82 research outputs found

    Understanding variability in root zone storage capacity in boreal regions

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    The root zone storage capacity (Sr) of vegetation is an important parameter in the hydrological behaviour of a catchment. Traditionally, Sr is derived from soil and vegetation data. However, more recently a new method has been developed that uses climate data to estimate Sr based on the assumption that vegetation adapts its root zone storage capacity to overcome dry periods. This method also enables one to take into account temporal variability of derived Sr values resulting from changes in climate or land cover. The current study applies this new method in 64 catchments in Finland to investigate the reasons for variability in Sr in boreal regions. Relations were assessed between climate-derived Sr values and climate variables (precipitation-potential evaporation rate, mean annual temperature, max snow water equivalent, snow-off date), detailed vegetation characteristics (leaf cover, tree length, root biomass), and vegetation types. The results show that in particular the phase difference between snow-off date and onset of potential evaporation has a large influence on the derived Sr values. Further to this it is found that (non-)coincidence of snow melt and potential evaporation could cause a division between catchments with a high and a low Sr value. It is concluded that the climate-derived root zone storage capacity leads to plausible Sr values in boreal areas and that, apart from climate variables, catchment vegetation characteristics can also be directly linked to the derived Sr values. As the climate-derived Sr enables incorporating climatic and vegetation conditions in a hydrological parameter, it could be beneficial to assess the effects of changing climate and environmental conditions in boreal regions.</p

    Influence of soil and climate on root zone storage capacity

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    Root zone storage capacity (Sr) is an important variable for hydrology and climate studies, as it strongly influences the hydrological functioning of a catchment and, via evaporation, the local climate. Despite its importance, it remains difficult to obtain a wellâ founded catchment representative estimate. This study tests the hypothesis that vegetation adapts its Sr to create a buffer large enough to sustain the plant during drought conditions of a certain critical strength (with a certain probability of exceedance). Following this method, Sr can be estimated from precipitation and evaporative demand data. The results of this â climateâ based methodâ are compared with traditional estimates from soil data for 32 catchments in New Zealand. The results show that the differences between catchments in climateâ derived catchment representative Sr values are larger than for soilâ derived Sr values. Using a model experiment, we show that the climateâ derived Sr can better reproduce hydrological regime signatures for humid catchments; for more arid catchments, the soil and climate methods perform similarly. This makes the climateâ based Sr a valuable addition for increasing hydrological understanding and reducing hydrological model uncertainty.Key Points:Plants develop their root systems to survive droughtsModel root zone storage capacity (Sr) can be inferred from climate recordsModel experiment shows that Sr is stronger influenced by climate than by soilPeer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/137190/1/wrcr21890.pdfhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/137190/2/wrcr21890_am.pd

    No nosocomial transmission under standard hygiene precautions in short term contact patients in case of an unexpected ESBL or Q&amp;A E. coli positive patient:a one-year prospective cohort study within three regional hospitals

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    Background: Many Highly Resistant Gram Negative Rod (HR-GNR) positive patients are found unexpectedly in clinical cultures, besides patients who are screened and isolated based on risk factors. As unexpected HR-GNR positive patients are isolated after detection, transmission to contact patients possibly occurred. The added value of routine contact tracing in such situations within hospitals with standard hygiene precautions is unknown. Methods: In 2014, this study was performed as a prospective cohort study. Index patients were defined as those tested unexpectedly HR-GNR positive in clinical cultures to diagnose a possible infection and were nursed under standard hygiene precautions before tested positive. After detection they were nursed in contact isolation. Contact patients were still hospitalized and shared the same room with the index patient for at least 12 h. HR-GNR screening was performed by culturing a rectal and throat swab. Clonal relatedness of HR-GNR isolates was determined using whole genome sequencing (WGS). Results: Out of 152 unexpected HR-GNR positive patients, 35 patients (23.0%) met our inclusion criteria for index patient. ESBL E. coli was found most frequently (n = 20, 57.1%), followed by Q&A E. coli (n = 10, 28.6%), ESBL K. pneumoniae (n = 3, 8.5%), ESBL R. ornithinolytica (n = 1, 2.9%) and multi resistant P. aeruginosa (n = 1, 2.9%). After contact tracing, 69 patients were identified as contact patient of an index patient, with a median time between start of contact and sampling of 3 days. None were found HR-GNR positive by nosocomial transmission. Conclusions: In a local setting within hospitals with standard hygiene precautions, routine contact tracing among unexpected HR-GNR positive patients may be replaced by appropriate surveillance as we found no nosocomial transmission in short term contacts

