Managing the impact of change through survivability and pliability to achieve viable systems of systems

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, 2013.Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.Includes bibliographical references (p. 195-202).As technology improves, traditional systems are being interconnected into larger systems of systems (SoS) that operate in diverse contexts, where numerous perturbations exist that threaten the ability of the SoS to deliver acceptable value to its diverse set of stakeholders. Furthermore, the systems of systems themselves can change form voluntarily or involuntarily in response to contextual variability or stakeholder whims. Various system properties, or "-ilities" have been defined that may help traditional systems provide value to stakeholders in spite of change, but they have not specifically addressed the issue of systems operating within larger systems of systems. This dissertation defines the concept of viability for engineered systems, as a likelihood that systems will satisfy their stakeholder needs over the system's expected lifetime, and identifies and develops strategies that system architects can use to create viable systems. The concept of viability helps system architects design systems that can survive contextual perturbations, whether they are from entities outside the traditional system boundary, or from other constituent systems within a SoS. In addition to external perturbations, this dissertation addresses the need to ensure that endogenous changes made to improve value delivery, do not inadvertently cause unintended interactions that harm the system overall. This is particularly a concern with the proliferation of systems of systems, and the recent drive towards making systems more changeable as a mechanism for value sustainment in dynamic environments. A new "ility", pliability, is introduced that specifies the limits on how a system can change, without "breaking" or violating an architecture that was intended and validated. Like changeability, pliability increases robustness by allowing systems to voluntarily change in response to dynamic contexts, and increases survivability and robustness by increasing the likelihood that unintentional changes are still within the set of allowable instances. It also distinguishes allowable changes from those that would require validation, reducing the effort required to get those changes approved by a diverse set of stakeholders.by Brian Mekdeci.Ph.D

Dose-related effects of smallpox vaccine

BACKGROUND: We conducted a double-blind, randomized trial of three dilutions of vaccinia virus vaccine in previously unimmunized adults in order to assess the clinical success rates, humoral responses, and virus-specific activity of cytotoxic T cells and interferon-gamma-producing T cells. METHODS: Sixty healthy adults were inoculated intradermally by bifurcated needle with undiluted vaccine (dose, 10(7.8) plaque-forming units [pfu] per milliliter), a 1:10 dilution (dose, 10(6.5) pfu per milliliter), or a 1:100 dilution (dose, 10(5.0) pfu per milliliter); there were 20 subjects in each group. The subjects were monitored with respect to vesicle formation (an indicator of successful vaccination), the viral titer at the time of peak lesion formation, antiviral antibodies, and cellular immune responses. RESULTS: A vaccinia vesicle developed in 19 of the 20 subjects who received undiluted vaccine (95 percent), 14 of the 20 who received the 1:10 dilution (70 percent), and 3 of the 20 who received the 1:100 dilution (15 percent). One month after vaccination, 34 of 36 subjects with vesicles had antibody responses, as compared with only 1 of 24 subjects without clinical evidence of vaccinia virus replication. Vigorous cytotoxic T-cell and interferon-gamma responses occurred in 94 percent of subjects with vesicles, and a cytotoxic T-cell response occurred in only one subject without a vesicle. CONCLUSIONS: The vaccinia virus vaccine (which was produced in 1982 or earlier) still has substantial potency when administered by a bifurcated needle to previously unvaccinated adults. Diluting the vaccine reduces the rate of successful vaccination. The development of vesicular skin lesions after vaccination correlates with the induction of the antibody and T-cell responses that are considered essential for clearing vaccinia virus infections

D-branes in Nongeometric Backgrounds

"T-fold" backgrounds are generically-nongeometric compactifications of string theory, described by T^n fibrations over a base N with transition functions in the perturbative T-duality group. We review Hull's doubled torus formalism, which geometrizes these backgrounds, and use the formalism to constrain the D-brane spectrum (to leading order in g_s and alpha') on T^n fibrations over S^1 with O(n,n;Z) monodromy. We also discuss the (approximate) moduli space of such branes and argue that it is always geometric. For a D-brane located at a point on the base N, the classical ``D-geometry'' is a T^n fibration over a multiple cover of N.Comment: 29 pages; uses harvmac.tex; v2: substantial revision throughou

Lectures on Nongeometric Flux Compactifications

These notes present a pedagogical review of nongeometric flux compactifications. We begin by reviewing well-known geometric flux compactifications in Type II string theory, and argue that one must include nongeometric "fluxes" in order to have a superpotential which is invariant under T-duality. Additionally, we discuss some elementary aspects of the worldsheet description of nongeometric backgrounds. This review is based on lectures given at the 2007 RTN Winter School at CERN.Comment: 31 pages, JHEP

The state of the Martian climate

60°N was +2.0°C, relative to the 1981–2010 average value (Fig. 5.1). This marks a new high for the record. The average annual surface air temperature (SAT) anomaly for 2016 for land stations north of starting in 1900, and is a significant increase over the previous highest value of +1.2°C, which was observed in 2007, 2011, and 2015. Average global annual temperatures also showed record values in 2015 and 2016. Currently, the Arctic is warming at more than twice the rate of lower latitudes

Rasch analyses of the Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology Self-Report in neurodegenerative and major depressive disorders

