A physically-based numerical model of river channel widening

The application of many existing numerical models of river channel morphology is limited by their inability to account for bank erosion and changing channel width through time. In this research, a physically-based numerical model which simulates the evolution of channel morphology, including channel width, through time has been developed and tested. Predictions of channel evolution are obtained by solving deterministically the governing equations of flow resistance, flow, sediment transport, bank stability and conservation of sediment mass. The model is applicable to relatively straight, sand-bed streams with cohesive bank materials. In the channel evolution model, a method is used to solve the shallow water flow equations, and to account for lateral shear stresses which significantly influence the flow in the near bank zone. The predicted distribution of flow is then used to predict the sediment transport over the full width of straight river channels. Deformation of the bed is calculated from solution of the sediment continuity equation. Predictions obtained in the near bank zone allow the variation in bank geometry to be simulated through time. Since bank stability is determined by the constraints of the geometry of the bank and the geotechnical properties of the bank material, channel widening can, therefore, be simulated by combining a suitable bank stability algorithm with flow and sediment transport algorithms. In combining bank stability algorithms with flow and sediment transport algorithms, there are two paramount considerations. First, the longitudinal extent of mass failures within modelled reaches must be accounted for. Second, it is necessary to maintain the continuity of both the bed and the bank material mixture in the time steps following mass failure, when the bed material consists of mixtures of bed and bank materials with widely varying physical properties. In this model, a probabilistic approach to prediction of factor of safety is used to estimate the fraction of the banks in the modelled reaches that fail in any time step. Mixed layer theory is then used to model the transport of the resulting bed and bank material mixture away from the near bank zone. Comparisons of model predictions with observations of channel geometry over a 24 year period indicate that the new model is capable of simulating temporal trends of channel morphology with a high degree of accuracy. The model has been used successfully to replicate the form of empirically-derived hydraulic geometry equations, indicating that the model is also able to predict stable channel geometries accurately. The numerical model has also been used to investigate the influence of varying the independent variables and boundary conditions on channel adjustment dynamics

The influence of flow discharge variations on the morphodynamics of a diffluence-confluence unit on a large river: Impacts of discharge variation on a diffluence-confluence unit

© 2017 The Authors. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Bifurcations are key geomorphological nodes in anabranching and braided fluvial channels, controlling local bed morphology, the routing of sediment and water, and ultimately defining the stability of their associated diffluence–confluence unit. Recently, numerical modelling of bifurcations has focused on the relationship between flow conditions and the partitioning of sediment between the bifurcate channels. Herein, we report on field observations spanning September 2013 to July 2014 of the three-dimensional flow structure, bed morphological change and partitioning of both flow discharge and suspended sediment through a large diffluence–confluence unit on the Mekong River, Cambodia, across a range of flow stages (from 13 500 to 27 000 m 3 s −1 ). Analysis of discharge and sediment load throughout the diffluence–confluence unit reveals that during the highest flows (Q = 27 000 m 3 s −1 ), the downstream island complex is a net sink of sediment (losing 2600 ± 2000 kg s −1 between the diffluence and confluence), whereas during the rising limb (Q = 19 500 m 3 s −1 ) and falling limb flows (Q = 13 500 m 3 s −1 ) the sediment balance is in quasi-equilibrium. We show that the discharge asymmetry of the bifurcation varies with discharge and highlight that the influence of upstream curvature-induced water surface slope and bed morphological change may be first-order controls on bifurcation configuration. Comparison of our field data to existing bifurcation stability diagrams reveals that during lower (rising and falling limb) flow the bifurcation may be classified as unstable, yet transitions to a stable condition at high flows. However, over the long term (1959–2013) aerial imagery reveals the diffluence–confluence unit to be fairly stable. We propose, therefore, that the long-term stability of the bifurcation, as well as the larger channel planform and morphology of the diffluence–confluence unit, may be controlled by the dominant sediment transport regime of the system. © 2017 The Authors. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd

A self-limiting bank erosion mechanism? Inferring temporal variations in bank form and skin drag from high resolution topographic data