    Prevalence, risk factors and molecular epidemiology of highly resistant gram negative rods in hospitalized patients in the Dutch region Kennemerland

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    Abstract Background This paper describes (1) the Highly Resistant Gram Negative Rod (HR-GNR) prevalence rate, (2) their genotypes, acquired resistance genes and (3) associated risk factors of HR-GNR colonization among the hospitalized population in the Dutch region Kennemerland. Methods Between 1 October 2013 and 31 March 2014, cross-sectional prevalence measurements were performed in three regional hospitals as part of each hospitals infection control program. Rectal swabs were analyzed at the Regional Public Health Laboratory Kennemerland by direct culturing. Genotypes and acquired resistance genes of positive isolates were determined using Whole Genome Sequencing with the MiSeq instrument (Illumina). Association between several independent variables and HR-GNR positivity was examined using logistic regression models. Results Out of 427 patients, 24 HR-GNR positive isolates were recovered from 22 patients, resulting in a regional HR-GNR colonization prevalence (95 % CI) of 5.2 % (3.6–7.9). Of these 22 positive patients, 15 were Extended Spectrum Beta-Lactamase (ESBL) positive (3.5 % (2.1–5.7)), 7 patients were positive for a Fluoroquinolones and Aminoglycosides (Q&A) resistant Enterobacteriaceae (1.6 % (0.8–3.3)) and from one patient (0.2 % (0–1.3)) a Stenotrophomonas maltophilia resistant towards co-trimoxazole was isolated. No carbapenemase producing Enterobacteriaceae (CPE), multi-resistant Acinetobacter species or multi-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa were isolated. The ESBL genes found were bla CTX-M-1 (n = 4, 25.0 %), bla CTX-M-15 (n = 3, 18.8 %), bla CTX-M-27 (n = 2, 12.5 %), bla CTX-M-14b (n = 2, 12.5 %), bla CTX-M-9 (n = 2, 12.5 %), bla CTX-M-14 (n = 1, 6.3 %), bla CTX-M-3 (n = 1, 6.3 %), bla SHV-11 (n = 1, 6.3 %) and bla SHV-12 (n = 1, 6.3 %). Being known HR-GNR positive in the past was the only significant associated risk factor for HR-GNR positivity, odds ratio (95 % CI): 7.32 (1.82–29.35), p-value = 0.005. Conclusions Similar ESBL prevalence rates and genotypes (3.5 %) were found in comparison to other Dutch studies. When previously HR-GNR positive patients are readmitted, they should be screened for HR-GNR colonization since colonization with GR-GNRs could be prolonged. We recommend for future studies to include all defined HR-GNRs in addition to ESBLs in prevalence studies, in order to obtain a more comprehensive overview of colonization with HR-GNRs

    The Rotterdam Study: 2012 objectives and design update

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    The Rotterdam Study is a prospective cohort study ongoing since 1990 in the city of Rotterdam in The Netherlands. The study targets cardiovascular, endocrine, hepatic, neurological, ophthalmic, psychiatric, dermatological, oncological, and respiratory diseases. As of 2008, 14,926 subjects aged 45 years or over comprise the Rotterdam Study cohort. The findings of the Rotterdam Study have been presented in over a 1,000 research articles and reports (see www.erasmus-epidemiology.nl/rotterdamstudy). This article gives the rationale of the study and its design. It also presents a summary of the major findings and an update of the objectives and methods

