Open TURNS: An industrial software for uncertainty quantification in simulation

The needs to assess robust performances for complex systems and to answer tighter regulatory processes (security, safety, environmental control, and health impacts, etc.) have led to the emergence of a new industrial simulation challenge: to take uncertainties into account when dealing with complex numerical simulation frameworks. Therefore, a generic methodology has emerged from the joint effort of several industrial companies and academic institutions. EDF R&D, Airbus Group and Phimeca Engineering started a collaboration at the beginning of 2005, joined by IMACS in 2014, for the development of an Open Source software platform dedicated to uncertainty propagation by probabilistic methods, named OpenTURNS for Open source Treatment of Uncertainty, Risk 'N Statistics. OpenTURNS addresses the specific industrial challenges attached to uncertainties, which are transparency, genericity, modularity and multi-accessibility. This paper focuses on OpenTURNS and presents its main features: openTURNS is an open source software under the LGPL license, that presents itself as a C++ library and a Python TUI, and which works under Linux and Windows environment. All the methodological tools are described in the different sections of this paper: uncertainty quantification, uncertainty propagation, sensitivity analysis and metamodeling. A section also explains the generic wrappers way to link openTURNS to any external code. The paper illustrates as much as possible the methodological tools on an educational example that simulates the height of a river and compares it to the height of a dyke that protects industrial facilities. At last, it gives an overview of the main developments planned for the next few years

Optimizing Compressive Strength Properties of Binary Blended Cement Rice Husk Concrete for Road Pavement

Different supplementary cementitious materials are often blended with cement to produce sustainable concrete. More often than not, the strength of blended concrete is compromised, if the constituent materials are not carefully selected. In this study, optimization of strength properties of blended cement-rice husk ash (RHA) was carried out to determine the best mix ratio that produced binary blended concrete of high strength. Different mix ratios of cement and RHA were studied at a water cement ratio of 0.4 to produce concrete specimens. RHA was produced by burning 700 ℃ for an hour and its chemical composition was determined using the X-Ray Fluoresce (XRF) technique. RHA produced was used to replace cement at replacement levels of 2.5, 5, 7.5, and 10 %, and was used as binder. The compressive strength of each concrete mix was determined at 7, 28, and 56 days. Approximately 250 concrete cubes were tested and the results were subjected to statistical analysis. The results showed that compressive strength and internal structure varied with RHA as a replacement for cement. Optimal strength was achieved for a concrete mixture, prepared at a water: cement: aggregate ratio of 1:1.5:3, respectively, and a RHA replacement ratio of 5 %. HIGHLIGHTS Cement is the most utilized construction material. The energy-intensive processes that are involved in its production contribute up to 10 % of total global CO2emissions, with potentially adverse environmental implications. It is however possible, that energy and cost efficiency can be achieved by reducing on the amount of clinker, and in its place utilising supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs) or pozzolans Currently, most sustainable concrete uses either GGBS (slag) or PFA (fly ash) to reduce the quantity of cement used in construction and highways applications. GGBS and PFA come from industries (steel and coal waste respectively) which are in decline that should not be relied upon in the long term. Therefore, for long term sustainability it is imperative to focus attention on other alternative pozzolans This report shows that cement in concrete can also be replaced with rice husk ash (RHA) which actually enhances the mechanical properties. Findings show the usage of up to 5 % rice husk ash as a partial cement replacement can enhance the strength of concrete whilst reducing the embodied CO

Minimum-Width Confidence Bands via Constraint Optimization

Peer reviewe

Asperities and barriers on the seismogenic zone in North Chile: state-of-the-art after the 2007 Mw 7.7 Tocopilla earthquake inferred by GPS and InSAR data

The Mw 7.7 2007 November 14 earthquake had an epicentre located close to the city of Tocopilla, at the southern end of a known seismic gap in North Chile. Through modelling of Global Positioning System (GPS) and radar interferometry (InSAR) data, we show that this event ruptured the deeper part of the seismogenic interface (30–50 km) and did not reach the surface. The earthquake initiated at the hypocentre and was arrested ~150 km south, beneath the Mejillones Peninsula, an area already identified as an important structural barrier between two segments of the Peru–Chile subduction zone. Our preferred models for the Tocopilla main shock show slip concentrated in two main asperities, consistent with previous inversions of seismological data. Slip appears to have propagated towards relatively shallow depths at its southern extremity, under the Mejillones Peninsula. Our analysis of post-seismic deformation suggests that small but still significant post-seismic slip occurred within the first 10 d after the main shock, and that it was mostly concentrated at the southern end of the rupture. The post-seismic deformation occurring in this period represents ~12–19 per cent of the coseismic deformation, of which ~30–55 per cent has been released aseismically. Post-seismic slip appears to concentrate within regions that exhibit low coseismic slip, suggesting that the afterslip distribution during the first month of the post-seismic interval complements the coseismic slip. The 2007 Tocopilla earthquake released only ~2.5 per cent of the moment deficit accumulated on the interface during the past 130 yr and may be regarded as a possible precursor of a larger subduction earthquake rupturing partially or completely the 500-km-long North Chile seismic gap

Belief formation in a signaling game without common prior: an experiment

Using belief elicitation, the paper investigates the process of belief formation and evolution in a signaling game in which a common prior is not induced. Both prior and posterior beliefs of Receivers about Senders' types are elicited, as well as beliefs of Senders about Receivers' strategies. In the experiment, subjects often start with diffuse uniform beliefs and update them in view of observations. However, the speed of updating is influenced by the strength of initial beliefs. An interesting result is that beliefs about the prior distribution of types are updated slower than posterior beliefs, which incorporate Senders' strategies. In the medium run, for some specifications of game parameters, this leads to outcomes being significantly different from the outcomes of the game in which a common prior is induced. It is also shown that elicitation of beliefs does not considerably change the pattern of play in this game

T2K ECAL Test–beam Proposal

The T2K experiment will search for the last unknown element of the neutrino mixing matrix. An crucial component of the near detector for this experiment is the electromagnetic calorimeter which is being built in the UK. Testbeam time is requested to test the full ECAL system, validate calibration techniques, and determine the hadronic and electromagnetic energy scale of the calorimeter