE patients, IL-33 concentrations were higher in parasitic tissues than in distant liver parenchyma. The main sources of IL-33 were CD31+ endothelial cells of the neovasculature, present within lymphoid periparasitic infiltrates together with FOXP3+ Tregs. In the murine model, periparasitic IL-33 correlated with accelerated parasite growth putatively through the polarization of M2-like macrophages and release of immunosuppressive cytokines IL-10 and transforming growth factor β1 (TGF-β1). We concluded that IL-33 is a key alarmin in AE that contributes to the tolerogenic effect of systemic Th2 cytokines. IMPORTANCE Infection with the metacestode stage of Echinococcus multilocularis, known as alveolar echinococcosis, is the most severe cestodosis worldwide. However, less than 1% of exposed individuals, in which the immune system is unable to control the parasite, develop the disease. The factors responsible for this interindividual variability are not fully understood. In this in vivo study comparing wild-type and IL-33-/- infected mice, together with data from human clinical samples, we determined that IL-33, an alarmin released following tissue injury and involved in the pathogenesis of cancer and asthma, accelerates the progression of the disease by modulating the periparasitic microenvironment. This suggests that targeting IL-33 could be of interest for the management of patients with AE, and that IL-33 polymorphisms could be responsible for increased susceptibility to AE

Quantification of short and long asbestos fibers to assess asbestos exposure: a review of fiber size toxicity.

International audienceThe fibrogenicity and carcinogenicity of asbestos fibers are dependent on several fiber parameters including fiber dimensions. Based on the WHO (World Health Organization) definition, the current regulations focalise on long asbestos fibers (LAF) (Length: L ≥ 5 μm, Diameter: D  3). However air samples contain short asbestos fibers (SAF) (L < 5 μm). In a recent study we found that several air samples collected in buildings with asbestos containing materials (ACM) were composed only of SAF, sometimes in a concentration of ≥10 fibers.L-1. This exhaustive review focuses on available information from peer-review publications on the size-dependent pathogenetic effects of asbestos fibers reported in experimental in vivo and in vitro studies. In the literature, the findings that SAF are less pathogenic than LAF are based on experiments where a cut-off of 5 μm was generally made to differentiate short from long asbestos fibers. Nevertheless, the value of 5 μm as the limit for length is not based on scientific evidence, but is a limit for comparative analyses. From this review, it is clear that the pathogenicity of SAF cannot be completely ruled out, especially in high exposure situations. Therefore, the presence of SAF in air samples appears as an indicator of the degradation of ACM and inclusion of their systematic search should be considered in the regulation. Measurement of these fibers in air samples will then make it possible to identify pollution and anticipate health risk

System Size and Energy Dependence of Jet-Induced Hadron Pair Correlation Shapes in Cu+Cu and Au+Au Collisions at sqrt(s_NN) = 200 and 62.4 GeV

We present azimuthal angle correlations of intermediate transverse momentum (1-4 GeV/c) hadrons from {dijets} in Cu+Cu and Au+Au collisions at sqrt(s_NN) = 62.4 and 200 GeV. The away-side dijet induced azimuthal correlation is broadened, non-Gaussian, and peaked away from \Delta\phi=\pi in central and semi-central collisions in all the systems. The broadening and peak location are found to depend upon the number of participants in the collision, but not on the collision energy or beam nuclei. These results are consistent with sound or shock wave models, but pose challenges to Cherenkov gluon radiation models.Comment: 464 authors from 60 institutions, 6 pages, 3 figures, 2 tables. Submitted to Physical Review Letters. Plain text data tables for the points plotted in figures for this and previous PHENIX publications are (or will be) publicly available at http://www.phenix.bnl.gov/papers.htm

Improved Measurement of Double Helicity Asymmetry in Inclusive Midrapidity pi^0 Production for Polarized p+p Collisions at sqrt(s)=200 GeV

We present an improved measurement of the double helicity asymmetry for pi^0 production in polarized proton-proton scattering at sqrt(s) = 200 GeV employing the PHENIX detector at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC). The improvements to our previous measurement come from two main factors: Inclusion of a new data set from the 2004 RHIC run with higher beam polarizations than the earlier run and a recalibration of the beam polarization measurements, which resulted in reduced uncertainties and increased beam polarizations. The results are compared to a Next to Leading Order (NLO) perturbative Quantum Chromodynamics (pQCD) calculation with a range of polarized gluon distributions.Comment: 389 authors, 4 pages, 2 tables, 1 figure. Submitted to Phys. Rev. D, Rapid Communications. Plain text data tables for the points plotted in figures for this and previous PHENIX publications are (or will be) publicly available at http://www.phenix.bnl.gov/papers.htm

The Changing Landscape for Stroke\ua0Prevention in AF: Findings From the GLORIA-AF Registry Phase 2

