Warranty Data Analysis: A Review

Warranty claims and supplementary data contain useful information about product quality and reliability. Analysing such data can therefore be of benefit to manufacturers in identifying early warnings of abnormalities in their products, providing useful information about failure modes to aid design modification, estimating product reliability for deciding on warranty policy and forecasting future warranty claims needed for preparing fiscal plans. In the last two decades, considerable research has been conducted in warranty data analysis (WDA) from several different perspectives. This article attempts to summarise and review the research and developments in WDA with emphasis on models, methods and applications. It concludes with a brief discussion on current practices and possible future trends in WDA

The safety case and the lessons learned for the reliability and maintainability case

This paper examine the safety case and the lessons learned for the reliability and maintainability case

Dynamic Modeling and Statistical Analysis of Event Times

This review article provides an overview of recent work in the modeling and analysis of recurrent events arising in engineering, reliability, public health, biomedicine and other areas. Recurrent event modeling possesses unique facets making it different and more difficult to handle than single event settings. For instance, the impact of an increasing number of event occurrences needs to be taken into account, the effects of covariates should be considered, potential association among the interevent times within a unit cannot be ignored, and the effects of performed interventions after each event occurrence need to be factored in. A recent general class of models for recurrent events which simultaneously accommodates these aspects is described. Statistical inference methods for this class of models are presented and illustrated through applications to real data sets. Some existing open research problems are described.Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/088342306000000349 in the Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Inferences on the power-law process with applications to repairable systems

System testing is very time-consuming and costly, especially for complex high-cost and high-reliability systems. For this reason, the number of failures needed for the developmental phase of system testing should be relatively small in general. To assess the reliability growth of a repairable system, the generalized confidence interval and the modified signed log-likelihood ratio test for the scale parameter of the power-law process are studied concerning incomplete failure data. Specifically, some recorded failure times in the early developmental phase of system testing cannot be observed; this circumstance is essential to establish a warranty period or determine a maintenance phase for repairable systems. For the proposed generalized confidence interval, we have found that this method is not biased estimates which can be seen from the coverage probabilities obtained from this method being close to the nominal level 0.95 for all levels of γ and β. When the performance of the proposed method and the existing method are compared and validated regarding average widths, the simulation results show that the proposed method is superior to another method due to shorter average widths when the predetermined number of failures is small. For the proposed modified signed log-likelihood ratio test, we have found that this test performs well in controlling type I errors for complete failure data, and it has desirable powers for all parameters configurations even for the small number of failures. For incomplete failure data, the proposed modified signed log-likelihood ratio test is preferable to the signed log-likelihood ratio test in most situations in terms of controlling type I errors. Moreover, the proposed test also performs well when the missing ratio is up to 30% and n \u3e 10. In terms of empirical powers, the proposed modified signed log-likelihood ratio test is superior to another test for most situations. In conclusion, it is quite clear that the proposed methods, the generalized confidence interval, and the modified signed log-likelihood ratio test, are practically useful to save business costs and time during the developmental phase of system testing since the only small number of failures is required to test systems, and it yields precise results

When and By How Much Can Helper Node Selection Improve Regenerating Codes?

Regenerating codes (RCs) can significantly reduce the repair-bandwidth of distributed storage networks. Initially, the analysis of RCs was based on the assumption that during the repair process, the newcomer does not distinguish (among all surviving nodes) which nodes to access, i.e., the newcomer is oblivious to the set of helpers being used. Such a scheme is termed the blind repair (BR) scheme. Nonetheless, it is intuitive in practice that the newcomer should choose to access only those "good" helpers. In this paper, a new characterization of the effect of choosing the helper nodes in terms of the storage-bandwidth tradeoff is given. Specifically, answers to the following fundamental questions are given: Under what conditions does proactively choosing the helper nodes improve the storage-bandwidth tradeoff? Can this improvement be analytically quantified? This paper answers the former question by providing a necessary and sufficient condition under which optimally choosing good helpers strictly improves the storage-bandwidth tradeoff. To answer the latter question, a low-complexity helper selection solution, termed the family repair (FR) scheme, is proposed and the corresponding storage/repair-bandwidth curve is characterized. For example, consider a distributed storage network with 60 total number of nodes and the network is resilient against 50 node failures. If the number of helper nodes is 10, then the FR scheme and its variant demonstrate 27% reduction in the repair-bandwidth when compared to the BR solution. This paper also proves that under some design parameters, the FR scheme is indeed optimal among all helper selection schemes. An explicit construction of an exact-repair code is also proposed that can achieve the minimum-bandwidth-regenerating point of the FR scheme. The new exact-repair code can be viewed as a generalization of the existing fractional repetition code.Comment: 35 pages, 10 figures, submitted to IEEE Transactions on Information Theory on September 04, 201

Meta-analysis and forest plots for sustainability of heavy load carrier equipment used in the industrial mining environment

It is a common recommendation not to attempt a reliability analysis with a small sample size. However, this is feasible after considering certain statistical methods. One such method is meta-analysis, which can be considered to assess the effectiveness of a small sample size by combining data from different studies. The method explores the presence of heterogeneity and the robustness of the fresh large sample size using sensitivity analysis. The present study describes the approach in the reliability estimation of diesel engines and the components of industrial heavy load carrier equipment used in mines for transporting ore. A meta-analysis is carried out on field-based small-sample data for the reliability of different subsystems of the engine. The level of heterogeneity is calculated for each subsystem, which is further verified by constructing a forest plot. The level of heterogeneity was 0 for four subsystems and 2.23% for the air supply subsystem, which is very low. The result of the forest plot shows that all the plotted points mostly lie either on the center line (line of no effect) or very close to it, for all five subsystems. Hence, it was found that the grouping of an extremely small number of failure data is possible. By using this grouped TBF data, reliability analysis could be very easily carried out.The authors are grateful to FCT—Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia—who financially supported this work through the RD Units Project Scope: UIDP/04077/2020 and UIDB/04077/202

Estimating Pump Reliability using Recurrent Data Analysis for Failure Modes

Major equipment such as centrifugal pumps play an important role in oil and gas business. The main concern which is highlighted is the pumps’ performance at site whether it is reliable or instead. In this study, the analysis is done in order to estimate pump reliability using recurrent data analysis (RDA) for failure modes. Thus four centrifugal pumps in Onshore Slugcatcher (OSC) terminal are used as the case study to verify the analysis done on repairable system. The reliability and availability of the centrifugal pumps could be determined using parametric recurrent data analysis approach. Thus the data regarding the centrifugal pumps operated in Onshore Slugcatcher terminal is collected from PETRONAS Carigali Sdn. Bhd before they will be further analysed using reliability software such as Weibull++ and BlockSim from ReliaSoft Corporation. Based on the explanatory results, the failure modes of respective centrifugal pumps are identified and categorized based on ISO 14224 standard. Next, Weibull++ software is used to determine the failure and repair distributions, while the reliability block diagram of the pump by failure modes is generated using BlockSim. The reliability and availability by failure modes and pump units are determined. The further analysis is hoped will benefit the maintenance team to come up with better maintenance strategy to improve the pumps’ performance. Keywords: Recurrent Data Analysis (RDA), Repairable System, Reliability Block Diagram, Centrifugal pump