    PRETERM BIRTH AND FETAL GROWTH RESTRICTION IN HIV-INFECTED BRAZILIAN PREGNANT WOMEN

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    Introduction: Maternal HIV infection and related co-morbidities may have two outstanding consequences to fetal health: mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) and adverse perinatal outcomes. After Brazilian success in reducing MTCT, the attention must now be diverted to the potentially increased risk for preterm birth (PTB) and intrauterine fetal growth restriction (IUGR). Objective: To determine the prevalence of PTB and IUGR in low income, antiretroviral users, publicly assisted, HIV-infected women and to verify its relation to the HIV infection stage. Patients and Methods: Out of 250 deliveries from HIV-infected mothers that delivered at a tertiary public university hospital in the city of Vitória, state of Espírito Santo, Southeastern Brazil, from November 2001 to May 2012, 74 single pregnancies were selected for study, with ultrasound validated gestational age (GA) and data on birth dimensions: fetal weight (FW), birth length (BL), head and abdominal circumferences (HC, AC). The data were extracted from clinical and pathological records, and the outcomes summarized as proportions of preterm birth (PTB, < 37 weeks), low birth weight (LBW, < 2500g) and small (SGA), adequate (AGA) and large (LGA) for GA, defined as having a value below, between or beyond the ±1.28 z/GA score, the usual clinical cut-off to demarcate the 10th and 90th percentiles. Results: PTB was observed in 17.5%, LBW in 20.2% and SGA FW, BL, HC and AC in 16.2%, 19.1%, 13.8%, and 17.4% respectively. The proportions in HIV-only and AIDS cases were: PTB: 5.9 versus 27.5%, LBW: 14.7% versus 25.0%, SGA BW: 17.6% versus 15.0%, BL: 6.0% versus 30.0%, HC: 9.0% versus 17.9%, and AC: 13.3% versus 21.2%; only SGA BL attained a significant difference. Out of 15 cases of LBW, eight (53.3%) were preterm only, four (26.7%) were SGA only, and three (20.0%) were both PTB and SGA cases. A concomitant presence of, at least, two SGA dimensions in the same fetus was frequent. Conclusions: The proportions of preterm birth and low birth weight were higher than the local and Brazilian prevalence and a trend was observed for higher proportions of SGA fetal dimensions than the expected population distribution in this small casuistry of newborn from the HIV-infected, low income, antiretroviral users, and publicly assisted pregnant women. A trend for higher prevalence of PTB, LBW and SGA fetal dimensions was also observed in infants born to mothers with AIDS compared to HIV-infected mothers without AIDS