BackgroundSymptoms of depression are present in neurodegenerative disorders (ND). It is important that depression-related symptoms be adequately screened and monitored in persons living with ND. The Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology Self-Report (QIDS-SR) is a widely-used self-report measure to assess and monitor depressive severity across different patient populations. However, the measurement properties of the QIDS-SR have not been assessed in ND.AimTo use Rasch Measurement Theory to assess the measurement properties of the Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology Self-Report (QIDS-SR) in ND and in comparison to major depressive disorder (MDD).MethodsDe-identified data from the Ontario Neurodegenerative Disease Research Initiative (NCT04104373) and Canadian Biomarker Integration Network in Depression (NCT01655706) were used in the analyses. Five hundred and twenty participants with ND (Alzheimer’s disease or mild cognitive impairment, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, cerebrovascular disease, frontotemporal dementia and Parkinson’s disease) and 117 participants with major depressive disorder (MDD) were administered the QIDS-SR. Rasch Measurement Theory was used to assess measurement properties of the QIDS-SR, including unidimensionality and item-level fit, category ordering, item targeting, person separation index and reliability and differential item functioning.ResultsThe QIDS-SR fit well to the Rasch model in ND and MDD, including unidimensionality, satisfactory category ordering and goodness-of-fit. Item-person measures (Wright maps) showed gaps in item difficulties, suggesting poor precision for persons falling between those severity levels. Differences between mean person and item measures in the ND cohort logits suggest that QIDS-SR items target more severe depression than experienced by the ND cohort. Some items showed differential item functioning between cohorts.ConclusionThe present study supports the use of the QIDS-SR in MDD and suggest that the QIDS-SR can be also used to screen for depressive symptoms in persons with ND. However, gaps in item targeting were noted that suggests that the QIDS-SR cannot differentiate participants falling within certain severity levels. Future studies would benefit from examination in a more severely depressed ND cohort, including those with diagnosed clinical depression

Common Data Elements to Facilitate Sharing and Re-use of Participant-Level Data: Assessment of Psychiatric Comorbidity Across Brain Disorders

The Ontario Brain Institute\u27s “Brain-CODE” is a large-scale informatics platform designed to support the collection, storage and integration of diverse types of data across several brain disorders as a means to understand underlying causes of brain dysfunction and developing novel approaches to treatment. By providing access to aggregated datasets on participants with and without different brain disorders, Brain-CODE will facilitate analyses both within and across diseases and cover multiple brain disorders and a wide array of data, including clinical, neuroimaging, and molecular. To help achieve these goals, consensus methodology was used to identify a set of core demographic and clinical variables that should be routinely collected across all participating programs. Establishment of Common Data Elements within Brain-CODE is critical to enable a high degree of consistency in data collection across studies and thus optimize the ability of investigators to analyze pooled participant-level data within and across brain disorders. Results are also presented using selected common data elements pooled across three studies to better understand psychiatric comorbidity in neurological disease (Alzheimer\u27s disease/amnesic mild cognitive impairment, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, cerebrovascular disease, frontotemporal dementia, and Parkinson\u27s disease)

Treatment for Mild Chronic Hypertension during Pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: The benefits and safety of the treatment of mild chronic hypertension (blood pressure, \u3c160/100 mm Hg) during pregnancy are uncertain. Data are needed on whether a strategy of targeting a blood pressure of less than 140/90 mm Hg reduces the incidence of adverse pregnancy outcomes without compromising fetal growth. METHODS: In this open-label, multicenter, randomized trial, we assigned pregnant women with mild chronic hypertension and singleton fetuses at a gestational age of less than 23 weeks to receive antihypertensive medications recommended for use in pregnancy (active-treatment group) or to receive no such treatment unless severe hypertension (systolic pressure, ≥160 mm Hg; or diastolic pressure, ≥105 mm Hg) developed (control group). The primary outcome was a composite of preeclampsia with severe features, medically indicated preterm birth at less than 35 weeks\u27 gestation, placental abruption, or fetal or neonatal death. The safety outcome was small-for-gestational-age birth weight below the 10th percentile for gestational age. Secondary outcomes included composites of serious neonatal or maternal complications, preeclampsia, and preterm birth. RESULTS: A total of 2408 women were enrolled in the trial. The incidence of a primary-outcome event was lower in the active-treatment group than in the control group (30.2% vs. 37.0%), for an adjusted risk ratio of 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74 to 0.92; P CONCLUSIONS: In pregnant women with mild chronic hypertension, a strategy of targeting a blood pressure of less than 140/90 mm Hg was associated with better pregnancy outcomes than a strategy of reserving treatment only for severe hypertension, with no increase in the risk of small-for-gestational-age birth weight. (Funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; CHAP ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02299414.)

FIV establishes a latent infection in feline peripheral blood CD4+ T lymphocytes in vivo during the asymptomatic phase of infection

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Feline immunodeficiency virus (FIV) is a lentivirus of cats that establishes a lifelong persistent infection with immunologic impairment.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>In an approximately 2 year-long experimental infection study, cats infected with a biological isolate of FIV clade C demonstrated undetectable plasma viral loads from 10 months post-infection onward. Viral DNA was detected in CD4+CD25+ and CD4+CD25- T cells isolated from infected cats whereas viral RNA was not detected at multiple time points during the early chronic phase of infection. Viral transcription could be reactivated in latently infected CD4+ T cells <it>ex vivo </it>as demonstrated by detectable FIV <it>gag </it>RNA and 2-long terminal repeat (LTR) circle junctions. Viral LTR and <it>gag </it>sequences amplified from peripheral blood mononuclear cells during early and chronic stages of infection demonstrated minimal to no viral sequence variation.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>Collectively, these findings are consistent with FIV latency in peripheral blood CD4+ T cells isolated from chronically infected cats. The ability to isolate latently FIV-infected CD4+ T lymphocytes from FIV-infected cats provides a platform for the study of <it>in vivo </it>mechanisms of lentiviral latency.</p