Ravi Batra. Dharma and Depressions: A Review of "The Great Depression of 1990". New York: Simon and Schuster. 1987.

Professor Ravi Batra's research and reflection have lead him to believe that the world is headed, more or less inexorably, towards a major depression "of the same, if not greater, severity" than the one of the ninteen-thirties. He explains that he has written the book to warn people and he provides a set of investment and financial tips, so that the reader can avoid personal disaster in the "impending cataclysm". Batra's tone is light, pleasant but totally self-assured; he "fervently hopes that his prophecies turn out to be totally wrong" but he does not expect this outcome. One must accept that the book is a serious effort at scholarship and analysis and that Batra truly believes in his underlying model and the forecasts it produces. I stress this because there are many passages, even entire sections, in the book which, taken by themselves, might lead one to suspect that the book is a hoax and that the author is having fun at our expense. But, let us reject this possibility and attempt to deal seriously with this presumably serious book

Underemployment in Pakistan

The paper measures the degree of underemployment in Pakistan through direct and indirect approaches. In the direct approach, persons working for less than 35 hours per week are classified as underemployed. The indirect approach uses estimates of productivity per worker to determine underemployment in different sectors. The study concludes that underemployment in Pakistan is small and is largely concentrated in family organized production units in agriculture, trade and services

Effects of burn status and conditioning on colonization of wood by stream macroinvertebrates

The combination of changing climate and anthropogenic activities is increasing the probability of fire around the world. When fires occur in riparian zones, associated tree mortality can add wood to streams directly, or wood may fall onto the forest floor and remain there for some time before moving into stream channels. Because wood provides critical structure for aquatic macroinvertebrates, our objectives were to assess the effects of wood burn status, conditioning, and their interaction on (1) aquatic taxa community composition; (2) taxa and functional diversities; and (3) trait affinities. We conducted a field experiment using pieces of freshly-cut wood for which we first manipulated the burn status (burned, unburned). We then manipulated conditioning status by placing pieces directly into streams (no conditioning), leaving other pieces in streams for a year (water conditioning), or on the forest floor for a year before submergence (soil conditioning). Analyses included distance based redundancy analysis and linear mixed-effects modeling. Our results demonstrated that changes in wood quality resulting from fire may not alter per se the structure of macroinvertebrate communities. Conditioning status, however, had significant effects on taxonomic composition, taxa and functional diversities, and trait affinities of wood invertebrate communities. The terrestrial legacy of soil conditioning was clearly important in structuring macroinvertebrate assemblages. Furthermore, taxonomic and functional patterns of stream macroinvertebrate colonization were not substantially different between burned and unburned wood, even after a year of incubation in the stream or on the forest floor. This is an important finding for the research topic on how wildfire structures aquatic communities. This information can function as a guide for post-fire stream and riparian management operations taking ecosystem function into account

TFT & ULSIC: Interfacing large-area thin-film sensor arrays with CMOS circuits

Large-area, conformable sensing surfaces could find many applications by interfacing humans or machines users with their environment. Given the success of TFT backplanes for flat-panel displays, a promising approach is the fabrication of large integrated thin-film sensor arrays on single substrates. In thin-film technology the number of sensors can be made very large, and they can be deployed on rigid or flexible, conformably shapeable or even elastically stretchable substrates. Flat-panel displays suggest that TFT integration can be less costly than arrays made by placing and interconnecting discrete sensels. Equally important is that low-temperature thin-film technology can accommodate the diversity of materials required by the various sensor technologies. However, thin-film devices and circuits are slow. TFT circuits cannot compete directly with ULSI circuits in controlling large sensor arrays, or in signal processing and extracting the germane information from the huge number of signals that such arrays can generate. To combine the advantages of large-area integrated TFT circuits with the speed of ULSI circuits, we have been making hybrid systems that combine TFT and ULSIC [1]. Our work covers the range from thin-film device materials to subsystems implemented in thin-film technology, to co-designing and interfacing the large-area thin-film domain with the ULSIC domain. We have demonstrated systems for the sensing of mechanical strain [2], image detection [3], acoustic speaker localization [4], electro-encephalography [5], gestures [6], and patterns of pressure. Please click Additional Files below to see the full abstract

Adjusting bone mass for differences in projected bone area and other confounding variables: an allometric perspective.