Background GLORIA-AF (Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation) is a prospective, global registry program describing antithrombotic treatment patterns in patients with newly diagnosed nonvalvular atrial fibrillation at risk of stroke. Phase 2 began when dabigatran, the first non\u2013vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC), became available. Objectives This study sought to describe phase 2 baseline data and compare these with the pre-NOAC era collected during phase&nbsp;1. Methods During phase 2, 15,641 consenting patients were enrolled (November 2011 to December 2014); 15,092 were eligible. This pre-specified cross-sectional analysis describes eligible patients\u2019 baseline characteristics. Atrial fibrillation&nbsp;disease characteristics, medical outcomes, and concomitant diseases and medications were collected. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics. Results Of the total patients, 45.5% were female; median age was 71 (interquartile range: 64, 78) years. Patients were from Europe (47.1%), North America (22.5%), Asia (20.3%), Latin America (6.0%), and the Middle East/Africa (4.0%). Most had high stroke risk (CHA2DS2-VASc [Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age&nbsp; 6575 years, Diabetes mellitus, previous Stroke, Vascular disease, Age 65 to 74 years, Sex category] score&nbsp; 652; 86.1%); 13.9% had moderate risk (CHA2DS2-VASc&nbsp;= 1). Overall, 79.9% received oral anticoagulants, of whom 47.6% received NOAC and 32.3% vitamin K antagonists (VKA); 12.1% received antiplatelet agents; 7.8% received no antithrombotic treatment. For comparison, the proportion of phase 1 patients (of N&nbsp;= 1,063 all eligible) prescribed VKA was 32.8%, acetylsalicylic acid 41.7%, and no therapy 20.2%. In Europe in phase 2, treatment with NOAC was more common than VKA (52.3% and 37.8%, respectively); 6.0% of patients received antiplatelet treatment; and 3.8% received no antithrombotic treatment. In North America, 52.1%, 26.2%, and 14.0% of patients received NOAC, VKA, and antiplatelet drugs, respectively; 7.5% received no antithrombotic treatment. NOAC use was less common in Asia (27.7%), where 27.5% of patients received VKA, 25.0% antiplatelet drugs, and 19.8% no antithrombotic treatment. Conclusions The baseline data from GLORIA-AF phase 2 demonstrate that in newly diagnosed nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients, NOAC have been highly adopted into practice, becoming more frequently prescribed than VKA in&nbsp;Europe and North America. Worldwide, however, a large proportion of patients remain undertreated, particularly in&nbsp;Asia&nbsp;and North America. (Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation [GLORIA-AF]; NCT01468701

Surgical site infection after gastrointestinal surgery in high-income, middle-income, and low-income countries: a prospective, international, multicentre cohort study

Background: Surgical site infection (SSI) is one of the most common infections associated with health care, but its importance as a global health priority is not fully understood. We quantified the burden of SSI after gastrointestinal surgery in countries in all parts of the world. Methods: This international, prospective, multicentre cohort study included consecutive patients undergoing elective or emergency gastrointestinal resection within 2-week time periods at any health-care facility in any country. Countries with participating centres were stratified into high-income, middle-income, and low-income groups according to the UN's Human Development Index (HDI). Data variables from the GlobalSurg 1 study and other studies that have been found to affect the likelihood of SSI were entered into risk adjustment models. The primary outcome measure was the 30-day SSI incidence (defined by US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention criteria for superficial and deep incisional SSI). Relationships with explanatory variables were examined using Bayesian multilevel logistic regression models. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02662231. Findings: Between Jan 4, 2016, and July 31, 2016, 13 265 records were submitted for analysis. 12 539 patients from 343 hospitals in 66 countries were included. 7339 (58·5%) patient were from high-HDI countries (193 hospitals in 30 countries), 3918 (31·2%) patients were from middle-HDI countries (82 hospitals in 18 countries), and 1282 (10·2%) patients were from low-HDI countries (68 hospitals in 18 countries). In total, 1538 (12·3%) patients had SSI within 30 days of surgery. The incidence of SSI varied between countries with high (691 [9·4%] of 7339 patients), middle (549 [14·0%] of 3918 patients), and low (298 [23·2%] of 1282) HDI (p < 0·001). The highest SSI incidence in each HDI group was after dirty surgery (102 [17·8%] of 574 patients in high-HDI countries; 74 [31·4%] of 236 patients in middle-HDI countries; 72 [39·8%] of 181 patients in low-HDI countries). Following risk factor adjustment, patients in low-HDI countries were at greatest risk of SSI (adjusted odds ratio 1·60, 95% credible interval 1·05–2·37; p=0·030). 132 (21·6%) of 610 patients with an SSI and a microbiology culture result had an infection that was resistant to the prophylactic antibiotic used. Resistant infections were detected in 49 (16·6%) of 295 patients in high-HDI countries, in 37 (19·8%) of 187 patients in middle-HDI countries, and in 46 (35·9%) of 128 patients in low-HDI countries (p < 0·001). Interpretation: Countries with a low HDI carry a disproportionately greater burden of SSI than countries with a middle or high HDI and might have higher rates of antibiotic resistance. In view of WHO recommendations on SSI prevention that highlight the absence of high-quality interventional research, urgent, pragmatic, randomised trials based in LMICs are needed to assess measures aiming to reduce this preventable complication