28 research outputs found
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An Evaluation of the Performance of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Version 3
The performance of a new historical reanalysis, the NOAAâCIRESâDOE Twentieth Century Reanalysis version 3 (20CRv3), is evaluated via comparisons with other reanalyses and independent observations. This dataset provides global, 3-hourly estimates of the atmosphere from 1806 to 2015 by assimilating only surface pressure observations and prescribing sea surface temperature, sea ice concentration, and radiative forcings. Comparisons with independent observations, other reanalyses, and satellite products suggest that 20CRv3 can reliably produce atmospheric estimates on scales ranging from weather events to long-term climatic trends. Not only does 20CRv3 recreate a âbest estimateâ of the weather, including extreme events, it also provides an estimate of its confidence through the use of an ensemble. Surface pressure statistics suggest that these confidence estimates are reliable. Comparisons with independent upper-air observations in the Northern Hemisphere demonstrate that 20CRv3 has skill throughout the twentieth century. Upper-air fields from 20CRv3 in the late twentieth century and early twenty-first century correlate well with full-input reanalyses, and the correlation is predicted by the confidence fields from 20CRv3. The skill of analyzed 500-hPa geopotential heights from 20CRv3 for 1979â2015 is comparable to that of modern operational 3â4-day forecasts. Finally, 20CRv3 performs well on climate time scales. Long time series and multidecadal averages of mass, circulation, and precipitation fields agree well with modern reanalyses and station- and satellite-based products. 20CRv3 is also able to capture trends in tropospheric-layer temperatures that correlate well with independent products in the twentieth century, placing recent trends in a longer historical context
A collection of sub-daily pressure and temperature observations for the early instrumental period with a focus on the "year without a summer" 1816
The eruption of Mount Tambora (Indonesia) in April 1815 is the largest documented volcanic eruption in history. It is associated with a large global cooling during the following year, felt particularly in parts of Europe and North America, where the year 1816 became known as the "year without a summer". This paper describes an effort made to collect surface meteorological observations from the early instrumental period, with a focus on the years of and immediately following the eruption (1815-1817). Although the collection aimed in particular at pressure observations, correspondent temperature observations were also recovered. Some of the series had already been described in the literature, but a large part of the data, recently digitised from original weather diaries and contemporary magazines and newspapers, is presented here for the first time. The collection puts together more than 50 sub-daily series from land observatories in Europe and North America and from ships in the tropics. The pressure observations have been corrected for temperature and gravity and reduced to mean sea level. Moreover, an additional statistical correction was applied to take into account common error sources in mercury barometers. To assess the reliability of the corrected data set, the variance in the pressure observations is compared with modern climatologies, and single observations are used for synoptic analyses of three case studies in Europe. All raw observations will be made available to the scientific community in the International Surface Pressure Databank.Peer reviewe
Towards an integrated set of surface meteorological observations for climate science and applications
Observations are the foundation for understanding the climate system. Yet, currently available land meteorological data are highly fractured into various global, regional and national holdings for different variables and timescales, from a variety of sources, and in a mixture of formats. Added to this, many data are still inaccessible for analysis and usage. To meet modern scientific and societal demands as well as emerging needs such as the provision of climate services, it is essential that we improve the management and curation of available land-based meteorological holdings. We need a comprehensive global set of data holdings, of known provenance, that is truly integrated both across Essential Climate Variables (ECVs) and across timescales to meet the broad range of stakeholder needs. These holdings must be easily discoverable, made available in accessible formats, and backed up by multi-tiered user support. The present paper provides a high level overview, based upon broad community input, of the steps that are required to bring about this integration. The significant challenge is to find a sustained means to realize this vision. This requires a long-term international program. The database that results will transform our collective ability to provide societally relevant research, analysis and predictions in many weather and climate related application areas across much of the globe
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Monthly mean pressure reconstructions for Europe for the 1780-1995 period
Monthly grid-point pressure data are reconstructed from station records of pressure for Europe since 1780. The region encompasses 35-70°N to 30°W-40°E. The reconstructions are based on a principal components regression technique, which relates surface pressure patterns to those of the station pressure data. The relationships are derived over a calibration period (1936-1995) and the results tested with independent data (the verification period, 1881-1935). The reconstructions are of excellent quality, although this is slightly lower for regions with poor station coverage in the early years, particularly during the summer months. The reconstructions are compared with other monthly mean pressure maps produced by Lamb and Johnson (1966) for the years 1780-1872 and by Kington (1980, 1988) for 1781-1785. Both of these map series show systematic biases relative to the present reconstructions
A collection of sub-daily pressure and temperature observations for the early instrumental period with a focus on the "year without a summer" 1816
The eruption of Mount Tambora (Indonesia) in April 1815 is the largest
documented volcanic eruption in history. It caused a large global cooling
during the following year, felt particularly in parts of Europe and North
America, where the year 1816 became known as the "year without a summer".
This paper describes an effort made to collect surface meteorological
observations from the early instrumental period, with a focus on the years
immediately following the eruption (1815â1817). Although the collection
aimed in particular at pressure observations, correspondent temperature
observations were also recovered. Some of the series had already been
described in the literature, but a large part of the data, recently digitised
from original weather diaries and contemporary magazines and newspapers, is
presented here for the first time. The collection puts together more than
fifty sub-daily series from land observatories in Europe and North America,
and from ships in the tropics. The pressure observations have been corrected
for temperature and gravity and reduced to mean sea level, moreover an
additional statistical correction was applied to take into account common
error sources in mercury barometers. To assess the reliability of the
corrected dataset, the variance of the pressure observations is compared with
modern climatologies and single observations are used for synoptic analyses
of three case studies in Europe. All raw observations will be made available
to the scientific community in the International Surface Pressure Databank