Fluvial bank erosion rates are often quantified by assuming that the erosion rate is a function of the excess (above a critical threshold) boundary shear stress applied by the flow. Research has shown that the form roughness induced by natural topographic bank features, such as slumps, spurs and embayments, is the dominant component of the spatially-averaged total shear stress, meaning that form roughness provides an important control on bank erosion rates. However, measuring the relative components of the total shear stress for a natural system is not straightforward. In this paper we employ the method of Kean and Smith (2006a,b) to partition the form and skin drag components of river bank roughness using a time series (2005-2011) of high-resolution topographic surveys of an eroding bank of the Cecina River in central Italy. This method approximates the form drag component of the roughness along a longitudinal bank profile as a series of user defined Gaussian curves. The extracted metrics are used in conjunction with an estimate of the outer region flow velocity to partition the form and skin drag components of the total boundary shear stress according to the Kean and Smith analytical solution. The relative magnitude of the form and skin shear stress at each survey date is analysed alongside DEMs of difference to reveal that intense episodes of erosion are followed by periods of quiescence. We show that this is due to the protection offered by increased form drag roughness following erosion. We conceptualise the dynamic feedbacks that exist between river discharge, bank erosion processes and bank form roughness, into a simple model of the self-limiting nature of river bank erosio

Extreme flood-driven fluvial bank erosion and sediment loads: direct process measurements using integrated Mobile Laser Scanning (MLS) and hydro-acoustic techniques: Direct measurement of flood-driven erosion using MLS and MBES

Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. This methods paper details the first attempt at monitoring bank erosion, flow and suspended sediment at a site during flooding on the Mekong River induced by the passage of tropical cyclones. We deployed integrated mobile laser scanning (MLS) and multibeam echo sounding (MBES), alongside acoustic Doppler current profiling (aDcp), to directly measure changes in river bank and bed at high (~0.05 m) spatial resolution, in conjunction with measurements of flow and suspended sediment dynamics. We outline the methodological steps used to collect and process this complex point cloud data, and detail the procedures used to process and calibrate the aDcp flow and sediment flux data. A comparison with conventional remote sensing methods of estimating bank erosion, using aerial images and Landsat imagery, reveals that traditional techniques are error prone at the high temporal resolutions required to quantify the patterns and volumes of bank erosion induced by the passage of individual flood events. Our analysis reveals the importance of cyclone-driven flood events in causing high rates of erosion and suspended sediment transport, with a c. twofold increase in bank erosion volumes and a fourfold increase in suspended sediment volumes in the cyclone-affected wet season. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd

Bullet and Shrapnel Embolism: When “Uncommon” Meets “Dangerous”

Bullet and shrapnel embolism (BSE) is well described in the literature. Despite that, its rare occurrence creates a diagnostic challenge for providers tending to penetrating trauma victims. As with other forms of embolic phenomena, cases of BSE require a blend of superb clinical expertise and experience, as well as a high diagnostic index of suspicion. Management is highly individualized and spans a broad spectrum of options from “watchful waiting” to open heart surgery. Due to the risk of retained projectile migration through tissues, including erosion into surrounding anatomic structures, non-operative approaches warrant long-term clinical surveillance. When promptly recognized and treated appropriately, patients with BSE can be expected to have excellent clinical outcomes

Influence of antigen distribution on the mediation of immunological glomerular injury

