Review of QSAR Models and Software Tools for predicting Biokinetic Properties

In the assessment of industrial chemicals, cosmetic ingredients, and active substances in pesticides and biocides, metabolites and degradates are rarely tested for their toxicologcal effects in mammals. In the interests of animal welfare and cost-effectiveness, alternatives to animal testing are needed in the evaluation of these types of chemicals. In this report we review the current status of various types of in silico estimation methods for Absorption, Distribution, Metabolism and Excretion (ADME) properties, which are often important in discriminating between the toxicological profiles of parent compounds and their metabolites/degradation products. The review was performed in a broad sense, with emphasis on QSARs and rule-based approaches and their applicability to estimation of oral bioavailability, human intestinal absorption, blood-brain barrier penetration, plasma protein binding, metabolism and. This revealed a vast and rapidly growing literature and a range of software tools. While it is difficult to give firm conclusions on the applicability of such tools, it is clear that many have been developed with pharmaceutical applications in mind, and as such may not be applicable to other types of chemicals (this would require further research investigation). On the other hand, a range of predictive methodologies have been explored and found promising, so there is merit in pursuing their applicability in the assessment of other types of chemicals and products. Many of the software tools are not transparent in terms of their predictive algorithms or underlying datasets. However, the literature identifies a set of commonly used descriptors that have been found useful in ADME prediction, so further research and model development activities could be based on such studies.JRC.DG.I.6-Systems toxicolog

Development of Knowledge Within a Chemical-Toxicological Database to Formulate Novel Computational Approaches for Predicting Repeated Dose Toxicity of Cosmetics-Related Compounds

The European Union (EU) Cosmetics Regulation established the ban on animal testing for cosmetics ingredients. This ban does not assume that all cosmetics ingredients are safe, but that the non-testing procedures (in vitro and in silico) have to be applied for their safety assessment. To this end, the SEURAT-1 cluster was funded by EU 7th Framework Programme and Cosmetics Europe. The COSMOS (Integrated In Silico Models for the Prediction of Human Repeated Dose Toxicity of COSMetics to Optimise Safety) project was initiated as one of the seven consortia of the cluster, with the purpose of facilitating the prediction of human repeated dose toxicity associated with exposure to cosmetics-related compounds through in silico approaches. A critical objective of COSMOS was to address the paucity of publicly available data for cosmetics ingredients and related chemicals. Therefore a database was established containing (i) an inventory of cosmetics ingredients and related structures; (ii) skin permeability/absorption data (route of exposure relevant to cosmetics); and (iii) repeated dose toxicity data. This thesis describes the process of “knowledge discovery from the data”, including collation of the content of the COSMOS database and its subsequent application for developing tools to support the prediction of repeated dose toxicity of cosmetics and related compounds. A rigorous strategy of curation and quality control of chemical records was applied in developing the database (as documented in the Standard Operating Procedure, chapter 2). The chemical space of the cosmetics-related compounds was compared to food-related compounds from the U.S. FDA CFSAN PAFA database using the novel approach combining the analysis of structural features (ToxPrint chemotypes) and physicochemical properties. The cosmetics- and food- specific structural classes related to particular use functions and manifested by distinct physicochemical properties were identified (chapter 3). The novel COSMOS Skin Permeability Database containing in vivo and in vitro skin permeability/absorption data was developed by integrating existing databases and enriching them with new data for cosmetics harvested from regulatory documents and scientific literature (chapter 4). Compounds with available data on human in vitro maximal flux (JMAX) were subsequently extracted from the developed database and analysed in terms of their structural features (ToxPrint chemotypes) and physicochemical properties. The profile of compounds exhibiting low or high skin permeability potential was determined. The results of this analysis can support rapid screening and classification of the compounds without experimental data (chapter 5). The new COSMOS oral repeated dose toxicity database was established through consolidation of existing data sources and harvesting new regulatory documents and scientific literature. The unique data structure of the COSMOS oRepeatToxDB allows capturing all toxicological effects observed at particular dose levels and sites, which are hierarchically differentiated as organs, tissues, and cells (chapter 6). Such design of this database enabled the development of liver toxicity ontology, followed by mechanistic mining of in vivo data (chapter 7). As a result, compounds associated with liver steatosis, steatohepatitis and fibrosis phenotypic effects were identified and further analysed. The probable mechanistic reasoning for toxicity (Peroxisome Proliferator-Activated Receptor gamma (PPAR ) activation) was formulated for two hepatotoxicants, namely 1,3-bis-(2,4-diaminophenoxy)-propane and piperonyl butoxide. Key outcomes of this thesis include an extensive curated database, Standard Operating Procedures, skin permeability potential classification rules, and the set of structural features associated with liver steatosis. Such knowledge is particularly important in the light of the 21st Century Toxicology (NRC, 2007) and the ongoing need to move away from animal toxicity testing to non-testing alternatives

