SUBSÍDIOS AMERICANOS E EXPORTAÇÕES BRASILEIRAS DE SUCO DE LARANJA: IDENTIFICAÇÃO EMPÍRICA DE ESTRATÉGIAS COMERCIAIS

O Brasil e os Estados Unidos são considerados os principais participantes no mercado mundial do suco de laranja. O objetivo do paper é analisar a influência dos subsídios agrícolas americanos sobre as exportações do suco de laranja do Brasil, no período entre 1991 e 2006. O modelo teórico para estudar o comércio internacional foi proposto por Brander e Spencer, com enfoque de competição imperfeita incorporando a intervenção governamental. Na abordagem empírica, realizouse uma junção de modelos de séries temporais e de teoria dos jogos, como instrumentos para avaliar o efeito dos subsídios sobre as exportações do suco de laranja. Concluiu-se que a proteção americana prejudicou a capacidade exportadora do Brasil nesse período examinado. Como conclusão reforça-se a participação ativa do Brasil na defesa da liberalização do comércio agrícola, para o seu acesso ao setor protegido e, também para a conquista de novos parceiros comerciais.--------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------Brazil and the United States are considered the main participants in the world market of the orange juice. The objective of the paper is to analyze the influence of the American agricultural subsidies on the exports of the orange juice of Brazil, in the period between 1991 and 2006. The theoretical model to study the international trade was proposed by Brander and Spencer, with focus of imperfect competition incorporating the government intervention. In the empiric approach, he took place a junction of models of temporary series and of theory of the games, as instruments to evaluate the effect of the subsidies on the exports of the orange juice. The conclusion of paper is that the American protection harmed the capacity exporter of Brazil in that examined period. As conclusion is reinforced the participation activates of Brazil in the defense of the liberalization of the agricultural trade, for his access to the protected section and, also for the conquest of new trading partners.Complexo Suco de Laranja, Exportacoes, Modelos de Series Temporais, Teoria dos Jogos, Subsidios Agricolas, Orange Juice Complex, Exports, Models of Temporary Series, Games Theory, Agricultural Subsidies, Crop Production/Industries, International Relations/Trade,

Política do IBAMA para Produtores de Carvão com Plano de Manejo Florestal no Semi-Árido Nordestino: Uma Análise pela Abordagem Principal-Agente

A vegetação de caatinga, usada para produção de lenha e carvão, resulta em renda para as famílias rurais da região Nordeste. O Ibama cogitou o cancelamento da isenção de taxa de vistoria aos produtores de carvão com plano de manejo florestal. O modelo principal-agente desenvolvido enfatiza que a probabilidade de um produtor desmatar além do limite estabelecido no plano de manejo depende da pena estipulada pelo principal (Ibama) para tal infração. Simulações indicaram que a isenção da taxa pode reduzir sensivelmente a probabilidade de desmatamento além do limite pré-estabelecido, quando existem situações favoráveis à obtenção de receitas em outras atividades.Principal-Agente, Preservação Ambiental, Ibama, Produtores de Carvão