Influence of antigen distribution on the mediation of immunological glomerular injury. To determine if the site of immune reaction could influence the mediation and morphological expression of glomerular injury in experimental anti-glomerular basement membrane (anti-GBM) nephritis and membranous nephropathy, we studied the events that followed the in situ reaction of rat antibody with antigen planted in either the GBM (especially the lamina rara interna) or in the subepithelial space (SE). Non-nephritogenic amounts of noncomplement-fixing sheep anti-GBM or anti-tubular brushborder antibody were injected into separate groups of rats to plant sheep IgG in the GBM and SE, respectively. Kidneys containing sheep IgG were then transplanted into naive recipients that were passively immunized with rat anti-sheep IgG. There was marked proteinuria after 2 days (antigen in GBM: 226 ± 50.7; antigen in SE: 69 ± 50.7 mg/24 hr) that was abrogated by prior depletion of complement in both groups (antigen in GBM: 10.2 ± 1.7; antigen in SE: 14.3 ± 8.7 mg/24 hr). When antigen was planted in SE, inflammatory-cell depletion with either anti-neutrophil (PMN) serum or lethal irradiation had no effect on proteinuria. In contrast, anti-PMN abolished proteinuria (12.0 ± 5.6 mg/24 hr) and irradiation reduced it by 60% when antigen was in GBM. Glomeruli of kidneys with antigen in GBM were significantly larger and more hypercellular than those with antigen in SE after transplantation into immunized recipients. Endothelial cell injury and adherence of inflammatory cells to denuded GBM were prominent in the former (antigen in GBM), while glomeruli with antigen in SE showed only subepithelial deposits, adjacent slit-diaphragm displacement, and epithelial cell foot-process effacement. Thus, the reaction of antigen and antibody in glomeruli produced complement-mediated injury which was cell-independent when complex formation occurred on the outer aspect of the GBM but was cell-dependent when the same reagents reacted more proximally to the circulation. We therefore conclude that antigen distribution can critically influence the mediation and morphologic expression of immune glomerular injury and may, in part, account for variations in the clinical and histological manifestations of antibody-induced glomerular disease in humans.Influence de la distribution antigénique sur la médiation des lésions glomérulaires immunologiques. Afin de déterminer si le site de la réaction immune pourrait influencer la médiation et l'expression morphologique des lésions glomérulaires lors d'une néphrite expérimentale anti-membrane basale glomérulaire (anti-GBM) et d'une néphropathie extra-membraneuse, nous avons étudié les événements qui suivaient la réaction in situ d'anticorps de rat avec un antigène fixé soit dans la GBM (surtout dans la lamina rara interna), soit dans l'espace sous-épithélial (SE). Des quantités non nephritogènes d'anticorps anti-GBM, ou anti-bordure en brosse tubulaire de mouton ne fixant pas le complément ont été injectées à différents groupes de rats pour fixer de l'IgG de mouton dans la GBM et le SE, respectivement. Les reins contenant l'IgG de mouton étaient alors transplantés à des receveurs vierges passivement immunisés avec de l'IgG de rat antimouton. Il existait une protéinurie marquée après deux jours (antigène dans la GBM: 226 ± 50,7; antigène dans SE: 69 ± 50,7 mg/24 hrs) qui à été abrogé par une déplétion du complement dans les deux groupes (antigène dans la GBM: 10,2 ± 1,7; antigène dans SE: 14,3 ± 8,7 mg/24 hr). Lorsque l'antigène était fixé dans SE, une déplétion en cellules inflammatoires par du sérum anti-neutrophile (PMN) ou une irradiation léthale n'avaient pas d'effet sur la protéinurie. A l'opposé, anti-PMN supprimait la protéinurie (12,0 ± 5,6 mg/24 hr) et l'irradiation la réduisait de 60% lorsque l'antigène était dans la GBM. Les glomérules de reins ayant l'antigène dans la GBM étaient significativement plus gros et plus hyper-cellulaires que ceux ayant l'antigène dans SE après transplantation chez des receveurs immunisés. Les lésions cellulaires endothéliales et l'adhérence des cellules inflammatoires à des GBM nues étaient prédominantes chez les premiers (antigène dans la GBM) alors que les glomérules ayant l'antigène dans SE présentaient uniquement des dépôts sous-épithéliaux, un déplacement du slit-diaphragme adjacent et un effacement des pédicelles des cellules épithéliales. Ainsi, la réaction d'un antigène et d'un anticorps dans des glomérules a produit des lésions à médiation complémentaire indépentantes des cellules lorsque la formation de complexes survenait dans la partie extérieure de la GBM, mais dépendantes des cellules lorsque les mêmes réactifs interagissaient de façon plus proximale dans la circulation. Nous concluons donc que la distribution antigénique peut influencer de manière critique la médiation et l'expression morphologique des lésions glomérulaires immunes et qu'elle peut, en partie, rendre compte de variations dans les manifestations cliniques et histologiques de glomérulopathies à médiation par anticorps chez l'homme

The physical sustainability of the coastal zone of the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna delta under climatic and anthropogenic stresses

The Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) delta is one of the world’s largest deltas, and consists of large areas of low flat lands formed by the deposition of sediment from the GBM rivers. However, recent estimates have projected between 200~1000 mm of climate-driven sea-level rise by the end of the 21st century, at an average rate of ~6 mm/yr. Eustatic sea-level rise is further compounded by subsidence of the delta, which in the coastal fringes varies from 0.2 to 7.5 mm/yr, at an average value of ~2.0 mm/yr. Therefore, the combined effect of sea-level rise and subsidence (termed relative sea-level rise, RSLR) is around 8.0 mm/yr. Such high values of RSLR raise the question of whether sediment deposition on the surface of the delta is sufficient to maintain the delta surface above sea level. Moreover, as the total fluvial sediment influx to the GBM delta system is known to be decreasing, the retained portion of fluvial sediment on the delta surface is also likely decreasing, reducing the potential to offset RSLR. Within this context, the potential of various interventions geared at promoting greater retention of sediment on the delta surface is explored using numerical experiments under different flow-sediment regime and anthropogenic interventions. We find that for the existing, highly managed, conditions, the retained portion of fluvial sediment on the delta surface varies between 22% and 50% during average (when about 20% of the total floodplain in the country is inundated) and extreme (> 60% of the total floodplain in the country is inundated) flood years, respectively. However, the degree to which sediment has the potential to be deposited on the delta surface increases by up to 10% when existing anthropogenic interventions such as polders that act as barriers to delta-plain sedimentation are removed. While dismantling existing interventions is not a politically realistic proposition, more quasi-natural conditions can be reestablished through local- sediment management using tidal river management, cross dams, dredging, bandal-like structures and/or combinations of the above measures

Modulation of outer bank erosion by slump blocks: disentangling the protective and destructive role of failed material on the three-dimensional flow structure

The three-dimensional flow field near the banks of alluvial channels is the primary factor controlling rates of bank erosion. Although submerged slump blocks and associated large-scale bank roughness elements have both previously been proposed to divert flow away from the bank, direct observations of the interaction between eroded bank material and the 3-D flow field are lacking. Here we use observations from multibeam echo sounding, terrestrial laser scanning, and acoustic Doppler current profiling to quantify, for the first time, the influence of submerged slump blocks on the near-bank flow field. In contrast to previous research emphasizing their influence on flow diversion away from the bank, we show that slump blocks may also deflect flow onto the bank, thereby increasing local shear stresses and rates of erosion. We use our measurements to propose a conceptual model for how submerged slump blocks interact with the flow field to modulate bank erosion

Impact of dams and climate change on suspended sediment flux to the Mekong delta

The livelihoods of millions of people living in the world's deltas are deeply interconnected with the sediment dynamics of these deltas. In particular a sustainable supply of fluvial sediments from upstream is critical for ensuring the fertility of delta soils and for promoting sediment deposition that can offset rising sea levels. Yet, in many large river catchments this supply of sediment is being threatened by the planned construction of large dams. In this study, we apply the INCA hydrological and sediment model to the Mekong River catchment in South East Asia. The aim is to assess the impact of several large dams (both existing and planned) on the suspended sediment fluxes of the river. We force the INCA model with a climate model to assess the interplay of changing climate and sediment trapping caused by dam construction. The results show that historical sediment flux declines are mostly caused by dams built in PR China and that sediment trapping will increase in the future due to the construction of new dams in PDR Lao and Cambodia. If all dams that are currently planned for the next two decades are built, they will induce a decline of suspended sediment flux of 50% (47–53% 90% confidence interval (90%CI)) compared to current levels (99 Mt/year at the delta apex), with potentially damaging consequences for local livelihoods and ecosystems

Regional analysis of multivariate compound coastal flooding potential around Europe and environs: sensitivity analysis and spatial patterns

In coastal regions, floods can arise through a combination of multiple drivers, including direct surface run-off, river discharge, storm surge, and waves. In this study, we analyse compound flood potential in Europe and environs caused by these four main flooding sources using state-of-the-art databases with coherent forcing (i.e. ERA5). First, we analyse the sensitivity of the compound flooding potential to several factors: (1) sampling method, (2) time window to select the concurrent event of the conditioned driver, (3) dependence metrics, and (4) wave-driven sea level definition. We observe higher correlation coefficients using annual maxima than peaks over threshold. Regarding the other factors, our results show similar spatial distributions of the compound flooding potential. Second, the dependence between the pairs of drivers using the Kendall rank correlation coefficient and the joint occurrence are synthesized for coherent patterns of compound flooding potential using a clustering technique. This quantitative multi-driver assessment not only distinguishes where overall compound flooding potential is the highest, but also discriminates which driver combinations are more likely to contribute to compound flooding. We identify that hotspots of compound flooding potential are located along the southern coast of the North Atlantic Ocean and the northern coast of the Mediterranean Sea