Leveraging Soil Moisture Assimilation in Permafrost Affected Regions

The transfer of water and energy fluxes between the ground and the atmosphere is influenced by soil moisture (SM), which is an important factor in land surface dynamics. Accurate representation of SM over permafrost-affected regions remains challenging. Leveraging blended SM from microwave satellites, this study examines the potential for satellite SM assimilation to enhance LSM (Land Surface Model) seasonal dynamics. The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is used to integrate SM data across the Iya River Basin, Russia. Considering the permafrost, only the summer months (June to August) are utilized for assimilation. Field data from two sites are used to validate the study’s findings. Results show that assimilation lowers the dry bias in Noah LSM by up to 6%, which is especially noticeable in the northern regions of the Iya Basin. Comparison with in situ station data demonstrates a considerable improvement in correlation between SM after assimilation (0.94) and before assimilation (0.84). The findings also reveal a significant relationship between SM and surface energy balance.publishedVersio

Twenty-three unsolved problems in hydrology (UPH) – a community perspective

This paper is the outcome of a community initiative to identify major unsolved scientific problems in hydrology motivated by a need for stronger harmonisation of research efforts. The procedure involved a public consultation through on-line media, followed by two workshops through which a large number of potential science questions were collated, prioritised, and synthesised. In spite of the diversity of the participants (230 scientists in total), the process revealed much about community priorities and the state of our science: a preference for continuity in research questions rather than radical departures or redirections from past and current work. Questions remain focussed on process-based understanding of hydrological variability and causality at all space and time scales. Increased attention to environmental change drives a new emphasis on understanding how change propagates across interfaces within the hydrological system and across disciplinary boundaries. In particular, the expansion of the human footprint raises a new set of questions related to human interactions with nature and water cycle feedbacks in the context of complex water management problems. We hope that this reflection and synthesis of the 23 unsolved problems in hydrology will help guide research efforts for some years to come

Giant Aufeis—Unknown Glaciation in North-Eastern Eurasia According to Landsat Images 2013–2019

Based on the analysis of Landsat satellite images over the period of 2013–2019, the number (6683) and total area (4529 km2) of giant aufeis fields (area ≥ 0.1 km2) were estimated for the territory of North-Eastern Eurasia. The contribution of aufeis runoff to river streamflow in different seasons was calculated for 58 hydrological gauges (area 523–526,000 km2). The contribution of aufeis and glaciers to water balance is compared. The aufeis resources vary from 0.4 to 4.25 km3 (or 3.7–11 mm) for individual basins of large rivers. They are at least 10.6 km3 in total or 5 mm of water depth on average for the study area. Aufeis annual runoff varies from 0.3 to 29 mm (0.1–22%, average 3.8%), with the share in winter runoff amount about 6–712% (average 112%) and the spring freshet 0.2–43% (average 7.1%). In general, the aufeis runoff exceeds the glacial runoff. The dynamics of aufeis formation are directly related to winter runoff, whose changes are observed in different parts of the cryosphere. The presented results are relevant for studying the impact of climate change on the hydrological cycle and its components in the permafrost regions of the Northern Hemisphere

Challenges of Hydrological Engineering Design in Degrading Permafrost Environment of Russia

The study shows that the current network of hydrometeorological observation in the permafrost zone of Russia is insufficient to provide data for the statistical approaches adopted at the state level for engineering surveys and calculations. The alternative to the financially costly and practically impossible expansion of the monitoring network is the development of hydrological research stations and the implementation of new methods for calculating streamflow characteristics based on mathematical modeling. The data of the Kolyma Water-Balance Station, the first research basin in the world in a permafrost environment (1948–1997), and the process-based hydrological model Hydrograph are applied to simulate streamflow hydrographs in remote mountainous permafrost basins. The satisfactory results confirm that mathematical modeling may substitute or replace statistical approaches in the conditions of extreme data insufficiency. The improvement of the models in a changing climate requires the renewal of historical observations at currently abandoned research stations in Russian permafrost regions. The study is important for forming the state policy in climate change adaptation and mitigation measures

Hydrometeorological changes in the North-East of Russia

The paper presents a comprehensive analysis of hydrometeorological changes at the river basins of the North-East of Russia for the period 1966-2015. Data from 61 meteorological stations showed an increase in the air temperature by an average of 2.3 °C and multidirectional changes in annual precipitation. Most stations are characterized by a significant negative trend of precipitation in winter and a positive annual trend of mixed and liquid precipitation with an increase in their share in autumn months. The presence of statistically significant positive streamflow trends in the autumn-winter period was established for 51 hydrological gauges. We hypothesize that the increase in the low flow is mainly due to the transition of precipitation type from solid to liquid and corresponding increase of runoff in September, continuing in the following months