MONITORAMENTO DO RESERVATÓRIO DE PITUAÇU, INSERIDO NA MATRIZ DE EXPANSÃO URBANA DA CIDADE DE SALVADOR - BAHIA

O reservatÛrio de PituaÁu, na matriz de expans„o urbana da cidade de Salvador (Bahia), encontra-se inserido no Parque Metropolitano de PituaÁu. Esse foi fundado em 1973 com 660 hectares e atualmente possui uma ·rea de aproximadamente 390 hectares, a reduÁ„o È consequÍncia das intervenÁıes histÛricas que ocorreram na ·rea e no entorno do reservatÛrio. O trabalho tem objetivo apresentar os resultados dos par‚metros monitorados pela Empresa Baiana de ¡guas e Saneamento (Embasa) no perÌodo entre os anos de 2007 atÈ 2015. No delineamento amostral foram distribuÌdos aleatoriamente 09 pontos, com frequÍncia de monitoramento semestral, onde apenas os par‚metros: Cloreto Total, Potencial HidrogeniÙnico, Demanda BioquÌmica de OxigÍnio, FÛsforo Total, NitrogÍnio Amoniacal, Nitrato, AlumÌnio Dissolvido, B·rio Total, C·dmio Total, Chumbo Total, Ferro Dissolvido, ManganÍs Total, Zinco Total, OxigÍnio Dissolvido, SÛlidos Dissolvidos, Sulfato Total, Turbidez, Clorofila-a, Coliformes Termotolerantes, CianobactÈrias e Cianotoxinas, apresentam resultados significativos para discutir a qualidade da ·gua do reservatÛrio. As ocupaÁıes irregulares na bacia hidrogr·fica do rio PituaÁu promovem aporte de nutrientes org‚nicos e inorg‚nicos que comprometem a qualidade da ·gua, conforme indica os par‚metros analisados. O elevado tempo de residÍncia da ·gua no reservatÛrio potencializa a degradaÁ„o dos nutrientes aportados pelas fontes antrÛpicas localizadas na bacia hidrogr·fica. As alteraÁıes observadas no monitoramento indicam variaÁıes significativas no grau de trofia do reservatÛrio, onde o mesmo flutua dentro do balanÁo hÌdrico anual entre os estados eutrÛfico e hipereutrÛfico. A qualidade da ·gua n„o atende os par‚metros destinados ao enquadramento para consumo humano e a Empresa Baiana de ¡guas e Saneamento (Embasa), apesar de possuir estrutura eficiente para o tratamento convencional, n„o utiliza o reservatÛrio para abastecimento da populaÁ„o da cidade de Salvador (Bahia). Contudo, mantÈm o programa de monitoramento ativo, visando auxiliar os Ûrg„os respons·veis pela gest„o do Parque Metropolitano de PituaÁu na definiÁ„o dos usos para o reservatÛrio

New Brazilian Floristic List Highlights Conservation Challenges

A comprehensive new inventory of Brazilian plants and fungi was published just in time to meet a 2010 Convention on Biological Diversity target and offers important insights into this biodiversity's global significance. Brazil is the home to the world's richest flora (40,989 species; 18,932 endemic) and includes two of the hottest hotspots: Mata Atlantica (19,355 species) and Cerrado (12,669 species). Although the total number of known species is one-third lower than previous estimates, the absolute number of endemic vascular plant species is higher than was previously estimated, and the proportion of endemism (56%) is the highest in the Neotropics. This compilation serves not merely to quantify the scale of the challenge faced in conserving Brazil's unique flora but also serves as a key resource to direct action and monitor progress. Similar efforts by other megadiverse countries are urgently required if the 2020 targets of the Convention on Biological Diversity and the Global Strategy for Plant Conservation are to be attained.Ministerio do Meio AmbienteMinisterio do Meio AmbienteCentro Nacional de Conservacao da FloraCentro Nacional de Conservacao da FloraNational Council for Scientific and Technological DevelopmentNational Council for Scientific and Technological DevelopmentBentham and Moxon TrustBentham and Moxon Trus

Catálogo de plantas e fungos do Brasil

"Parabenizo a todos os botânicos que contribuíram para completar o presente catálogo. O Brasil é o país que provavelmente possui a maior flora do mundo, portanto, a produção de uma lista completa dessa flora é uma extensa tarefa. Os coordenadores mobilizaram uma grande equipe de pessoas para compilar a lista, e é ótimo ver que este projeto, diferentemente do que se observa em outros países, foi coordenado no Brasil. Isto demonstra o alto nível e a capacidade da comunidade botânica brasileira que se desenvolveu rapidamente nas últimas décadas. Este catálogo, por ter sido preparado na sua maioria por especialistas dos grupos estudados, mostra quais espécies são correntemente aceitas pelos botânicos envolvidos. As espécies foram padronizadas por meio da citação de materiais-voucher, a maioria dos quais foi coletada por brasileiros e está alojada em herbários do Brasil. A informação a respeito da distribuição geográfica de cada espécie será extremamente útil para fins de conservação, e é interessante notar o número expressivo de espécies endêmicas do Brasil. Este catálogo certamente será utilizado por estudantes de diversas áreas envolvendo botânica, ecologia e outras, e tenho certeza de que a sua existência estimulará futuras pesquisas a respeito de plantas brasileiras e que a sua versão online o manterá atualizado. O desafio agora é conservar os muitos ecossistemas diferentes nos quais estas espécies ocorrem, para manter a diversidade botânica do país.

