Does clinical mastitis in the first 100 days of lactation 1 predict increased mastitis occurrence and shorter herd life in dairy cows?

The objectives of this study were to estimate the direct effects of clinical mastitis (CM) occurring in early productive life (defined as the first 100 d of the first lactation) of Holstein dairy cows on the future rate of CM occurrence and on the length of total productive lifetime. Information on CM cases and other data occurring in 55,144 lactations in 24,831 cows in 5 New York State Holstein herds was collected from January 2004 until February 2014. For the first objective, a generalized linear mixed model with a Poisson distribution was used to study the effects of CM cases occurring in the first 100 d of a cow's first lactation, as well as farm indicator and number of days in the cow's lifetime, on the future lifetime rate of CM. Only cows that had completed their productive life [i.e., all had been culled (or sold) or had died; n = 14,440 cows] were included in this analysis. For the second objective, a Cox proportional hazards model was used to study the effects of CM cases occurring in the first 100 d of a cow's first lactation on the length of total productive lifetime. The model was stratified by farm. All 24,831 cows were included in this analysis with right censoring. Cows experienced between 0 and 4 CM cases in the first 100 d of lactation 1. Over their lifetime, cows experienced between 0 and 25 CM cases. During the study period, 10% of all cows died and nearly half of all cows were culled. The average length of productive life, including censored observations, was 2.0 yr after first calving. Compared with cows having no CM cases in the first 100 d of lactation 1, cows with 1 CM case in that time period had a 1.5 times higher rate of total number of CM cases over their lifetime. Cows with 2 (or 3 or more) CM cases in the first 100 d of lactation 1 had a 1.7 times (or 2.6 times) higher rate of total number of CM cases over their lifetime. For each additional CM case occurring in the first 100 d of lactation 1, the hazard rate of culling increased by 34%. Given economic conditions for preferentially culling mastitic cows, the study findings may help farmers make optimal decisions with regard to culling of such cows.</p

Use of a dynamic programming model to estimate the value of clinical mastitis treatment and prevention options utilized by dairy producers

This study discusses and demonstrates the construction and application of a specially structured dynamic programming replacement and insemination optimization and simulation model of the dairy cow that includes detailed representation of repeated episodes of clinical mastitis (CM). The application determined optimal individual cow decisions, which were then compared with mastitis culling rules of thumb to determine the deviation of these rules from optimality. Calculation of break-even values of applying a preventive measure to reduce CM incidence or severity in the form of two fictitious mastitis vaccines were also carried out. Model input parameters were based on data from five large dairy herds in New York State (about 16,000 lactations), but these parameters can be easily changed for other types of dairy operations. To demonstrate the usefulness of this model to assist individual cow CM treatment options, the cost of the decision to cull a third lactation cow, six months after calving, with the first case of CM, was negative $3 USD for a low milk producing open or pregnant cow (i.e. cull), and positive$850 USD for a high milk producing and pregnant cow (i.e. treat even with extremely high treatment cost). Compared with the model recommended optimal policy, a rule of thumb decision to routinely treat all cows with a first case of CM resulted in an additional cost of $2 per cow per year, a very low deviation from optimality and suggests all cows should be given a second chance. A policy of replacing all CM cows after their second CM case after treatment of the first CM incident resulted in an additional cost of$27 per cow per year. If the decision was to replace all cows only after their third CM case this cost estimate was $8. The cost-benefit of applying two fictitious vaccinations showed that a vaccination reducing the milk loss caused by Gram-negative CM by 50$14 per cow per year. A vaccination that would result in additional reduction of the risk of CM by 50% had a break-even cost of $37 per cow per year.Dairy cows Dynamic programming Mastitis