Timing and risk factors for clinical fractures among postmenopausal women: a 5-year prospective study

BACKGROUND: Many risk factors for fractures have been documented, including low bone-mineral density (BMD) and a history of fractures. However, little is known about the short-term absolute risk (AR) of fractures and the timing of clinical fractures. Therefore, we assessed the risk and timing of incident clinical fractures, expressed as 5-year AR, in postmenopausal women. METHODS: In total, 10 general practice centres participated in this population-based prospective study. Five years after a baseline assessment, which included clinical risk factor evaluation and BMD measurement, 759 postmenopausal women aged between 50 and 80 years, were re-examined, including undergoing an evaluation of clinical fractures after menopause. Risk factors for incident fractures at baseline that were significant in univariate analyses were included in a multivariate Cox survival regression analysis. The significant determinants were used to construct algorithms. RESULTS: In the total group, 12.5% (95% confidence interval (CI) 10.1–14.9) of the women experienced a new clinical fracture. A previous clinical fracture after menopause and a low BMD (T-score <-1.0) were retained as significant predictors with significant interaction. Women with a recent previous fracture (during the past 5 years) had an AR of 50.1% (95% CI 42.0–58.1) versus 21.2% (95% CI 20.7–21.6) if the previous fracture had occurred earlier. In women without a fracture history, the AR was 13.8% (95% CI 10.9–16.6) if BMD was low and 7.0% (95% CI 5.5–8.5) if BMD was normal. CONCLUSION: In postmenopausal women, clinical fractures cluster in time. One in two women with a recent clinical fracture had a new clinical fracture within 5 years, regardless of BMD. The 5-year AR for a first clinical fracture was much lower and depended on BMD

Lower-Extremity Osteoarthritis and the Risk of Falls in a Community-Based Longitudinal Study of Adults With and Without Osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE: Knee and hip osteoarthritis (OA) are known risk factors for falls, but whether they together additionally contribute to falls risk is unknown. This study utilizes a biracial cohort of men and women to examine the influence of lower limb OA burden on the risk for future falls. METHODS: A longitudinal analysis was performed using data from 2 time points of a large cohort. The outcome of interest was falls at follow up. Covariates included age, sex, race, body mass index, a history of prior falls, symptomatic OA of the hip and/or knee, a history of neurologic or pulmonary diseases, and current use of narcotic medications. Symptomatic OA was defined as patient reported symptoms and radiographic evidence of OA in the same joint. Logistic regression analyses were used to determine associations between covariates and falls at follow-up. RESULTS: The odds of falling increased with an increasing number of lower limb symptomatic OA joints: those with 1 joint had 53% higher odds, those with 2 joints had 74% higher odds, those with 3–4 OA joints had 85% higher odds. When controlling for covariates, patients who had symptomatic knee or hip OA had an increased likelihood of falling (aOR 1.39 95% CI [1.02, 1.88]; aOR 1.60 95% CI [1.14, 2.24], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: This study reveals the risk for falls increases with additional symptomatic OA lower limb joints and confirms that symptomatic hip and knee OA are important risk factors for falls

Impact of Depression on Progression of Impairment and Disability in Early Parkinson's Disease

BACKGROUND: Depression is one of the most common nonmotor symptoms associated with Parkinson's disease (PD), yet the impact of depression on progression of disease is unclear. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to prospectively characterize the relationship between depressive symptoms and measures of disease progression in a large sample of patients with early, medically treated PD. METHODS: Baseline and longitudinal Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) scores from participants in the NINDS Exploratory Trials in PD Long Term Study 1 were correlated with changes in multiple measures of disease severity over 5 years. Multivariate analysis of predictors of change in BDI was performed. RESULTS: Of 1,741 participants, 746 completed 5‐year assessments and were included. Mean age was 62.00 years (standard deviation [SD]: 9.22) and mean disease duration was 1.69 years (SD, 1.16). Mean BDI score was 6.24 (SD, 5.02) at baseline and 8.57 (SD, 6.60) at 5 years. Baseline BDI score was strongly associated with rate of change in all examined measures of disease severity. In multivariate analysis, BDI 5‐year change was associated with change in UPDRS Part I (excluding depression item; P < 0.01), 33‐item Parkinson's Disease Questionnaire (P < 0.01), EuroQOL Five Dimensional Questionnaire (P = 0.02), and Total Functional Capacity (P < 0.01), but was not associated with motor or cognitive measures. This model explained 68.8% of the variance 5‐year change of the BDI score. CONCLUSIONS: Worse baseline BDI scores are associated with a decline in multiple measures of disease severity in PD. Worsening of BDI at 5 years was associated with worsening in UPDRS Part I and quality‐of‐life measures, but not with motor or cognitive measures