Mapping development and health effects of cooking with solid fuels in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000-18 : a geospatial modelling study

Background More than 3 billion people do not have access to clean energy and primarily use solid fuels to cook. Use of solid fuels generates household air pollution, which was associated with more than 2 million deaths in 2019. Although local patterns in cooking vary systematically, subnational trends in use of solid fuels have yet to be comprehensively analysed. We estimated the prevalence of solid-fuel use with high spatial resolution to explore subnational inequalities, assess local progress, and assess the effects on health in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) without universal access to clean fuels.Methods We did a geospatial modelling study to map the prevalence of solid-fuel use for cooking at a 5 km x 5 km resolution in 98 LMICs based on 2.1 million household observations of the primary cooking fuel used from 663 population-based household surveys over the years 2000 to 2018. We use observed temporal patterns to forecast household air pollution in 2030 and to assess the probability of attaining the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) target indicator for clean cooking. We aligned our estimates of household air pollution to geospatial estimates of ambient air pollution to establish the risk transition occurring in LMICs. Finally, we quantified the effect of residual primary solid-fuel use for cooking on child health by doing a counterfactual risk assessment to estimate the proportion of deaths from lower respiratory tract infections in children younger than 5 years that could be associated with household air pollution.Findings Although primary reliance on solid-fuel use for cooking has declined globally, it remains widespread. 593 million people live in districts where the prevalence of solid-fuel use for cooking exceeds 95%. 66% of people in LMICs live in districts that are not on track to meet the SDG target for universal access to clean energy by 2030. Household air pollution continues to be a major contributor to particulate exposure in LMICs, and rising ambient air pollution is undermining potential gains from reductions in the prevalence of solid-fuel use for cooking in many countries. We estimated that, in 2018, 205000 (95% uncertainty interval 147000-257000) children younger than 5 years died from lower respiratory tract infections that could be attributed to household air pollution.Interpretation Efforts to accelerate the adoption of clean cooking fuels need to be substantially increased and recalibrated to account for subnational inequalities, because there are substantial opportunities to improve air quality and avert child mortality associated with household air pollution. Copyright (C) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.Peer reviewe

Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of chewing tobacco use in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019 : a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Interpretation Chewing tobacco remains a substantial public health problem in several regions of the world, and predominantly in south Asia. We found little change in the prevalence of chewing tobacco use between 1990 and 2019, and that control efforts have had much larger effects on the prevalence of smoking tobacco use than on chewing tobacco use in some countries. Mitigating the health effects of chewing tobacco requires stronger regulations and policies that specifically target use of chewing tobacco, especially in countries with high prevalence. Findings In 2019, 273 center dot 9 million (95% uncertainty interval 258 center dot 5 to 290 center dot 9) people aged 15 years and older used chewing tobacco, and the global age-standardised prevalence of chewing tobacco use was 4 center dot 72% (4 center dot 46 to 5 center dot 01). 228 center dot 2 million (213 center dot 6 to 244 center dot 7; 83 center dot 29% [82 center dot 15 to 84 center dot 42]) chewing tobacco users lived in the south Asia region. Prevalence among young people aged 15-19 years was over 10% in seven locations in 2019. Although global agestandardised prevalence of smoking tobacco use decreased significantly between 1990 and 2019 (annualised rate of change: -1 center dot 21% [-1 center dot 26 to -1 center dot 16]), similar progress was not observed for chewing tobacco (0 center dot 46% [0 center dot 13 to 0 center dot 79]). Among the 12 highest prevalence countries (Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, India, Madagascar, Marshall Islands, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, Palau, Sri Lanka, and Yemen), only Yemen had a significant decrease in the prevalence of chewing tobacco use, which was among males between 1990 and 2019 (-0 center dot 94% [-1 center dot 72 to -0 center dot 14]), compared with nine of 12 countries that had significant decreases in the prevalence of smoking tobacco. Among females, none of these 12 countries had significant decreases in prevalence of chewing tobacco use, whereas seven of 12 countries had a significant decrease in the prevalence of tobacco smoking use for the period. Summary Background Chewing tobacco and other types of smokeless tobacco use have had less attention from the global health community than smoked tobacco use. However, the practice is popular in many parts of the world and has been linked to several adverse health outcomes. Understanding trends in prevalence with age, over time, and by location and sex is important for policy setting and in relation to monitoring and assessing commitment to the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. Methods We estimated prevalence of chewing tobacco use as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 using a modelling strategy that used information on multiple types of smokeless tobacco products. We generated a time series of prevalence of chewing tobacco use among individuals aged 15 years and older from 1990 to 2019 in 204 countries and territories, including age-sex specific estimates. We also compared these trends to those of smoked tobacco over the same time period. Findings In 2019, 273 & middot;9 million (95% uncertainty interval 258 & middot;5 to 290 & middot;9) people aged 15 years and older used chewing tobacco, and the global age-standardised prevalence of chewing tobacco use was 4 & middot;72% (4 & middot;46 to 5 & middot;01). 228 & middot;2 million (213 & middot;6 to 244 & middot;7; 83 & middot;29% [82 & middot;15 to 84 & middot;42]) chewing tobacco users lived in the south Asia region. Prevalence among young people aged 15-19 years was over 10% in seven locations in 2019. Although global age standardised prevalence of smoking tobacco use decreased significantly between 1990 and 2019 (annualised rate of change: -1 & middot;21% [-1 & middot;26 to -1 & middot;16]), similar progress was not observed for chewing tobacco (0 & middot;46% [0 & middot;13 to 0 & middot;79]). Among the 12 highest prevalence countries (Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, India, Madagascar, Marshall Islands, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, Palau, Sri Lanka, and Yemen), only Yemen had a significant decrease in the prevalence of chewing tobacco use, which was among males between 1990 and 2019 (-0 & middot;94% [-1 & middot;72 to -0 & middot;14]), compared with nine of 12 countries that had significant decreases in the prevalence of smoking tobacco. Among females, none of these 12 countries had significant decreases in prevalence of chewing tobacco use, whereas seven of 12 countries had a significant decrease in the prevalence of tobacco smoking use for the period. Interpretation Chewing tobacco remains a substantial public health problem in several regions of the world, and predominantly in south Asia. We found little change in the prevalence of chewing tobacco use between 1990 and 2019, and that control efforts have had much larger effects on the prevalence of smoking tobacco use than on chewing tobacco use in some countries. Mitigating the health effects of chewing tobacco requires stronger regulations and policies that specifically target use of chewing tobacco, especially in countries with high prevalence. Copyright (c) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license.Peer reviewe

Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019 : a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background Ending the global tobacco epidemic is a defining challenge in global health. Timely and comprehensive estimates of the prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden are needed to guide tobacco control efforts nationally and globally. Methods We estimated the prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden for 204 countries and territories, by age and sex, from 1990 to 2019 as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study. We modelled multiple smoking-related indicators from 3625 nationally representative surveys. We completed systematic reviews and did Bayesian meta-regressions for 36 causally linked health outcomes to estimate non-linear dose-response risk curves for current and former smokers. We used a direct estimation approach to estimate attributable burden, providing more comprehensive estimates of the health effects of smoking than previously available. Findings Globally in 2019, 1.14 billion (95% uncertainty interval 1.13-1.16) individuals were current smokers, who consumed 7.41 trillion (7.11-7.74) cigarette-equivalents of tobacco in 2019. Although prevalence of smoking had decreased significantly since 1990 among both males (27.5% [26. 5-28.5] reduction) and females (37.7% [35.4-39.9] reduction) aged 15 years and older, population growth has led to a significant increase in the total number of smokers from 0.99 billion (0.98-1.00) in 1990. Globally in 2019, smoking tobacco use accounted for 7.69 million (7.16-8.20) deaths and 200 million (185-214) disability-adjusted life-years, and was the leading risk factor for death among males (20.2% [19.3-21.1] of male deaths). 6.68 million [86.9%] of 7.69 million deaths attributable to smoking tobacco use were among current smokers. Interpretation In the absence of intervention, the annual toll of 7.69 million deaths and 200 million disability-adjusted life-years attributable to smoking will increase over the coming decades. Substantial progress in reducing the prevalence of smoking tobacco use has been observed in countries from all regions and at all stages of development, but a large implementation gap remains for tobacco control. Countries have a dear and urgent opportunity to pass strong, evidence-based policies to accelerate reductions in the prevalence of smoking and reap massive health benefits for their citizens. Copyright (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.Peer reviewe