    Added value of distribution in rainfall-runoff models for the Meuse basin

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    Why do equal precipitation events not lead to equal discharge events across space and time? The easy answer would be because catchments are different, which then leads to the second question: Why do hydrologists often use the same rainfall-runoff model for different catchments? Probably because specifying and distributing hydrological processes across catchments is not straightforward. It requires catchment data and proper tools to evaluate the details and spatial representation of the modelled processes. However, making a model more specific and distributed can improve the performance and predictive power of the hydrological model. Therefore, this thesis evaluates the added value of including spatial characteristics in rainfall-runoff models.Most model experiments in this thesis are carried out in the Ourthe catchment, a subcatchment of the Meuse basin. This catchment has a strong seasonal behaviour, responds quickly to precipitation and has a large influence on peak flows in the Meuse. It has a variety of landscapes, among which steep forested slopes and flat agricultural fields.This thesis proposes a new evaluation framework (Framework to Assess Realism of Model structures (FARM)), based on different characteristics of the hydrograph (hydrological signatures). Key element of this framework is that it evaluates both performance (good reproduction of signatures) and consistency (reproduction of multiple signatures with the same parameter set). This framework is used together with various other model evaluation tools to evaluate models at three levels: internal model behaviour, model performance and consistency, and predictive power.The root zone storage capacity (Sr) of vegetation is an important parameter in conceptual rainfall-runoff models. It largely determines the partitioning of precipitation into evaporation and discharge. Distribution of a climate derived Sr-value (i.e., based on precipitation and evaporation) was compared with Sr-values derived from soil samples in 32 New Zealand catchments. The comparison is based on spatial patterns and a model experiment. It is concluded that climate is a better estimator for Sr than soil, especially in wet catchments. Within the Meuse basin, climate derived Sr -values have been estimated as well; applying these newly derived storage estimates improved model results.Two types of distribution have been tested for the Ourthe catchment: the distribution of meteorological forcing and the distribution of model structure. The distribution of forcing was based on spatially variable precipitation and potential evaporation. These were averaged at different levels within in the model, thereby creating four levels of model state distribution. The model structure was distributed by using two hydrological response units (HRUs), representing wetlands and hillslopes. Eventually, a lumped and a distributed model structure were compared, each with four levels of model state (forcing) distribution. From this, it is concluded that distribution of model structure is more important than distribution of forcing. However, if the model structure is distributed, the forcing should be distributed as well.Knowing that distribution of model structure is relevant, more detailed process conceptualisations have been tested for the Ourthe Orientale, a subcatchment of the Ourthe. An additional agricultural HRU was introduced for which Hortonian overland flow and frost in the topsoil are assumed to be relevant. In addition, a degree-day based snow module has been added to all HRUs. Adding these process conceptualisations improved the performance and consistency of the model on an event basis. However, the implemented processes and the related signatures are sensitive to errors in forcing and model outliers and should therefore be implemented carefully.This thesis finishes with two explorative comparisons; one comparing the newly developed model of the Ourthe Orientale catchment with other catchments; the second between the newly developed model and other models, including the HBV configuration currently used for operational forecasting in the Meuse basin. These comparisons were carried out based on visual inspections of parts of the hydrograph. The results show that the newly developed model can be applied in neighbouring catchments with similar performance. The comparison with other models demonstrates that a very quick overland flow component and a parallel configuration of fast and slow runoff generating reservoirs is important to reproduce the dynamics of the hydrograph related to different time scales. Both aspects are included in the newly developed model. As a results, the newly developed model is better able to reproduce most of the dynamics of the hydrograph than the operational HBV configuration, used at the moment of writing. Distribution and detailed process conceptualisation are very beneficial for rainfall-runoff modelling of the Ourthe catchment. However, they should be applied with care. Conceptual models are a strong simplification of reality. When confronting them only with discharge data, there is a risk of misinterpreting other hydrological processes.This thesis suggests two possible opportunities to further improve conceptual models. First, catchment understanding could be increased by adding more physical meaning to the models, such as the climate derived root zone storage capacity. And second, remote sensing and plot scale data could be combined to link hydrological processes at different scales. In this way conceptual models can probably be used to get more insight into scaling issues, which occur when moving from hillslope to catchment scale.Water Resource

    Understanding variability in root zone storage capacity in boreal regions

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    Abstract The root zone storage capacity (Sr) of vegetation is an important parameter in the hydrological behaviour of a catchment. Traditionally, Sr is derived from soil and vegetation data. However, more recently a new method has been developed that uses climate data to estimate Sr based on the assumption that vegetation adapts its root zone storage capacity to overcome dry periods. This method also enables one to take into account temporal variability of derived Sr values resulting from changes in climate or land cover. The current study applies this new method in 64 catchments in Finland to investigate the reasons for variability in Sr in boreal regions. Relations were assessed between climate-derived Sr values and climate variables (precipitation-potential evaporation rate, mean annual temperature, max snow water equivalent, snow-off date), detailed vegetation characteristics (leaf cover, tree length, root biomass), and vegetation types. The results show that in particular the phase difference between snow-off date and onset of potential evaporation has a large influence on the derived Sr values. Further to this it is found that (non-)coincidence of snow melt and potential evaporation could cause a division between catchments with a high and a low Sr value. It is concluded that the climate-derived root zone storage capacity leads to plausible Sr values in boreal areas and that, apart from climate variables, catchment vegetation characteristics can also be directly linked to the derived Sr values. As the climate-derived Sr enables incorporating climatic and vegetation conditions in a hydrological parameter, it could be beneficial to assess the effects of changing climate and environmental conditions in boreal regions
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