637 research outputs found

    A refined approach for forecasting based on neutrosophic time series

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    This research introduces a neutrosophic forecasting approach based on neutrosophic time series (NTS). Historical data can be transformed into neutrosophic time series data to determine their truth, indeterminacy and falsity functions. The basis for the neutrosophication process is the score and accuracy functions of historical data. In addition, neutrosophic logical relationship groups (NLRGs) are determined and a deneutrosophication method for NTS is presented. The objective of this research is to suggest an idea of first-and high-order NTS. By comparing our approach with other approaches, we conclude that the suggested approach of forecasting gets better results compared to the other existing approaches of fuzzy, intuitionistic fuzzy, and neutrosophic time series

    The Forecasting of Labour Force Participation and the Unemployment Rate in Poland and Turkey Using Fuzzy Time Series Methods

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    Fuzzy time series methods based on the fuzzy set theory proposed by Zadeh (1965) was first introduced by Song and Chissom (1993). Since fuzzy time series methods do not have the assumptions that traditional time series do and have effective forecasting performance, the interest on fuzzy time series approaches is increasing rapidly. Fuzzy time series methods have been used in almost all areas, such as environmental science, economy and finance. The concepts of labour force participation and unemployment have great importance in terms of both the economy and sociology of countries. For this reason there are many studies on their forecasting. In this study, we aim to forecast the labour force participation and unemployment rate in Poland and Turkey using different fuzzy time series methods

    Review of fuzzy techniques in maritime shipping operations

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    A New Method for Short Multivariate Fuzzy Time Series Based on Genetic Algorithm and Fuzzy Clustering

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    Forecasting activities play an important role in our daily life. In recent years, fuzzy time series (FTS) methods were developed to deal with forecasting problems. FTS attracted researchers because of its ability to predict the future values in some critical situations where most standard forecasting models are doubtfully applicable or produce bad fittings. However, some critical issues in FTS are still open; these issues are often subjective and affect the accuracy of forecasting. In this paper, we focus on improving the accuracy of FTS forecasting methods. The new method integrates the fuzzy clustering and genetic algorithm with FTS to reduce subjectivity and improve its accuracy. In the new method, the genetic algorithm is responsible for selecting the proper model. Also, the fuzzy clustering algorithm is responsible for fuzzifying the historical data, based on its membership degrees to each cluster, and using these memberships to defuzzify the results. This method provides better forecasting accuracy when compared with other extant researches

    Research of fuzzy time series model based on fuzzy entropy and fuzzy clustering

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    时间序列预测是通过对有限个历史观测样本进行分析来建立模型,并利用模型来解释数据之间的统计规律,以期达到控制和预报目的的一门学科,在众多领域中都有非常广泛的应用。对于时间序列的建模和预测,目前已经有了许多成熟的技术和方法,但传统时间序列预测方法往往依赖大量的历史数据,而在实际问题中由于不确定性的广泛存在导致历史数据往往是不完整的、不准确的和含糊的,因而限制了传统预测模型的应用。为了解决这些问题,Song和Chissom提出了模糊时间序列的概念,其主要是在传统时间序列预测的基础上引入了模糊理论,通过建立相应的模糊逻辑关系进行预测。由于模糊时间序列在处理数据的不确定性和模糊性方面上所显示的优势,关于...Time series forecasting is modeled by limited historical observations sample, it is a technology of using the model to explain the statistical regularity of data in order to achieve the purpose of control and forecast and having a wide range of applications in many fields. For time series modeling and forecasting, there are many mature technologies and methods. The traditional time series predicti...学位:理学硕士院系专业:数学科学学院_概率论与数理统计学号:1902010115250

    Women in Artificial intelligence (AI)

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    This Special Issue, entitled "Women in Artificial Intelligence" includes 17 papers from leading women scientists. The papers cover a broad scope of research areas within Artificial Intelligence, including machine learning, perception, reasoning or planning, among others. The papers have applications to relevant fields, such as human health, finance, or education. It is worth noting that the Issue includes three papers that deal with different aspects of gender bias in Artificial Intelligence. All the papers have a woman as the first author. We can proudly say that these women are from countries worldwide, such as France, Czech Republic, United Kingdom, Australia, Bangladesh, Yemen, Romania, India, Cuba, Bangladesh and Spain. In conclusion, apart from its intrinsic scientific value as a Special Issue, combining interesting research works, this Special Issue intends to increase the invisibility of women in AI, showing where they are, what they do, and how they contribute to developments in Artificial Intelligence from their different places, positions, research branches and application fields. We planned to issue this book on the on Ada Lovelace Day (11/10/2022), a date internationally dedicated to the first computer programmer, a woman who had to fight the gender difficulties of her times, in the XIX century. We also thank the publisher for making this possible, thus allowing for this book to become a part of the international activities dedicated to celebrating the value of women in ICT all over the world. With this book, we want to pay homage to all the women that contributed over the years to the field of AI

    Pertanika Journal of Science & Technology

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    Machine learning for multivariate time series with the R package mlmts

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    Financiado para publicación en acceso aberto: Universidade da Coruña/CISUG[Abstract]: Time series data are ubiquitous nowadays. Whereas most of the literature on the topic deals with univariate time series, multivariate time series have typically received much less attention. However, the development of machine learning algorithms for the latter objects has substantially increased in recent years. The R package mlmts attempts to provide a set of widespread data mining techniques for multivariate series. Several functions allowing the execution of clustering, classification, outlier detection and forecasting methods, among others, are included in the package. mlmts also incorporates a collection of multivariate time series datasets often used to test the performance of new classification algorithms. The main characteristics of the package are described and its use is illustrated through various examples. Practitioners from a wide variety of fields could benefit from the general framework provided by mlmts.This research has been supported by the Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (MINECO) grants MTM2017-82724-R and PID2020-113578RB-100, the Xunta de Galicia (Grupos de Referencia Competitiva ED431C-2020-14), and the Centro de Investigación del Sistema Universitario de Galicia, “CITIC” grant ED431G 2019/01; all of them through the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF). This work has received funding for open access charge by University of A Coruña/CISUG.Xunta de Galicia; ED431C-2020-14Xunta de Galicia; ED431G 2019/0
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