The traditional method of assessing bone mineral density (BMD; given by bone mineral content [BMC] divided by projected bone area [Ap], BMD = BMC/Ap) has come under strong criticism by various authors. Their criticism being that the projected bone "area" (Ap) will systematically underestimate the skeletal bone "volume" of taller subjects. To reduce the confounding effects of bone size, an alternative ratio has been proposed called bone mineral apparent density [BMAD = BMC/(Ap)3/2]. However, bone size is not the only confounding variable associated with BMC. Others include age, sex, body size, and maturation. To assess the dimensional relationship between BMC and projected bone area, independent of other confounding variables, we proposed and fitted a proportional allometric model to the BMC data of the L2-L4 vertebrae from a previously published study. The projected bone area exponents were greater than unity for both boys (1.43) and girls (1.02), but only the boy's fitted exponent was not different from that predicted by geometric similarity (1.5). Based on these exponents, it is not clear whether bone mass acquisition increases in proportion to the projected bone area (Ap) or an estimate of projected bone volume (Ap)3/2. However, by adopting the proposed methods, the analysis will automatically adjust BMC for differences in projected bone size and other confounding variables for the particular population being studied. Hence, the necessity to speculate as to the theoretical value of the exponent of Ap, although interesting, becomes redundant

Overcoming data scarcity of Twitter: using tweets as bootstrap with application to autism-related topic content analysis

Notwithstanding recent work which has demonstrated the potential of using Twitter messages for content-specific data mining and analysis, the depth of such analysis is inherently limited by the scarcity of data imposed by the 140 character tweet limit. In this paper we describe a novel approach for targeted knowledge exploration which uses tweet content analysis as a preliminary step. This step is used to bootstrap more sophisticated data collection from directly related but much richer content sources. In particular we demonstrate that valuable information can be collected by following URLs included in tweets. We automatically extract content from the corresponding web pages and treating each web page as a document linked to the original tweet show how a temporal topic model based on a hierarchical Dirichlet process can be used to track the evolution of a complex topic structure of a Twitter community. Using autism-related tweets we demonstrate that our method is capable of capturing a much more meaningful picture of information exchange than user-chosen hashtags.Comment: IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining, 201

Political brand image: an investigation into the operationalisation of the external orientation of David Cameron’s Conservative brand

This paper seeks to address the limited understanding of how to operationalise the external brand image of a political brand. More specifically, this research critically assesses the transfer potential of the six variables of brand image by Bosch, Venter, Han and Boshoff to deconstruct the UK Conservative Party brand from the perspective of young people aged 18–24 years during the 2010 UK General Election campaign. This research demonstrates the applicability of the six variables otherwise known as the ‘brand image framework’ to the political environment. However, the application of the brand image framework in its original conceptualisation proved problematic. Many of the brand image variables were clarified, rearticulated and simplified to address the political context. This refined conceptualisation provided an in-depth understanding of how to investigate the political brand image of David Cameron’s Conservative Party. This study addresses the paucity of research that operationalises external brand image and provides practitioners and academics within and beyond the context of political branding a mechanism to understand the external orientation of brands. This research may also be used by political and non-political brands as a basis to explore external brand image and compare its consistency with internal brand identity

Engaging with community researchers for exposure science: lessons learned from a pesticide biomonitoring study

A major challenge in biomonitoring studies with members of the general public is ensuring their continued involvement throughout the necessary length of the research. The paper presents evidence on the use of community researchers, recruited from local study areas, as a mechanism for ensuring effective recruitment and retention of farmer and resident participants for a pesticides biomonitoring study. The evidence presented suggests that community researchers' abilities to build and sustain trusting relationships with participants enhanced the rigour of the study as a result of their on-the-ground responsiveness and flexibility resulting in data collection beyond targets expected

Archiving multi-epoch data and the discovery of variables in the near infrared

We present a description of the design and usage of a new synoptic pipeline and database model for time series photometry in the VISTA Data Flow System (VDFS). All UKIRT-WFCAM data and most of the VISTA main survey data will be processed and archived by the VDFS. Much of these data are multi-epoch, useful for finding moving and variable objects. Our new database design allows the users to easily find rare objects of these types amongst the huge volume of data being produced by modern survey telescopes. Its effectiveness is demonstrated through examples using Data Release 5 of the UKIDSS Deep Extragalactic Survey (DXS) and the WFCAM standard star data. The synoptic pipeline provides additional quality control and calibration to these data in the process of generating accurate light-curves. We find that 0.6+-0.1% of stars and 2.3+-0.6% of galaxies in the UKIDSS-DXS with K<15 mag are variable with amplitudes \Delta K>0.015 magComment: 30 pages, 31 figures, MNRAS, in press Minor changes from previous version due to refereeing and proof-readin