Investigating the influence of data splitting on the predictive ability of QSAR/QSPR models

The study was aimed at investigating how the method of splitting data into a training set and a test set influences the external predictivity of quantitative structure-activity and/or structure-property relationships (QSAR/QSPR) models. Six models of good quality were collected from the literature and then redeveloped and validated on the basis of five alternative splitting algorithms, namely: (i) a commonly used algorithm ('Z:1'), in which every zth (e.g. third) from the compounds sorted ascending (according to the response values, y) is selected into the test set; (ii-iv) three variations of the Kennard-Stone algorithm; and (v) the duplex algorithm. The external validation statistics reported for each model served as a basis for the final comparison. We demonstrated that the splitting techniques utilizing the values of molecular descriptors alone (X) or in combination with the model response (y) always lead to the development of the models yielding better external predictivity in comparison with the models designed with methodologies based on the y-values only. Moreover, we showed that the external validation coefficient (Q2EXT) is more sensitive to the splitting technique than the root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP). This difference becomes especially important when the test set is relatively small (between 5-10 compounds). In the case of the models trained/validated with a small number of compounds, it is strongly recommended that both statistics (Q2EXT and RMSEP) are taken into account for the external predictivity evaluation.JRC.I.6-Systems toxicolog

A Framework for assessing in silico Toxicity Predictions: Case Studies with selected Pesticides

In the regulatory assessment of chemicals, the use of in silico prediction methods such as (quantitative) structure-activity relationship models ([Q]SARs), is increasingly required or encouraged, in order to increase the efficiency and effectiveness of the risk assessment process, and to minimise the reliance on animal testing. The main question for the assessor concerns the usefulness of the prediction approach, which can be broken down into the practical applicability of the method and the adequacy of the predictions. A framework for assessing and documenting (Q)SAR models and their predictions has been established at the European and international levels. Exactly how the framework is applied in practice will depend on the provisions of the specific legislation and the context in which the non-testing data are being used. This report describes the current framework for documenting (Q)SAR models and their predictions, and discuses how it might be built upon to provide more detailed guidance on the use of (Q)SAR predictions in regulatory decision making. The proposed framework is illustrated by using selected pesticide active compounds as examples.JRC.DG.I.6-Systems toxicolog

The Applicability of Software Tools for Genotoxicity and Carcinogenicity Prediction: Case Studies relevant to the Assessment of Pesticides

This report presents research results obtained in the framework of a project on the Applicability of Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship (QSAR) analysis in the evaluation of the toxicological relevance of metabolites and degradates of pesticide active substances. During this project, which was funded by the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), the Joint Research Centre (JRC) performed several investigations to evaluate the comparative performance of selected software tools for genotoxicity and carcinogenicity prediction, and to develop a number of case studies to illustrate the opportunities and difficulties arising in the computational assessment of pesticides. This exercise also included an investigation of the chemical space of several pesticides datasets. The results indicate that different software tools have different advantages and disadvantages, depending on the specific requirements of the user / risk assessor. It is concluded that further work is needed to develop acceptance criteria for specific regulatory applications (e.g. evaluation of pesticide metabolites) and to develop batteries of models fulfilling such criteria.JRC.DG.I.6-Systems toxicolog

The Use of Computational Methods in the Toxicological Assessment of Chemicals in Food: Current Status and Future Prospects

A wide range of chemicals are intentionally added to, or unintentially found in, food products, often in very small amounts. Depending on the situation, the experimental data needed to complete a dietary risk assessment, which is the scientific basis for protecting human health, may not be available or obtainable, for reasons of cost, time and animal welfare. For example, toxicity data are often lacking for the metabolites and degradation products of pesticide active ingredients. There is therefore an interest in the development and application of efficient and effective non-animal methods for assessing chemical toxicity, including Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship (QSAR) models and related computational methods. This report gives an overview of how computational methods are currently used in the field of food safety by national regulatory bodies, international advisory organisations and the food industry. On the basis of an international survey, a comprehensive literature review and a detailed QSAR analysis, a range of recommendations are made with the long-term aim of promoting the judicious use of suitable QSAR methods. The current status of QSAR methods is reviewed not only for toxicological endpoints relevant to dietary risk assessment, but also for Absorption, Distribution, Metabolism and Excretion (ADME) properties, which are often important in discriminating between the toxicological profiles of parent compounds and their reaction products. By referring to the concept of the Threshold of Toxicological Concern (TTC), the risk assessment context in which QSAR methods can be expected to be used is also discussed. This Joint Research Centre (JRC) Reference Report provides a summary and update of the findings obtained in a study carried out by the JRC under the terms of a contract awarded by the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA).JRC.DG.I.6-Systems toxicolog

A Model-Based Prioritisation Exercise for the European Water Framework Directive

A model-based prioritisation exercise has been carried out for the Water Framework Directive (WFD) implementation. The approach considers two aspects: the hazard of a certain chemical and its exposure levels, and focuses on aquatic ecosystems, but also takes into account hazards due to secondary poisoning, bioaccumulation through the food chain and potential human health effects. A list provided by EU Member States, Stakeholders and Non-Governmental Organizations comprising 2,034 substances was evaluated according to hazard and exposure criteria. Then 78 substances classified as “of high concern” where analysed and ranked in terms of risk ratio (Predicted Environmental Concentration/Predicted No-Effect Concentration). This exercise has been complemented by a monitoring-based prioritization exercise using data provided by Member States. The proposed approach constitutes the first step in setting the basis for an open modular screening tool that could be used for the next prioritization exercises foreseen by the WFD

Quantitative Structure - Skin permeability Relationships

This paper reviews in silico models currently available for the prediction of skin permeability with the main focus on the quantitative structure-permeability relationship (QSPR) models. A comprehensive analysis of the main achievements in the field in the last decade is provided. In addition, the mechanistic models are discussed and comparative studies that analyse different models are discussed

The application of molecular modelling in the safety assessment of chemicals: A case study on ligand-dependent PPARγ dysregulation.

The aim of this paper was to provide a proof of concept demonstrating that molecular modelling methodologies can be employed as a part of an integrated strategy to support toxicity prediction consistent with the mode of action/adverse outcome pathway (MoA/AOP) framework. To illustrate the role of molecular modelling in predictive toxicology, a case study was undertaken in which molecular modelling methodologies were employed to predict the activation of the peroxisome proliferator-activated nuclear receptor γ (PPARγ) as a potential molecular initiating event (MIE) for liver steatosis. A stepwise procedure combining different in silico approaches (virtual screening based on docking and pharmacophore filtering, and molecular field analysis) was developed to screen for PPARγ full agonists and to predict their transactivation activity (EC50). The performance metrics of the classification model to predict PPARγ full agonists were balanced accuracy=81%, sensitivity=85% and specificity=76%. The 3D QSAR model developed to predict EC50 of PPARγ full agonists had the following statistical parameters: q(2)cv=0.610, Nopt=7, SEPcv=0.505, r(2)pr=0.552. To support the linkage of PPARγ agonism predictions to prosteatotic potential, molecular modelling was combined with independently performed mechanistic mining of available in vivo toxicity data followed by ToxPrint chemotypes analysis. The approaches investigated demonstrated a potential to predict the MIE, to facilitate the process of MoA/AOP elaboration, to increase the scientific confidence in AOP, and to become a basis for 3D chemotype development

Scientific Opinion on Exploring options for providing advice about possible human health risks based on the concept of Threshold of Toxicological Concern (TTC)

<p>Synthetic and naturally occurring substances present in food and feed, together with their possible breakdown or reaction products, represent a large number of substances, many of which require risk assessment. EFSA’s Scientific Committee was requested to evaluate the threshold of toxicological concern (TTC) approach as a tool for providing scientific advice about possible human health risks from low level exposures, its applicability to EFSA’s work, and to advise on any additional data that might be needed to strengthen the underlying basis of the TTC approach. The Scientific Committee examined the published literature on the TTC approach, undertook its own analyses and commissioned an <em>in silico </em>investigation of the databases underpinning the TTC approach. The Scientific Committee concluded that the TTC approach can be recommended as a useful screening tool either for priority setting or for deciding whether exposure to a substance is so low that the probability of adverse health effects is low and that no further data are necessary. The following human exposure threshold values are sufficiently conservative to be used in EFSA’s work; 0.15 μg/person per day for substances with a structural alert for genotoxicity, 18 μg/person per day for organophosphate and carbamate substances with anti-cholinesterase activity, 90 μg/person per day for Cramer Class III and Cramer Class II substances, and 1800 μg/person per day for Cramer Class I substances, but for application to all groups in the population, these values should be expressed in terms of body weight, i.e. 0.0025, 0.3, 1.5 and 30 μg/kg body weight per day, respectively. Use of the TTC approach for infants under the age of 6 months, with immature metabolic and excretory systems, should be considered on a case-by-case basis. The Committee defined a number of exclusion categories of substances for which the TTC approach would not be used.</p&gt